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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Economic Theory

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Economics

Saturday, September 25, 2010

Is a Flat Tariff the Answer to America’s Trade Mess? / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Ian_Fletcher

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe House Ways and Means Committee has finally approved a bill that would attempt to crack down on Chinese currency manipulation, a key cause of America’s trade deficit, by threatening China with retaliatory tariffs. Leaving aside the bogeyman of a trade war—which China is unlikely to start as the nation running the trade surplus and thus the nation having something to lose—this raises the obvious question of whether tariffs are a plausible long-term solution to America’s trade problems. What would happen, that is, if America reverted to its historical norm (from Independence to after WWII) of being a tariff-protected economy?

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Economics

Friday, September 24, 2010

Partial Equilibrium Analysis – Part 2 / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Andy_Sutton

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn the first part of this series, we took at a look at Partial Equilibrium (PE) analysis in terms of analyzing a particular good or service rather than macroeconomic aggregates. What PE allows us to do as well is to both qualitatively and quantitatively assess the true effects of taxes and subsidies. We can also answer whether or not taxes and subsidies represent Pareto efficiencies. For our example we chose to look at the area of gasoline taxes. Many state governments are considering increasing gasoline taxes in the face of collapsing tax receipts.  Intuitively, it would seem that such measures would be penny-wise and dollar foolish, but let’s use PE and see if that bears out conventional wisdom.  

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Economics

Monday, September 20, 2010

The Empirical Case against Government Stimulus / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Robert_Murphy

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEconomists in the Misesian tradition stress the primacy of theory in the social sciences. When trying to figure out the Great Depression, for example, we can't approach the topic with a blank slate and let the facts "speak for themselves." Mises argued that in order for us to even know which facts to consider as relevant, we need to have an antecedent body of deductive insights.

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Economics

Saturday, September 18, 2010

Economics vs. Fakeonomics, Free Trade Skepticism / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Ian_Fletcher

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWe skeptics of free trade are used to being told, “You don’t understand economics.” In fact, one major reason I wrote the book Free Trade Doesn’t Work was simply to expose, once and for all, that there do exist extremely serious and intellectually reputable arguments, within the confines of accepted mainstream economics, which question free trade. And indeed they exist.

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Economics

Friday, September 17, 2010

H.G. Wells's Socialist Critique of Capitalism / Economics / Economic Theory

By: MISES

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePaul A. Cantor writes: "One might wonder whether these intellectuals are not sometimes inspired by resentment that they, knowing better what ought to be done, are paid so much less than those whose instructions and activities in fact guide practical affairs. Such literary interpreters of scientific and technological advance, of which H.G. Wells, because of the unusually high quality of his work, would be an excellent example, have done far more to spread the socialist ideal of a centrally directed economy in which each is assigned his due share than have the real scientists from whom they have cadged many of their notions." —Friedrich Hayek, The Fatal Conceit

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Economics

Friday, September 17, 2010

John’s Economic Worldview / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Doug_Wakefield

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleToday, we are faced with a period in world history of unprecedented change. Carl Jung, who worked with Sigmund Freud and is known today for his work in humanistic-existential psychology, believed that man perceived change as “death”. Dr. Janice Dorn, who has coached hundreds of professional traders since the mid ‘90s, stated to me in an interview for my December 2006 newsletter entitled Mindgames, that we avoid change because “it is incredibly difficult to shift paradigms, which of course is the way in which we perceived the world.”

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Economics

Wednesday, September 15, 2010

Economic Thought in Ancient Greece / Economics / Economic Theory

By: MISES

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJesús Huerta de Soto writes: The intellectual odyssey that laid the foundations for Western civilization began in classical Greece. Unfortunately, Greek thinkers failed in their attempt to grasp the essential principles of the spontaneous market order and of the dynamic process of social cooperation which surrounded them. While we must acknowledge the important Greek contributions in the areas of epistemology, logic, ethics, and even the conception of natural law, the Greeks failed miserably to see the need for the development of a discipline, economic science, devoted to the study of the spontaneous processes of social cooperation that comprise the market.

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Economics

Sunday, September 12, 2010

Where Krugman Went Wrong on Economic Stimulus / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Professor_Emeritus

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePaul Krugman, writing in The New York Times on September 5 under the title "1938 in 2010", chastizes president Obama's economists once more for doing what they have promised not to do: to repeat the mistakes of president Roosevelt's economists in 1937 in pulling back fiscal stimulus too soon. According to Krugman, while president Obama's policies have limited the damage from the financial crisis to the economy, they have been too timid in opening the spigots to make money flow, as shown by levels of unemployment that is still disastrously high and increasing. He advocates applying more stimulus, nay, a burst of deficit-financing of the same order of magnitudes as that during World War II, which can amount to roughly twice the value of GDP, or $30 trillion.

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Economics

Sunday, September 12, 2010

Western Economies Don't Need a Manufacturing Industry / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Phill_Tomlinson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA common assumption among many commentators is that Western countries need a manufacturing base. We have these trade and budget deficits because we don't 'produce' anything tangible. I suppose 200 years ago the same people would have said we need an agricultural base and not this 'phoney' manufacturing industrialisation many nations embarked towards. I disagree with Peter Schiff, Americans don't need manufacturing any more than a country used to employ huge numbers of the population in the agricultural sector. They just need to do things that other nations can't. The service sector is not a drag on the economy, its a path to further prosperity and represents an increase to a nations living standards.

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Economics

Wednesday, September 08, 2010

The Ultimate Source of Profit and Loss on the Market / Economics / Economic Theory

By: MISES

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe changes in the data whose reiterated emergence prevents the economic system from turning into an evenly rotating economy and produces again and again entrepreneurial profit and loss are favorable to some members of society and unfavorable to others. Hence, people concluded, the gain of one man is the damage of another; no man profits but by the loss of others.

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Economics

Wednesday, September 08, 2010

Real Bank Credit and Real GDP Growth, Michael Boskin’s Summer of Economic History Amnesia / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMonetarism, In a September 2 op-ed commentary in the WSJ ("Summer of Economic Discontent"), Michael Boskin, former chairman of the President's Council of Economic Advisers under Bush 41, compares the anemic current economic recovery with vibrant ones, such as the recovery that commenced in the first quarter of 1983, when Martin Feldstein was chairman of President Reagan's Council of Economic Advisers. Mr. Boskin intimates that the reason the current economic recovery is so feeble is because of economic policies being pursued by the current presidential administration.

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Economics

Sunday, September 05, 2010

The Economic Insane Asylum / Economics / Economic Theory

By: D_Sherman_Okst

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn a Nutshell: Our economy is really an insane asylum run by lunatics.

Common Sense: No problem can be fixed before a solution is formed. No solution can be formed until the underlying problems are clearly identified.

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Economics

Sunday, September 05, 2010

Stimulus and Full Employment, Averting the Great Depression Again / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn multiple posts Paul Krugman is saying "I told you so". For example, please consider Nobody Could Have Predicted

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Economics

Friday, September 03, 2010

Bad Monetary Policy Is Redundant / Economics / Economic Theory

By: MISES

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGeorge F. Smith writes: A great thinker once wrote that "all things useful are of such a nature that where there is too much of them they must either do harm, or at any rate be of no use, to their possessors."[1]

Having experienced the harmful results of a paper currency manufactured at will, early US statesmen tried to forbid it from ever happening again. Article I, Section 10 of the Constitution specified that no state shall "make any Thing but gold and silver Coin a Tender in Payment of Debts," while the

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Economics

Friday, September 03, 2010

If a Pure Market Economy Is So Good, Why Doesn't It Exist? / Economics / Economic Theory

By: MISES

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEdward Stringham and Jeffrey Rogers Hummel writes: If a pure market economy is so good, why does it not already exist? If governments are so bad, why are they dominant throughout the world today? Indeed, is the widespread adoption of free markets ever likely to occur?

Many recent authors, including Tyler Cowen,[1] Cowen and Daniel Sutter,[2] Randall G. Holcombe,[3] and Andrew Rutten[4] question the feasibility of a pure libertarian society.[5] They maintain that such a system cannot arise or persist because some people will always have both the incentive and the ability to use force against others. These authors offer several reasons why, even if society starts out in a perfect libertarian world without any states (as Murray Rothbard and others advocate),[6] competing groups will eventually form a coercive government.

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Economics

Friday, September 03, 2010

Neo-Keynesian's, Signs of an Evil Economy / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Richard_Daughty

I am standing on the corner of the street, doing my duty to "give back" to society, in this case by yelling at morons passing by in the cars, "We're freaking doomed, you moron! Your own stupid government has destroyed you by letting the foul, fetid, festering Federal Reserve create too much money that they stupidly, stupidly, stupidly did as part of the stupid neo-Keynesian econometric theoretical lunacy that has mesmerized them, so that a shiny computer in front of a neo-Keynesian econometric economist is like a shiny toy in front of a monkey, and which has mesmerized the Fed and the government for similar reasons, and with similar results, in that the toy is now broken, the monkey cut its hand on the broken toy, the cut is infected, and there is a good chance that the monkey will die a horrible, painful death! Hahaha! How do you like them apples? Horrible, painful death! We're freaking doomed, including you and your hotshot car with the radio turned up real loud, trying to drown me out! And stop honking at me! I have rights, you moron!"

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Economics

Monday, August 30, 2010

Partial Equilibrium Economic Analysis, Part I / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Andy_Sutton

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOne of the many tools available to economists and analysts in determining the suitability of fiscal or economic policy is partial equilibrium (PE) analysis. However, many scoff at the notion of using partial equilibrium simply because many of its assumptions are deemed to be too unrealistic. However, for taking a look at the potential benefits (or costs) of a policy such as a tax on a single good, PE is a very valid construct. One of the biggest hot button topics these days in nearly every state is how to raise revenue (rather than cutting costs). One of the traditional cash cows for states is in the form of gasoline taxes. The same goes for the Federal government in this regard. However, as we all know, simply arbitrarily and capriciously taxing a product is not necessarily efficient. In fact it usually isn’t.

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Economics

Wednesday, August 25, 2010

Economic Science and Theory: The Special, the Sublime, the Climax / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Pravda

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe existence of the universe is something extraordinary!

The countless conjectures (mainly scientific) on the intrinsic characteristics of the universe and also the attempts to understand it have followed the history of mankind. This direction has been the role of Physical Science (prominently, but also chemistry) the "lady" of understanding the laws and forces that comprise the cosmos.

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Economics

Thursday, August 19, 2010

Economists Are Behind the Curve of Economic Realities! / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Sy_Harding

Concerns about the U.S. economy began as a ripple when economic growth unexpectedly began slowing in the 2nd quarter. The continuing waves of negative economic reports in May, June, July, and now into August have had economists scrambling to revise their growth forecasts downward. But they have not been quick enough to keep up with the downward pace of the reports.

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Economics

Wednesday, August 18, 2010

Affording the Unemployed / Economics / Economic Theory

By: J_M_Finegold_Catalan

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhile the unemployment rate continues to hover between 9 and 10 percent, the average amount of time wage earners remain unemployed has skyrocketed to previously unrecorded levels.[1] Keynesians fear that a weak fiscal and monetary response will allow the presently cyclically unemployed to become so permanently.[2] UC Berkeley professor Bradford DeLong puts it briefly, "Long-term unemployment has a way of turning into structural unemployment."[3]

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