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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Stock Markets 2024

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Tuesday, April 16, 2024

S&P Stock Market Trend Forecast to Dec 2024 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2024

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Dear Reader

Here is the final installment of my epic analysis that concludes in detailed S&P 500 trend forecast for 2024 that was first been made available to patrons who support my work. So for immediate first access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for just $5 per month, this is your last chance to lock it in now at $5 as it will imminently rise to $7 per month for new sign-ups. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, April 07, 2024

Stock Market Election Year Five Nights at Freddy's / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2024

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Dear Reader

Remember the start of the 2024? That opening dip in the S&P that had the likes of the holy church of the Almanach warning of the Trifecta of failures starting with the Santa Rally, then the first 5 days, with eyes next on the January baromoter, harbingers for a bad 2024 for stocks!

This was my Five Nights at Freddy's response to the headless chickens that was first made available to patrons who support my work. So for immediate first access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for just $5 per month, this is your last chance to lock it in now at $5 before it soon rises to $7 per month for new sign-ups. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, April 03, 2024

Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2024

By: Nadeem_Walayat

How are you enjoying AI tech stocks gravy train bull market of 2024?

This is my latest instalment of my in-depth analysis and and concluding S&P detailed trend forecast for 2024 - S&P Stock Market Analysis, Detailed Trend Forecast Jan to Dec 2024 that was first been made available to patrons who support my work.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, April 02, 2024

Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2024

By: Nadeem_Walayat

During 2023 it seemed like everyone woke up to the importance of the US presidential election cycle.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, April 02, 2024

Dow Stock Market Annual Percent Change Analysis 2024 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2024

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Dow Annual Percent Change

The 2022 Dow Annual Percent Change chart which accurately warned to expect the Dow to drop to 28k during 2022 in 2021 and that the Dow was cheap October 2022.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, March 25, 2024

Stock Market Investor Sentiment / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2024

By: Nadeem_Walayat

TD Ameritrades retail investors sentiment chart illustrates this fact, retail investors have been SELLING since the July high, which followed fairly feeble accumulation, convinced by the cartoon network's mantra that a recession is coming.... Just look at the chart, there is NO FOMO! The S&P is on the verge of breaking to a new all time high and most investors are sat on the sidelines waiting for their fantasy S&P 3200 to materialise! This SHOWS you where you would also be if you had followed the herd during 2023! Another reminder - DO NOT PAY ANY ATTENTION TO MSM which is populated by clueless journalists and fund managers (sales people).

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, March 24, 2024

Stock Market Breadth / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2024

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Cumulative NYSE Advancing / Declining issues proved a useful early warning indicator going into the stock 2021 market top, since which closely tracked the markets decline into the bear market bottom, flashing relative strength during the bull market, the only false signal was the sell off into late October. Presently is showing divergence to the S&P i.e. suggesting a downtrend is imminent.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, March 24, 2024

Stock Market Margin Debt Indicator / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2024

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Margin debt tends to peak and fall long before the stock market turns lower as basically speculators start to feel the pain of holding losing positions and thus cut back on their bets. Either that or are forced to close their losing trades due to failure to meet margin calls, in which respect this indicator proved very useful in flagging the prospects for a bear market long before it materialised as stock prices trended higher on petrol fumes as the fuel tank was empty.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, March 24, 2024

It’s Easy to Scream Stocks Bubble! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2024

By: Stephen_McBride

As I write, it’s currently the 15th anniversary of the 2009 stock market low.

In March '09, US stocks were trading at levels not seen since 1996. Investors had suffered more than a lost decade.

Fast-forward to today, and the S&P 500 has surged 650% off those generational lows.

It’s easy to look at the S&P’s 650% rise and scream “bubble!”
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Stock-Markets

Sunday, March 24, 2024

Stocks: What to Make of All This Insider Selling / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2024

By: EWI

Here are details of "The Great Cash-Out"

Corporate insiders may sell the shares of their company for any number of reasons but one of them is not because they think the price is going up.

In other words, insider selling can serve as a warning.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, March 09, 2024

Stocks: What This "Record Extreme" Indicator May Be Signaling / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2024

By: EWI


"The total easily exceeds the prior net long extreme"

When most everyone agrees on the future trend of a market, it's almost guaranteed that the market will go in the other direction -- sooner rather than later.

The reason why is that there is no one left to convince, hence, the market in question will likely have difficulty going in the predicted direction.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, March 01, 2024

INFLATION and the Stock Market Trend / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2024

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Dear Reader

The crypto bull market is under way! For just $5 bucks you could have accumulated Bitcoin at $27k instead of at the current price of $62k. Still not to late to captialise on the great crypto bull market of 2024! Last Chance to Get on Board the Bitcoin Crypto Gravy Train - Choo Choo!

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Stock-Markets

Friday, March 01, 2024

Stocks and Inverted Yield Curve / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2024

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Yield curve now inverted for 21 months so where's the recession? An inverted yield curve is supposed to predict an recession, however as I pointed out months ago for why I was accumulating long-bonds is that the US Treasury NEEDS LOWER long-term interest rates for it's flood of debt issuance during 2024, it does not want to pay 5% interest on this debt that continues to inflate the debt interest spiral. So the Fed will engineer LOWER long term yields whilst maintaining higher short-term rates so as to continue to suppress INFLATION! Which is what has come to pass, long rates are now 1% lower whilst the Fed fund rate remains at 5.25%.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, February 07, 2024

US Stock Market Addicted to Deficit Spending / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2024

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Dear Reader

Firstly my latest video explaining how I accumulate and distribute (Trim) stock positions to maximise profits

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, February 07, 2024

Stocks Bull Market Commands It All For Now / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2024

By: Avi_Gilburt

After writing publicly for over 13 years, I have come to notice that the landscape has very much changed. There were many through the years that have attempted to take me to task for my differing perspective on the market. Many simply could not understand how I am able to ignore exogenous factors, yet still be able to accurately identify turning points in the market while staying on the correct side of the market the great majority of the time.

When I look around now, many of them are no longer around. Yet, we are still here guiding investors through the turbulence of the various market machinations we have experienced over the last 13 years.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, February 07, 2024

Stock Market QE4EVER / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2024

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Not to forget the inflation mega-trend courtesy of rampant central bank money printing to monetize government debt coupled with the fake inflation indices where up until recently the Fed had succeeded in hoodwinking the masses that US inflation was just 1%. Instead at that time I warned it was more like 4%! Now it's more like 7%. Anyway the money printing binge now totals $8.8 trillion, up from $4 trillion at the start of 2020 and down from a a peak of $9.62 trillion in the so called Taper. We saw how the taper of 2019 went which at the time I warned would eventually resolve in the Fed Balance sheet DOUBLING. of course I was not expecting it to happen the very NEXT YEAR in 2020!

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, February 04, 2024

Stock Market Major Market lows by Calendar Month / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2024

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This table proved remarkably accurate on it's own for pointing towards swing lows in March and October of 2023. Whilst June had a much lower probability and thus did not factor into my forecast expectations, despite at the time everyone wanting the market to make a low contrary to the road map which forecast a continuing uptrend into July.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 31, 2024

STOCK MARKET DISCOUNTING EVENTS BIG PICTURE / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2024

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The name of the game is to -

a. STAY INVESTED

b. Capitalise on discounting events.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 31, 2024

Blue Skies Ahead As Stock Market Is Expected To Continue Much Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2024

By: Avi_Gilburt

The difference between the perception of the stock market during October 2023, and today, is amazingly stark. At the time, almost everyone believed we were likely heading towards recession, and that the stock market was on its way down in a big way. Fast-forward to today, and GDP is stronger than most believed, consumer spending has been strong, the Fed is considering lowering rates, employment remains strong, and there seems to be further good news across many different sectors (along with the booming expectations based upon AI), with a number of major stocks hitting new all-time highs along with the overall stock markets.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 24, 2024

S&P Stock Market Detailed Trend Forecast 2024 - P1 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2024

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The S&P ends 2023 at 4770, a raging bull market that has been missed by most as 2023 proved to be another year where the consensus got it badly wrong, doom and gloom, a recession was seen as being a done deal as it was for 2022, then there was the debt ceiling nothing burger, QT! What QT? We had stealth QE via the reverse repo market, and the banking crisis nothing burger, plenty of reasons why NOT to invest all the way down from the likes of Stanley Druckenmiller through to the perma fools on the CNBC cartoon network, blogosFear all convinced most to park their funds into T-bills and money market accounts.

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