The only adult in the White House Dr Fauci has started stating what sort of death toll to expect for the Untied States over the coming months of between 100,000 to 200,000 deaths as a consequence of the Coronavirus pandemic.

Trump implemented the Defence Production act mobilising US industry into producing tens of thousands of ventilators, which whilst good is however TOO LATE as the actions the US is taking today should have been taken a month ago!

How long is it going to take for these ventilators to appears? 1 month? 2 months? Probably 3 months! Where 1 Month is TOO LATE! The US needs tens of thousands of ventilators THIS WEEK! That and the medical staff to operate them.

On the plus side the US does have several floating hospitals that can house thousands of patients, and New York city and state governments appear to have gotten the message and are scrambling to bring their ballistic pandemic trend trajectory under control.

Which brings us to my trend forecast (US and UK Coronavirus Pandemic Projections and Trend Forecasts to End April 2020) that projected the US trending towards 531,000 tested as infected by the end of April, resulting in 26,550 deaths, as it was hoped that remaining valuable time would not be squandered on political bickering during this national emergency.

The latest data as of 29th March has the US infections going ballistic to 133,000 which is well beyond the forecast trend trajectory of 94,000, where if this deviation persists then would imply 750,000 testing positive by the end of April. Whilst the number of deaths is also running well ahead of forecast at 2363 vs 1646 that implies to expect 38,000 deaths by the end of April.

So the US has WASTED PRECIOUS TIME on political bickering, back and forth stupidity all whilst the virus has raged on. This is going to inflict even more economic damage and cost thousands more lives as it appears the US is slow to fully woke up yet to what is about to come to pass.

The rest of this extensive analysis has first been made available to Patrons who support my work - US and UK Coronavirus Trend Trajectories vs Bear Market and AI Stocks Sector

Paying the Price for Acting Too Late
UK Coronavirus Trend Trajectory - Deviation Against Forecast
US Coronavirus Trend Trajectory - Deviation Against Forecast
Coronavirus Stock Market Trend Implications
Coronavirus Global Recession 2020
Existing Stock Market Trend Expectations
AI Stocks Q1 Buying Levels Current State

So for immediate first access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for just $3 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.

And ensure you are subscribed to my ALWAYS FREE newsletter for my next in-depth analysis.

Your Analyst

Nadeem Walayat

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Nadeem Walayat has over 30 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis focuses on UK inflation, economy, interest rates and housing market. He is the author of five ebook's in the The Inflation Mega-Trend and Stocks Stealth Bull Market series that can be downloaded for Free.

Nadeem is the Editor of The Market Oracle, a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication that presents in-depth analysis from over 1000 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets, thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction. http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities.

Nadeem Walayat Archive

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

The Market Oracle is a FREE Financial Markets Forecasting & Analysis web-site.
(c) 2005-2024 MarketOracle.co.uk (Market Oracle Ltd) - Market Oracle Ltd asserts copyright on all articles authored by our editorial team and all comments posted. Any and all information provided within the web-site, is for general information purposes only and Market Oracle Ltd do not warrant the accuracy, timeliness or suitability of any information provided on this site. nor is or shall be deemed to constitute, financial or any other advice or recommendation by us. and are also not meant to be investment advice or solicitation or recommendation to establish market positions. We do not give investment advice and our comments are an expression of opinion only and should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as recommendations to enter into a market position either stock, option, futures contract, bonds, commodity or any other financial instrument at any time. We recommend that independent professional advice is obtained before you make any investment or trading decisions. By using this site you agree to this sites Terms of Use. From time to time we promote or endorse certain products / services that we believe are worthy of your time and attention. In return for that endorsement and only in the cases where you purchase directly though us may we be compensated by the producers of those products.