Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. Investing in a Bubble Mania Stock Market Trending Towards Financial Crisis 2.0 CRASH! - 9th Sep 21
2.Tech Stocks Bubble Valuations 2000 vs 2021 - 25th Sep 21
3.Stock Market FOMO Going into Crash Season - 8th Oct 21
4.Stock Market FOMO Hits September Brick Wall - Evergrande China's Lehman's Moment - 22nd Sep 21
5.Crypto Bubble BURSTS! BTC, ETH, XRP CRASH! NiceHash Seizes Funds on Account Halting ALL Withdrawals! - 19th May 21
6.How to Protect Your Self From a Stock Market CRASH / Bear Market? - 14th Oct 21
7.AI Stocks Portfolio Buying and Selling Levels Going Into Market Correction - 11th Oct 21
8.Why Silver Price Could Crash by 20%! - 5th Oct 21
9.Powell: Inflation Might Not Be Transitory, After All - 3rd Oct 21
10.Global Stock Markets Topped 60 Days Before the US Stocks Peaked - 23rd Sep 21
Last 7 days
Stock Market Investing LESSON - Buying Value - 27th Nov 21
Corsair MP600 NVME M.2 SSD 66% Performance Loss After 6 Months of Use - Benchmark Tests - 27th Nov 21
Stock Maket Trading Lesson - How to REALLY Trade Markets - 26th Nov 21
SILVER Price Trend Analysis - 26th Nov 21
Federal Reserve Asks Americans to Eat Soy “Meat” for Thanksgiving - 26th Nov 21
Is the S&P 500 Topping or Just Consolidating? - 26th Nov 21
Is a Bigger Drop in Gold Price Just Around the Corner? - 26th Nov 21
Financial Stocks ETF Sector XLF Pullback Sets Up A New $43.60 Upside Target - 26th Nov 21
A Couple of Things to Think About Before Buying Shares - 25th Nov 21
UK Best Fixed Rate Tariff Deal is to NOT FIX Gas and Electric Energy Tariffs During Winter 2021-22 - 25th Nov 21
Stock Market Begins it's Year End Seasonal Santa Rally - 24th Nov 21
How Silver Can Conquer $50+ in 2022 - 24th Nov 21
Stock Market Betting on Hawkish Fed - 24th Nov 21
Stock Market Elliott Wave Trend Forecast - 24th Nov 21
Your once-a-year All-Access Financial Markets Analysis Pass - 24th Nov 21
Did Zillow’s $300 million flop prove me wrong? - 24th Nov 21
Now Malaysian Drivers Renew Their Kurnia Car Insurance Online With - 24th Nov 21
Gold / Silver Ratio - 23rd Nov 21
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: Can We Get To 5500SPX In 2022? But 4440SPX Comes First - 23rd Nov 21
A Month-to-month breakdown of how Much Money Individuals are Spending on Stocks - 23rd Nov 21
S&P 500: Rallying Tech Stocks vs. Plummeting Oil Stocks - 23rd Nov 21
Like the Latest Bond Flick, the US Dollar Has No Time to Die - 23rd Nov 21
Cannabis ETF MJ Basing & Volatility Patterns - 22nd Nov 21
The Most Important Lesson Learned from this COVID Pandemic - 22nd Nov 21
Dow Stock Market Trend Analysis - 22nd Nov 21
UK Covid-19 Booster Jabs Moderna, Pfizer Are They Worth the Risk of Side effects, Illness? - 22nd Nov 21
US Dollar vs Yields vs Stock Market Trends - 20th Nov 21
Inflation Risk: Milton Friedman Would Buy Gold Right Now - 20th Nov 21
How to Determine if It’s Time for You to Outsource Your Packaging Requirements to a Contract Packer - 20th Nov 21
2 easy ways to play Facebook’s Metaverse Spending Spree - 20th Nov 21
Stock Market Margin Debt WARNING! - 19th Nov 21
Gold Mid-Tier Stocks Q3’21 Fundamentals - 19th Nov 21
Protect Your Wealth From PERMANENT Transitory Inflation - 19th Nov 21
Investors Expect High Inflation. Golden Inquisition Ahead? - 19th Nov 21
Will the Senate Confirm a Marxist to Oversee the U.S. Currency System? - 19th Nov 21
When Even Stock Market Bears Act Bullishly (What It May Mean) - 19th Nov 21
Chinese People do NOT Eat Dogs Newspeak - 18th Nov 21
CHINOBLE! Evergrande Reality Exposes China Fiction! - 18th Nov 21
Kondratieff Full-Season Stock Market Sector Rotation - 18th Nov 21
What Stock Market Trends Will Drive Through To 2022? - 18th Nov 21
How to Jump Start Your Motherboard Without a Power Button With Just a Screwdriver - 18th Nov 21
Bitcoin & Ethereum 2021 Trend - 18th Nov 21
FREE TRADE How to Get 2 FREE SHARES Fractional Investing Platform and ISA Specs - 18th Nov 21
Inflation Ain’t Transitory – But the Fed’s Credibility Is - 18th Nov 21
The real reason Facebook just went “all in” on the metaverse - 18th Nov 21
Biden Signs a Bill to Revive Infrastructure… and Gold! - 18th Nov 21
Silver vs US Dollar - 17th Nov 21
Silver Supply and Demand Balance - 17th Nov 21
Sentiment Speaks: This Stock Market Makes Absolutely No Sense - 17th Nov 21
Biden Spending to Build Back Stagflation - 17th Nov 21
Meshing Cryptocurrency Wealth Generation With Global Fiat Money Demise - 17th Nov 21
Dow Stock Market Trend Forecast Into Mid 2022 - 16th Nov 21
Stock Market Minor Cycle Correcting - 16th Nov 21
The INFLATION MEGA-TREND - Ripples of Deflation on an Ocean of Inflation! - 16th Nov 21

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Stock Market Top? The Bull & Bear of it!

Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010 Oct 03, 2010 - 12:20 PM GMT

By: JD_Rosendahl


Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI've been calling for a top into the end of September 2010, and Thursday's gap higher and failure is a classic sign of potentially just that.  That being said, there is still too many conflicting technicals currently.

$SPX 60 Minute:  I've put the bearish label on the 60 minute chart because it looks like a classic ABC pattern up.  The MACD doesn't look terribly bearish sliding lower, so we could get another little push higher.  So far, price has been held in check at the middle pitchfork line, but the RSI has room to support another test of overbought levels.  Price needs to trade below 1,125 to increase the bearish view.  That will also overlap with wave A.

$SPX Daily:  Here again I've labeled the bearish count.  Price is above the neckline or support which is bullish.  MACD is trying to roll, but it could still turn up if price has more upside.  Price needs to roll over below 1,125 with the MACD to gain the bearish view.

$SPX Weekly:  Here's where the market looks more bullish. The weekly MACD has crossed and is heading higher.  I've used the weekly MACD for intermediate signals many times, so we need to respect that the MACD is bullish.  If so, 1,250 and 1,300 are potential targets.

$SPX Monthly:  Ditto the monthly MACD.  It's grinding higher and hasn't even gotten to the zero line.  It too looks bullish.  The upper Bollinger Band is at 1,245, that's the first target is we continue higher.

$SPX Summary:  The market is in No Man's land providing both a potentially short term bearish set up with longer term bullish indicators.  The most persistently bearish Elliott Wave Analysts keep labeling every new high and wiggle up as the end of wave 2 and promoting the death spiral wave 3 to come.  That may happen, but the technical's do not exactly support that currently.  Simply, something needs to give.

IBM:  Big Blue continues to support the stock market.  The MACD reflects a little more room for more upside before a roll over.  Eventually, we should expect a back test of support, which may coincide with a market pull back.  That being said, big blue's breakout is bullish for the market.

JNK:  The junk bond market continues higher as investors stretch for yield.  Higher junk bonds is a vote of confidence in the market, and it's moving higher is a bullish indicator.  It's very overbought and a break below the uptrend line is the first bearish clue.

$VIX:  It rolled over on Friday after testing the downtrend line.  A break out is coming but direction is unknown at this time.

The Risk Chart:  The chart continues to trade inside a wedge type pattern with no clues yet.

$COMPQ:  Stalling so far at resistance.  There's enough room on the MACD to get up to the next price resistance.

XLF:  Still one of the more bearish charts and without the financials I doubt the market is going anywhere in the long run.  We have a little consolidation in between the 50 and 200 day MAs.  Looks like a bearish flag pattern following a 3 black crows move lower.  We should know very soon.

$TRAN:  The transports are failing to clear significant resistance.  If it rolls over, that's bearish for the market.

Big Tech (AAPL, AMZN, BIDU, GOOG, NFLX, PCLN):  Go to:

My Watch List:  For current trading ideas go to:

Hope all is well.

By J.D. Rosendahl

J.D. Rosendahl was a former stock broker/investment consultant (currently not licensed) before becoming a Commercial Banker for the past 14 years. He manages his family's wealth, helping them avoid the high tech bubble and the real estate bubble melt downs and preserving wealth.

© 2010 Copyright J.D. Rosendahl - All Rights Reserved
Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.

© 2005-2019 - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.

Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in