Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, November 22, 2013
Stock Market On the Edge of a Trend Change / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The final pattern continues to change in such a way as to allow this alternate wave pattern, if the November 18 high is exceeded. Allowing for that event, Minute Wave [v] may go to 1804.50 or slightly higher.
As it stands, it could be counted either as a possible wave 2 or [v] of C.
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Friday, November 22, 2013
Stock Market Final High, Then the Drop? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
There appears to be one more probe higher to complete Minor Wave C of Intermediate Wave (2). I estimate that it may go as far as 1800.00, but may not be able to touch the hourly Cycle Top at 1800.70.
This does not invalidate the comments regarding the reversal made in yesterday’s Closing Commentary. If anything, it may push the ultimate low forward another day or two.
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Friday, November 22, 2013
Why 2013 Stock Market Santa Rally Will Be the Best in Years / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Money_Morning
Kyle Anderson writes: The Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 typically see their largest gains of the year in December, thanks to a surge coined the "Santa Claus rally."
Since 1929, the S&P 500 has averaged a 1.5% return in December, with markets posting positive returns more than 70% of the time. The only other month with a 1.5% average return is July, with the remaining months' average gains ranging from -1.1% to 1.2%.
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Friday, November 22, 2013
ECB Calling U.S. Out on Its QE Mistakes / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
By: InvestmentContrarian
George Leong writes: Recently, European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker Jens Weidmann said the strategy of printing money was not the solution to the eurozone crisis. (Source: Carrel, P., “Printing money not the way out of crisis: ECB’s Weidmann,” Yahoo! Finance, November 20, 2013.) Ya, no joke!
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Thursday, November 21, 2013
Is a Stocks Bear Market Right Around the Corner? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short.
What the 2007 Top Can Tell Us about the Present
The most famous law of economics that everyone learns in Econ 101 is the law of supply and demand. Essentially, if there are more buyers than sellers then prices will go up until equilibrium is reached. Conversely, if there are more sellers than buyers prices will decline. The stock market is no different.
If there are more buyers of stocks than sellers, the stock market will rise and will continue to do so until either the ranks of willing buyers thins out and/or the ranks of sellers grows. When equilibrium is reached between buyers and sellers a market begins to stall. When you have a continued stream of sellers dumping their holdings, a bear market ensues.
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Thursday, November 21, 2013
Uncle Sam Is the World's Smartest Trader / Stock-Markets / Investing 2013
By: Money_Morning
Robert Hsu writes: It's interesting that an investor in the "communist" Peoples' Republic of China can make millions tax-free... while investors in the United States - the supposed bastion of free enterprise and capitalism - have to pay, in some cases, a near-50% tax on investment gains.
If trading and investing is all about weighing risk and reward, then the tax code itself makes Uncle Sam the ultimate trader. He gets a nice chunk of your reward, even as he avoids your risk.
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Thursday, November 21, 2013
Fed Minutes Triggered Stock Market Wash and Rinse / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jesse
The market was clicking along, buoyed by weak economic news, until the Fed minutes from a month ago came out, and traders hit the markets on QE taper thoughts, despite what Chairman Ben said yesterday.
I think the corruption of some members of the Fed is unfortunate but inevitable, and sometimes barely hidden by the fig leaf of plausible deniability and the 'scientific objectivity' of economics.
Thursday, November 21, 2013
Fed Minutes Bring The Stock Markets Lower... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jack_Steiman
And that's not a bad thing at all. It wasn't a crushing blow lower, but it was a nice, solid move lower as the market used whatever it could in terms of an excuse to sell things off a bit. Mr. Bernanke spoke about keeping rates low basically forever, but some talk of tapering sooner than later, especially through the foreign banks, gave the market an excuse to sell lower.
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Wednesday, November 20, 2013
Fed on Asset Prices and QE Tapering Next Month / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank
By: Bloomberg
St. Louis Federal Reserve president, James Bullard, sat down with Bloomberg Television's Erik Schatzker this morning live from Bloomberg's The Year Ahead: 2014 conference in Chicago and said:
- Taper is 'on the table' for the central bank's next policy meeting and a strong jobs report would increase Dec. Taper chance.
- Says QE as effective as it's ever been and doesn't buy argument that QE has diminishing returns
- Fed seeks to push people into riskier assets
- Fed doesn't directly target asset prices
Wednesday, November 20, 2013
Why the Volcker Rule Is Now 3x Longer / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: Money_Morning
Shah Gilani writes: Let’s talk about the so-called Volcker Rule.
When the Dodd-Frank Act was signed into law in 2010 – the bank-busting, save the system, “we’ll never again have a financial meltdown that could destroy the world” legislation – it was more of an outline.
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Wednesday, November 20, 2013
Stock Market Rally - If It Looks Like a Bubble and Acts Like a Bubble… / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
By: DailyGainsLetter
John Paul Whitefoot writes: Maybe I’m reading into the economy too much, but the current state of the U.S. economy and Wall Street isn’t adding up. The vast majority of people don’t think we’re in a bubble, including Federal Reserve chair nominee Janet Yellen. Granted, you can only really point to a bubble in retrospect, but still, it certainly looks and feels like we are in one.
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Tuesday, November 19, 2013
Are Market Bubbles Caused by Psychological Problems? / Stock-Markets / Trader Psychology
By: Frank_Shostak
According to the popular way of thinking, bubbles are an important cause of economic recessions. The main question posed by experts is how one knows when a bubble is forming. It is held that if the central bankers knew the answer to this question they might be able to prevent bubble formations and thus prevent recessions.
Tuesday, November 19, 2013
German DAX Stocks Index Analysis / Stock-Markets / Germany
By: Ed_Carlson
Germany’s DAX index is the equivalent to America’s Dow Jones industrial index. Both indices are composed of 30 blue-chip issues. As of Friday, the DAX has scored a six-week winning streak ending the week above 9,000 for the first time in its 25-year history.
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Tuesday, November 19, 2013
Stock Market S&P Surge Above 1800 That Does Not Hold / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: The S&P 500 rose at the opening bell and broke out (briefly) above 1,800 — hitting its 0.23% intraday high 10 minutes later. The index then used Friday’s closing price as a trampoline while trading in a narrow range until the final 90 minutes of the day, when a wave of profit-taking dropped the index to a modest closing loss of 0.37%. Reuters, always eager to explain daily market behavior, attributes the late selling to Carl Icahn’s comment that he is “very cautious” about equities.
Tuesday, November 19, 2013
U.S. Debt Crisis, Evidence Fed Does Not Control Markets / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank
By: EWI
Dear Reader
Ever heard of a wedding crasher? You know -- that distant “cousin” who shows up uninvited, hangs around the open bar all night, chugs down double-everythings and falls on his butt on the dance floor -- all before mysteriously vanishing and leaving his night of indulgence on the father of the bride’s tab.
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Tuesday, November 19, 2013
The Dow Jones Stocks Index Probably Peaked Monday (18th Nov 13) / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Brian_Bloom
I recognise that I’m sticking my neck out here, but this post will be short and to the point. It seems to me that, barring significant Fed intervention, the US equity market probably peaked today. Please take the time to read my “Author Comments” that follow the Conclusion.
Tuesday, November 19, 2013
Stock Market Late Selling..... Not Anything Terrible / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jack_Steiman
It wasn't anything terrible, but it did come from some nasty looking MACD's on those daily-index charts. When studying them we see that they are making lower highs on the MACD's while printing higher highs in price. The small-cap stocks and Nasdaq look particularly poor, although with this market who knows if they'll ever play out, but you can't like what you see when looking at those charts. Add in the poor readings on sentiment and the combination, one would think, would bring about a fairly reasonable pullback, but who knows for sure. The market has been so strong it's hard to bet against it but you need to be safe when things show themselves and with today's reversals it seemed appropriate to raise some cash.
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Monday, November 18, 2013
Stock Market Bubble Melt-Up Scenario for 2014 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Clif_Droke
Market mavens have increasingly turned their talk to a possible “melt-up” scenario in the stock market. The big fear entering 2014 is that another runaway freight train-type stock market, like the one preceding the 2008 crash, is gathering momentum. The latest comment by incoming Fed president Janet Yellen only added to that speculation.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 18, 2013
Stock Market Closing In on Primary Wave III / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - Important top formation is in the making.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, November 18, 2013
One More Reason Stocks Could Go Higher From Here / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
By: DailyWealth
Brett Eversole writes: After 28% gains so far this year, U.S. stocks are on pace for their best year since 1997.
But like the rest of the world, this probably has you worried.
Most investors see high prices as a bad thing. They believe higher prices mean higher risk. And they expect a crash to come any day to fix the problem.
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