Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. TESLA! Cathy Wood ARK Funds Bubble BURSTS! - 12th May 21
2.Stock Market Entering Early Summer Correction Trend Forecast - 10th May 21
3.GOLD GDX, HUI Stocks - Will Paradise Turn into a Dystopia? - 11th May 21
4.Crypto Bubble Bursts! Nicehash Suspends Coinbase Withdrawals, Bitcoin, Ethereum Bear Market Begins - 16th May 21
5.Crypto Bubble BURSTS! BTC, ETH, XRP CRASH! NiceHash Seizes Funds on Account Halting ALL Withdrawals! - 19th May 21
6.Cathy Wood Ark Invest Funds Bubble BURSTS! ARKK, ARKG, Tesla Entering Severe Bear Market - 13th May 21
7.Stock Market - Should You Be In Cash Right Now? - 17th May 21
8.Gold to Benefit from Mounting US Debt Pile - 14th May 21
9.Coronavius Covid-19 in Italy in August 2019! - 13th May 21
10.How to Invest in HIGH RISK Tech Stocks for 2021 and Beyond - Part 2 of 2 - 18th May 21
Last 7 days
Netflix - FAANG a Buy, Sell or Hold?, CME Black Swans Chasing Value in Biotech Stocks - 5th Aug 21
We Will See SPX 4600 In 2021 - 5th Aug 21
Revisiting The Excess Phase Stock Market Peak Pattern - 5th Aug 21
Dramatic Divergence between US and European Stock Markets - 5th Aug 21
Budgie Clipped Wings, How Long Before Flight Feathers Grow Back After Clipping, 4 Week Update - 5th Aug 21
Lisa Su's AMD Stock Price Rockets to the Moon! $200 Target, How to Buy for Under $78 - 4th Aug 21
Gold Jumps for Joy Only to Hit the Ceiling… Hard - 4th Aug 21
Is Wise Really The King of Online Money Transfer Services? - 4th Aug 21
Tips for Investing Your Money in Stocks - The Ultimate Guide - 4th Aug 21
Gold is the Key to Financial Wisdom - 4th Aug 21
How to Trade Binance Vanilla Options for the First Time on Bitcoin Crypto's - 2nd Aug 21
From vaccine inequality to economic apartheid - 2nd Aug 21
Stock Market Intermediate Top Reached - 2nd Aug 21
Gold at a Crossroads of Hawkish Fed and High Inflation - 2nd Aug 21
Bitcoin, Crypto Market Black Swans from Google to Obsolescence - 1st Aug 21
Gold Stocks Autumn Rally - 1st Aug 21
Earn Upto 6% Interest Rate on USD Cash Deposits with Binance Crypto Exchange USDC amd BUSD - 1st Aug 21
Vuze XR VR 3D Camera Takes Near 2 Minutes to Turn On, Buggy Firmware - 1st Aug 21
Sun EXPLODES! Goes SuperNova! Will Any planets Survive? Jupiter? Pluto? - 1st Aug 21
USDT is 9-11 for Central Banks the Bitcoin Black Swan - Tether Un-Stable Coin Ponzi Schemes! - 30th Jul 21
Behavior of Inflation and US Treasury Bond Yields Seems… Contradictory - 30th Jul 21
Gold and Silver Precious Metals Technical Analysis - 30th Jul 21
The Inadvertent Debt/Inflation Trap – Is It Time for the Stock Market To Face The Music? - 30th Jul 21
Fed Stocks Nothingburger, Dollar Lower, Focus on GDP, PCE - 30th Jul 21
Reverse REPO Market Brewing Financial Crisis Black Swan Danger - 29th Jul 21
Next Time You See "4 Times as Many Stock Market Bulls as There Are Bears," Remember This - 29th Jul 21
USDX: More Sideways Trading Ahead? - 29th Jul 21
Waiting On Silver - 29th Jul 21
Showdown: Paper vs. Physical Markets - 29th Jul 21
New set of Priorities needed for Unstoppable Global Warming - 29th Jul 21
The US Dollar is the Driver of the Gold & Silver Sectors - 28th Jul 21
Fed: Murderer of Markets and the Middle Class - 28th Jul 21
Gold And Silver – Which Will Have An Explosive Price Rally And Which Will Have A Sustained One? - 28th Jul 21
I Guess The Stock Market Does Not Fear Covid - So Should You? - 28th Jul 21
Eight Do’s and Don’ts For Options Traders - 28th Jul 21
Chasing Value in Unloved by Markets Small Cap Biotech Stocks for the Long-run - 27th Jul 21
Inflation Pressures Persist Despite Biden Propaganda - 27th Jul 21
Gold Investors Wavering - 27th Jul 21
Bogdance - How Binance Scams Futures Traders With Fake Bitcoin Prices to Run Limits and Margin Calls - 27th Jul 21
SPX Going for the Major Stock Market Top? - 27th Jul 21
What Is HND and How It Will Help Your Career Growth? - 27th Jul 21
5 Mobile Apps Day Traders Should Know About - 27th Jul 21
Global Stock Market Investing: Here's the Message of Consumer "Overconfidence" - 25th Jul 21
Gold’s Behavior in Various Parallel Inflation Universes - 25th Jul 21
Indian Delta Variant INFECTED! How infectious, Deadly, Do Vaccines Work? Avoid the PCR Test? - 25th Jul 21
Bitcoin Stock to Flow Model to Infinity and Beyond Price Forecasts - 25th Jul 21
Bitcoin Black Swan - GOOGLE! - 24th Jul 21
Stock Market Stalling Signs? Taking a Look Under the Hood of US Equities - 24th Jul 21
Biden’s Dangerous Inflation Denials - 24th Jul 21
How does CFD trading work - 24th Jul 21

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Weak Russian Military Suggestive of Nuclear First Strike Doctrine

Politics / New Cold War Dec 27, 2009 - 05:53 AM GMT

By: Pravda


Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn October 2009, Nicolai Patrushev, Russia’s Security Council Secretary, announced that the new military doctrine was on its way. The old one was dated back in 2000 and written even earlier, under Yeltsin. Patrushev named the announcement of Russia’s right for a preventive nuclear strike the key provision of the new doctrine. He kept his word, and this provision does exist in the text of the doctrine approved by the Security Council. The President of Russia is expected to sign the document by the end of the year. Experts believe that the doctrine is fair and properly reflects the current state of affairs.

Russia’s Military Revival

The document’s preamble informs that the new doctrine is the “document of the period of Russia’s revival,” while the old document talked about the “transitional period.” This way we can find out what Russia’s government sees as the country’s revival.

The main thesis of the document: the world is organized according to the multipolar principle; therefore a possibility of a large-scale military conflict with regular and nuclear weapons against the Russian Federation is reduced.

Indeed, in the contemporary world, a military threat is more acute in the event of bipolar relations, e.g., the Caribbean Crisis or conflicts between the giants on the territories of other countries. On the other hand, World War II was waged in multipolar world (Germany and allies; England and France; the USSR; the USA) and led to the bipolar one. This means that the Russian strategy is based on a quite arguable thesis.

The Red Button

Regardless of the polarity type, Russia has to protect itself from the aggression. The best way to protect itself is to prevent such aggression. The doctrine was written prior to the recent fire in Perm, but this tragedy clearly demonstrated what happens if preventive measures are neglected for years.

Therefore, Russia now announced its right to use nuclear weapons not only in case of aggression against itself, but also as a “response to a threat of using (or usage) against itself and (or) its allies of nuclear or other weapons of mass destruction, as well as a response to the aggression with regular weapons in the situations critical for the Russian Federation. “

The similar document signed by the United States does not have this provision. The US does not consider itself entitled to use nuclear weapons as a response to a “threat.” Unfortunately, their arguments do not work in the situation with Russia, since Russia’s neighbors differ greatly from the US’s neighbors. Instead of hyper-loyal Mexico and Canada, Russia has uncompromising China in the south-east, revengeful ex-allies in the west, and small, but very proud revenge-seekers in the south. God bless Kazakhstan covering Russia from unpredictable Central Asia and filtering Afghan drug trafficking. Yet, this “safety blanket” should be somehow protected as well. The red button in the Kremlin is capable of cooling hot heads nearly anywhere in the world.

Real State of Affairs

As for regular weapons, everything stays the same. By 2015, 30% of the army should be equipped with brand new equipment, and in 2020 this number will reach 70%. This is at least realistic. General draft service will remain the same, while soldiers and officers determining tactical efficiency would have to be staffed with contractors only. The doctrine does not discuss mass military conflicts, it is defensive and restraining. Even the most adamant ill-wishers of Russia will not be able to find aggressive intentions in this document.

Russia does not have resources for aggression. Even Pavel Felgenhauer, a Moscow-based defense analyst said in his interview with that he was pessimistic about the condition of Russian military: “The weaker the army, the more important nuclear weapons are. We don’t have anything left besides our nuclear weapons. We have no guarantees that the West would not interfere with our wars, like it happened with Georgia, therefore, we do need nuclear restraining. The new doctrine just documented the real state of affairs.” Nuclear weapons remain the main, and maybe, the only defense for Russia. It would be silly to walk around the area filled with stray dogs without an electroshock or at least a good stick.

Arguments and Facts

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.

Pravda Archive

© 2005-2019 - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.

Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in