Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, October 08, 2008
Financial Markets Regulations, Baseball and the Law of Unintended Consequences / Stock-Markets / Market Regulation
By: Frank_Holmes
With the World Series coming up soon, it seems timely to compare some key financial regulations to the rules of baseball.
Say the visiting team scores on an error in the top of the first and the home team fails to score in the bottom of the inning. Under the current mark-to-market rule for securities, known as FAS 157, the game would be over at that point -- there would be no chance to play the other eight innings so the home team could try to get the run back.
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Wednesday, October 08, 2008
Nasdaq QQQQ Trends Remains Bearish / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
By: Mike_Paulenoff
In a few of my recent updates in the Q's (NASDAQ: QQQQ), I mentioned an optimal next trading target zone of 33.00 to 31.50. With this morning's low at 31.35, I am on alert, watching the pattern development off of the new low in an effort to determine if the Q's are a high confidence buy (yet). With that in mind, let's notice the near-term declining tops line off of yesterday's mid-session peak prior to the last hour plunge.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 08, 2008
Stocks Bear Market Returns With a Vengeance / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Christopher_Quigley
The bear has returned with a vengeance. It looks like the Paulson bailout package was too little too late. The lines in all the major averages that were being drawn since June have now been crashed to the downside. Thus our decision to wait on the sideline last month has been vindicated. It was one of the worst stock market months in years and it is bound to get much uglier before a bottom is reached. Hopefully capitulation will come sooner rather than later. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 08, 2008
Stock Market Crash- Where's the Bottom? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Weekly_Wizards
Our Wizards Harry Boxer, Mike Paulenoff and Jack Steiman weigh in this week on the direction of the markets.
According to Boxer, author of The Technical Trader : We are in a critical mode in the market. From mid-August to early October, literally only 6 weeks, that's all it's taken for the NDX to go from 1973 down to 1329, nearly 650 points, or about a third of its value, culminating with a spike down into what looks like perhaps very close to an important major low. We'll see if that occurs. There are very difficult fundamentals right now in the economy and we're not getting any good news. But we are stretched to the downside way more than we'd expect, and the oscillators, the VIX/VIXN and many other technical indicators I follow are at multiyear, if not historical, levels.
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Tuesday, October 07, 2008
Stock Markets to Fall Another 25% Due to Margin Debt Deleveraging / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Ashraf_Laidi
There is one concrete reason why US indices could lose at least another 20-25% from current levels. The powerful correlation between margin debt usage by member firms of the NY Stock Exchange and the trend of major indices such as the S&P500 and the Dow Jones Industrials Average suggests further selling ahead in the main indices. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 07, 2008
Stock Market Elliott Wave Analysis and Silver Recessions / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Roland_Watson
When is it going to end for the stock market woes and for silver? The Elliott Wave analysis which helped us see this major top for silver and gold is giving a signal for the general stock market as we find it in the S&P 500. The chart below sums it up and tells us that the S&P bear market is almost over. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 06, 2008
European Government's Panic Triggers Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Black Monday ended with European stock markets down by between 7% and 9%, wiping out more than $2 trillion from global market capitalisation as markets collapsed in response to the disunified panic moves by individual european governments to guarantee all deposits at 100% which is contrary to the outcome of the weekend crisis meeting of European leaders that's only significant result was for a £12billion package of loans for small businesses. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 06, 2008
Stock Market Rebounds from Crash Low Amidst Extreme Volatility / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Harry_Boxer
The markets had another historic day today with extreme volatility both up and down, mostly to the downside early. The indices opened sharply lower on a gap-down and slid hard, had a sharp morning bounce that took the NDX from 1358 back to 1406 , nearly a 50-point rally. At the same point the SPX went from 1027 to 1056, but they were unable to sustain. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 06, 2008
Bailout Plan Continuation of a Corrupt Banking System / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis Bailouts
By: Mick_Phoenix
Welcome to the Weekly Report. A couple of weeks ago one of my subscribers asked me this question: "Does your scenario change of how you think things will play out i.e. bubble, easy money, inflation in fiat money supply, inflation in commodities and hard assets, inflation, fear of inflation, rising rates, YC inverting, flattening, rising and inverting again, tightening, withdrawal of liquidity, corrections, crashes, talk of stagflation, FEAR, withdrawal of speculative funds, further corrections and crashes, demand collapse.......Deflation. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 06, 2008
Global Credit Freeze Prompts Panic Bailouts to Prevent Financial Collapse / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Mike_Shedlock
In a sea of red, government bonds and are gold both rising as the world's banking system cracks under the weight of the biggest debt expansion in history. Credit Freeze Prompts New Bailouts
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Monday, October 06, 2008
The Big Bailout of 2008 Will FAIL to Rescue Crashing Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis Bailouts
By: Michael_J_Kosares
The chickens come home to roost - You get a sense that America's chickens have come home to roost. Instead of learning from our past mistakes though, as the idiom above is meant to suggest, the nation appears intent on compounding them. The Great American Bailout of 2008 is simply more of the same -- more debt, more easy money, more moral hazard, more taxpayer responsibility, and more government intervention. Quite literally, the government has once again applied a band aid, papered the problem over and delayed once more what will certainly be an even worse day of reckoning. Yes, the chickens have come home to roost, but for all the roosting all we have gotten is more chickens. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 06, 2008
Crashing Nasdaq QQQQ Have Unfinished Business on the Downside / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Mike_Paulenoff
While the cash SPX violated its 62% support level of the 2002-2007 bull phase, the Q's (NASDAQ: QQQQ) have just tested the similar level at 33.33, which thus far has held the selling onslaught. In that my weekly RSI momentum gauge is making new lows, coupled with breakdown of the SPX, suggests strongly that the Q's still have some unfinished biz on the downside. My next near-term optimal targets are 31.70/50 and then 30.00-28.90.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 06, 2008
Bailout Dramas Generate More Stock Market Black Mondays / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Regent_Markets
Another dramatic weekend saw four banks receive government bail outs, not to
mention the further file sales and mergers. Mondays have been chaos for the
last few weeks, as governments on both sides of the pond prefer to work
through major announcements, mergers, and bailouts, over the relative calm of
the weekend. Although Bradford and Bingley grabbed the headlines in the UK,
governments in Belgium, the Netherlands, and Luxemburg had to throw billions
at Fortis, while Germany guaranteed loans to Hypo Real Estate. In the US,
investors waved goodbye to Wachovio as a takeover by Wells Fargo pleased
traders, in part as it indicated further mergers and acquisitions might be on
the cards. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 06, 2008
Nasdaq Break Below 2000 Confirms Severe Collapse of the Economy / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Jack_Steiman
Before I get in to what took place today I want to discuss a very important breakdown in the Nas today. If we go back to late 2005 and again late 2006 there is a very nice double bottom at Nas 2000. Yes, we closed below it yesterday but only by 1% and with the House decision on the bill today, it was an important day to see if the Nas could get itself back above that critical 2000 level. The fact that it feel more than 1% to 1947 confirms officially that 2000 break. A triple bottom breakdown. Nasty stuff. When an index retests a low as the Nas did late in 2006 in is very important that this level gets defended on any future selling. Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, October 05, 2008
Stock Market Approaching Significant Low for a Counter-trend Rally / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
Long-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over earlier than anticipated and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2012-2014.
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Sunday, October 05, 2008
Credit Chaos Next– The Mother of all Bank Runs? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
Nouriel Roubini: Next – the mother of all bank runs? “It's plain that the current financial crisis is worsening in spite of – or perhaps because of – the Treasury rescue plan. “The strains in financial markets are becoming more, rather than less, severe in spite of the nuclear option of a $700 billion package: Interbank spreads are widening and are at a level never seen before; credit spreads are widening to new peaks; short-term Treasury yields are going back to near-zero levels as there is flight to safety; credit default swap (CDS) spreads for financial institutions are rising to extreme levels as the ban on shorting of financial stock has moved the pressures on financial firms to the CDS market; and stock markets around the world have reacted very negatively to this rescue package.
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Sunday, October 05, 2008
Fear Grips Stock Markets as Economies Tip Into Recession / Stock-Markets / Global Financial System
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
Whew – what a wild week! Global stock markets and commodities tumbled, whereas government bonds and the US dollar surged amid mounting fears that the ongoing turmoil in financial markets was foreshadowing a hard landing for the US and Europe.
The first-ever trillion-dollar loss (as measured by the Dow Jones Willshire 5000 Index) on Wall Street came on Monday in the wake of the US House of Representatives failing to gather enough votes to pass the $700 billion bank rescue package. Globally, more than $1.7 trillion got wiped off the MSCI World Index.
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Sunday, October 05, 2008
Stock Markets Oversold Due for a Relief Rally / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Burk
The good news is: We are probably near a tradable rally.
Short Term - Last Monday the financial system bailout was rejected for lack of pork, that oversight was corrected Friday. News of the bailout failure sent volume ratios on both the NYSE and NASDAQ to extremes not seen since October 19, 1987. Other breadth ratios hit extremes rarely seen.
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Saturday, October 04, 2008
Stocks Secular Bear Market Immune to Bailout Government Manipulation / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Tim_Wood
By every historical measure the equity markets slipped into a secular bear market in 2000. As a result, we began to see efforts by the powers that be to keep the market afloat. I have stated all along that manipulation, will ultimately not work. I have also stated all along that all this will do is make matters worse in the end. Well, I would think that everyone can now see, matters are indeed much worse. Yet, the Fed, the Treasury and the politicians continue to think that they can “fix” the problem by throwing more money at it. They do not understand that they can't “fix” this economic crisis. They also do not understand that it is their trying to “fix” things in the past that has created the current situation. All markets as well as the economy must both inhale and exhale. They are trying to prevent the exhaling and it ain't gonna work. Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, October 04, 2008
Profiting Amid Financial Markets Chaos / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
By: Joseph_Russo
The Greatest Lie Ever Told
Now that the authorities essentially have received what they asked for, it will be with great interest that we will observe the equity market reaction. Given the potential response to mass recognition that the entire financial system may be nothing more than a gargantuan sham, it would not surprise us in the least to witness a four-digit one-day decline in the Dow before this bear is over.
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