The 15% drop in average stock prices during the past month has galvanised a growing number of bears to once more dig out ancient text book reasons for why this is the time for the stocks bear market to finally begin, and not only that but keep making definitive statements for the expectations for market crash's that always fail to materialise for the obvious reason that a crash is a panic event that can only at best be discerned no earlier than during the preceding day. Even then the probability would favour the market ending higher on the so called crash day because market crashes are NOT common events.

Nevertheless, the hefty stock market decline is providing ample ammunition for the bears to successfully convince an increasing number of retail spectators through a myriad of reasons such as falling corporate profits, shrinking balance sheets, rising debt mountains, deflation, the Fed ending QE, and of course the prospects for an imminent rise in US interest rates, and even Europe's refugee crisis is apparently an harbinger for the long awaited for mother of all stocks bear markets to begin, this despite having missed the bull run of the past 6 YEARS!

The stock market has been showing a significant deviation from my forecast trend for 2015 during the past few weeks, hence this updated analysis that seeks to reappraise the prospects for the Dow stocks index for the remainder of 2015.

This video is based on in-depth analysis at - http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article52257.html

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By Nadeem Walayat

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Nadeem Walayat has over 25 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis focuses on UK inflation, economy, interest rates and housing market. He is the author of five ebook's in the The Inflation Mega-Trend and Stocks Stealth Bull Market series that can be downloaded for Free.

Nadeem is the Editor of The Market Oracle, a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication that presents in-depth analysis from over 1000 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets, thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction. http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities.

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