Analysis Topic: Housing Market Price trends
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, June 25, 2010
Lousy U.S. Economy Pulling Rug Out From Under Housing Market / Housing-Market / US Housing
Heads up, folks! It’s time for a very important housing market update from the front lines.
More than a year ago in these cyberpages, I told you that housing was stabilizing. All my indicators pointed to an improvement in conditions — less deadweight inventory on the market … increased sales rates … stabilization in pricing.
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Thursday, June 24, 2010
U.S. Home Sales Take a Big Hit / Housing-Market / US Housing
For more evidence of the current deflationary trend look no further than the real estate market.
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Thursday, June 24, 2010
FOMC Statement and U.S. Housing Market Post Tax Credit Fundamentals / Housing-Market / US Housing
FOMC Statement “… low levels of the federal funds rate for an extended period.” - No big surprises from the FOMC today. The committee's economic outlook was marginally downgraded and its financial conditions outlook was more substantially downgraded. To wit, "Financial conditions have become less supportive of economic growth on balance, largely reflecting developments abroad." And, oh yes, "Bank lending has continued to contract in recent months." The fact that KC Fed President Hoenig dissented about the "extended period" language also was no surprise, but of no significance either.
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Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Little Surprise in U.S. Housing Market's Dive / Housing-Market / US Housing
Wall Street doubled over in anguish today as the latest numbers on existing home sales hit the news wires. I must say that I am totally confused as to why the decline was any kind of surprise, however. The mainstream press dutifully expressed every emotion from grief to even outrage as the number was reported and analyzed.
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Tuesday, June 22, 2010
Here Comes the U.S. Housing Market Double Dip / Housing-Market / US Housing
The housing market double dip is coming... along with an unpopped Australian bubble just waiting to burst.
Remember when "safe as houses" was a legitimate expression? Now it's a bit of an ironic joke. What counts as no joke at all, however, is the chaos investors will face when the second wave of housing market turmoil hits.
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Monday, June 21, 2010
UK Mortgage Interest Rates At 7 Year Low / Housing-Market / Mortgages
The average rate on two year fixed rate mortgages has fallen to 4.52%, its lowest level since September 2003, when the average stood at 4.51%.
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Sunday, June 20, 2010
Florida Real Estate Prices: Guess Which Direction This Chart Will Go / Housing-Market / US Housing
The US real estate market all but fell off a cliff two years ago. Though there has been a very minor recovery, or rather, stabilization, in home prices, we recently pointed out that it makes sense to be gloomy.
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Thursday, June 17, 2010
Will China Housing Market Follow the U.S. In a Mortgage Bust? / Housing-Market / China Economy
As the second largest global economy and one that is growing in the high single digits to low double digits, how China goes so goes the global recovery. A property boom is helping to fuel the Chinese economy. Some analysts claim many new Chinese property owners are encouraged to take out mortgages to buy a home that they can ill afford. Sound familiar? Is China following the U.S.’s example, issuing mortgages that they can cover? If this is true it will bring down the rapid growth of China and the rest of the world suffer. After all China is the economic engine for the global growth story.
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Thursday, June 17, 2010
UK House Prices Inflation Adjusted Long-term Trend Analysis / Housing-Market / UK Housing
Inflation has huge a impact on the trend for nominal house prices over the long term and therefore forms an important factor in determining a multi-year house price trend forecast.
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Wednesday, June 16, 2010
Worried About Stocks? The U.S. Housing Market Should Be Your Real Concern / Housing-Market / US Housing
Shah Gilani writes: According to the latest reports on the U.S. housing market, the 96,400 homes hit with default notices last month were 7% less than in April and 22% less than in May 2009.
And that's not all. Foreclosure auctions were scheduled for the first time on 132,680 properties last month - 4% fewer than the month before and 16% fewer than in May a year ago, according to the Irvine, California-based RealtyTrac Inc.
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Tuesday, June 15, 2010
China's Housing Boom a Bubble or Not? / Housing-Market / China Economy
Stephen Roach does not seem to understand what a bubble is. He makes the same arguments in dismissing China's property bubble that we heard in the US, regarding "solid demand".
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Tuesday, June 15, 2010
U.S. Housing Market Crash Next leg Down Signaled by Bulging Inventory / Housing-Market / US Housing
Did the Federal Reserve collude with the big banks to hold millions of houses off the market until the Fed finished adding $1.25 trillion to the banks reserves? Did the Fed do this to make it appear that its bond purchasing plan (quantitative easing) was stabilizing prices when, in fact, it was the reduction in supply that stopped prices from plunging? It sure looks that way. This is from Bloomberg News:
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Tuesday, June 08, 2010
UK House Price Trends for 2010 According to the Halifax and Nationwide / Housing-Market / UK Housing
Labours debt fuelled economic election bounce is over. The new coalition government is gearing up for deep cuts in an attempt to bridge the huge £156 billion gap between government revenues and spending with already a down payment of £6.2 billion recently announced and at least another £24 billion to come on top of tax rises including raising VAT from 17.5% to 20% to raise at least another £25 billion in new taxes.
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Tuesday, June 01, 2010
U.S. Housing, Real Estate, Credit Bubble Deflation, 5 More Years of Financial Hell / Housing-Market / Deflation
"...and it is in such twilight that we must be aware of change in the air, however slight, lest we become unwitting victims of the darkness." ~William Orville Douglas
First of all, please allow me to apologize for the infrequency of my Safehaven posts, as obviously I have become a fellow more inclined to write at market turns than one who chimes in on an ongoing basis. I appreciate to no end the number of emails I receive requesting updates, but my fingers are in a few more pies now (including the penning of a second screenplay with writing partner Tim Wells and the pursuit of my investment advisory representative license).
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Tuesday, June 01, 2010
Nothing Can Fix the U.S. Housing Market / Housing-Market / US Housing
The government could force mortgage rates across the board to 2%, it won’t matter. They can re-introduce a tax credit worth $15,000 for anyone buying a house, it still won’t matter. Don’t you get it? You can’t fix housing with artificial demand. Tell me where you can find enough buyers of homes that have money for a down payment and who can purchase a home without government incentives, and then have the job and income security to not be at risk of not being able to afford to live there.
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Thursday, May 27, 2010
UK Tumbling Mortgage Interest Rates Are Still No Incentive to Borrowers / Housing-Market / Mortgages
Mortgage rates are being cut, lending criteria is steadily being loosened and product availability is improving. It appears to be a perfect platform to host a resurgence in a struggling mortgage market, but it looks as if there is still little incentive for borrowers to commit to a new deal.
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Thursday, May 20, 2010
A Strategic Proposal to Combat Strategic Residential Housing Market Mortgage Defaults / Housing-Market / US Housing
More and more we are hearing that occupants of residential real estate with mortgages far in excess of the current market value of the real estate are choosing to default on those mortgages. It is not that they do not have the income to keep current on their principal and interest payments. Rather, they have made a calculation that it would take many years for the value of their properties to rise back to the amount outstanding on the mortgages of these properties.
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Wednesday, May 19, 2010
Buy-to-let Mortage Market Sector Begins Fight Back From Credit Crisis / Housing-Market / Mortgages
The buy-to-let (BTL) sector was one of the biggest casualties of the credit crisis. At its lowest point (September 2009) 95% of all deals available at the peak of the market (August 2007) were withdrawn.
However, the BTL market has now started its fight back.
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Tuesday, May 18, 2010
We're Not Out of the U.S. Housing Market Mess Just Yet / Housing-Market / US Housing
Perhaps more than stock and bond investors, precious metals investors must be privy to important macroeconomic indicators. Of the most important is money supply, followed immediately by lending and credit availability. These three factors all come together to establish how expensive or inexpensive paper currencies are and how silver and gold should be relatively priced to their paper counterparts.
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Tuesday, May 18, 2010
U.S. Housing Market New Home Construction Up, But Building Permits Drop / Housing-Market / US Housing
In the not so bad news category, the government reports that the housing market is rebounding:
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