Most Popular
1. It’s a New Macro, the Gold Market Knows It, But Dead Men Walking Do Not (yet)- Gary_Tanashian
2.Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
3. Bitcoin S&P Pattern - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
4.U.S. financial market’s “Weimar phase” impact to your fiat and digital assets - Raymond_Matison
5. How to Profit from the Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - Part1 - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast 2024 - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.The Bond Trade and Interest Rates - Nadeem_Walayat
9.It’s Easy to Scream Stocks Bubble! - Stephen_McBride
10.Fed’s Next Intertest Rate Move might not align with popular consensus - Richard_Mills
Last 7 days
US House Prices Trend Forecast 2024 to 2026 - 11th Oct 24
US Housing Market Analysis - Immigration Drives House Prices Higher - 30th Sep 24
Stock Market October Correction - 30th Sep 24
The Folly of Tariffs and Trade Wars - 30th Sep 24
Gold: 5 principles to help you stay ahead of price turns - 30th Sep 24
The Everything Rally will Spark multi year Bull Market - 30th Sep 24
US FIXED MORTGAGES LIMITING SUPPLY - 23rd Sep 24
US Housing Market Free Equity - 23rd Sep 24
US Rate Cut FOMO In Stock Market Correction Window - 22nd Sep 24
US State Demographics - 22nd Sep 24
Gold and Silver Shine as the Fed Cuts Rates: What’s Next? - 22nd Sep 24
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks:Nothing Can Topple This Market - 22nd Sep 24
US Population Growth Rate - 17th Sep 24
Are Stocks Overheating? - 17th Sep 24
Sentiment Speaks: Silver Is At A Major Turning Point - 17th Sep 24
If The Stock Market Turn Quickly, How Bad Can Things Get? - 17th Sep 24
IMMIGRATION DRIVES HOUSE PRICES HIGHER - 12th Sep 24
Global Debt Bubble - 12th Sep 24
Gold’s Outlook CPI Data - 12th Sep 24
RECESSION When Yield Curve Uninverts - 8th Sep 24
Sentiment Speaks: Silver Is Set Up To Shine - 8th Sep 24
Precious Metals Shine in August: Gold and Silver Surge Ahead - 8th Sep 24
Gold’s Demand Comeback - 8th Sep 24
Gold’s Quick Reversal and Copper’s Major Indications - 8th Sep 24
GLOBAL WARMING Housing Market Consequences Right Now - 6th Sep 24
Crude Oil’s Sign for Gold Investors - 6th Sep 24
Stocks Face Uncertainty Following Sell-Off- 6th Sep 24
GOLD WILL CONTINUE TO OUTPERFORM MINING SHARES - 6th Sep 24
AI Stocks Portfolio and Bitcoin September 2024 - 3rd Sep 24
2024 = 1984 - AI Equals Loss of Agency - 30th Aug 24
UBI - Universal Billionaire Income - 30th Aug 24
US COUNTING DOWN TO CRISIS, CATASTROPHE AND COLLAPSE - 30th Aug 24
GBP/USD Uptrend: What’s Next for the Pair? - 30th Aug 24
The Post-2020 History of the 10-2 US Treasury Yield Curve - 30th Aug 24
Stocks Likely to Extend Consolidation: Topping Pattern Forming? - 30th Aug 24
Why Stock-Market Success Is Usually Only Temporary - 30th Aug 24
The Consequences of AI - 24th Aug 24
Can Greedy Politicians Really Stop Price Inflation With a "Price Gouging" Ban? - 24th Aug 24
Why Alien Intelligence Cannot Predict the Future - 23rd Aug 24
Stock Market Surefire Way to Go Broke - 23rd Aug 24
RIP Google Search - 23rd Aug 24
What happened to the Fed’s Gold? - 23rd Aug 24
US Dollar Reserves Have Dropped By 14 Percent Since 2002 - 23rd Aug 24
Will Electric Vehicles Be the Killer App for Silver? - 23rd Aug 24
EUR/USD Update: Strong Uptrend and Key Levels to Watch - 23rd Aug 24
Gold Mid-Tier Mining Stocks Fundamentals - 23rd Aug 24
My GCSE Exam Results Day Shock! 2024 - 23rd Aug 24

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Gold Price Trend Forecast 2020 - Part1

Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020 Jan 21, 2020 - 12:30 PM GMT

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Commodities

The gold bull market ended 2019 with a strong gain of 19%. The first half the year was marked with uncertainty as the price after an early year surge to $1350 gave up all of it's gains to drift lower to trade down on the year by early May. However, this was the calm before the bull market storm and that set the stage for a powerful bull run starting early June that saw the Gold price rocket higher to a early September peak of $1566, up over 25% on the year! Igniting Gold bug fever and encouraging prominent gold bugs to get carried away with headlines of Gold heading for $5000 and beyond.


However, the September high marked the start of a period of consolidation that just went on and on all the way into the end of November when off a $1446 low the Gold bull finally awoke with the price starting to trend higher once more, to end the year at $1520. With Gold rocketing to above the September high taking place early January when the drama queen in the White house launched his own rockets with the risks of igniting a new war in the Middle East, that luckily Iran proved incompetent at countering, including shooting down a passenger plane by mistake. This illustrates that we are living in an age of being ruled by MORONS! And whilst all this is going on the British media are wholly focused on just ONE story, MEGAN and HARRY tripe!

Gold Price Trend Forecasts 2019 Review

My analysis of 30th May just prior to the Gold price taking off like a rocket (Gold Price Trend Forecast Summer 2019) concluded in bullish expectations for the summer trend to see the Gold price target a series of resistance levels all the way to $1400.

Therefore my forecast conclusion for the Gold price is to trend higher towards a target of $1350-$1370 by late September 2019. This trend can be further broken down to expect a minor correction during July off of a June peak with the rally resuming during August and September.

(Charts courtesy of stockcharts.com)

Peering into the Mists of Time

Yes, my long term target for Gold is $1800. But I doubt it's going to happen this year as there are far too many hurdles to overcome.

With my second Gold analysis of late July Gold Price Breakout - Trend Forecast 2019 July Update extending my bullish expectations for the Gold bull run towards a target of $1570 by the end of September which was achieved early September.

Gold Price Forecast Conclusion Update

Therefore my forecast conclusion is to expect the Gold price to soon resume it's bull run. Before this analysis I would have expected resistance at $1500 by Late September / Early October. However, I now think that $1500 is not going to hold for long so it looks like the Gold price could be eyeing a break of $1600 by early October and to have at least reached $1570.

And my third and final Gold analysis of the year of 30th October was banking on an imminent end to the Gold price consolidation and thus for the bull market to resume to soon target a break of of the September $1566 high before taking a breather into the end of the year to target a year end close of about $1560, that actually materialised just a few days later during the start of January 2020.

Which brings is to the present, $1560, already up 2.5% for a good start to 2020. However down from an opening high of $1590.

GOLD BULL MARKET LONG-TERM TARGET

The gold price continues to gravitate towards my long-term target of $1800 as of December 2016 ($1176).

GOLD BULL MARKET LONG-TERM TARGET

The most recent peak of $1610 put the Gold price less than 10% away from my long-term target that this analysis will seek to determine the trend for the gold price during most of 2020.

GOLD TREND ANALYSIS 2020

The rest of this analysis has first been made available to Patrons who support my work: Gold Price Trend Forecast 2020

  • SEASONAL ANALYSIS
  • QE4EVER
  • US DOLLAR
  • LONG-TERM TREND ANALYSIS 
  • Gold / SIlver Ratio
  • Trend Analysis 
  • ELLIOT WAVES
  • Gold Price Trend Forecast 2020 Conclusion 

So for immediate first access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for just $3 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.

Also recently completed -

With my latest analysis complete and made available to Patrons -

Scheduled Analysis Includes:

  • Silver Trend Analysis
  • Stock Market Trend Forecast 2020
  • UK Housing market series
  • Machine Intelligence Investing stocks sub sector analysis
  • Euro Dollar Futures
  • EUR/RUB
  • US House Prices update

And ensure you are subscribed to my ALWAYS FREE newsletter for my next in-depth analysis.

Your Analyst.

By Nadeem Walayat

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Copyright © 2005-2019 Marketoracle.co.uk (Market Oracle Ltd). All rights reserved.

Nadeem Walayat has over 30 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis focuses on UK inflation, economy, interest rates and housing market. He is the author of five ebook's in the The Inflation Mega-Trend and Stocks Stealth Bull Market series that can be downloaded for Free.

Housing Markets Forecast 2014-2018The Stocks Stealth Bull Market 2013 and Beyond EbookThe Stocks Stealth Bull Market Update 2011 EbookThe Interest Rate Mega-Trend EbookThe Inflation Mega-trend Ebook

Nadeem is the Editor of The Market Oracle, a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication that presents in-depth analysis from over 1000 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets, thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction. http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities.

Nadeem Walayat Archive

© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in