Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Tuesday, June 14, 2016

Germany Stock Market DAX H&S Break Leading ? / Stock-Markets / Germany

By: Joseph_VanDerveer

Simple daily chart for the last year on the The German Stock Index "DAX" which comprises 30 German blue chip stocks.

Notice the price fib. retracement from early Dec. high to Mid. Feb. low was hit first at the 50%, then 61.8%, then follows a lower high, and lower low. This may lead to lower prices in the near future.

Tuesday, June 14, 2016

Stocks Bears Defending 2100+ Pivot Still No Real Selling Ahead Of Fed And Brexit... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

Nothing has changed for nearly two years now, and I say that with a sense of sadness to everyone who plays this incredibly difficult game. Long-term lateral consolidations of this length can be looked at two ways. First is when a stock or index moves laterally for a long time it usually continues the trend in place. However, there is another side to see. If the consolidation is too long, nearly two years, you have to start wondering if the market is slowly turning over.

Tuesday, June 14, 2016

Stock Market Caution / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Marty_Chenard

Well, the Banking Index (the BKX) is holding its up trending and support for now, but its longer term trend is showing a down trending channel.

The pressure is on with the 30 Relative Strength reading coming in at 50.54 (or 00.54 on our CRSI indicator).

At the same time, the Accelerator and the Timing indicator are showing down moves, so we could see trouble at this time. Be very careful now.

Monday, June 13, 2016

Stock Market Uptrend's Reversal Or Just Short-Term Downward Correction? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,140, and profit target at 2,000, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

Monday, June 13, 2016

Former Fed President: All My Very Rich Friends Are Holding a Lot of Cash / Stock-Markets / Investing 2016

By: John_Mauldin

BY TONY SAGAMI : If you put together a list of the world’s most brilliant, most famous investment experts… they were all at John Mauldin’s Strategic Investment Conference last month.

My head is still spinning with all the information and investment ideas I heard at the conference, but the consensus among the majority of speakers was that things are going to get ugly.

Monday, June 13, 2016

Stock Market Correction Near / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Brad_Gudgeon

According to my read, the stock market as measured by the S&P 500 is about to enter roughly a 12 to 13% correction. A few weeks ago, I wrote about the dates July 5th and November 29th as being possible important cycle lows for the stock market this year.

Monday, June 13, 2016

Stock Market Overhead Resistance Prevails / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend: A lengthy correction is most likely underway!

SPX Intermediate trend: Overhead resistance appears to have prevailed and turned prices short of making a new high.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

Sunday, June 12, 2016

NYA/TLT 2y, Weekly Chart & Analysis - Bearish View / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Joseph_VanDerveer

Chart below shows a comparison of up-trending TLT and down-trending NYA.  I would like to point out the two TLT spikes and lows in the market indicated by the 2 gray vertical boxes.  With that in mind, TLT looks to be breaking to the upside with a weekly close higher then previous and mid channel resistance.

Saturday, June 11, 2016

US Rapidly Approaching Recession, Best Stocks Trade Setup in 8 Years is Back! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Graham_Summers

The US is now rapidly approaching, if not already in a recession.

The media likes to talk about unemployment. But the unemployment rate is so gimmicked to make the economy look strong, that even THE FED had to create its own employment metric.

When even the Fed calls out data for being phony, you know it’s complete fiction.

Saturday, June 11, 2016

US Equity Uptrend Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Tony_Caldaro

The week started off at SPX 2099. On Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday the market moved higher, without dropping below SPX 2099, and hit SPX 2121. Then on Thursday and Friday the market pulled back to SPX 2090, before ending the week at 2096. For the week the SPX/DOW were -0.25%, and the NDX/NAZ were -1.0%. Economic reports for the week were light and mixed. On the downtick: investor holdings, consumer credit/sentiment. On the uptick: wholesale inventories, plus weekly jobless claims and the budget deficit improved. Next week will be highlighted by the FOMC meeting, and Industrial production.

Saturday, June 11, 2016

Stock Market Headwinds At 2116......Some Key Sectors Quit At Long-Term Down Trend Lines..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

It was a very interesting week. The banks had started to lead higher some weeks back when it was considered a slam dunk that the Yellen would raise rates at the June meeting coming up next week. Then the market got hit with a negative surprise with the Jobs Report that came in roughly 130,000 jobs short. Smart money recognized that the rate hike was off the table for June, and, thus, rates started to fall. The banks hit its long-term, down trend line, and instead of breaking through, it turned and headed south. Too many economic negatives to make a clean breakout, which would have likely led to the S&P 500 challenging the old highs at 2134. It was a real slap in the face to the financials, and that carried over to the rest of the market as this week came to an end.

Friday, June 10, 2016

SPX is probing lower / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

I’m switching to an hourly chart to zero in on what is hanging up the decline in SPX. The culprit is a Short-term support/resistance line at 2099.86. The decline appears to be resuming after a bounce from that support zone.

The primary view is that SPX may bounce from one of the trendlines this afternoon to complete Wave [i].

Friday, June 10, 2016

Stock Market Risk off / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

SPX Premarket now appears to be beneathits round number support at 2100.00. Should the sell-off continue, it opens the door to test the trendlines at 2085.00 later today.

Friday, June 10, 2016

Sloppy, Choppy Stock Market Consolidation Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices continued their 3-day slide slightly, although the afternoon came back big from midday losses where it looked like they would roll over. However, support did hold. At the end of the day the S&P 500 staged a late, 3-hour rally that took the market back to much more reasonable losses.

Net on the day, the Dow was down 19.86 at 17,985.19, about 70 points off the low. The S&P 500 was down 3.64 at 2115.48, 8 points off its low. The Nasdaq 100 was down 7.94 at 4512.69, 18 points off its low.

Thursday, June 09, 2016

Stock Market Aggressive Sell Signal on Deck / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX opened down at 2115.65 leaving a gap of nearly 3.5 points. It appears that the gap may not be filled, which suggests the next leg down is about to begin. The support at 2111.00 has been broken, so the next level to be tested is the double trendlines at 2085.00.

Thursday, June 09, 2016

SPX is Testing Support / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The SPX Premarket appears to be challenging the shelf of support at 2111.00. Today is a double Pivot day and 21 calendar days from the May 19 low. A reversal today would create a very left-oriented Cycle, which is bearish.

Thursday, June 09, 2016

Stocks Get Closer To All-Time High, As SP500 Trades Above 2,100 Mark - Will It Continue Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,140, and profit target at 2,000, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

Thursday, June 09, 2016

Stock Market Embraces Terrible News...What Else Is New..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

A very interesting evening last night. We had two pieces of news that can only be understood as scary. The world bank came out and said they are cutting global-growth numbers based on poor demand and commodity prices. Horrific news, only to have China chime in with additional news. The Central Bank of China said their economy is in pain, and unfortunately there is further pain to deal with. No real hope as far as they can see. Folks, this is exactly the type of news that ends any up trend. In fact, it's the type of news that should absolutely hammer the market lower.

Wednesday, June 08, 2016

Is the Fed Buying Stocks Outright to Prop Up the Markets? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Graham_Summers

“Someone” is getting desperate.

Throughout the last week, anytime stocks have begun to correct or drop, “someone” has bought S&P 500 futures to prop the market up.

Anyone who’s been involved with the markets for a while knows the difference between real buyers and manipulation. This is manipulation plain and simple.

Wednesday, June 08, 2016

TLT & SPY Inverse Correlation / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Joseph_VanDerveer

Here is an interesting chart below showing TLT which is iSHARES 20 year plus Treasury Bonds exchange-traded fund.

The red arrows and comments represent major lows in SPY or QQQ's.  The green arrows and comments represent major highs in SPY or QQQ's.