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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: US Bonds

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Friday, December 10, 2010

U.S. Interest Rates Surge as Fed, Congress Crush Debtholders / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Larson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWashington, 0. The bond market, 1.

That’s the score folks, in case you haven’t been keeping track. The Federal Reserve Chairman said his $600 billion “QE2″ program would lower interest rates. Instead, rates have done nothing but rise since investors got wind of the Treasury buying plan.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, December 09, 2010

How a Dull Investment can be a Great Investment / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI spent my childhood discussing the stock market at the dinner table. My dad was a stock broker, and he loved to "tell the story" of the stocks he recommended to customers -- a story that included critical information about the industry, the products, earnings, and the outlook for the future. Most children might find it dull, but I was mesmerized.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, December 09, 2010

U.S. Treasury Bond Market’s Perception of Economic Recovery Path is Strongly Bullish, But Mind the Hurdles / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe 10-year Treasury note yield has climbed from a recent low of 2.41% (October 6-8, 2010) to 3.27% as of this writing.  The 86 bps increase in yield in a short span reflects the market's assessment of likely improvements in economic conditions during the months ahead and the impact of a projected increase in supply of Treasury debt as a result of the compromise tax deal President Obama announced yesterday. 

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Interest-Rates

Monday, December 06, 2010

Large Brokerage Firms Continue Pumping Collapsing Municipal Bonds Onto the Public / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Fred_Sheehan

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleUndaunted by falling municipal bond prices, rising yields, and withdrawal of funds, research reports by large brokerage firms still mollify the majority of clients and fund managers with numbers and assertions: "General obligation bonds do not default." "The general obligation default rate is 0.01%." "Most states are required by law to balance their budgets." To these and other airtight arguments in the muni marketing kit, the proper articulation of doubt may be expressed as: "Yeah, Yeah, Yeah." Or, one might read "Possible Misunderstandings by Municipalities and Their Bonds."

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Interest-Rates

Friday, November 26, 2010

Giving Thanks for the Bond Market Sell Off / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Larson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI don’t know about you, but I’m still stuffed from yesterday! I ate enough turkey to feed a small army, and that’s not even counting all the trimmings.

But frankly, I wouldn’t have it any other way. Thanksgiving is a great time to get together with family, watch some football, eat well, and celebrate all we have to be thankful for. And believe me, there’s a lot … including the latest bond market sell off.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, November 24, 2010

United STRAITS of America: The Muni Bond Crisis Is Here / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis November, the whole world tuned in as the greater part of the U.S.A.'s 50 states turned red -- and no, I don't mean the political shift to a republican majority during the November 2 mid-term elections. I mean "in the red" -- as in, financially fercockt, overdrawn, up to their eyeballs in debt.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, November 23, 2010

Muni Bond Crisis, The One Thing You Must Know / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Q1_Publishing

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt’s a scary time for seemingly safe municipal bonds. The Boston Globe warns muni bonds “have been sinking like a rock” and the fall “signals turmoil ahead.” The New York Times suggests it is “akin to the one that brought Greece to its knees.” Time magazine warns they’re the “next financial land mine.” The mainstream media is all over the emerging muni bond crisis.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, November 22, 2010

U.S. Treasury Bond Yields Explode Higher, Opportunity to Buy 10 Year Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

The bond market sold off a little more last week.  Not only did the Treasury market sell off quite sharply over the past few months, but other sectors in the fixed income space got hit even harder.  It appears that the market has been de-sensitized to all the sovereign problems of the basket case European countries.  Financial markets just shrug nonchalantly when headlines of another Irish or Greek bail-out come across the tape.  The sector that was perhaps even uglier than the European PIIGS over the past couple of weeks were the US municipal bonds.  In our new cozy world, investors will need to start getting used to the idea that government bonds might not be as infallible or default proof as previously thought and priced.  Meanwhile stocks remain close to 2 standard deviations expensive to bonds according to the Fed model I follow.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, November 19, 2010

Fed Money Printing Triggers Bond Market Crash / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Larson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt’s always gratifying when the mainstream media picks up on a theme you’ve been banging away at for weeks. And boy is that happening now. Just get a load of the headlines we’ve seen in recent days:

“Fresh Attack on Fed Move; GOP Economists, Lawmakers Call for Abandoning $600 Billion Bond Purchase” — Wall Street Journal, November 15

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, November 18, 2010

Where Are the Bond Vigilantes? Rise of the Dollar Vigilante / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Jeff_Berwick

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLast seen in full force in the inflationary early 1980s, bond vigilantes were shadowy figures who were said to have rebelled and swore to keep central banks and governments honest by raising long term interest rates whenever the authorities kept their own interest rates too low, or let budget deficits grow out of control.

Yet now, with interest rates at near zero percent and budget deficits in the US stretching the boundaries of belief, not a peep.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, November 17, 2010

Bernanke in Big Trouble, Global Investors Prepare to Dump Trillions of Dollars / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Gary_North

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBen Bernanke is in trouble. Big trouble. Bigger trouble than any Federal Reserve Chairman has ever been in.

There is a cartoon video all over the Web that discusses "quantitative easing." It is a riot. This is very, very bad for Bernanke. When the public starts laughing at a senior government bureaucrat, he is in trouble.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, November 17, 2010

Why Buying Bonds is a Bad Idea / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Richard_Daughty

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIf there are two things that you can count on, it is that you have got to be pretty quick to get the last piece of pizza before I snag it, and that I am never remiss in telling people that buying bonds at these insanely-low yields is the Exact Wrong Thing (EWT) to do.

Unfortunately, my latest "student" was the cashier at the grocery store, who, it turns out, knows absolutely squat about what bonds are, although she admits that she has heard the word before.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, November 11, 2010

BAC Rallying in Sync with U.S. Treasury Bonds TBT ETF? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Paulenoff

The enclosed comparison chart supports my sense that the banks in general, and Bank of America (BAC) in particular, are sensitive to the recent shift in the shape of the yield curve.  In a loose sort of way, the patterns between the ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury (TBT) and BAC exhibit some pattern similarity. Certainly, the April-August downtrends paralleled closely, which represented a relentless decline in longer-term interest rates (TBT) concurrent with the declining price of BAC.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, November 09, 2010

Bond Market Disaster For Treasury, Municipal and High Yield Bond Investors / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleElliott wave analysis can warn you of trend changes when the rest of the investment public least expects a market reversal. With that in mind, we have created a new report for our free Club EWI members: "The Next Major Disaster Developing for Bond Holders."

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, November 04, 2010

The Next Major Disaster Developing for Bond Market Investors / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleElliott wave analysis can warn you of trend changes when the rest of the investment public least expects a market reversal. With that in mind, we have created a new report for our free Club EWI members: "The Next Major Disaster Developing for Bond Holders."

In this free report, you get some of the latest commentary on fixed-income markets adapted from various Elliott Wave International's publications, including 2010 issues of Robert Prechter's monthly Elliott Wave Theorist and its sister publication, The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, November 01, 2010

U.S. Treasury Bond Market Stabilises / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

The bond market stabilized last week.  Although the economic data schedule was rather busy, trading was more heavily influenced by the Treasury auctions and month end activity as the second tier fundamental news did not offer any major surprises.  While the volatility in the currency markets continued, the chop was more sideways and less directional.  Trading in stocks and bonds had the same directionless character.  The Treasury auctions were somewhat strange during this cycle.  Normally the shorter maturities are relatively well received and the longest tranche can hit some bumps.  Last week the 2 year auction was mediocre, the 5 year was sloppy but the 7 year bonds were very well received on Thursday setting up – as advertised - a seasonal bond rally into month end very nicely.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, October 28, 2010

U.S. Treasury Bond Market Developing Disaster / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGreetings investor,

If you have money in mutual funds, Treasury bonds, municipal bonds or high-yield bonds, Robert Prechter has just issued a crystal-clear warning for you: Your money could be at risk.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, October 27, 2010

U.S. Treasury Bond Bubble about to POP! / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Claus_Vogt

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFinancial history shows that interest rates — and hence bond prices — have risen and fallen in long-term trends spanning decades. The following chart shows the 10-year Treasury since 1953.

As you can see, rates started rising shortly after the recession that ended in May 1954. In the second half of the 1960s this uptrend gathered speed. The market seemed to smell high inflation coming in the 1970s. And by the end of that decade and into 1980/81 rates soared. In fact, they peaked at slightly more than 15 percent — six times higher than the 1954 low!

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, October 27, 2010

Fed Builds Bubble in Junk Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Shedlock

The Fed's misguided policies have not done a thing for small businesses, the unemployment rate, or the real economy in general but they have induced a mad dash for yield in junk bonds, easily in a bubble state right now.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, October 26, 2010

Prechter on The Next Major Disaster Developing for U.S. Treasury Bond Holders / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: EWI

Greetings investor,

If you have money in mutual funds, Treasury bonds, municipal bonds or high-yield bonds, Robert Prechter has just issued a crystal-clear warning for you: Your money could be at risk.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


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