Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Wednesday, July 08, 2015

GreExit Feta Complete, Stock Market Lindsay Forecast / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Ed_Carlson

On Sunday Greeks voted on an economic program that no longer exists, in a referendum which was of questionable legality. Grexit seems to be a fait accompli.

In the meantime, regardless of the Greek vote, US markets will continue to do what they do. The Hybrid Lindsay forecast calls for a low early this week followed by a rally to, roughly, July 15. In addition to Middle Section forecasts which are the heart of the "hybrid" model, other methods (Lindsay's and my own) are forecasting a high in this time period.

Tuesday, July 07, 2015

Greece Debt Crisis to Trigger Euro-zone Credit Freeze, Expiry of Greek Euro Bank Notes / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Nadeem_Walayat

According to to Syriza politicians, Tsipras and Varoufakis a NO vote would have delivered the Greek people victory in its negotiation with the Troika with promises of an agreement already on the table and of course the banks would reopen Tuesday. Which just like a string of promises made for the whole of 2015 have proved totally worthless propaganda aimed at convincing a delusional Greek electorate that a paradise of sorts was awaiting them if only they voted NO / committed mass suicide, the reality of which is only slowly starting to dawn on an increasingly panicky Greek people who are experiencing economic collapse accelerate on a daily basis.

Tuesday, July 07, 2015

Stock Market Panic Decline May be About to Begin / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX appears to be bouncing from the Broadening Wedge trendline and retesting the neckline of its Head & shoulders formation. The lack of any meaningful bounces here is profound.

Tuesday, July 07, 2015

SPX Sinking Premarket / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The retracement appears to be playing out in the futures. The Wave (a) high was 2078.94 on July 2 while the overnight futures appear to have topped out in a 9-wave (c) at 2077.94. It is still unclear whether it will continue to rally after the open, but the futures favor a failurs.

The Premarket is still positive, up .75 while the futures are down -7.80 as I write. The Cycles Model suggests we may still rally today. The Cycles Trading Channels suggest a possible top near 2082.65, which is very close to the Ending Diagonal trendline.

Tuesday, July 07, 2015

Marc Faber Warns: “Wake Up, People Of The World! Greece Will Come To You …Very Soon” / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Bloomberg

- World is “over-indebted”, Mark Faber tells Bloomberg
- “Defaults will follow or they will have to create very high inflation rates”
- Greece will leave EU or Troika will take 50% “haircut”
- Leaving EU may be Greece’s best option

Tuesday, July 07, 2015

Dow INDU Stocks Index Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Rambus_Chartology

We are getting a test of the low from the big decline last Monday which is to be expected as many times it takes multiple tests before support really sticks. This is now the moment of truth as this low needs to hold support or a bigger decline can be expected. There is the 200 dma, the time cycle low and the very high volume spike from last Monday, in the down to up volume chart, that are showing this could be an important low.

Tuesday, July 07, 2015

SPX Stocks Index Still on a Sell Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

There is a big hole in today’s trading session during which trading was halted. Stocks soared during the halt and quit rising just as soon as the problem was supposedly “fixed.” How can we trust a market like this?

Right now I am taking the approach that the zigzag decline may have been a sub-Minute Wave (b). That means Wave (c) is underway and is likely to finish tomorrow. I should note, however, that SPX could easily reverse on a moment’s notice and that it remains on a sell signal.

Tuesday, July 07, 2015

Greece Takes Stock Market Down....Merkel Playing Hardball....... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

There was bad news over the weekend as far stocks markets around the world were concerned. They preferred a yes vote from the people of Greece. Keeps things status quo. Didn't happen. The people voted no on austerity. No status quo. Change is what they want. They figure they have nothing to lose. Markets hated the vote and down those futures went. Way down. In Europe as much as 4%. Our market was down 1.5%. As usual, that more than changed by the time we woke up this morning. The nastiness cut in half, and not only that, for a moment today, when things looked better overseas based on rumors, the market went green. It hung in there until Angela Merkel, the leader of Germany, told Greece there would be no supply of liquidity based on the terms they wanted. Unacceptable, thus no liquidity.

Tuesday, July 07, 2015

Bill Gross on Greece: 'We're in the Eye of the Hurricane' / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Bloomberg

Bill Gross of Janus Capital spoke with Bloomberg Television's Erik Schatzker and Guy Johnson about Greece's debt.

On whether he is surprised by the calm reaction of the markets, Gross said: "Yes, I am surprised...It appears that we're in the eye of the hurricane. I do not believe that this situation really is calm."

Monday, July 06, 2015

Dow Stocks Bear Market Underway / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Austin_Galt

The final high to the Dow's bull market was put in on the 20th May 2015 at 18351. This was outlined in client analysis the following day titled Dow Final High. For those following the continuous intraday charts, there was a clear bearish double top around 18350. It is my expectation that a bear market is now underway. I don't wait for any mainstream nonsense that requires a 20% fall. I leave that stuff for the fools.

Monday, July 06, 2015

Marc Faber Warns of Greece Crisis Contagion Very High Risk / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Bloomberg

Marc Faber, Editor of the Gloom, Boom & Doom Report, spoke with Bloomberg Television's Olivia Sterns and Matt Miller about the contagion risk posed by the Greek debt crisis and the prospects for a resolution. He also discussed the Chinese stock market.

When asked whether we are actually going to see contagion spread further, Faber said: "I think the likelihood of contagion is very high. And I have to say when you have a borrower, you also have a lender. And it's actually, in my view, amazing how the EU kept on pumping money into Greece, partly also to bail out their own banks. And suddenly now the debt is no longer manageable."

Monday, July 06, 2015

Greece to Print Counterfeit Euros or IOUs, Hyper-Inflation Beckons / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The shock decisive NO referendum vote as the Greek electorate fell for Syriza propaganda that painted a picture of Greeks being the victims of the evil Troika has seen mainstream press focus turm (perhaps after googling) turn to Greece's banking system collapse that remains closed with as little as Euro 50 per day being allowed for withdrawals, as the banks are fast running out of Euro bank notes with cash points expected to completely run dry by Wednesday.

Monday, July 06, 2015

Stock Market, Investing Big Picture / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Peter_Schiff

The past four years or so have been extremely frustrating for investors like me who have structured their portfolios around the belief that the current experiments in central bank stimulus, the anti-business drift in Washington, and America's mediocre economy and unresolved debt issues would push down the value of the dollar, push up commodity prices, and favor assets in economies with relatively low debt levels and higher GDP growth. But since the beginning of 2011, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has rallied 67% while the rest of the world has been largely stuck in the mud. This dominance is reminiscent of the four years from the end of 1996 to the end of 2000, when the Dow rallied 54% while overseas markets languished. Although past performance is no guarantee of future results, a casual look back at how the U.S. out-performance trend played out the last time it had occurred should give investors much to think about.

Monday, July 06, 2015

“Oxi!” - Greeks Defy Eu As Varoufakis Resigns To Ease Tensions With “Partners” / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: GoldCore

- Brave Greeks vote overwhelmingly against austerity
- Varoufakis resigns to clear air for next phase of negotiations
- We think a Greek debt deal is highly likely over the next few days
- EU elites had hoped “yes” vote would force the replacement of Syriza with unelected technocratic experts
- Syriza may nationalize banks to protect depositors from “bail-ins”
- UK slashes Deposit Insurance from £85,000 to £75,000
- Europe and the world now in uncharted waters, gold will protect

Monday, July 06, 2015

Stock Market Rally in a Downtrend? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market

Intermediate trend - SPX may have started an intermediate correction

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.

Monday, July 06, 2015

Stock Market is Going Take Another Spill! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Brad_Gudgeon

Last weekend, I was negative on the stock market.  I also expected an 8 TD top by July 2.  We got a late week rally. Now we have the Sun opp. Pluto today and Sun/Mars making a cardinal t-sq. to Uranus/Pluto into July 12. This makes for wild swings in the market. I have a TLC low due 7/8, but the shallow angle begs for a low the day before or 7/7 (as happened last week) right on the 4 TD low.

Monday, July 06, 2015

Syriza Convinces Greece to Commit Suicide, GrExit Beckons, Market Reaction / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Syriza has successfully managed to convince the mass of the people of Greece of their victim hood at the hands of the evil Troika and thus to vote NO in a referendum engineered for such an outcome as phrased by a question which basically boiled down to "Do you want Austerity", "YES or NO", to which obviously on face value 90% would be inclined to vote NO. However, it had been hoped that most Greeks would be able to see through Syriza's thick propaganda smoke screen that in recent days had been ramping up the message of a virtual paradise to follow a NO vote.

Sunday, July 05, 2015

Greece's Problems are the Tip of the Iceberg, China Crisis Underway / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis 2015

By: ...

MoneyMorning.com Michael E. Lewitt writes: America celebrates the July 4^th holiday under the threat of homegrown terrorism while global financial markets face a trifecta of threats from Greece, Puerto Rico and China.

And those are just the immediate threats – the world still has to deal with the longer term threat of hundreds of trillions of dollars in debts that it can never hope to pay back and the pursuit of failed central bank policies that are destined to send markets over the cliff sooner rather than later….

Sunday, July 05, 2015

Financial and Commodity Markets Become Scary: Crash Point Or Turning Point? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: GoldSilverWorlds

We cannot remember having seen so many markets at critical points simultaneously. It is truly astonishing. Scary movie or turning points? We do not know for sure, but let’s review the strategic assets in order to get an understanding of the likely scenarios going forward.

First and foremost, the TED spread is about to cross a critical resistance level. We look at the TED spread as a fear indicator, a signal that a correction is coming. The steady rise of the TED spread since last summer is not a healthy signal. The trillion dollar question is how far it will go, and which markets it will hit.

Saturday, July 04, 2015

Happy 4th of July Stock Market Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Tony_Caldaro

The week started off at SPX 2102, then dropped to 2057 on a gap down Monday. After that the market gapped up three days in a row, but only managed to get back to SPX 2085 by Thursday. Then ended the holiday shortened week at SPX 2077. For the week the SPX/DOW lost 1.20%, the NDX/NAZ lost 1.25%, and the DJ World lost 1.6%. On the economic front positive reports continued to outpace negative ones. On the uptick: pending home sales, the Chicago PMI, consumer confidence, the ADP, ISM manufacturing, construction spending, the WLEI, plus the unemployment rate declined. On the downtick: Case-Shiller, auto sales, factory orders, plus weekly jobless claims rose and payrolls declined. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by the FOMC minutes, ISM services and Consumer credit.