Now that all of the "I told you so's," and market "revisionists" are telling us that gold is a terrible "defensive position" and no one should have thought otherwise, let's have a look at what the multi-month technical set-up indicates in the SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE: GLD).

My pattern and momentum work argue that the current decline in the GLD from the May 12 high at 122.24 into today's low at 116.08 (5%) represents a correction in an ongoing bull market, rather than a reversal into a much more bearish trend. Only a sustained break beneath the eight-week up trendline, now at 115.30/40, and downside follow-through that breaks 113.13 (May 5 pivot low) will inflict significant-enough damage to an otherwise still dynamic technical set-up to trigger neutral signals.

In the meantime, my near-term work is telling me to expect a meaningful low in the hours directly ahead.

By Mike Paulenoff

Mike Paulenoff is author of MPTrader.com (www.mptrader.com), a real-time diary of his technical analysis and trading alerts on ETFs covering metals, energy, equity indices, currencies, Treasuries, and specific industries and international regions.

© 2002-2010 MPTrader.com, an AdviceTrade publication. All rights reserved. Any publication, distribution, retransmission or reproduction of information or data contained on this Web site without written consent from MPTrader is prohibited. See our disclaimer.

Mike Paulenoff Archive

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

The Market Oracle is a FREE Financial Markets Forecasting & Analysis web-site.
(c) 2005-2024 MarketOracle.co.uk (Market Oracle Ltd) - Market Oracle Ltd asserts copyright on all articles authored by our editorial team and all comments posted. Any and all information provided within the web-site, is for general information purposes only and Market Oracle Ltd do not warrant the accuracy, timeliness or suitability of any information provided on this site. nor is or shall be deemed to constitute, financial or any other advice or recommendation by us. and are also not meant to be investment advice or solicitation or recommendation to establish market positions. We do not give investment advice and our comments are an expression of opinion only and should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as recommendations to enter into a market position either stock, option, futures contract, bonds, commodity or any other financial instrument at any time. We recommend that independent professional advice is obtained before you make any investment or trading decisions. By using this site you agree to this sites Terms of Use. From time to time we promote or endorse certain products / services that we believe are worthy of your time and attention. In return for that endorsement and only in the cases where you purchase directly though us may we be compensated by the producers of those products.