Most Popular
1. It’s a New Macro, the Gold Market Knows It, But Dead Men Walking Do Not (yet)- Gary_Tanashian
2.Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
3. Bitcoin S&P Pattern - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
4.U.S. financial market’s “Weimar phase” impact to your fiat and digital assets - Raymond_Matison
5. How to Profit from the Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - Part1 - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast 2024 - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.The Bond Trade and Interest Rates - Nadeem_Walayat
9.It’s Easy to Scream Stocks Bubble! - Stephen_McBride
10.Fed’s Next Intertest Rate Move might not align with popular consensus - Richard_Mills
Last 7 days
S&P Stock Market Trend Forecast to Dec 2024 - 16th Apr 24
No Deposit Bonuses: Boost Your Finances - 16th Apr 24
Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - 8th Apr 24
Gold Is Rallying Again, But Silver Could Get REALLY Interesting - 8th Apr 24
Media Elite Belittle Inflation Struggles of Ordinary Americans - 8th Apr 24
Profit from the Roaring AI 2020's Tech Stocks Economic Boom - 8th Apr 24
Stock Market Election Year Five Nights at Freddy's - 7th Apr 24
It’s a New Macro, the Gold Market Knows It, But Dead Men Walking Do Not (yet)- 7th Apr 24
AI Revolution and NVDA: Why Tough Going May Be Ahead - 7th Apr 24
Hidden cost of US homeownership just saw its biggest spike in 5 years - 7th Apr 24
What Happens To Gold Price If The Fed Doesn’t Cut Rates? - 7th Apr 24
The Fed is becoming increasingly divided on interest rates - 7th Apr 24
The Evils of Paper Money Have no End - 7th Apr 24
Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend Analysis - 3rd Apr 24
Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend - 2nd Apr 24
Dow Stock Market Annual Percent Change Analysis 2024 - 2nd Apr 24
Bitcoin S&P Pattern - 31st Mar 24
S&P Stock Market Correlating Seasonal Swings - 31st Mar 24
S&P SEASONAL ANALYSIS - 31st Mar 24
Here's a Dirty Little Secret: Federal Reserve Monetary Policy Is Still Loose - 31st Mar 24
Tandem Chairman Paul Pester on Fintech, AI, and the Future of Banking in the UK - 31st Mar 24
Stock Market Volatility (VIX) - 25th Mar 24
Stock Market Investor Sentiment - 25th Mar 24
The Federal Reserve Didn't Do Anything But It Had Plenty to Say - 25th Mar 24

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

The Holy Grail of Trading, Nadeem Walayat's Trading Lesson's

InvestorEducation / Learn to Trade Oct 17, 2009 - 01:03 AM GMT

By: Nadeem_Walayat

InvestorEducation

Theories, methodologies and systems abound that purport to be the holy grail of trading, the usual tendency is towards ever greater complexity where the reader just needs to commit that bit further before they 'get it' usually by which time many years have passed and the shelves are full of materials, an example of this is found in Gann Analysis, yes W.D. Gann was an legendary trader from the pre-war era but even more so he was a legendary publisher of books, trading materials, courses, and letters.


Where the more one learns the more one needs to learn more, at the end of which lies the path towards confusion as the act of analysis far supplants the act of trading, long gone is the actual understanding of price momentum and long since replaced by master and cardinal squares of this that and the other.

Now don't get me wrong ! Gann KNEW what he was talking about, for he truly believed in everything he wrote, after all he truly believed he had found the holy grail with a new discovery rolled out every so often to sell to his readership, and therein lies the danger because there is nothing more convincing than a body of work created by those that actually believe that they have found the holy grail of trading!

Against this how can someone believe a person that tells you straight that there IS NO HOLY GRAIL ?

The key to successful trading IS to focus on reacting to price movements in real time with as little input from analysis as possible, that coupled with controlling ones psychological responses to having put money at risk which can only be achieved by decreasing the position size to a level where individual profits and losses do not result in one breaking out in a sweat !

Now how a person reacts to price movements depends on the mechanism deployed to determine price triggers, after all you could deploy Gann analysis to generate triggers, similarly you could deploy elliott wave and any multitude of other methodologies, but in my opinion the ones best suited towards generating price triggers are those that are the most simplest and easiest to understand of methodologies and those are support and resistance levels and basic trendlines because it does not require you to pick up volumes of literature to understand and therefore lets you concentrate on what is really required and that is to practice generating triggers, practicing reacting to price movements and practice entering and exiting positions.

Source: http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article14286.html

By Nadeem Walayat
http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Copyright © 2005-09 Marketoracle.co.uk (Market Oracle Ltd). All rights reserved.

Nadeem Walayat has over 20 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis specialises on the housing market and interest rates. Nadeem is the Editor of The Market Oracle, a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication. We present in-depth analysis from over 400 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets. Thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction. http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities.

Nadeem Walayat Archive

© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in