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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Monday, October 12, 2009

Economic Data to Confirm or Refute Continuing Financial Markets Optimism / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Lloyds_TSB

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA sense of cautious optimism prevails in financial markets. And the week ahead is rich in economic data that will provide further clues on the pace of improvement in global economic conditions. Following September’s disappointing US non-farm payrolls and ISM manufacturing data, financial markets are likely to use this week’s releases to judge whether confidence has risen too far, too quickly. The latest monetary policy decision from the Bank of Japan is also due, where we look for the key overnight call rate to remain at 0.1%.

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Economics

Sunday, October 11, 2009

U.S. Changing Unemployment Picture as Economy Emerges from Recession / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Bob_Chapman

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe number of Americans filing first- time claims for unemployment benefits fell last week to the lowest since January, a sign the labor market is deteriorating more slowly as the economy emerges from the recession.

Applications fell by 33,000 to 521,000, lower than forecast, in the week ended Oct. 3, from a revised 554,000 the week before, Labor Department data showed today in Washington. The total number of people collecting unemployment insurance dropped in the prior week to the least since March.

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Economics

Sunday, October 11, 2009

Five Major Pension Problems and One Simple Solution / Economics / Pensions & Retirement

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEven with this huge rally in stocks and corporate bonds, pension plans are in incredibly poor shape. The Washington Post lists Two Bad Choices Cut Benefits Or Take Greater Risks to Rebuild Assets.

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Economics

Saturday, October 10, 2009

Measuring CPI Inflation, Alice In Wonderland And The Bond Yield Paradox / Economics / Inflation

By: Andrew_Butter

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis article is not about what inflation is, it's about how you measure one component, CPI (Consumer Price Index), there are other components; but that's the focus of this article.

Big picture to estimate CPI you work out a "basket" of goods and services that consumers buy which you think is representative of the structure of spending in an economy, and you do a survey, then you compare that with how much it would have cost to buy the same "basket" a year before.

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Economics

Saturday, October 10, 2009

Government Deficit Spending Killing the U.S. Free Market Economy / Economics / Economic Stimulus

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKilling the Goose
What Were We Thinking?
Let's Play Turn It Around

Peggy Noonan, maybe the most gifted essayist of our time, wrote a few weeks ago about the vague concern that many of us have that the monster looming up ahead of us has the potential (my interpretation) for not just plucking a few feathers from the goose that lays the golden egg (the US free-market economy), or stealing a few more of the valuable eggs, but of actually killing the goose. Today we look at the possibility that the fiscal path of the enormous US government deficits we are on could indeed kill the goose, or harm it so badly it will make the lost decades that Japan has suffered seem like a stroll in the park.

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Economics

Saturday, October 10, 2009

The September U.S. Employment Rate is 90% / Economics / Employment

By: Robert_Singer

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe U.S. Department of Labor Official Employment rate in September 2009 is now 90% (Unofficial rate is 75%).
And for those Americans who are still employed, they will find it harder to get that sweet deal on a new car because auto dealers won’t be competing with each other now that Brian Deese, special assistant to president Obama for economic policy made the decision (not the Chrysler bankruptcy judge), to close dealerships without regard to profitability.

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Economics

Friday, October 09, 2009

Trending Towards Hyperinflation / Economics / HyperInflation

By: Paul_Tustain

Seven short steps to the cost of living doubling or more inside 3 years...

HYPERINFLATION is widely accepted as a period of out of control price rises, doubling the cost of living inside three years.

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Economics

Friday, October 09, 2009

Failed Economic Policies and Rising Unemployment in the U.S. / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Bob_Chapman

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis past week the BLS released the September unemployment statistics and they worsened as usual, as America enjoys its recovery.

U-1–Those unemployed 15 weeks or longer, as a percent of the civilian labor force was 5.4%.

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Economics

Wednesday, October 07, 2009

The Autumn 2009 Inflation Time Bomb / Economics / Inflation

By: Paul_Tustain

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt's not only the energy markets that threaten the 'low inflation' data now encouraging bondholders to keep buying...

THE PUBLISHED INFLATION DATA are surprisingly unsophisticated in so far as they compare current prices with a snapshot a year earlier.

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Economics

Wednesday, October 07, 2009

Does Asia's Economic Rebound Signal the Return to Stellar Growth? / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: RGE_Monitor

Deleted.

 


Economics

Wednesday, October 07, 2009

Conservative £7 Billion Spending Cuts a Drop in Britain's Debt Ocean / Economics / UK Debt

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleShadow Chancellor George Osbourne announced net public sector spending and budget cuts totaling £7 billion at the Conservative party conference. However the proposed cuts are but a mere drop in the debt ocean that on their own do not amount to anything of real significance when one compares to an annual budget deficit that is expected to break above £200 billion this fiscal year.

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Economics

Wednesday, October 07, 2009

Good News, The Economist Says USA Foreclosures Are "Not A Problem!!" / Economics / Mainstream Media

By: Andrew_Butter

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Economist Magazine, much admired for its Neo-Con views, (for example it's jingoistic support for the invasion of Iraq), has now applied its unique insights to the US housing market.

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Economics

Wednesday, October 07, 2009

The Fed's Schizophrenic Monetary Economists / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Gary_North

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIf monetary theory is accurate, it is a subset of general economic theory, which must also be accurate. Monetary theory is not an independent theory of human action that is divorced analytically from a general theory of human action.

Only the Austrian School of economics believes this and adheres to it in practice. All other systems of economic thought segregate monetary theory from general economic theory.

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Economics

Wednesday, October 07, 2009

Gold Understands that Stock Market Liquidity Rallies Do Not Create Jobs / Economics / Economic Stimulus

By: Chris_Galakoutis

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOutside of minimum wage jobs and Wal-Mart poverty line work, today’s US economy appears unable to create good jobs.  If the US economy cannot create new jobs, Americans will be in no position to save and invest for their futures, nor will they have any purchasing power that would boost the economy. 

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Economics

Tuesday, October 06, 2009

US and UK Savers Your Bankrupt "Babushka" Pensioner's Future / Economics / HyperInflation

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThose people who have saved for the future could soon form our own generation of bankrupted, Babushka pensioners...

TWENTY-FIVE years ago, the Russians found themselves in a hole.

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Economics

Tuesday, October 06, 2009

Marx and Lenin Revisited / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Paul_Craig_Roberts

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"Capital is dead labor, which, vampire-like, lives only by sucking living labor, and lives the more, the more labor it sucks."  Karl Marx

If Karl Marx and V. I. Lenin were alive today, they would be leading contenders for the Nobel Prize in economics.

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Economics

Tuesday, October 06, 2009

Surge in U.S. Unemployment, No Economic Recovery in Sight / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Shamus_Cooke

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAfter the recent unemployment numbers were announced, smug politicians promising economic recovery stuttered a bit. This wasn’t supposed to happen.  Mainstream economists were predicting a smooth upswing in employment, but in September 263,000 more jobs were lost, 62,000 more than August.  

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Economics

Tuesday, October 06, 2009

Whalen Says Real Economy Is Dying, Q4 Bloodbath / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Submissions

Stocks rallied to start the week thanks to a better-than-expected ISM services sector report and a Goldman Sachs upgrade of big banks, including Wells Fargo, Comerica and Capital One.

But all is not right in either the economy or the banking sector, according to Christopher Whalen, managing director at Institutional Risk Analytics. In fact, Whalen says most observers are drawing the wrong economic conclusions from the stock market's robust rally.

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Economics

Tuesday, October 06, 2009

Paul Krugman Would Fail as a Businessman / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Eric_Englund

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRecently, I traveled to Idaho to meet with several customers over a two-day period. As a surety bond underwriter, I predominantly deal with small-to-medium sized public works and commercial contractors. My objectives, for each meeting, were to gain a better understanding of local market conditions, to see if a viable business plan was in place for each contractor, and to determine which clients would survive this vicious economic downturn.

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Economics

Tuesday, October 06, 2009

Strengthening Economic Data for UK, U.S. Economies / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Lloyds_TSB

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAfter the recent spate of weak economic data, this week began on a more positive note, with yesterday's service sector reports in the UK and US both surprising on the upside. The UK CIPS services sector PMI was particularly firm, with the index rising from 54.1 in August to 55.3 in September - its strongest pace of expansion in two years. That conditions in UK services are improving was also signalled in the latest financial services report from the Confederation of British Industry, which showed confidence amongst UK financial services firms rising for the first time since the start of the credit crisis in 2007.

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