Category: Stock Markets 2011
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Monday, November 07, 2011
Stock Market Intermediate Trend Still Alive / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Andre_Gratian
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline (which appears to have already started) into 2014.
SPX: Intermediate trend - The intermediate trend which started at 1075 as a proposed bear market rally is still alive. Should the strength continue for a period of time, the concept of being in a bear market will have to be re-visited.
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Monday, November 07, 2011
Stock Market Bears Fight Back on the Back of US Dollar / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: WavePatternTraders
In last week's article you may recall that I suspected the rally from the Oct 4th lows was going to a 3 wave move, which would create a problem for the bulls and that whilst it was a strong move, being 3 waves, it still confirmed that the bounce was part of something that likely over the coming weeks should surrender itself to lower prices.
If you further recall I mentioned about the DX 76 area and the bulls needed to respect any move that saw price move back above that area.
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Saturday, November 05, 2011
Stock Market Update Still Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Tony_Caldaro
After four successive weeks of rising prices the major indices pulled back this week. The hardest hit was Europe with a 4.8% decline, Asian markets were -0.9%, and the US markets were -2.25%. On the economic front upticking and downticking reports were about even. On the upside: ADP, factory orders, the unemployment rate, the WLEI and weekly jobless claims improved. On the downside: ISM manufacturing/services, the Chicago PMI, construction spending, auto sales, the monetary base, and the payrolls report. The economy is still in contraction mode. For the week the SPX/DOW were -2.35%, and the NDX/NAZ were -1.9%. Bonds rose 1.7%, Crude gained 0.7%, Gold gained 0.7%, and the USD was +2.5%. Next week’s economic reports will be highlighted by the Trade/Budget deficits, Import/Export prices and Consumer sentiment.
Saturday, November 05, 2011
Stock Markets Holding Just Fine...Fear Still Abounds..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
High put-call readings day after day. Most folks are talking like the end of the world is here, thanks to Europe, and the inevitable fallout from defaults most guaranteed to come. People just hate stocks and the stock market. There are no good vibes running around. I don't think any of you are hearing much from the bullish side of things. If you are, you're pretty much alone, because I'm tuned in, and I don't hear a thing. People just don't feel good about things. That's sad, but it usually means things aren't as bad as they seem. That's just the way the stock market works. It goes against conventional thinking, but what we all hate, the market loves. I'm not saying we're about to embark on anything special, I'm just saying I don't think it makes too much sense to be taking a very bearish approach to things.
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Friday, November 04, 2011
Stock Market Fearmongering / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Zeal_LLC
October was truly an epic month for the stock markets. The flagship S&P 500 stock index rocketed 10.8% higher! As its best month since December 1991 and best October since 1982’s, October 2011 was inarguably awesome. While it remains fresh in our minds, it is important to remember the psychology leading into it. Fearmongering ran rampant in late September, hyper-bearishness reigned supreme.
Thursday, November 03, 2011
Low QE2 Volume and Inside Day Point To More Stock Market Downside / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Chris_Ciovacco
The media likes to imply the Fed is on the verge of cranking up QE3. Here is Reuters take on Wednesday’s Fed statement and press conference:
Read full article... Read full article...The Federal Reserve is prepared to take further steps to help an economy that is “close to faltering,” Fed chairman Ben Bernanke said on Tuesday in his bleakest assessment yet of the fragile U.S. recovery.
Thursday, November 03, 2011
Some Fat For Stock Market Bulls to Chew On / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Adam_Brochert
I am a secular bear on financial assets like stocks. This is my bias. Although I understand we cannot have a replay of the 1930s in America (unlike Prechter), it has already occurred in Greece with an 87% loss from the 2007 peak to recent lows in October (versus 89% for the Dow in the USA in the 1929-1932 bear market). It is different in America because we can use the printing press while Greece cannot, unless Greece decides to leave the Euro. Hard core Gold advocates need to understand that a paper currency can result in deflation, as long as it is not aggressively debased/abused relative to the needs of the debtor (governments that issue currency are almost always wretched debtors with no intention of repaying their debts in nominal terms).
Thursday, November 03, 2011
Solid Close to Volatile Stock Market Session / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had a solid up session at the close, but it was whippy and volatile today. They gapped up sharply at the opening, pulled back much more steeply so on the Nasdaq 100, and then came on again to reach the session highs late morning with the NDX just below 2230 and the S&P 500 at around 1242. They rolled over fairly hard to new pullback lows and new session lows on the NDX just under 2300. The S&P 500 held around 1226. After they double-bottomed early afternoon they were able to come back up in a steady run to retest the highs, but fell short, and closed up with a solid gainer on the day.
Thursday, November 03, 2011
Fed Speaks... Stock Market Listens.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
And what it heard it mostly liked. He talked about how our economy is not in all that bad shape. Not in very good shape, to be sure, but not so bad either. He talked at length about the headaches in Europe, and how those headaches could adversely affect all of us here. That was the troubling part of the speech, but he also said he has tools available to him should the worst case scenario take place in Europe in order to protect the United States from crashing into a recession. He didn't state what those tools were, but somewhat hinted it wouldn't be a QE program, which I think the market liked as it showed no real panic about the condition of things here at home. It was good to hear him say that things here weren't as dire as they were in previous months. He was clear to state that we have a long way to go to get where he'd like us to be, so we shouldn't feel too good about things.
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Wednesday, November 02, 2011
The Unpunctured Stock Market Cycle, The EU Flunks The Test / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Submissions
Giuseppe L. Borrelli writes: When is a plan not a plan? Whenever you have politicians involved and a printing press thrown into the mix for good measure. Last week we told you to take the announce-ment of the EU’s “solution” to the sovereign debt crisis with a grain of salt. Today we see the wisdom behind that advice as Greece announced they would hold both a political and popular referendum regarding the EU bail-out/austerity plan. The Greek Prime Minister, George Papandreou, announced the measure last night. Greece will hold a referendum on the deal the government struck with the EU last week, under which private investors will take a 50% write-down on their holdings of Greek bonds. The popular referendum, which will most likely take place in January, creates significant uncertainty about Europe’s efforts to contain the debt crisis, with concerns especially escalating over Italy’s soaring borrowing costs.
Tuesday, November 01, 2011
Europe...Overbought Brings The Stock Market Lower... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
That doesn't mean things have gone from good to bad all in one day for the bulls. In this type of market environment you have to be on your guard as things can change overnight. But that's not the case for the moment. Things did sell off decently today, but the Nasdaq wasn't all that bad, and from a points perspective, the Nasdaq has barely fallen off the top. I'm not saying today isn't some type of red flag as we closed not too far away from S&P 500 1260, the key level the bulls broke through to the up side just last week.
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Monday, October 31, 2011
Stock Market Rally Will Continue for a While / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Bloomberg
Barton Biggs of Traxis Partners spoke to Bloomberg Television's Betty Liu this morning about his investment strategy.
Biggs said he's now "80% net long" on stocks and that the U.S. market rally is "going to continue for awhile." Biggs also said that he's "intrigued" by European stocks, but he isn't buying them.
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Monday, October 31, 2011
Stock Market, How Are Large Speculators Positioned / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Tony_Pallotta
As previously stated the Commitment Of Trader's Report is a wealth of information as it discloses long and short positions across the entire futures and commodity complex. I want to share with you some aggregated data on one specific group, non-commercial which represents hedge funds, banks, anyone considered a large speculator.
Monday, October 31, 2011
Stock Market Time for Caution / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Andre_Gratian
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline (which appears to have already started) into 2014.
SPX: Intermediate trend - The intermediate trend which started at 1075 as a bear market rally may be about to end shortly. Time for caution!
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Monday, October 31, 2011
Stock Market Oktoberfest: When The Music (Money) Stops Playing (Flowing)… / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Willem_Weytjens
Last week, the markets rallied sharply on news that banks were willing to take a 50% haircut on their Greek Bond holdings.
It was a hell of a party, as many asset classes were joining “Oktoberfest” : Gold, Copper, Silver, Oil, Stocks,…
The party was organized by Merkel and Co:
Sunday, October 30, 2011
The Unfortunate Truth About an Overbought Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: J_W_Jones
Writing about financial markets is probably the most challenging endeavor I have ever immersed myself into. I am a trader first and a writer second, but I have really come to enjoy scribing missives about financial markets because it really forces me to concentrate on my analysis.
Writing for the general public has really enhanced my perception of the market and forced me to dig deeper and learn new forms of analysis. I find myself learning more and more every day and the beauty of trading is that even for the most experienced of traders there is always an opportunity to learn more. As members of my service know, I strive to be different than most of my peers as my focus is on education and being completely transparent and honest.
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Saturday, October 29, 2011
Strong Week For Stock Market Bulls... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
Everyone who participates in the stock market knows this was a great week for the bulls as they accomplished something most thought impossible. That was to blow through S&P 500 1260, and to do it with strong internals, such as strong volume and a great advance-decline line. We got close to 1260 some days back and failed, but refused to fall to far below. After pulling back a few percent, the market tried again and succeeded in getting through 1260 S&P 500 this week, the level from which there was a triple-bottom breakdown some months back that led to a huge eleven-day fall of 19%.
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Friday, October 28, 2011
Friday After the Stock Market Rally Promising a Very Profitable Christmas / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: George_Maniere
Yesterday on Thursday the market rallied off of a plan that the Euro zone leaders had promised and investors had demanded. That alone came as a relief to markets given how low expectations had fallen. The S&P not only broke the key resistance level of 1257 but blew away the 200 day moving average and closed at 1284.59. The Dow broke the psychologically 1200 level and closed at 12208.55. Sadly, the plan falls short of the comprehensive plan that Euro zone leaders had promised and the best hope is that this deal buys a little more time.
Friday, October 28, 2011
Why Stocks Rally Despite Crisis, Darwin’s Deceptive and Dangerous Devices / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Doug_Wakefield
“The film depicts a future in which reality as perceived by most humans is actually a simulated reality created by sentient machines to pacify and subdue the human population, while their bodies' heat and electrical activity are used as an energy source. Upon learning this, computer programmer ‘Neo’ is drawn into a rebellion against the machines, involving other people who have been freed from the ‘dream world’ and into reality.”
Thursday, October 27, 2011
Stocks Stealth Bull Market Pounds the Crash is Coming Bears with Euro-zone Hammer / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The Dow rocketed higher today to close at 12,208, up more than 17% from its summer low of 10,404, and just 5% away from its bull market peak, the mainstream financial press jumped onto the E.U. bailout deal bandwagon as for the reason why stocks soared, despite the fact that the actual agreement is pretty weak i.e. the minimum that the markets were expecting which could just as easily have been used to explain away a sharp drop in the stock market.