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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: US Federal Reserve Bank

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Sunday, September 13, 2015

How the Fed Is Hurting U.S. Manufacturing / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Investment_U

Sean Brodrick writes: Whether he deserves it or not, Obama is getting kudos on his handling of the economy, particularly the declining unemployment rate. In August, the official headline unemployment rate dropped to 5.1%. But that same jobs data out of the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) contained some sobering news: Manufacturing payrolls are getting shredded.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, August 20, 2015

The Fed Talks And The Market Tanks. That’s Different / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: John_Rubino

Normally there’s a distinct pattern to the impact of Federal Reserve statements on the financial markets. The tone of equities trading in particular starts to improve as the moment of the announcement approaches; the words turn out to be blandly positive, full of promises of easy money and upbeat forecasts; and share prices soar for a day or two. It’s been thus for most of the past six years, leading large numbers of new investors and recently-minted analysts and traders to see the Fed as a modern version of Plato’s philosopher king, wielding absolute power to achieve perfect justice in the form of rising asset prices.

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Politics

Sunday, August 02, 2015

It's a Wonderful Life Without the Federal Reserve Bank / Politics / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: ...

MoneyMorning.com Shah Gilani writes: I have a dream. Well, I had a dream, but maybe it's never coming true, so I'll revel in my real dream.

And what a dream it was…

America had changed overnight. I didn't know what had happened, but everything was different the morning I woke up (while I was, unfortunately, still in my dream).

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Economics

Monday, July 20, 2015

The Fed’s Confusion Over the "Natural Rate" of Unemployment and Inflation / Economics / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Frank_Shostak

In May, the US unemployment rate stood at 5.5 percent against the rate of 5.3 percent for the “natural unemployment,” also known as the Non-Accelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment (NAIRU).

According to the popular view, once the actual unemployment rate falls to below the NAIRU, or the natural unemployment rate, the rate of inflation tends to accelerate and economic activity becomes overheated. (This acceleration in the rate of inflation takes place through increases in the demand for goods and services. It also lifts the demand for workers and puts pressure on wages, reinforcing the growth in inflation).

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, June 17, 2015

Stop the Fed!? / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Axel_Merk

We are concerned the Fed causes both economic and political stability to deteriorate. And, no, this is not about discouraging the Fed to hike rates. This analysis is about pointing out that the road to hell may be paved with the best of intentions. For the economy to prosper, we need a re-thinking not just at the Fed, but also with some Fed critics. Let me elaborate...

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Interest-Rates

Friday, June 05, 2015

Bernanke is Still Bubble Blind / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Michael_Pento

Even though the former Chairman of the Federal Reserve is now getting paid privately for his economic and market prognostications, he is still unable to identify or acknowledge the monumental bubbles that central banks have engineered. Mr. Bernanke, who was recently interviewed in Korea, tried to assure investors that rate hikes (whenever they begin) would be good news for the U.S. economy. He was also very "optimistic" there would not be a hard landing in China. And, not surprisingly, the man who is now gainfully employed at the Brookings Institution, Pimco and hedge fund Citadel, is also "encouraged" by Japanese Premier Shinzo Abe's growth strategy. This is despite the fact that the thrust of Abenomics has been to depreciate the value of the Yen by 35 percent in the past two and a half years.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, May 07, 2015

U.S. Fed Embarrassment of Transparency / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Peter_Schiff

Over the past decade or so, "transparency" has become one of the buzzwords that has guided the Federal Reserve's culture. The word was meant to convey the belief that central banking was best done for all to see in the full light of day, not in the murky back rooms of Washington and New York. The Fed seems to be on a mission to prove that its operations are benevolent, fair, predictable, and equitable. Part of that transparency movement took shape in 2007 when the Fed began publicizing its Gross Domestic Product (GDP) forecasts, which previously (to the frustration of investors) had been kept under wraps. Most of the Fed's policy moves are tied to how strong, or how weak, it believes the economy will be in the coming year. As a result, its GDP forecast is perhaps the single most important estimate it make.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, May 05, 2015

The U.S. Fed Needs Your Help / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Harry_Dent

Rodney Johnson writes: The Fed needs your help. This stately body of academics has worked for years to rejuvenate the U.S. economy, but to no avail. 

You can’t say they’ve been lazy in their efforts. When their first quantitative easing (QE) program failed to create a bounce back in housing, they started up another one, QE2. When that failed they brought in QELite, followed by Operation Twist. 

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, April 28, 2015

Thoughts from the Frontline: The Third and Final Transformation of Monetary Policy / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: John_Mauldin

The law of unintended consequences is becoming ever more prominent in the economic sphere, as the world becomes exponentially more complex with every passing year. Just as a network grows in complexity and value as the number of connections in that network grows, the global economy becomes more complex, interesting, and hard to manage as the number of individuals, businesses, governmental bodies, and other institutions swells, all of them interconnected by contracts and security instruments, as well as by financial and information flows.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, April 01, 2015

Bernanke Double Tap / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Brady_Willett

The promotion of 'risk taking' during Bernanke's tenure was, without question, done at the immediate expense of traditional 'savings'. Deal with it Bernanke.

Former Fed Chairman, Ben Bernanke, began his new 'blog' yesterday with a dandy entitled 'Why Are Interest Rates So Low?' Given that only those with a financial acumen would read a blog from Bernanke, the silliness offered was remarkable. Nevertheless, here goes:

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Politics

Monday, March 30, 2015

Why Is the Fed Punishing My Parents? / Politics / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: MISES

Shawn Ritenour writes: In September 1993, President Bill Clinton reassured his radio audience that “if you work hard and play by the rules, you’ll be rewarded with a good life for yourself and a better chance for your children.” Picking up that theme over eighteen years later, President Barack Obama affirmed that “Americans who work hard and play by the rules every day deserve a government and a financial system that does the same.” The trouble is neither the government nor the financial system backed by the Federal Reserve rewards people like my parents, who have worked hard and played by the rules their entire lives, only to have their savings wither away.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, March 27, 2015

Atlanta Fed President's Dilemma / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Dan_Norcini

'tis the week to hear from the various Fed governors once again.

Today it is Atlanta Fed president Dennis Lockhart.

I am finding his comments rather unsettling after reading one part of them.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, March 24, 2015

Janet Yellen Give'em the Old Razzle Dazzle / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Peter_Schiff

Janet Yellen channels Billy Flynn? Last week the Fed Chairwoman treated us to a master class of rhetorical misdirection which produced some memorable examples of doublespeak, including the soon to be classic "Just because we removed the word 'patient' does not mean we're going to be 'impatient."' But perhaps more surprising than her new heights of verbal dexterity was the market's euphoria at being so blatantly manipulated. Never has the financial world enjoyed a lie so thoroughly.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, March 23, 2015

Yellen Runs Out Of Patience, But Not Excuses / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Michael_Pento

The Fed removed the word Patience from its statement made following the FOMC meeting that concluded on Wednesday. But, taking out that one word proved to be mostly irrelevant. The removal of the patient language was more than offset by the Fed's lowering of its GDP growth estimates and its projection for when and how high it will raise rates based on its previously incorrect assessments of inflation and growth. Ms. Yellen said in the FOMC press conference that removing "Patient" did not mean she would become impatient with raising rates. It is clear that the dollar's strength and the cascading economic data reported since the start of 2015 caused the Fed to push out its timing for its first rate hike and the overall level for which it will finally reach equilibrium.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, March 22, 2015

FED Guidance Like Flying in Bermuda Triangle / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Brad_Gudgeon

Last week, I thought from what I was reading on my volume indicators, (showing that money was leaving the S&P 500) that the market would fall on the FOMC news Wednesday. WRONG! Here I am flying in the Bermuda Triangle!

A few weeks ago, I related how last year was so difficult trading the market for me. The normal 10,20,30, 40 week cycle lows are not acting like they used to. I had surmised that the normal 20 week (100 trading day 15-16%) low would not be the dominant low, but that it would likely come in April instead. March 11 proved to be the 100 trading day low and we fell less than 4% top to bottom! But, because of volume indicators like OBV, Money Flow and Chaiken Money Flow that are showing net money outflows (I'll elaborate on these more next week), I thought this time might be different. WRONG!

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, March 17, 2015

The Fed Will Likely Remove 'Patient' from its Statement, But Not from its Actions / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Although oil prices rallied more than 20% following the January Fed decision, their swift decline to fresh six-year lows raises questions about whether the Fed will underestimate threat of deflation as it did with GDP growth over the last three years. A June rate hike would be a policy mistake, especially as the US dollar index is heading for its biggest quarterly gain since Q4 1992. Adding Q3 & Q4, the USD index is up 23%. And yields remain muted as bond traders do not buy into a summer rate hike.

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Politics

Monday, March 09, 2015

Abolish; Not “Audit the Fed” / Politics / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Submissions

Antonius Aquinas writes: In recent remarks to the Senate Banking Committee, Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen was her typical evasive and non committal self when the topic of interest rate hikes were broached. When the subject of potential oversight of the Fed came up, however, Ms. Yellen became quite forthright in her response.

When asked about a bill introduced by Kentucky Senator Rand Paul to “Audit the Fed,” Ms. Yellen declared: “I want to be completely clear: I strongly oppose ‘Audit the Fed.'”*  Ms. Yellen defended her position on the grounds, which have been given by every previous Fed Chairman, that oversight would lead to politicized monetary decision making thus compromising the central bank’s “independence.”

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Politics

Monday, March 09, 2015

Don't Be Fooled by The Federal Reserve's Anti-Audit Propaganda / Politics / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Dr_Ron_Paul

In recent weeks, the Federal Reserve and its apologists in Congress and the media have launched numerous attacks on the Audit the Fed legislation. These attacks amount to nothing more than distortions about the effects and intent of the audit bill.

Fed apologists continue to claim that the Audit the Fed bill will somehow limit the Federal Reserve's independence. Yet neither Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen nor any other opponent of the audit bill has ever been able to identify any provision of the bill giving Congress power to dictate monetary policy. The only way this argument makes sense is if the simple act of increasing transparency somehow infringes on the Fed's independence.

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Politics

Sunday, March 01, 2015

Senate Republicans Bungle Their Interrogation of Janet Yellen / Politics / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: MISES

Brendan Brown writes: In terms of theatrical impact, the first performance of the Republican majority in the Senate responding to semi-annual testimony from Fed Chair Yellen was a dud. That is bad news for US monetary reform.

The root cause of the theatrical failure is that a winning strategy for monetary revolution has failed to emerge from the Republican ranks. Instead we hear the old tired messages about “auditing the Fed,” “changing the structure of the FOMC,” and adopting a neo-Keynesian rate-fixing “rule.”

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Politics

Friday, February 27, 2015

The Fed’s History of Assassination / Politics / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Money_Morning

Shah Gilani writes: The Federal Reserve System has a very dark history.

I’m talking about a history of murder.

Maybe you didn’t know, but there’s a theory that the Fed ordered John F. Kennedy’s assassination.

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