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US Stock Markets Setting Up For Increased Volatility

Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019 Apr 18, 2019 - 11:01 AM GMT

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Stock-Markets

The US stock markets took a nosedive early in the regular trading session after the QQQ briefly advanced to new All-Time Highs this morning.  With the QQQ and other symbols nearing fresh new highs, traders should expect volatility to increase as trading systems and traders to look for any signs of a top to set up.  As we start to cross into “new high territory”, some fear starts to come back into the markets and volatility is sure to increase.

The Russell 2000 took a pretty big hit today as you can see from the chart below.  This move lower is still well within our proprietary Fibonacci modeling system’s bullish parameters and we’ve highlighted a “Support Zone” for our followers to understand where real price support is located.  Any downside move below $152 would cause us to reconsider our bullish trend position, but right now this is nothing more than price rotation.  Wait it out and look for opportunities when it bottoms.


The YM (Dow Futures) Daily chart, below, highlights just how fractured the US stock market really is today.  While the Russell 2000 is rotating lower quite hard, the DOW futures are relatively FLAT and still trading near the recent highs.  This fracturing of the major indexes suggests money may be moving away from sectors/symbols that traders may interpret as risky at the moment – and into symbols that are more stable.  For example, we might find that Financials and the Russell 2000 symbols may present a relatively high level of fear that a downside rotation in these sectors may be bigger and more dramatic than in the NQ, ES or YM.

Still, our advice is to watch this move and wait it out a bit.  Our “Support Zone” for the YM is clearly highlighted with the Green Box on the chart.

Lastly, we want to highlight the Transportation Index for all of our followers to understand what is going on behind the scenes today.  The Transportation Index is a fairly strong measure of future economic activity and output.  It typically leads the US stock market by at least 20~30 days.  The price advance, today, in the Transports would indicate that many traders believe the US economy is still improving and will still continue to perform well.  If the Transports break to new highs, then we should see more continued upside price levels in many of the US stock market sectors.

Again, the markets are a bit fractured today with price action.  And that leads us to believe we could see a spike in the VIX and volatility over the next few days/weeks while this rotation plays out.  Eventually, we believe a continued upside price leg will resume and we want to urge traders to play it safe for right now.  Follow our “Support Zones” as a key indicator for when the price has fallen into a potentially risky level – below support.  If this happens, then we would begin to become concerned that price may be initiating a bigger move to the downside.

Get my daily analysis and swing trade alerts at my Wealth Trading Newsletter and become a technical trader today!

Chris Vermeulen
www.TheTechnicalTraders.com

Chris Vermeulen has been involved in the markets since 1997 and is the founder of Technical Traders Ltd. He is an internationally recognized technical analyst, trader, and is the author of the book: 7 Steps to Win With Logic

Through years of research, trading and helping individual traders around the world. He learned that many traders have great trading ideas, but they lack one thing, they struggle to execute trades in a systematic way for consistent results. Chris helps educate traders with a three-hour video course that can change your trading results for the better.

His mission is to help his clients boost their trading performance while reducing market exposure and portfolio volatility.

He is a regular speaker on HoweStreet.com, and the FinancialSurvivorNetwork radio shows. Chris was also featured on the cover of AmalgaTrader Magazine, and contributes articles to several leading financial hubs like MarketOracle.co.uk

Disclaimer: Nothing in this report should be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell any securities mentioned. Technical Traders Ltd., its owners and the author of this report are not registered broker-dealers or financial advisors. Before investing in any securities, you should consult with your financial advisor and a registered broker-dealer. Never make an investment based solely on what you read in an online or printed report, including this report, especially if the investment involves a small, thinly-traded company that isn’t well known. Technical Traders Ltd. and the author of this report has been paid by Cardiff Energy Corp. In addition, the author owns shares of Cardiff Energy Corp. and would also benefit from volume and price appreciation of its stock. The information provided here within should not be construed as a financial analysis but rather as an advertisement. The author’s views and opinions regarding the companies featured in reports are his own views and are based on information that he has researched independently and has received, which the author assumes to be reliable. Technical Traders Ltd. and the author of this report do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or usefulness of any content of this report, nor its fitness for any particular purpose. Lastly, the author does not guarantee that any of the companies mentioned in the reports will perform as expected, and any comparisons made to other companies may not be valid or come into effect.

Chris Vermeulen Archive

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