Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. Stock Markets and the History Chart of the End of the World (With Presidential Cycles) - 28th Aug 20
2.Google, Apple, Amazon, Facebook... AI Tech Stocks Buying Levels and Valuations Q3 2020 - 31st Aug 20
3.The Inflation Mega-trend is Going Hyper! - 11th Sep 20
4.Is this the End of Capitalism? - 13th Sep 20
5.What's Driving Gold, Silver and What's Next? - 3rd Sep 20
6.QE4EVER! - 9th Sep 20
7.Gold Price Trend Forecast Analysis - Part1 - 7th Sep 20
8.The Fed May “Cause” The Next Stock Market Crash - 3rd Sep 20
9.Bitcoin Price Crash - You Will be Suprised What Happens Next - 7th Sep 20
10.NVIDIA Stock Price Soars on RTX 3000 Cornering the GPU Market for next 2 years! - 3rd Sep 20
Last 7 days
Stock Market Enters Early Summer Correction Trend Forecast Time Window - 11th May 21
GOLD GDX, HUI Stocks - Will Paradise Turn into a Dystopia? - 11th May 21
Cathy Wood Bubble Bursts as ARK Funds CRASH! Enter into a Severe Bear Market - 11th May 21
Apply This Technique to Stop Rushing into Trades - 10th May 21
Stock Market Entering Early Summer Correction Trend Forecast - 10th May 21
CHIA Getting Started SSD Crypto Mining by Plotting and Farming on Your Hard Drives Guide - 9th May 21
Yaheetech Mesh Best Cheap Computer /. Gaming Chairs on Amazon Review - 9th May 21
Breaking US Trade Embargo with Cuba - Build 7 Computers in 14 Hours Before Ship Sales Challenge - 9th May 21
Dripcoin Applies New Technology That Provides Faster Order Execution - 9th May 21
Capital Gains Tax Hike News: Was It REALLY to Blame for Sell-off? - 7th May 21
Stock Market Transportation Index Continues To Grind Higher - 7th May 21
SPX Stock Market Correction Arriving or Not? - 7th May 21
How to Invest in an Online Casino? - 7th May 21
Gold & Silver Begin New Advancing Cycle Phase - 6th May 21
Vaccine Economic Boom and Bust - 6th May 21
USDX, Gold Miners: The Lion and the Jackals - 6th May 21
What If You Turn Off Your PC During Windows Update? Stuck on Automatic Repair Nightmare! - 6th May 21
4 Insurance Policies You Should Consider Buying - 6th May 21
Fed Taper Smoke and Mirrors - 5th May 21
Global Economic Recovery 2021 and the Dark Legacies of Smoot-Hawley - 5th May 21
Utility Stocks Continue To Rally – Sending A Warning Signal Yet? - 5th May 21
ROIMAX Trading Platform Review - 5th May 21
Gas and Electricity Price Trends so far in 2021 for the United Kingdom - 5th May 21
Crypto Bubble Mania Free Money GPU Mining With NiceHash Continues... - 4th May 21
Stock Market SPX Short-term Correction - 4th May 21
Gold & Silver Wait Their Turn to Ride the Inflationary Wave - 4th May 21
Gold Can’t Wait to Fall – Even Without USDX’s Help - 4th May 21
Stock Market Investor Psychology: Here are 2 Rare Traits Now on Display - 4th May 21
Sheffield Peoples Referendum May 6th Local Elections 2021 - Vote for Committee Decision's or Dictatorship - 4th May 21
AlphaLive Brings Out Latest Trading App for Android - 4th May 21
India Covid-19 Apocalypse Heralds Catastrophe for Pakistan & Bangladesh, Covid in Italy August 2019! - 3rd May 21
Why Ryzen PBO Overclock is Better than ALL Core Under Volting - 5950x, 5900x, 5800x, 5600x Despite Benchmarks - 3rd May 21
MMT: Medieval Monetary Theory - 3rd May 21
Magical Flowering Budgies Bird of Paradise Indoor Grape Vine Flying Fun in VR 3D 180 UK - 3rd May 21
Last Chance to GET FREE Money Crypto Mining with Your Desktop PC - 2nd May 21
Will Powell Lull Gold Bulls to Sweet Sleep? - 2nd May 21
Stock Market Enough Consolidation Already! - 2nd May 21
Inflation or Deflation? (Not a silly question…) - 2nd May 21
What Are The Requirements For Applying For A Payday Loan Online? - 2nd May 21
How to Invest in HIGH RISK Tech Stocks for 2021 and Beyond - Part1 - 1st May 21
INDIA COVID APOCALYPSE - 1st May 21
Are Technicals Pointing to New Gold Price Rally? - 1st May 21
US Dollar Index: Subtle Changes, Remarkable Outcomes - 1st May 21
Stock Market Correction Time Window - 30th Apr 21
Stock Market "Fastest Jump Since 2007": How Leveraged Investors are Courting "Doom" - 30th Apr 21
Three Reasons Why Waiting for "Cheaper Silver" Doesn't Make Cents - 30th Apr 21
Want To Invest In US Real Estate Market But Don’t Have The Down Payment? - 30th Apr 21
King Zuckerberg Tech Companies to Set up their own Governments! - 29th Apr 21
Silver Price Enters Acceleration Phase - 29th Apr 21
Financial Stocks Sector Appears Ready To Run Higher - 29th Apr 21
Stock Market Leverage Reaches New All-Time Highs As The Excess Phase Rally Continues - 29th Apr 21
Get Ready for the Fourth U.S. Central Bank - 29th Apr 21
Gold Mining Stock: Were Upswings Just an Exhausting Sprint? - 29th Apr 21
AI Tech Stocks Lead the Bull Market Charge - 28th Apr 21
AMD Ryzen Overclocking Guide - 5900x, 5950x, 5600x PPT, TDC, EDC, How to Best Settings Beyond PBO - 28th Apr 21
Stocks Bear Market / Crash Indicator - 28th Apr 21
No Upsetting the Apple Cart in Stocks or Gold - 28th Apr 21
Is The Covaids Insanity Actually Getting Worse? - 28th Apr 21
Dogecoin to the Moon! The Signs are Everywhere, but few will Heed them - 28th Apr 21
SPX Indicators Flashing Stock Market Caution - 28th Apr 21
Gold Prices – Don’t Get Too Excited - 28th Apr 21
6 Challenges Contract Managers Face When Handling Contractual Agreements - 28th Apr 21

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Volatile Week for Financial ETFs

Stock-Markets / Exchange Traded Funds Apr 21, 2017 - 12:24 PM GMT

By: Nicholas_Kitonyi

Stock-Markets Earnings season is around, and it tends to add some volatility back into the market. Now, major banks and financial firms have already reported their earnings, most beat expectations. However, there were also mixed results with financials. Goldman Sachs Group Inc (NYSE: GS) and Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) were some notable earnings that surprised the Street. Consequently, this added some volatility to exchange-traded funds (ETFs), such as the Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSEARCA: XLF) and Vanguard Financials ETF (NYSEARCA: VFH).


Financial ETFs and Major Bank Earnings

The Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund aims to provide investors with investment results corresponding to the general price and yield performance of the Financial Select Sector Index, its underlying index. Some of the ETF’s top holdings include JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: JPM), Bank of America Corp (NYSE: BAC), Wells Fargo & Co (NYSE: WFC), Citigroup Inc (NYSE: C), Goldman Sachs Group Inc, and Morgan Stanley.

JPMorgan Chase beat the Street estimate, after reporting a diluted EPS of $1.65, while the consensus estimate was $1.52. Wells Fargo beat the Zacks consensus EPS estimate by 3 cents per share, after the company had organic growth buoyed by deposit balances and loans. Bank of America also beat the Street’s EPS estimate by 6 cents.

Source: TradingView.com

Take a look at the chart above, you’ll notice how XLF has been experiencing some volatility around earnings, and this could be attributed to the movements in its largest holdings.

According to trader Jason Bond, “Generally, if one of the largest holdings in an industry or sector ETF move, the other holdings could move in sympathy, which could lead to some volatility in the fund. For example, we saw this when Goldman Sachs reported its earnings results, which surprisingly missed analyst estimates, this dragged some stocks in the industry down. In turn, this caused some financial ETFs to finish down on the day.”

The Vanguard Financials ETF is similar to XLF, with its top holdings also including JPM, WFC, BAC, C and GS. In similar fashion, VFH was affected by some of its stop holdings, and experienced some volatility due to some mixed earnings results.

Source: TradingView.com

Goldman Sachs missed the consensus EPS estimate, as well as the consensus revenue estimate, which caused the stock to fall to a four-and-a-half-month low on the day it released its earnings results. Moreover, the company announced its equities trading revenue fell by approximately 6% year over year. Now, the stock had some volatility the day of its earnings, which actually dragged down some other stocks in the banking sector, leading to some volatility in XLF, as you can see on the chart, on April 18, 2017. Similarly, if you look at VFH, the performance that day looks nearly identical to XLF.

One trader stated, “Heading into the earnings, all eyes were on MS because Goldman Sachs reported earnings the day before, and the markets wanted to see how MS would perform in relation to GS.”

Similarly, if a large holding in a sector ETF rises, the entire ETF could rise. Morgan Stanley surprised Wall Street, after Goldman Sachs reported earnings below the consensus estimate. However, MS reported better-than-expected quarterly results, which was primarily attributed to its trading and investment banking operations. What was most surprising was its fixed income trading revenue for the quarter, which doubled year over year.

In previous charts of XLF and VFH, you’ll notice on April 19, 2017, when MS released earnings, XLF gapped up. However, it ended up filling the gap and selling off, now this was primarily due to the overall market pressure.

The Take Away

Earnings season can be very hectic, as we’ve just seen with some companies in the financial services industry. Typically, if one of the largest holdings in a sector ETF moves, the entire fund could move. So when considering, trading or investing in sector ETFs, you’ll want to be mindful of the fund’s top holdings and any events surrounding them.

By Nicholas Kitonyi

Copyright © 2017 Nicholas Kitonyi - All Rights Reserved Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.


© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in