Tuesday, July 12, 2016
A Fed Bondsy Scheme / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Who needs the Fed's QE when the world is seemingly beating down the doors to buy US bonds? But like all Ponzi schemes, the end eventually comes. Last week's record low in bond yields arrived at the same time as an expected 6 month low in yields and may have marked at least a temporary end to the scheme. Stay tuned for a reversal in interest rates and its effect on equity markets as liquidity in global markets dries up.
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Tuesday, July 12, 2016
Could the US Bond Market Bubble Finally Be Ready to Burst? / Interest-Rates / Bond Bubble
The great commodity bubble has been steadily bursting since mid-2008, but has taken a nosedive since early 2011. It's now down 70% overall, and 80%-plus in industrial commodities like iron ore.Real estate has seen its first bubble burst and it clearly looks like a second one is on the way.
Stocks have now seen a third bubble and the largest burst is still just ahead… but, the question remains: when does it begin in this endless realm of QE and stimulus?
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Tuesday, July 12, 2016
SPX Rally Nearing Completion. USB Maybe Finished / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
I have been reviewing the Cycle Model and have a few observations to pass on. There is little doubt why Ben Bernanke went to visit Abe and Kuroda last weekend. The June 27 Master Cycle low is the last of its kind until October 4, 2016. It appears that this is the last chance they have of igniting a rally in order to preserve the uptrend.
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Tuesday, July 12, 2016
Extortionate Fees Push Bank Overdraft Costs to a New High / Personal_Finance / Current Accounts
In March 2009 the credit crunch started to bite and base rate fell to its historic low of 0.50%. Since then, the cost of borrowing using a current account has risen, and it has now hit yet another high. Indeed, the latest research by Moneyfacts.co.uk can reveal that authorised overdrafts could now cost borrowers as much as £180 a year.
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Tuesday, July 12, 2016
Black Lives Matter - Obama’s Race War is No Accident / Politics / US Politics
What will it take for citizens to face up to the nature of the state of terror against the American people? All the attention about Islamic suicide fanatics provides ample cover to ignore the pathetic condition of race relations that has been a hallmark of the Obama administration. If a POTUS person of color was accused of festering discontent, the fable disinformation media would pay no attention to or paint the charges as racist. The liberal sociopaths that project the progressive culture are obsessed with smearing all dissent from their authoritarian oppression as based upon bigotry that objects to the supremacy of their multicolored Marxism.
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Tuesday, July 12, 2016
Stock Market Rally May be Complete / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
SPX has now completed a 60-hour rally from the 1991.68 low after a 13-hour decline from the 2113.32 high. It appears to be complete.
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Tuesday, July 12, 2016
Gold Bull Confirmed: What's Next? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Technical analyst Jack Chan confirms a bull market for gold and lays out his investment strategy.
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Tuesday, July 12, 2016
How Demographics Decided Brexit / Politics / BrExit
Stephen McBride, Garret/Galland ResearchThe June 23 decision by the United Kingdom to leave the European Union shocked many people. If we take a closer look at voter demographics, however, the reasons behind the Leave victory become much clearer.
Below, we look at the most significant voter patterns to emerge from the referendum.
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Tuesday, July 12, 2016
Here’s How Much Europe Depends on the UK / Politics / BrExit
Euroskeptiscism is on the rise in Europe. Countries like Poland and Hungary have actively sought to limit the EU’s influence and ignore its rules—most recently with regard to refugee policies.
Even the most Euroskeptic governments, however, campaigned against Brexit. While European nations may want to limit the EU’s role and influence at home, both economic and security interests led them to support the UK’s membership in the EU (read our free special report on Brexit implications).
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Tuesday, July 12, 2016
Brexit Doesn’t Change the Sad Reality of Europe / Politics / European Union
Europe was already in a shambles before the Brexit vote (read Mauldin Economics’ special report on Brexit implications). The UK’s decision may have made a bad situation more volatile. Europe, however, would still be a mess if “Remain” had won.
- If Remain had won, refugees from Africa and the Middle East, many with the UK as their destination, would still be struggling across the Mediterranean or taking land routes into Eastern Europe. The EU would still be desperately trying to stem the tide and to accommodate those whom it can’t stop.
Monday, July 11, 2016
Theresa 'Cersei' May Wins Tory Game of Thrones to Seize Conservative 'Iron Throne' / Politics / BrExit
Home Secretary and master tactician Theresa 'Cersei' May surprised all by succeeding in seizing the Tory 'Iron Throne' some 2 months ahead of schedule, putting David 'Lannister' Cameron on 48 hours notice to quit No 10 Downing Street. The seeds for today's victory were sown a week ago ago as BBC newsnight revealed emerging details of a plan hatched to kill off Andrea Leadsom's building campaign before it gained further momentum.
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Monday, July 11, 2016
Gold - Wonderland / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
“If I had a world of my own, everything would be nonsense. Nothing would be what it is, because everything would be what it isn’t. And contrary wise, what is, it wouldn’t be. And what it wouldn’t be, it would. You see?” –Alice in Wonderland
Silver out performs gold as both rise with Treasury bonds, which are in turn rising with stocks, as Junk bonds hit new recovery highs while USD remains firm as inflation expectations are out of the picture. This is highly atypical, maybe even unprecedented.
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Monday, July 11, 2016
Gold And Silver – Be Afraid, At The Very Least Be Wary / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
BREXIT opened a Pandora's Box for the EU. Will the globalists shut it closed and then reseal it for generations to come? Something may be rotten in the state of Denmark, but the stench emitting from Brussels has been overpowering Europe. People in the Western world are being manipulated each and every day by the elite's mainstream press with everything that can be construed as potentially negative that stems from BREXIT as a scapegoat.
The world is drowning in debt created by the central bankers and force-fed to states like a goose being fattened for foie gras. Always, always follow the money. Almost everything wrong in the world today can be traced to debt, debt that has been foisted upon states and people by bankers for the sole purpose of enriching only the shadow globalists. At the end of the day, the tab gets passed onto everyone else to pay. That is the sole purpose of the bail-outs and bail-ins. Nothing else, not even you, matters to the elites.
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Monday, July 11, 2016
SPX testing the Cycle Top Resistance / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The SPX Premarket is challenging the 2-hour Cycle Top at 2136.81 this morning. Indications are, we may see a probe higher at the open. Although it did not go above the 2134.72 high of May 20, 2015 on Friday, it may do so this morning.
Does that hurt the bearish case? Probably not. You will note that May 19 was exactly 8.6 years (3141.6 days) from the October 11, 2007 high. The time has arrived fro a change of trend. However, I believe that the central banks have been pushing against that change of trend. Thus we have the Orthodox Broadening Top. A move above the upper trendline, called a throw-over, does not invalidate the formation.
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Monday, July 11, 2016
What US Economic Recovery; 62% of Americans Don't Even Have $1000 in Savings / Economics / US Economy
"He who is plenteously provided for from within, needs but little from without." ~ Johann Wolfgang Von Goethe
A key sign of financial health is savings; if one does not have a decent amount of money tucked away for a rainy day, it is a sign that all is not well. Americans have a very hard time sticking to a budget and saving, compared to their Asian counterparts. This is reflected in the startling revelation that over 62% of Americans do not even have $1000 in their savings account. Foreigners are shocked when they find out that Americans have so little money saved for a rainy day.
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Monday, July 11, 2016
ECB and BOJ Now Trapped in Endless Counterfeiting / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing
The Fed was able to end its massive $3.7 trillion series of Quantitative Easing campaigns without the stock market and economy falling apart. The end of QE 3, in October of 2014, did cause temporary turmoil in the major averages; but all in all, it did not lead to a protracted market decline, nor did it immediately send the economy into a recession.
The consensus view then became that the Fed’s strategy of unprecedented interest rate and monetary manipulations was a huge success, and it would be able to slowly raise the Fed Funds rate with impunity.
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Monday, July 11, 2016
Fool's Errand: NATO Pledges Four More Years of War in Afghanistan / Politics / Afghanistan
The longest war in US history just got even longer. As NATO wrapped up its 2016 Warsaw Summit, the organization agreed to continue funding Afghan security forces through the year 2020. Of course with all that funding comes US and NATO troops, and thousands of contractors, trainers, and more.
President Obama said last week that the US must keep 3,000 more troops than planned in Afghanistan. The real reason is obvious: the mission has failed and Washington cannot bear to admit it. But Obama didn't put it that way. He said:
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Monday, July 11, 2016
UK Savings Market Review / Personal_Finance / Savings Accounts
As far as the savings market was concerned, the first half of 2016 was a total wipe-out. In fact, research from Moneyfacts.co.uk shows that, since the start of the year, savers have witnessed a vast number of rate cuts, which have caused rates to plummet to new lows. For example, the average five-year fixed rate has fallen by a whopping 0.63% since January this year.
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Monday, July 11, 2016
Repeat Of 70s Pattern Shows That Silver $675 Price Is Realistic / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
In my previous silver article, I highlighted a very bullish pattern/fractal on the 100-year silver chart. It was a very big picture view of silver, which is really difficult to perceive within our current reality. However, at some point in time, it will catch up with our current reality. This will likely happen when the monetary system collapses.
Silver, even more than gold, is the opposite of what is considered a monetary asset (debt, like a federal reserve note), today. This is mainly because silver has been completely demonetized, whereas gold is still a part of the current system (think central banks gold reserves). When the illusion of money (value) is exposed for what it is (worthless paper or digits), then people will demand real money (value) like silver and gold.
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Monday, July 11, 2016
Stocks VIX & SP500 Comparison of 2008 Market Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Today I like to share my thoughts about the S&P 500 index, the volatility index, and what I believe will be the trigger/event which sends stock markets around the world to new multi-year lows.
While the charts shown here are very simple there is a lot of information behind the scenes that backup the analysis/predictions on the charts below.
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