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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Gold and Silver 2018

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Commodities

Tuesday, July 03, 2018

What Does the Loonie Have to Do with Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Jack Chan's updated charts for the precious metals markets include a look at how the Canadian dollar relates to gold and silver prices.

Our proprietary cycle indicator is down.

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Commodities

Tuesday, July 03, 2018

Silver Bull Market Is Almost Here / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Hubert_Moolman

Silver is running out of time and space (on the chart) to decide where it will go over the next months and years. The similarity of conditions to the early 80s suggests that silver could go into a multi-year bear market or continue its bull market:

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Commodities

Monday, July 02, 2018

Gold Moving Toward a Reset / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Rudi Fronk and Jim Anthony, cofounders of Seabridge Gold, discuss the fundamentals behind gold and the markets. Gold is the ultimate safe haven, for two simple reasons. First, its total aboveground supply only grows 1.4% per year, no matter what anyone does (and even this rate of increase is starting to fall as production levels have peaked). Second, gold is final settlement for the payment of obligations; it is universally accepted as itself, in physical form, not needing to be translated into someone else's currency.

In the current financial asset mania, with confidence in markets and central banks very high, markets are not much interested in safe havens and gold has been languishing. When investors become more risk averse, gold will go on its next big run. Current sentiment and market positioning correspond to what is typically a price low historically.

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Commodities

Friday, June 29, 2018

The Debt Threat and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

In the latest edition of the Market Overview, we have analyzed the risk related to the rising U.S. public debt and private leverage. This month, we will adopt a more global perspective. Until recently, thanks to the synchronized worldwide growth, it was easy to lose sight of the elephant in the room. But as U.S. interest rates have climbed in recent months and dollar has appreciated, we cannot ignore the debt threat any longer.

Indeed, the elephant is doing well. It is well-nourished and constantly growing. As the chart below shows, total non-financial debt has risen from 191 percent of global GDP at the end of 2001 to 210 percent before the financial crisis and to 245 percent today (the most recent data are for the end of September 2017).

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Commodities

Thursday, June 28, 2018

Don’t Miss This Important Gold Price Signal! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Peter_Degraaf

It is generally agreed that in a Gold Bull Market, the gold producers lead the way, by outperforming gold bullion.  To examine this trend we visit Stockcharts.com and pull up a chart that compares mining stocks (GDX) to gold bullion (GLD).

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Commodities

Thursday, June 28, 2018

Will the Full Moon Mark a Turning Point for Gold and Silver? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Bob Moriarty of 321 Gold discusses the theory that there is a relationship between the full moon and the price of gold.

For several months I have been beating the drum saying that there would be a tradable low for the precious metals in the June/July timeframe. The way to be fairly certain would be using the Commitment of Traders report and Daily Sentiment Indicator to mark an extreme of sentiment. I was looking for the DSI to go below 10 and the COTs to reflect major bearish sentiment among speculators.

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Commodities

Thursday, June 28, 2018

Gold Cannabis Stocks Wednessday / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Denali_Guide

FLAT LINE AFTER A HEART ATTACK, but what awaits come the Holidays?

So the GREEN is a Cannabis Index, which shows once investors got over their reluctance, they embraced the reality that Cannabis was and still is a coming trend.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 27, 2018

Gold’s Signs for a June Bottom / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: P_Radomski_CFA

In yesterday’s intraday Alert, we explained why the short-term outlook for the precious metals changed from bearish to neutral and we took profits from our short positions. It was not just the fact that the price targets were reached for gold and silver. The key to the change in the outlook was seeing the confirmations from gold’s performance relative to the USD Index and from the mining stocks’ performance compared to the one of gold. In today’s analysis, we’ll take a closer look at what happened and what it means going forward.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 27, 2018

US Dollar Outlook & What it Means for Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

We do not focus too much on the US dollar because in the big picture Gold usually leads movements in the dollar. As it pertains to the present, Gold’s failure to breakout (while the dollar made two new lows since the summer 2016 peak in Gold) implies that the the dollar, at worst is not going much lower anytime soon. At best, it could signal that the dollar’s bull market will resume. With that said, the dollar is approaching an interesting juncture and how it performs will certainly have some impact on the precious metals sector moving forward.

It's possible that the typical negative correlation between Gold and the dollar could strengthen in the weeks and months ahead due to a potential peak in Gold denominated against foreign currencies (FC).

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 27, 2018

Precious Metals On a Long-term Buy Signal. Short term Mixed / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Technical analyst Jack Chan charts the latest moves in the gold and silver markets.

Our proprietary cycle indicator is up.

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Commodities

Tuesday, June 26, 2018

Gold & Miners to Rally as US Equities Fall On Fear / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The US Equities markets rotated over 1.35% lower on Monday, June 25, after a very eventful weekend full of news and global political concerns.  Much of this fear results from unknowns resulting from Europe, Asia, China, Mexico and the US.  Currently, there are so many “contagion factors” at play, we don’t know how all of it will eventually play out in the long run.

Europe is in the midst of a moderate political revolt regarding refugee/immigration issues/costs and political turmoil originating from the European Union leadership.  How they resolve these issues will likely be counter to the populist demands from the people of Europe.

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Commodities

Monday, June 25, 2018

This Is It For Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Avi_Gilburt

For those that follow me regularly, you will know that I have been tracking a set-up for the SPDR Gold Trust ETF (NYSEARCA:GLD), which I analyze as a proxy for the gold market. I also believe that gold can outperform the general equity market once we confirm a long-term break out has begun, and I still think we can see it in occur in 2018. This week, I will provide an update to GLD.

While I have gone on record as to why I do not think GLD ETF is a wise long-term investment hold, I still use it to track the market movements. For those that have not seen my webinar about why I don’t think the GLD is a wise long-term investment, feel free to review this link for my webinar on the matter.

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Commodities

Friday, June 22, 2018

Gold - How Long Can This Last? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Yields are rising. The global economy has adapted so far without any major problems. So far. But how long can this last? And what does it ultimately mean for the gold market?

Let’s look at the chart below. As one can see, the U.S. long-term interest rates have been rising since September 2017. And they breached 3 percent in the second quarter of 2018, attracting investors’ attention all over the world.

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Commodities

Friday, June 22, 2018

Gold's Relative Strength Index Indicating a Bottom Is Here / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger explains why he believes gold is bottoming. Today's missive is going to be brief as there are no need for words when you have the chart below indicating every major low in gold was accompanied by an RSI reading below 30. GLD (the physical gold ETF) is sporting a 27.46 RSI this morning and while we have seen readings lower than this at other bottoming periods, it is time to open a 25% position in the GLD July $120 calls at $1.40, where I was filled shortly after the New York opening. I am now attempting to add a second 25% tranche at $1.50 with the current market $1.54.

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Commodities

Friday, June 22, 2018

Contrarians See Gold and Silver Opportunity in Negative Sentiment / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: MoneyMetals

Gold and silver markets entered this summer with sentiment toward the metals in something of a deep freeze.

For several months, precious metals prices have gone essentially nowhere. No sustained rallies to attract momentum traders; no washout plunges to attract bargain hunters. The long, protracted stalemate between bulls and bears has frustrated metals investors and, frankly, bored the public.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 20, 2018

Gold GLD ETF Update… Breakdown ? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Rambus_Chartology

Just a quick update on a few of the GLD charts we’ve been following closely. Below is the daily line chat which shows the breakout from the blue triangle that formed as the backtest to the larger 5 point bearish falling wedge reversal pattern. The bulls tried as hard as they could but they couldn’t take out the bottom rail of the falling wedge reversal pattern. Friday’s decline was on heavy volume.

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Commodities

Sunday, June 17, 2018

North Korea, Trade Wars, Precious Metals and Bitcoin / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Bob Moriarty of 321 Gold, in a wide-ranging conversation with Maurice Jackson of Proven and Probable, discusses issues from North Korea to Bitcoin. Maurice Jackson: Joining us for a conversation is Bob Moriarty, the founder of 321gold, and 321energy.com, and the author of two of my personal favorite books, "The Art of Peace," and "Nobody Knows Anything." Welcome to the show.

I recall when President Trump took office, you shared he will either be the best president or the worst president we've ever had. Now I don't know where he fits into that narrative for you so far, but I have to say that President Trump is not afraid of breaking paradigms. There are series of geopolitical events occurring right now, that have the world’s attention, and I'd like to get your thoughts regarding those. Beginning with the G7 Summit, which just concluded last week. And it got a little testy, if you will, between the United States and the other members, in particular Canada. Give us your thoughts on why these events unfolded, and what do you see being the likely outcome?

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Commodities

Friday, June 15, 2018

Inflation Trade, in Progress Since Gold Kicked it Off / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Gary_Tanashian

I am sure you remember the lead up to Q1 2016. The US economy and stock market were transitioning from a Goldilocks environment and narrowly avoiding a bear market while the rest of the world was still battling deflation. Precious metals and commodities were in the dumper and try though US and global central banks might, they seemed to fail to woo the inflation genie out of its bottle at every turn.

Then came December of 2015 when gold and silver made bottoms followed by the gold miners in January of 2016. Then by the time February had come and gone the whole raft of other inflatables (commodities and stocks) had bottomed and begun to set sail.

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Commodities

Friday, June 15, 2018

Powell's Excess Reserve Change and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Michael_J_Kosares

Why a seemingly run-of-the-mill announcement yesterday by Fed chairman Powell might signal a major turning point for the gold market. . . and perhaps ALL markets.

At the end of Fed chairman Jerome Powell’s opening statement for his press conference yesterday he dropped a major surprise on the markets that immediately sent the dollar and stocks tumbling and gold, silver and bonds vaulting higher. All the markets mentioned experienced sudden sharp reversals at the time of the “surprise.” Those trends have carried over to today’s market action.

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Commodities

Friday, June 15, 2018

Will Italy Sink the EU and Boost Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

The recent growth acceleration in the EU could distract attention from problems of the common bloc. Fortunately, you can always count on Italy. Whenever you start thinking that only bright future is ahead of the union, the descendants of the proud Romans remind about themselves. Indeed, Italy focuses three major EU’s problems like in a lens. What are they and how could they affect the gold market?

First, populism. As you remember, Italians held general elections in March. As we reported then, the populist party founded by comedian Beppe Grillo won about one-third of the votes.. Since then, the Five Star Movement and League, the two biggest parties in the new parliament, have been negotiating to form a new government. In May, they finally published a contract for their shared platform.

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