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Stock Market More Overstretched Than At Anytime in 30 Years

Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013 Jul 20, 2013 - 06:42 PM GMT

By: Graham_Summers

Stock-Markets

The markets are running out of steam as there is no longer a Bernanke talk to look forward to (he won’t be at the Fed’s Jackson Hole meeting in August) and options expiration is ending.

Bernanke has a thing for options. For some reason, over the last five years, he had a tendency to expand the Fed’s balance sheet on weeks when options were expiring. He even did this on weeks when the Fed technically was not engaged in a QE program.


In simple terms, whenever it’s time for options to expire, a time when Wall Street wants to manipulate the markets so it can shred options traders, Bernanke will juice the markets EVEN if there is no formal Fed program in place.

So it’s a little hard to stomach that Bernanke just happened to say that QE would continue for some time the week before options expiration week… especially given that the Fed is so divided on QE with half of Fed members wanting QE completely stopped by the end of 2013.

Bottomline: the Chairman went rogue and did it at the precise time when stocks were in need of a major boost. This is not coincidence. And now that this is over we have to wonder what’s next.

Well among other things we see that IBM, Intel, eBay, Google, Microsoft, Blackberry have all missed revenue estimates. US GDP is turning sharply south again with the second quarter currently posting 1.2% growth.

Stocks are diverging from everything under the sun: earnings, US GDP, the Nikkei, the list goes on and on.

And we are clearly in a bubble. Arguably the biggest stock bubble for the S&P 500 in the last 30 years. Below is a weekly chart of the S&P 500 relative to its 200-week moving average.

Stocks may hit new highs, but this rally has all the hallmarks of a blow off top, coming at the final stage of a bubble. Indeed, stocks have not been this overextended in over 20 years… that includes the 2007 peak. Soon after we reached that point… we then plunged into one of the worst market Crashes of all time.

By today’s metrics, this would mean the S&P 500 falling to 1,300 then eventually plummeting to new lows.

This is not doom and gloom. This is a fact. The Fed has created an even bigger bubble than the 2007 one.

The time to prepare for this is not once the collapse begins, but NOW, while stocks are still rallying. Stocks take their time moving up, but when they crash it happens VERY quickly.

With that in mind, I’ve already urged my Private Wealth Advisory clients to start prepping. We’ve opened six targeted trades to profit from the stock bubble bursting.

We’ve also taken care to prepare our finances and our loved ones for what’s coming, by following simple easy to follow steps concerning our savings, portfolios, and personal security via my Protect Your Family, Protect Your Savings & Protect Your Portfolio reports.

Clicking Here Now!!!

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Good Investing!

http://gainspainscapital.com

PS. If you’re getting worried about the future of the stock market and have yet to take steps to prepare for the Second Round of the Financial Crisis… I highly suggest you download my FREE Special Report specifying exactly how to prepare for what’s to come.

I call it The Financial Crisis “Round Two” Survival Kit. And its 17 pages contain a wealth of information about portfolio protection, which investments to own and how to take out Catastrophe Insurance on the stock market (this “insurance” paid out triple digit gains in the Autumn of 2008).

Again, this is all 100% FREE. To pick up your copy today, got to http://www.gainspainscapital.com and click on FREE REPORTS.

Graham also writes Private Wealth Advisory, a monthly investment advisory focusing on the most lucrative investment opportunities the financial markets have to offer. Graham understands the big picture from both a macro-economic and capital in/outflow perspective. He translates his understanding into finding trends and undervalued investment opportunities months before the markets catch on: the Private Wealth Advisory portfolio has outperformed the S&P 500 three of the last five years, including a 7% return in 2008 vs. a 37% loss for the S&P 500.

Previously, Graham worked as a Senior Financial Analyst covering global markets for several investment firms in the Mid-Atlantic region. He’s lived and performed research in Europe, Asia, the Middle East, and the United States.

© 2013 Copyright Graham Summers - All Rights Reserved
Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.

Graham Summers Archive

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