Most Popular
1. Banking Crisis is Stocks Bull Market Buying Opportunity - Nadeem_Walayat
2.The Crypto Signal for the Precious Metals Market - P_Radomski_CFA
3. One Possible Outcome to a New World Order - Raymond_Matison
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
5. Apple AAPL Stock Trend and Earnings Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
6.AI, Stocks, and Gold Stocks – Connected After All - P_Radomski_CFA
7.Stock Market CHEAT SHEET - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.US Debt Ceiling Crisis Smoke and Mirrors Circus - Nadeem_Walayat
9.Silver Price May Explode - Avi_Gilburt
10.More US Banks Could Collapse -- A Lot More- EWI
Last 7 days
Stock Market Volatility (VIX) - 25th Mar 24
Stock Market Investor Sentiment - 25th Mar 24
The Federal Reserve Didn't Do Anything But It Had Plenty to Say - 25th Mar 24
Stock Market Breadth - 24th Mar 24
Stock Market Margin Debt Indicator - 24th Mar 24
It’s Easy to Scream Stocks Bubble! - 24th Mar 24
Stocks: What to Make of All This Insider Selling- 24th Mar 24
Money Supply Continues To Fall, Economy Worsens – Investors Don’t Care - 24th Mar 24
Get an Edge in the Crypto Market with Order Flow - 24th Mar 24
US Presidential Election Cycle and Recessions - 18th Mar 24
US Recession Already Happened in 2022! - 18th Mar 24
AI can now remember everything you say - 18th Mar 24
Bitcoin Crypto Mania 2024 - MicroStrategy MSTR Blow off Top! - 14th Mar 24
Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast 2024 - 11th Mar 24
Gold and the Long-Term Inflation Cycle - 11th Mar 24
Fed’s Next Intertest Rate Move might not align with popular consensus - 11th Mar 24
Two Reasons The Fed Manipulates Interest Rates - 11th Mar 24
US Dollar Trend 2024 - 9th Mar 2024
The Bond Trade and Interest Rates - 9th Mar 2024
Investors Don’t Believe the Gold Rally, Still Prefer General Stocks - 9th Mar 2024
Paper Gold Vs. Real Gold: It's Important to Know the Difference - 9th Mar 2024
Stocks: What This "Record Extreme" Indicator May Be Signaling - 9th Mar 2024
My 3 Favorite Trade Setups - Elliott Wave Course - 9th Mar 2024
Bitcoin Crypto Bubble Mania! - 4th Mar 2024
US Interest Rates - When WIll the Fed Pivot - 1st Mar 2024
S&P Stock Market Real Earnings Yield - 29th Feb 2024
US Unemployment is a Fake Statistic - 29th Feb 2024
U.S. financial market’s “Weimar phase” impact to your fiat and digital assets - 29th Feb 2024
What a Breakdown in Silver Mining Stocks! What an Opportunity! - 29th Feb 2024
Why AI will Soon become SA - Synthetic Intelligence - The Machine Learning Megatrend - 29th Feb 2024
Keep Calm and Carry on Buying Quantum AI Tech Stocks - 19th Feb 24

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

China is Now a Net SELLER of U.S. Treasury Notes and Bonds!

Interest-Rates / US Bonds Sep 06, 2009 - 11:32 AM GMT

By: Mike_Larson

Interest-Rates

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWe told you this was coming. Heck: A blind man could have seen it a mile away.

For many months now, we’ve predicted that Washington’s wild spending and borrowing spree would make the global investors who buy our longer-term Treasuries — notes and bonds — as nervous as long-tailed cats in a room full of rocking chairs.


We’ve cautioned you that our sky-high deficits, record shattering borrowing by the U.S. Treasury and runaway money printing by the Federal Reserve would cause them to lose sleep, worrying about the real return on their money — not to mention, the return OF their money.

We forecast that as these concerns deepened, they would reduce the amount of money they were willing to loan Washington … or stop loaning us money altogether … or even begin selling the longer-term Treasuries they already own.

Now, those forecasts have begun to come true — in spades!

Just a few days ago, the U.S. Treasury Department revealed that China actually REDUCED its note and bond holdings by $25 billion in June.  Although China did NOT sell shorter-term Treasury bills — and isn’t expected to — it’s still the largest amount of Treasuries China has ever sold in a single month.

This is a huge development:

  • In 2006, China and Hong Kong accounted for more than 50 percent of the increase in the amount of Treasury debt sold to the public …
  • In 2008, their share had fallen to 22 percent as the U.S. government increased its public debt by a record $1.2 trillion …
  • In the first half of THIS year, China and Hong Kong acquired only 9 percent of the more than $800 billion worth of Treasury bonds that were sold — and now …
  • In June, China became a net SELLER of U.S. Treasury notes and bonds!

So what’s next? Will China dump the rest of its estimated $876 billion hoard of U.S. Treasuries and crash the Treasury market — and by doing so, kill the U.S. dollar, drive interest rates sky high and leave the U.S. economy a smoking ruin?

Absolutely not. Beijing’s leaders are far too smart for that. They’re well aware that doing that would crush the value of the Treasuries they own and cost them a king’s ransom.

But one thing seems clear: One of Washington’s most dependable sources of loans to finance our out-of-control deficits is drying up. That means demand for longer-term Treasuries is softening.

That also means you can pretty much count on much higher interest rates in 2010 and beyond — and you can count on those higher rates to crush any chances of a vigorous recovery or rapidly rising stock prices here.

Meanwhile — even as the U.S. stock market has rebounded by about 13 percent this year …

  • China’s Shanghai Index is up 46.5 percent — the average stock producing nearly $4 in profits for every $1 produced by the S&P!
  • Hong Kong is up 37.1 percent — three times more than the S&P 500 …
  • Singapore is up 47.2 percent, generating nearly $4 in profits for every $1 produced by the S&P 500, and …
  • Taiwan is up 48.7 percent, also beating the S&P 500 stock by nearly four to one.
  • In Vietnam, the average stock is up a resounding 73.2 percent — spinning off $5.63 in profits for every $1 being earned on the S&P 500.
  • is growing rich selling China the natural resources it needs to fuel its record-shattering economic boom — and so far this year, the average Brazilian stock has outpaced the average S&P stock by nearly five to one.
  • India, the world’s second-most populous nation is also enjoying an historic economic expansion — and so far in 2009, the average Indian stock has generated more than $6 in profits for every $1 earned on the S&P 500.
  • And resource-rich Russia is also making a bundle selling oil and other resources to China and India — and so far this year, the Russian stock market has been on a tear — UP a whopping 76.3 percent …

And spinning off nearly SIX DOLLARS in profits for every ONE dollar being earned on our own S&P 500!

Think of it: 

For every $10,000 in profits you could have earned in the average S&P stock this year …

The average Russian stock could have made you nearly $60,000 richer!

If you’re not investing in these emerging economic superpowers now, you’re missing out on HUGE profit potential

In our full report on this outstanding profit opportunity, we show you how the recent emergence of a new class of investment vehicles gives you the power to harness the remarkable moneymaking potential of these new economic superpowers …

  • WITHOUT opening a foreign brokerage account or trying to pick foreign stocks …
  • WITHOUT options, futures, or debt of any kind …
  • WITHOUT the big fees or restrictions that plague most mutual fund investors, but instead …
  • WITH cautious, diversified and extremely FLEXIBLE U.S.-based international investments that you can buy with a simple click of the mouse or call to your regular broker.

This critical strategy update from The Weiss Global Forum is free and it’s online: Just click this link to read it now!

Until next time,

Mike

This investment news is brought to you by Money and Markets . Money and Markets is a free daily investment newsletter from Martin D. Weiss and Weiss Research analysts offering the latest investing news and financial insights for the stock market, including tips and advice on investing in gold, energy and oil. Dr. Weiss is a leader in the fields of investing, interest rates, financial safety and economic forecasting. To view archives or subscribe, visit http://www.moneyandmarkets.com .

Money and Markets Archive

© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in