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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: US Debt

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

ElectionOracle

Thursday, November 17, 2016

Donald Truimp the King of Debt Takes the Reins / ElectionOracle / US Debt

By: Peter_Schiff

The election of Ronald Reagan in 1980 provides the best recent precedent for the unexpected triumph of Donald Trump (in my opinion, the other post-war Republican takeovers of the White House -- Ike in '52, Nixon '68, and W. in '00 - did not constitute a real break from the status quo.) As many people expect great changes from Trump, it is worthwhile to look at what the Reagan Revolution actually wrought.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, November 10, 2016

And Of Course, No One is Talking About the US National Debt / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Rodney_Johnson

I’m beaten down.

Worn out.

Punch drunk.

I’m not moonlighting as a cage fighter. I’m a registered voter in a swing state.

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Politics

Wednesday, November 09, 2016

America is The Poisoned Chalice / Politics / US Debt

By: Raul_I_Meijer

Neither candidate in the US presidential election has had many specifics to offer on their economic ideas and projected policies, and that may be a smart move for both. If only because none of the two has indicated any real understanding of what awaits America as per November 9. And I don’t mean where the stock markets will be tomorrow morning, or the price of gold, though short term volatility is obviously certain.

The November 7 rally on Wall Street made plenty clear where everyone’s bets are placed -on Hillary-, so much so that there’s not much of a rally left if she wins. A Trump win could well see some panic, downward pressure for the dollar and stocks, upward pressure for gold, but there’s no telling how long that would last.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, November 07, 2016

Thanks to Obamacare, US Government Debt Is Worse Than You Think / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: John_Mauldin

You’re probably aware that the US budget deficit jumped to $590 billion for fiscal 2016. What you might not know is that US government debt rose by $1.4 trillion last fiscal year. That difference between the deficit and debt increases is a huge number.

What did we spend that additional $800 billion on?

My friends Dr. Lacy Hunt and Van Hoisington of Hoisington Asset Management can answer that question and more. Using current CBO projections and the trend in off-budget debt, Lacy and Van estimate that US government debt could grow by an additional $13 trillion in the next 10 years (by 2025). That would put total debt at $33 trillion and push to 150% debt-to-GDP.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, October 14, 2016

Our Current Keynesian Nightmare / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Frank_Hollenbeck

It is not an understatement to say that the economic policy of the United States since 2008 has been purely Keynesian. Interest rates are near zero and the national debt stands at nearly $20 trillion. This is a direct result of applying the policy prescription recommended in Keynes’ General Theory. One day, his book will likely sit next to Karl Marx’s Communist Manifesto as works that generated dangerously false notions of reality with disastrous consequences.

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Politics

Wednesday, October 12, 2016

Hillary: Deceit, Debt, Delusions (Part Two) / Politics / US Debt

By: James_Quinn

In Part One of this article I addressed the deceit of Hillary Clinton and politicians of all stripes as they promise goodies they can never pay for, in order to buy votes and expand their power and control over our lives.

I created the chart below for an article I wrote in 2011 when the national debt stood at $14.8 trillion, with my projection of its growth over the next eight years. I predicted the national debt would reach $20 trillion in 2016 and was ridiculed by arrogant Keynesians who guaranteed their “stimulus” (aka pork) would supercharge the economy and result in huge tax inflows and drastically reduced deficits. As of today, the national debt stands at $19.7 trillion and is poised to reach $20 trillion by the time “The Hope & Change Savior” leaves office on January 20, 2017. I guess I wasn’t really a crazed pessimist after all. I guarantee the debt will reach $25 trillion by the end of the next presidential term, unless the Ponzi scheme collapses into financial depression and World War 3 (a strong probability).

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, September 06, 2016

We’re Reaching Point Zero of Debt Creation / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Harry_Dent

Forty-five years and counting.

We’ve been on a debt spree since the early 1970s when we went off the gold standard, covering every possible angle. Trade deficits, government deficits, unfunded entitlements, private debt – you name it! Our total debt has grown 2.5-times GDP since 1971.

How could economists not see this as a problem? How is this the least bit sustainable?

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, August 30, 2016

King of Debt vs. Queen of Deficits / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Michael_Pento

The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimates the total deficit for fiscal 2016 will be $590 billion. This is $152 billion (34%) greater than the shortfall posted in fiscal year 2015. And by 2026 the deficit would be considerably larger as a share of the nation’s output (GDP) than its average over the past 50 years.

In addition to this, debt held by the public would rise significantly from its already high level, reaching 86% of GDP by 2026.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, August 29, 2016

President Obama To Leave $20 Trillion Debt Crisis For Clinton Or Trump / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: GoldCore

President Obama is set to leave a massive near $20 trillion debt crisis for his successor – be that Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump.

The U.S. national debt reached $19.5 trillion last week and has been increasing by roughly $1 trillion a year during his Presidency and during the so called “recovery” as the U.S. government continues to spend money like a drunken sailor.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, August 04, 2016

Don’t Be So Sure That States Can’t Go Bankrupt / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: John_Mauldin

Our judicial system has a time-tested option for those who can’t pay their debts: bankruptcy. Individuals and businesses use it all the time.

The debtor submits itself to a court, which tries to reach the fairest possible settlement with creditors. It’s messy, but it usually works for the best.

Federal bankruptcy code permits cities, school districts, and other local governments to file bankruptcy.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, May 25, 2016

U.S. Household Debt Still Below 2008 Peak / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Mike_Shedlock

Household Debt Summary

  • Household debt for the first quarter of 2016 is up $136 billion.
  • Mortgage debt, up $120 billion, accounts for most of the gain.
  • Student loan debt, up $29 billion, accounts for most the rest.
  • Total household debt still below 2008 peak
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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, May 17, 2016

Could the National Debt Really Grow as High as $31 Trillion by 2023? / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Harry_Dent

It just seems like human nature to ruin a good thing.

As much as I am a strong proponent of free market capitalism, and against complex regulations and central planning, I understand government’s role in all this.

Capitalism and democracy teamed up in the late 1700s to form the big bang in economics, or what I call “When Harry met Sally.”

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ElectionOracle

Monday, May 09, 2016

Trump Puts The Idea of a US Government Debt Default On The Table / ElectionOracle / US Debt

By: Jeff_Berwick

On Thursday, Donald Trump told CNBC that his solution to dealing with the $19 trillion-plus national debt involves a form of default such as repurchasing existing bonds at a discount.

The media jumped all over him calling his idea "insane” and warning that it would tank the economy or set off an “unprecedented financial crisis.”

They are right that it would set off an unprecedented financial crisis... but, believe it or not, that is the best-case scenario at this point. Not defaulting would lead to hyperinflation which would be even worse.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, April 25, 2016

US Debt Hotel California or the Hotel Marriner Eccles / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: DeviantInvestor

In 1977 the Eagles spoke to us about “Hotel California.”  Lyrics are here.

A few lines from the song …

“On a dark desert highway, cool wind in my hair…

Up ahead in the distance I saw a shimmering light…

Then I was thinking to myself this could be Heaven or this could be Hell…

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, March 05, 2016

Financial Repression - Margin Rules Changes Force New Private Funding of Public Debt / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Gordon_T_Long

FRA Co-Founder Gordon T. Long and Dan Amerman have an in-depth conversation covering various topics such as Financial Repression, Quantitative Easing, devious actions of the Fed and much more.

Daniel R. Amerman is a Chartered Financial Analyst, author, and speaker, with BSBA and MBA degrees in Finance, and over 30 years of professional financial experience. As an investment banking vice president in the 1980s he did groundbreaking work in the security originations and asset/liability management areas, including CMO/REMIC originations as part of portfolio restructurings for financial institutions, as well as the creation of synthetic securities for institutional clients. As an independent quantitative analyst in the 1990s and 2000s, he structured mortgage-backed bond financing and provided analytical services for real estate acquisitions by multifamily and commercial real estate owners, investment banks, and tax-exempt issuers.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, March 03, 2016

How Does Sam Afford to Buy So Much Stuff? / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: MISES

Mark Brandly writes: Lately, I’ve wondered how my neighbor, Sam, affords to buy so much stuff. He appears to have an unlimited budget. When I asked him about this, Sam asked, “Do you think I’m spending too much?”

“That depends,” I said, “How much money do you make?”

“I take home $100,000 a year.”

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, February 16, 2016

Has Chicago Reached Debt Boiling Point? / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Rodney_Johnson

In the 1890s Charles Dana, editor of the New York Sun, referred to Chicago as the “Windy City.” Chicago was one of many cities competing to host the World’s Fair, and clearly the writer intended the double entendre to apply to the city’s weather as well as its mouthy politicians.

When it comes to Chicago’s weather, anyone who has visited “Chi-town” (as the city is known in CB-lingo) can attest to the screaming wind off of Lake Michigan. It howls for what seems like days at 40 mph, carrying with it sub-zero temperature in the winter.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, January 19, 2016

Margin Rules Changes Force New Private Funding Of Public Debt / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Dan_Amerman

The Federal Reserve and other regulators around the world (including all members of the G-20) have recently agreed to alter margin rules, which will allow them to claim new powers over lending and leverage. In the United States these developing regulatory changes will not be restricted to the Fed's legal oversight over banks alone, but will affect all financial companies.

The new margin rules will impact about $4.4 trillion in investments in the US. In combination with new rules for $2.7 trillion in money funds, the regulations are changing for about $7 trillion in investments. And the combined effect of these changes may be to drive up to $2.5 trillion out of the private investment markets and into purchasing the debts of a heavily indebted US government, thereby providing a very low cost source of funds.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, December 30, 2015

Does The National Debt Supercycle Override The Normal U.S. Interest Rate Cycle? / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Dan_Amerman

Markets and economies usually run in cycles and there have been numerous previous reversals where falling interest rates have been replaced by rising interest rates. The soothing reassurances from many financial authorities and much of the financial media are that there is no need for the general public to worry - because this sort of thing is quite normal.

But is this actually true? Have we really been "here" before?

Or are there are major differences between this time around and the previous cycles of rising interest rates which mean that much of recent history may not apply at all?

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Politics

Friday, December 11, 2015

America Living a Lie / Politics / US Debt

By: James_Quinn

"Above all, don't lie to yourself. The man who lies to himself and listens to his own lie comes to a point that he cannot distinguish the truth within him, or around him, and so loses all respect for himself and for others. And having no respect he ceases to love." - Fyodor Dostoyevsky, The Brothers Karamazov

The lies we tell ourselves are only exceeded by the lies perpetrated by those controlling the levers of our society. We've lost respect for ourselves and others, transforming from citizens with obligations to consumers with desires. The love of mammon has left our country a hollowed out, debt ridden shell of what it once was. When I see the data from surveys about the amount of debt being carried by people in this country and match it up with the totals reported by the Federal Reserve, I'm honestly flabbergasted that so many people choose to live a lie. By falling for the false materialistic narrative of having it all today, millions of Americans have enslaved themselves in trillions of debt. The totals are breathtaking to behold:

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