Category: Stock Markets 2016
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Tuesday, May 03, 2016
Stock Market Technical Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Christopher_Quigley
Technical Summary:
Short Term Trend: Neutral With A Bearish Configuration Possibly Developing.
Medium Term Trend: Bullish.
Long Term Trend: Neutral:Both The 100 DMA and the 200 DMA Are Flat.
Slow Stochastics: Overbought: Market Risk Is High.
Fast Stochastics: Neutral But Trending To Oversold.
VIX: Very Low: Market Risk Is High.
McClennan Oscillator: Low But Trending Down. Not Ideal For Shorting The Market.
A/D Line: Bullish.
Tuesday, May 03, 2016
Stock Market Bad News Bought Again...It's All About Rates....Nothing Else... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
After seven straight down days on the Nasdaq, the market was ready for a bit of a bounce. The Nasdaq has been underperforming, mostly due to Apple Inc. (AAPL), which has been sinking like a stone since they had their earnings report and Carl Ichan sold all of his shares. Many other Nasdaq stocks have participated in the bad earnings world as well, which has clearly contributed to the down turn in the Nasdaq versus the rest of the stock market. The S&P 500 is holding up far better than the Nasdaq as the big money continues to rotate into safety and away from froth, and higher P/E and beta stocks. Risk is not what they're after at this moment in time. Safety is the name of their game.
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Tuesday, May 03, 2016
Stock Market Retracement May be Complete / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The retracement rally hit 61.8% of ita recent decline and appears complete. This is a good aggressive short entry here, as well.
Monday, May 02, 2016
Stock Market Bounce Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX appears to be completing its bounce today. Today is a Pi date, so the bounce may be over by the end of the day. Once through the 4.5 year trendline, there may be a panic event in stocks. A panic event may take place in as little as 4.3 days (30.1 hours) That may target May 9 as the next Master Cycle low. This is our preliminary target until we see how the decline develops.
Monday, May 02, 2016
Stock Market Uncertainty Following Two-Month Long Rally - Will It Continue? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Monday, May 02, 2016
Stock Market Correction Underway "Upside Objective Reached" / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: The beginning of a lengthy correction is most likely underway!
SPX Intermediate trend: Rally top.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Saturday, April 30, 2016
Stock Market Downtrend Should be Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Tony_Caldaro
The market started the week at SPX 2092. On Monday the market pulled back to SPX 2072, rallied to 2097 on Tuesday, pulled back to 2082 ahead of the FOMC statement, then rallied to 2100 after it was released. On Thursday the market pulled back to SPX 2086, rallied to 2099, declined to 2052 on Friday and ended the week at 2065. For the week the SPX/DOW lost 1.25%, and the NDX/NAZ lost 2.80%. Economic reports for the week were generally positive. On the downtick: new home sales, consumer confidence/sentiment, the Chicago PMI and Q1 GDP was lower. On the uptick: durable goods, Case-Shiller, pending home sales, the PCE, personal income/spending, and the WLEI. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by the monthly Payrolls report and the ISMs.
Saturday, April 30, 2016
Stock Market Hits Headwinds On Earnings, Economic Data And Technical's.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
The market has had a nice run in to the worst possible economic reports, and mostly poor earnings reports. We know why. It's called low rates. Even though we're seeing a slowing down in our own back yard, with a 0.5% reading on GDP, the market has been reluctant to fall. Very frustrating if you're a bear since you seem to be getting exactly what you need, but you haven't been seeing the market fall. Until this week. Finally, some real selling with the Nasdaq down roughly 3%. The S&P 500 down as well, but not as hard, and I'll discuss why that's the case shortly. There are numerous reasons for the fall. We did hit 70 RSI on most of the daily index charts recently, but, more importantly, we also have been showing negative divergences on those same daily index charts, and that can be a lethal combination for the market short- to medium-term.
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Friday, April 29, 2016
Stock Market Strong Elliott Wave Relationship is Developing / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
So far, sub-Minute Wave (iii) is more than 3.38 times the size of sub-Minute Wave (i). This suggests a strong Fibonacci relationship in this decline. This is the Wave relationship we are looking for in this decline. I am still looking for Minute Wave [i] to reach the 50-day Moving Average, or possibly exceed it.
At this rate, Minute Wave [i] may be complete today with a bounce on Monday morning. But things may also speed up at any time.
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Friday, April 29, 2016
Stock Market Decline Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX may be in for a short-term bounce as it approaches the 2-hour mid-Cycle support at 2062.81. If so, it may not last. The more important support and potential target for this decline appears to be the 50-day Moving Average at 2028.50.
Friday, April 29, 2016
Ugly Day for Wall Street / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had a very rough day today. The day started out with a nice rally in the morning, they rolled over just after the lunch hour, and got hammered hard into the close, finishing as one of the worst days of the year.
Net on the day, the Dow was down 210.79 at 17,830.76, more than 200 points off the high. The S&P 500 was 19.34 at 2075.81, 24 points off its high. The Nasdaq 100 was down 52.64 at 4363.99, 93 points off the high.
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Thursday, April 28, 2016
Stock Market Uncertainty Following Economic Data, Earnings Releases - SP500 Still Close To 2,100 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Thursday, April 28, 2016
Stock Market Mixed, Very Interesting, Volatile FOMC Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had a mixed session and a very interesting volatile day. The day started out with a gap lower on Apple Inc. (AAPL) earnings, went down very sharply on the Nasdaq 100, dropping from 4450 down to 4380, about 70 points from top to bottom, they rallied back to 4409, pulled back to retest the low, made higher lows, went back to the highs again, but couldn’t get back through the 4410 range, and back off. Post FOMC they spurted up toward a retest. A pullback did about a .618 Fibonacci retracement, and they ran right back up to the gap, only to pullback right at the close. The S&P 500 actually pulled through the 4-day resistance highs, and made a nominal new high near 2100 today before falling back to 2095.
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Thursday, April 28, 2016
Fed Doesn't Budge On US Interest Rates..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
The long awaited move towards higher rates still isn't happening any time soon as we heard from our fearless leader, Ms. Yellen, who said that rates will be data dependent. We've heard that line month after month, and what it really means is she's not going to be raising rates any time soon. She doesn't want to spoil the good tidings she has created with her actions over the past several years, which started with fed Bernanke. Keep the ship moving along by keeping rates low enough not to offer any alternatives for folks. So today there were folks out there who thought she would change to a more hawkish stance regarding rates, but they were once again let down by her ruling of "forget about it, it's not happening any time soon" speech. You get the feeling she wants to do it, but you know her hands are tied.
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Wednesday, April 27, 2016
FOMC statement and the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The algos have taken over after the FOMC release. ZeroHedge reports, “ The kneejerk - USD up, stocks down, bonds down - reaction has faded and with The Fed statement pitching its dovish tent back in domestic concerns while keeping a hawkish eye on global developments. The Long bond is back in the green but it appears machines are busier running oil stops higher and dumping gold.”
Wednesday, April 27, 2016
Stock Market Preliminary Sell Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has broken its rally trendline and is challenging Short-term support at 2083.50. It may retest the trendline again before going lower.
SPX is now on an aggressive sell signal.
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Wednesday, April 27, 2016
Stock Market Mixed Close with Good Technicals / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had a mixed session today. After an early morning pop, they came down hard, bounced late morning, and then stair-stepped their way lower, with the Nasdaq 100 constantly making lower-lows until they reached the low from last Friday, and held at 4440 Nasdaq 100. The S&P 500 refused to break as well and held 2086. In the last half an hour, or so, they bounced back nicely to end mixed on the session.
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Wednesday, April 27, 2016
Stock Market - That’s all Folks! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Ed_Carlson
We continue to expect this election year to see a decline from April to June and believe that last week’s 6 month cycle high marked that high. Equity markets in Presidential election years have a nasty habit of dropping during this period and the eighth year of a Presidential term sees nothing more than a temporary bounce in June before a decline to new lows.
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Tuesday, April 26, 2016
Stock Market Holding Up...Bears Simply Have Nothing.....Fed On Deck... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
The market tried once again to sell today, but again the selling was nothing to talk about. The market was down decently during the trading day, but the buyers, as usual, stepped back in with authority and kept the losses quite small. The market is trying to unwind overbought oscillators with the normal, no-price depreciation set-up, which is basically all we ever see. That's classic bull-market behavior. Seven year's worth for the most part. Nothing has changed. It really is the same old. In fact, this newsletter is the same old. There's never really anything new or interesting to talk about. Any time we try to swell, the buyers come in, etc. No sustained selling other than very brief periods for seven full years with no end on the horizon. Buyers are trained to step in and buy every time we sell some.
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Monday, April 25, 2016
Parameters for a Stock Market Sell Signal-in-the-making / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX bounced off both Short-term support and the rally trendline. At the time of the bounce, support was at 2077.37. There appears to be one more probe, possibly to 2088.00 to complete the retracement from today’s decline.
Friday’s bounce appears to be a 37.7% retracement of Wave (i). I wonder what happened to those 80-90% retracements?
An aggressive sell signal may be given once the trendline and Short-term support, now at 2078.20 are crossed. Further confirmation may be had at the mid-cycle support line at 2072.14.
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