Most Popular
1. It’s a New Macro, the Gold Market Knows It, But Dead Men Walking Do Not (yet)- Gary_Tanashian
2.Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle SeasonalStock Market Awaiting the Bonds Panic to trigger QE4Ever - 30th April 25 Trend Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
3. Bitcoin S&P Pattern - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
4.U.S. financial market’s “Weimar phase” impact to your fiat and digital assets - Raymond_Matison
5. How to Profit from the Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - Part1 - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast 2024 - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.The Bond Trade and Interest Rates - Nadeem_Walayat
9.It’s Easy to Scream Stocks Bubble! - Stephen_McBride
10.Fed’s Next Intertest Rate Move might not align with popular consensus - Richard_Mills
Last 7 days
Stock Market Awaiting the Bonds Panic to trigger QE4Ever - 30th April 25
US Bond Market Panic Continues Towards May Expected Japanese Rate Hike Volatility Spike - 24th April 25
Stock Market Tarrified as President Dump Risks Turning Recession into Stagflationary Depression - 21st April 25
President Dump Delivers BEAR MARKET - Stock Market Battles Between Order and Chaos - 7th April 25
Stocks Bull Market End Game Bear Start Strategy - 20th Mar 25
Gold and System Collapse: Charting the Bank Run of the Mighty US Dollar - 20th Mar 25
Tesla's Troubles — Is it Musk or is it More? - 20th Mar 25
The Stock Market Bear / Crash indicator Window - 9th Mar 25
Big US Tech Stocks Fundamentals - 9th Mar 25
No Winners When The Inflation Balloon Pops - 9th Mar 25

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

China Economic Growth Slows in 2012:Q2

Economics / China Economy Jul 14, 2012 - 12:26 PM GMT

By: Asha_Bangalore

Economics

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleReal GDP for China slowed to a 7.6% pace from a year ago in the second quarter compared with an 8.1% increase in the first quarter. The latest read on GDP growth in China is the slowest since the first quarter of 2009 not only on a year-to-year basis but also on a quarterly basis (See Chart 3), with the second quarter gain at 6.4%.


Chart 3

The two important questions are: (1) Do Chinese policy makers have room for policy accommodation? (2) What is the global impact of the recent trend?

The important advantage of China is that the authorities have ample wiggle room to manage policy. Inflation is trending down after the aggressive monetary policy actions of 2010 and 2011 and has allowed the People’s Bank of China to lower reserve requirements and cut the policy rate twice in the a short span of time in June and July 2012.

Chart 4

With respect to the second question, if the decelerating trend of China’s imports persists, it would portend setbacks to growth among its trading partners.

Chart 5

Asha Bangalore — Senior Vice President and Economist

http://www.northerntrust.com

Asha Bangalore is Vice President and Economist at The Northern Trust Company, Chicago. Prior to joining the bank in 1994, she was Consultant to savings and loan institutions and commercial banks at Financial & Economic Strategies Corporation, Chicago.

Copyright © 2012 Asha Bangalore

The opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of The Northern Trust Company. The Northern Trust Company does not warrant the accuracy or completeness of information contained herein, such information is subject to change and is not intended to influence your investment decisions.


© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in