Most Popular
1. THE INFLATION MONSTER is Forecasting RECESSION - Nadeem_Walayat
2.Why APPLE Could CRASH the Stock Market! - Nadeem_Walayat
3.The Stocks Stealth BEAR Market - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Inflation, Commodities and Interest Rates : Paradigm Shifts in Macrotrends - Rambus_Chartology
5.Stock Market in the Eye of the Storm, Visualising AI Tech Stocks Buying Levels - Nadeem_Walayat
6.AI Tech Stocks Earnings BloodBath Buying Opportunity - Nadeem_Walayat
7.PPT HALTS STOCK MARKET CRASH ahead of Fed May Interest Rate Hike Meeting - Nadeem_Walayat
8.50 Small Cap Growth Stocks Analysis to CAPITALISE on the Stock Market Inflation -Nadeem_Walayat
9.WE HAVE NO CHOICE BUT TO INVEST IN STOCKS AND HOUSING MARKET - Nadeem_Walayat
10.Apple and Microsoft Nuts Are About to CRACK and Send Stock Market Sharply Lower - Nadeem_Walayat
Last 7 days
Qualcom Stock Market Harbinger - 12th Aug 22
Apple Exec Gets World's 1st iPhone 14 for Daughters 14th Birthday Surprise Present Unboxing! - 12th Aug 22
Steps to remember while playing live roulette online - 12th Aug 22
China Bank Run Protests - Another Potential Tiananmen Square Massacre? - 11th Aug 22
Silver Coin Premiums – Another Collapse? - 11th Aug 22
Gold-to-Silver Ratio Heading Lower – Setup Like 1989-03 - 11th Aug 22
Severe Stocks Bear Market: Will You Be Among the Prepared 1.5%? - 11th Aug 22
There's a Hole in My Bucket Dear Liza, UK Summer Heatwave Plants Watering Problem Song - 11th Aug 22
Why PEAK INFLATION is a RED HERRING! Prepare for a Decade Long Cost of Living Crisis - 9th Aug 22
FREETRADE Want to LEND My Shares to Short Sellers! - 8th Aug 22
Stock Market Unclosed Gap - 8th Aug 22
The End Game for Silver Shenanigans... - 8th Aug 22er
WARNING Corsair MP600 NVME2 M2 SSD Are Prone to Failure Can Prevent Systems From Booting - 8th Aug 22
Elliott Waves: Your "Rhyme & Reason" to Mainstream Stock Market Opinions - 6th Aug 22
COST OF LIVING CRISIS NIGHTMARE - Expect High INFLATION for whole of this DECADE! - 6th Aug 22
WHY PEAK INFLATION RED HERRING - 5th Aug 22
Recession Is Good for Gold, but a Crisis Would Be Even Better - 5th Aug 22
Stock Market Rallying On Slowly Thinning Air - 5th Aug 22
SILVER’S BAD BREAK - 5th Aug 22
Stock Market Trend Pattren 2022 Forecast Current State - 4th Aug 22
Should We Be Prepared For An Aggressive U.S. Fed In The Future? - 4th Aug 22
Will the S&P 500 Stock Market Index Go the Way of Meme Stocks? - 4th Aug 22
Stock Market Another Upswing Attempt - 4th Aug 22
What is our Real Economic and Financial Prognosis? - 4th Aug 22
The REAL Stocks Bear Market of 2022 - 3rd Aug 22
The ‘Wishful Thinking’ Fed Is Anything But ‘Neutral’ - 3rd Aug 22
Don’t Be Misled by Gold’s Recent Upswing - 3rd Aug 22
Aluminum, Copper, Zinc: The 3 Horsemen of the Upcoming "Econocalypse" - 31st July 22
Gold Stocks’ Rally Autumn 2022 - 31st July 22
US Fed Is Battling Excess Global Capital – Which Is Creating Inflation - 31st July 22

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Will the S&P 500 Stock Market Index Go the Way of Meme Stocks?

Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022 Aug 04, 2022 - 05:04 PM GMT

By: EWI

Stock-Markets

Here's what usually happens when "financial lunacy" is prevalent

You don't hear much about the meme stock craze anymore -- and for good reason.

It's all but dead and has been for months (Barron's, Jan. 28):

A Year After It Began, Meme-Stock Mania Is on Life Support


Early last year, the movement to buy meme stocks -- like AMC, Gamestop and others -- was largely driven by discussions on the internet, mainly by stock market novices.

When the movement was still going strong, the February 2021 Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, a monthly publication which covers major U.S. financial markets, made this comment about meme stocks:

A mania is pretty funny, especially at the very end, when financial lunacy is so prevalent that many assume it to be permanent.

Here's an update from the July Elliott Wave Financial Forecast:

As you can see on the chart, the Meme Stock Index is down 65% from its early 2021 peak (as of the time the July Elliott Wave Financial Forecast published). So, indeed, the assumption of permanency was what you would call -- misplaced.

What you need to know is that an assumption of permanency is now geared toward the main stock indexes -- not just by amateur investors, but professionals (Bloomberg June 27):

S&P Analysts Haven't Been This Bullish In 20 Years

It's clear that these S&P analysts are shrugging off the downtrends that began in the Dow Industrials and S&P 500 index in January.

They may turn out to be correct -- in other words, the downtrend is over and another major leg up is set to start.

Then again, you may want to consult the stock market's Elliott wave structure.

The July Elliott Wave Financial Forecast describes two Elliott wave options for the S&P 500 index between now and the end of summer.

If you're unfamiliar with Elliott wave analysis, you are encouraged to read Frost & Prechter's Wall Street classic, Elliott Wave Principle: Key to Market Behavior. Here's a quote from the book:

In the 1930s, Ralph Nelson Elliott discovered that stock market prices trend and reverse in recognizable patterns. The patterns he discerned are repetitive in form but not necessarily in time or amplitude. Elliott isolated five such patterns, or "waves," that recur in market price data. He named, defined and illustrated these patterns and their variations. He then described how they link together to form larger versions of themselves, how they in turn link to form the same patterns of the next larger size, and so on, producing a structured progression. He called this phenomenon The Wave Principle.

Although it is the best forecasting tool in existence, the Wave Principle is not primarily a forecasting tool; it is a detailed description of how markets behave. Nevertheless, that description does impart an immense amount of knowledge about the market's position within the behavioral continuum and therefore about its probable ensuing path. The primary value of the Wave Principle is that it provides a context for market analysis.

Would you like to delve deeper into the Wave Principle?

If your answer is "yes," here's good news: You can access the entire online version of the book for free once you join Club EWI, the world's largest Elliott wave educational community.

A Club EWI membership is free and allows free access to a wealth of Elliott wave resources on investing and trading. These resources include videos and special reports, many of which are from Elliott Wave International's analysts.

Get started by following this link: Elliott Wave Principle: Key to Market Behavior -- get instant access -- free.

This article was syndicated by Elliott Wave International and was originally published under the headline Will the S&P 500 Index Go the Way of Meme Stocks?. EWI is the world's largest market forecasting firm. Its staff of full-time analysts led by Chartered Market Technician Robert Prechter provides 24-hour-a-day market analysis to institutional and private investors around the world.


© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in