Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Saturday, December 29, 2012

American Glory Days, Made in America Again Needs Resource Extraction and Agriculture / Commodities / Resources Investing

By: Richard_Mills

Gus Gunn, of the British Geological Survey, has identified three main factors behind the steep rise in commodity demand and prices:

• Urbanization that is accompanied by a rise in the standard of living. By 2025, nearly 2.5 billion Asians will live in cities, accounting for almost 54 percent of the world's urban population. India and China alone will account for more than 62 percent of Asian urban population growth and 40 percent of global urban population growth from 2005 to 2025

Saturday, December 29, 2012

2013 Invest in Year Apples not APPL / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

Apples are, according to many nutritionists, good for us. However, one has to be sure to choose the right ones as AAPL has demonstrated in recent months. AAPL, despite the Street's claim in would be working its way toward $1,000 by now, has fallen hard from the tree. Now badly bruised, investors are suffering from a collapse of more than 25% from the high. Investors would have been far better off, as the following chart portrays, down on the farm, perhaps in real apples.

Friday, December 28, 2012

Silver Junior Mining Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Zeal_LLC

Silver mine production is expected to come in at nearly 800m ounces in 2012, an all-time record and the seventh consecutive year of growth (per the U.S. Geological Survey).  At 2012’s average silver price, this total represents a value of nearly $25b.  There’s a lot of money to be made mining this shiny-white metal!

With a massive capital carrot supported by structural fundamentals that are still great, there ought to be a ton of mining companies targeting silver in their exploration endeavors.  So in my latest silver-stock research project I took a close look at the companies on the ground floor of silver exploration, the juniors.

Friday, December 28, 2012

A Gold and Silver Paper Default in the Wake of an EU Collapse / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

The EU has failed to recapitalize its banking sector, which still remains massively over-leveraged. They have not yet had their "Lehman moment" of truth.
 
Furthermore, governments of the Eurozone adopted the Euro as a common currency in part because by doing so, they could collectively borrow at much lower interest rates than they were used to when they printed their own money.

Friday, December 28, 2012

Future Silver Prices and Inflation- Bernanke Says Don’t Worry / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

The aftermath of dramatic balance sheet expansion is bound to be a rebound in inflationary pressures, but Fed Chair Ben Bernanke said the central bank is not going to react to a short term increase in current inflation.

Basically, if the FOMC is convinced that a rise in inflation today is going to be reversed in the future, they are not going to do anything to offset it with a rise in benchmark interest rates.

Friday, December 28, 2012

Gold Trades Higher as Japan, UK and US Face Fiscal Abyss / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: GoldCore

Today’s AM fix was USD 1,658.75, EUR 1,259.68 and GBP 1,031.37 per ounce.
Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,655.25, EUR 1,247.65 and GBP 1,022.96 per ounce.

Silver is trading at $30.16/oz, €22.97/oz and £18.79/oz. Platinum is trading at $1,533.70/oz, palladium at $701.00/oz and rhodium at $1,040/oz.

Friday, December 28, 2012

Gold Market Overhang Poses Risk of Another Price Fall Into Year End / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Ben_Traynor

THE SPOT MARKET gold price fell back to $1660 an ounce Friday morning, close to where it started the week, as stock markets also edged lower, ahead of talks in Washington aimed at avoiding the $600 billion "fiscal cliff" of spending cuts and tax rises due within days.

Gold will break its four-week losing streak today if the spot price ends the week above $1657 an ounce, while spot silver needs to close above $30.03 an ounce to do likewise.

Thursday, December 27, 2012

US Energy Independence: The Next Big Thing for 2013? / Commodities / Energy Resources

By: The_Energy_Report

Energy investment is about more than just the commodities; it's about growth. That's why, for example, the emerging economies theme has been an important one for investors who know that every business and modern home in Brazil, Russia, China or the African continent will need to keep the lights on somehow. But the next big thing for 2013 may be in our own backyards: the drive toward U.S. energy independence. How feasible is this goal, and how can investors profit from it? With this question in mind, The Energy Report looked back at some of the most memorable interviews of 2012 for expert advice on how to get positioned for it.

Thursday, December 27, 2012

Will Gold Follow What it Did This Time Last Year? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Jesse

As you can see, gold had a 'tap tap' bottom at the end of last year, with a final intraday low on the 29th, the second last trading day of the year.

It rallied in January back to where it had been at the beginning of December.

Thursday, December 27, 2012

Gold 1980 Top is Key Reference Point for Precious Metals Investors / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: P_Radomski_CFA

This essay is inspired by a question we received from one of our subscribers. On December 2012, we published an essay on gold and the dollar collapse in which we pointed out why you might profit from gold even if the U.S. dollar doesn't deteriorate completely. Today, we will elaborate on why we actually use the 1980 top in comparisons.

The fact that nobody really knows with absolute certainty where gold will really go from today onward makes people try to make their own guesses about what can happen with the yellow metal. One of the methods to do that is to look back into past situations and try to estimate if what is happening now is somehow similar to those past events.

Thursday, December 27, 2012

Gold Stocks Investing 2013 Guide / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: Money_Morning

William Patalon writes: Gold bullion, gold stocks or no gold at all?

I put that question to Real Asset Returns Editor Peter Krauth last week.

You see, there's a lot of interest in investing in gold right now. Or perhaps I should say that there's a lot of interest in what gold might do.

Thursday, December 27, 2012

Gold and Silver Under Pressure Ahead of Year-End / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Ben_Traynor

U.S. DOLLAR gold prices traded above $1650 an ounce Thursday morning, in line with where they started the week, as the London market reopened following Christmas.

Silver meantime hovered either side of $30 an ounce, while stock markets edged higher and the Dollar fell, following news that the US Treasury is to take extraordinary measures to avoid hitting the federal debt ceiling next Monday.

Thursday, December 27, 2012

Silver is a Low Risk Buy Now! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Bob_Clark

Is this a great time to be buying the metals?
The fundamental analysts have good reasons why it should go up. Then again, they have good reasons why it should go down as well. For example a financial regime change in Japan points up. The financial cliff and debt ceiling issues in the USA points down.  

Tuesday, December 25, 2012

Gold Price Forecast 2013 - Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Will 2013 be any better than 2012 was for Gold bugs?

Here is a video summary of my analysis including a detailed trend forecast for Gold for 2013.

Monday, December 24, 2012

Gold Regains Some Ground / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Ben_Traynor

ON THE FINAL day before Christmas, gold prices edged higher Monday morning, climbing to $1665 per ounce and recovering some of the ground lost last week.

Friday afternoon's London gold fix was $1651.50 an ounce, a 2.6% weekly fall and the biggest weekly drop since June.

"[Gold's fall] opens up a move to the next major support, which are the lows in the $1520s," says Friday's technical analysis note from Scotiabank.

Monday, December 24, 2012

Silver Recent Price Drop is Just a Storm in a Teacup / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Clive_Maund

Many silver longs were upset by the rather sharp drop over the past week or so, but as we will now see, this drop looks like a 'storm in a teacup' on longer-term charts.

On its 12-year chart, which goes back to the start of the bullmarket, we can see that the top boundary of the uptrend from 2004 is defined by the line drawn across 4 important peaks, and it is from this line that the parallel supporting trendline beneath is derived.

Monday, December 24, 2012

Gold Looks Messy Going into 2013, Dollar and Stocks Could Breakdown / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Clive_Maund

After gold's losses of the past couple of weeks there is increasing talk about its bullmarket being finally over. In this update we will use long-term charts to determine whether these claims have any substance.

On its 12-year chart, which goes back to the start of the bullmarket, we can see that the top boundary of the uptrend from 2006 is defined by the line drawn across 3 important peaks, and it is from this line that the parallel supporting trendline beneath is derived. While there is no law stating that the lower trendline has to be parallel, it is nevertheless likely, and it is regarded as no coincidence that the strong support at recent lows, which needs to hold, and this lower trendline are more or less coincident at this time - if the current reaction continues this is where it should stop and reverse, although as we will see later on the 6-month chart it may not drop back any further than where it is now.

Monday, December 24, 2012

GDX Gold Miners At a Low! / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: Darah_Bazargan

The history of the stock market reveals how specific patterns come into being, and how it influences subsequent behavior. Pattern sequences of a previous time are reborn and under the right circumstances, can identically repeat. It is simply a reproduction of how investors are behaving collectively at two different points in time. But knowing that a pattern has a particular script it follows can constitute a path that holds (or leads to) a likely outcome!

Monday, December 24, 2012

Gold Price Forecast 2013, Buying Opportunity?, is Silver Cheaper? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Gold and Silver bugs have had an abysmally poor 2012 against expectations for new all time highs, where a 1 year bear market from the August 2011 high into the May 2012 low failed to spark a sustained run to new all time highs. The rally from which petered out by early October at $1800, followed by another trend back to leave Gold at $1657 as per the last close, this despite reams and reams of material plastered all over the internet that hoped for an eventual return to a gold standard or "Sound Money" as being the ultimate outcome of our ongoing global debt and money printing crisis.

Sunday, December 23, 2012

Gold Market Rehypothecation Fraud: Banks Pledge Same Gold to Numerous People / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Washingtons_Blog

Banks Pledge Same Collateral Numerous Times
Big banks pledged the same mortgage to numerous people.