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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Friday, April 13, 2012

Sovereign Debt, Gold and Okun's Law / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis 2012

By: Richard_Mills

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIs gold's run over? Let's look at some facts.

The amount of money the federal government owes to its creditors, combined with IOUs to government retirement and other programs, now tops $15.23 trillion. That's roughly equal to the value of all goods and services the U.S. economy produces in one year: $15.17 trillion as of September, 2011.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, April 12, 2012

Minefields That Can Blow-Up Global Stock Markets in 2012 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Gary_Dorsch

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGerald Loeb was most of the most respected analysts on Wall Street, during the Great Depression years and through the following decades. He wrote an epic book, titled "The Battle for Investment Survival," last published in 1965. Many of his pearls of wisdom, concerning the financial markets and rules of investing, have withstood the test of time. Yet one has to wonder though, if Loeb's long held truths about the markets would stand up to the erratic behavior of today's world of high frequency trading (HFT). There is also the heavy hand of the world's top central banks that are actively manipulating and distorting market values, and in turn, upbraiding many of the traditional rules of the game of investing.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, April 12, 2012

What Institutional Investors Are Doing May Surprise You ... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Marty_Chenard

When you look at an old fashion pendulum clock you know that it swings from one extreme to the next. Each time it reaches an extreme it moves back down to normality (the bottom center of the swing) and then overshoots it until the next extreme.

The pendulum extremes are like being above or below the upper and lower Bollinger Band levels. The Center line in middle of a Bollinger Band is like the normality level over time.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, April 12, 2012

Stock Market Pause For Now But We'll Go Lower.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Jack_Steiman

Today we got a break in the action to the down side as the market went up for most of the day near, or above, triple digits on the Dow. We got extremely oversold on the short-term 60-minute charts, and were due for a bounce. RSI's got into the 20's, thus, today's bounce was nothing to be surprised about. The real question is was today's move up the start of something bigger for the short-term. I think the answer is clearly no.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, April 12, 2012

Gary Shilling Forecasts Stock Market 43% Crash This Year / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Bloomberg

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEconomist Gary Shilling spoke about the outlook for the U.S. economy with Bloomberg Television's Adam Johnson and Stephanie Ruhle this afternoon and said that the S&P 500 will drop 43% from its recent level this year. Shilling said, "the analysts have been cranking their numbers down...I think that is true because you have foreign earnings that don't look good because of recession unfolding in Europe, stronger dollar...a hard landing in China."

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, April 12, 2012

Stock Market Forecast for 2012 and the Following Decades, Did the Mayans Get it Right? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Glenn_Neely

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAn Interview with Glenn Neely, Founder, NEoWave, Inc.

Part 1 here, Part 2:
Stock Market Forecast for 2012 and the Following Decades

Bud Fox:                     Glenn, you are the expert in forecasting and trading in the stock market, particularly from the perspective of NEoWave and Elliott Wave Theory. What do you think will happen in December 2012? Did the Mayans get it right? Will the stock market crash?

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, April 12, 2012

Fixed Income Bonds Surges on Stock Market Pullback / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: Donald_W_Dony

Bond prices have generally moved in the opposite direction to stock indexes in the short term. The recent correction in the S&P 500 has seen fixed income prices advance across the curve. But this recent movement in bonds only tells part of the story.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, April 11, 2012

Did the Mayans Get it Right? Broad Predictions for the 2012 Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Glenn_Neely

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAn Interview with Glenn Neely, Founder, NEoWave, Inc.

Part 1:
Past Social Manias and Their Impact on the Stock Market

Bud Fox:                     I’m Bud Fox, owner of www.GreedandMoney.com, a website that specializes in technical analysis. Today it's my privilege to speak with Glenn Neely, founder of NEoWave and renowned Elliott Wave expert. In fact, Glenn was recently named a Top 10 S&P Timer by Timer Digest for the last 10 years, 8 years, 5 years, and for the entire year of 2011.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, April 10, 2012

Employment Light... Stock Market Corrective Move Continues..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Jack_Steiman

Markets, when they need to sell, look for a reason to start the sell-off. The market will often simply make up some type of excuse to get moving lower. Although, there are times when the market actually has the right news come out. That news occurred on Friday of last week. The Jobs Report came out much, much lighter than expectations, and the selling started. The futures ripped lower after the report, and held lower all weekend, allowing for a large gap down as the market opened for trading today. The market pretty much traded sideways the rest of the day as things got oversold on the short-term 60-minute charts. Once that unwound back up a bit intra-personal day, the selling started back up again very late in the session. The indexes were down roughly one percent for the day. A poor advance-decline line solidified the selling for the bears. The market has begun the process of forming a deeper-base move off the recent 1422 top on the S&P 500. Unfortunately, for the very impatient, this is going to be a longer-term situation. It's not going to be cured in just a few weeks. We are in week two, and likely will be in week 10, and more further down the road.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, April 09, 2012

Stocks Have Reached the Euphoria Stage / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Toby_Connor

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe last bull ended when the leading stock, GOOG, entered a parabolic "bubble" phase. That was the signal that the bull had reached the euphoria stage. When the GOOG bubble popped it signaled the end of the bull market.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, April 09, 2012

Stock Market Two Month Top in Place? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Andre_Gratian

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCurrent Position of the Market

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014. It is probable, however, that the steep correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.

SPX: Intermediate trend - The intermediate uptrend is still intact, but a short-term top may already have started to take shape.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, April 08, 2012

Has the Stock Market Topped? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Marc_Horn

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe current MAP wave count on the S&P 500, 4H-1 of D-1 of W-1 of M-3, indicates we are at the point of a major correction which would be confirmed with a break below 1391.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, April 08, 2012

Savings, investment, and the Keynesian preference – a follow-up / Stock-Markets / Economic Theory

By: Alasdair_Macleod

There is a general belief that government finances are somehow immune from the financial reality faced by everyone else – an illusion fostered by bond markets and supported by the public’s wishful thinking. Look no further than the plight of the eurozone for evidence of the reality. Not only that, but history tells us that countries regularly default, yet we continue to buy government bonds in the belief they are less risky than any private sector debt. And if we begin to question the status quo, we are even told by financial regulators that government debt is less risky than anything else. Banking regulation enshrines it in Basel Committee guidelines, and modern portfolio theory – which guides securities regulation – casts it in stone.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, April 07, 2012

US Stock Market Downtrend Appears Underway / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Tony_Caldaro

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAfter making a new uptrend high on monday US markets then began to weaken throughout the holiday shortened week. The SPX/DOW were -0.95% and the NDX/NAZ were mixed. Asian markets were quite mixed again -0.2%, but European markets were all lower for the third week in a row -2.9%. On the economic front positive reports outnumbered negative reports 8 to 6. On the uptick: ISM manufacturing, factory orders, auto sales, the M1-multiplier, investor sentiment, the WLEI, plus both weekly jobless and the unemployment rate improved. On the downtick: construction spending, ADP, ISM services, monthly payrolls, consumer credit and the monetary base. Next week we’ll get reports on the CPI/PPI, Export/Import prices, the twin deficits and the FED’s beige book.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, April 06, 2012

The Coming China Economic Super Crisis / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market

By: Clif_Droke

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe big X-factor for the stock market in the coming months will clearly be China. During periods when any of the major weekly or yearly cycles are bottoming and the market is vulnerable to a correction, there's always a news headline event that serves as a scapegoat for the market's weakness. Last year the scapegoat was Greece and the eurozone debt crisis. This year the void will be filled by China's slowing economy.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, April 06, 2012

Don’t Look to the Stock Market for Advice / Stock-Markets / Learning to Invest

By: Vitaliy_Katsenelson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn the classic book The Wizard of Oz, the Wizard decreed that everyone who entered the Emerald City wear green-tinted glasses. Visitors and citizens were told that this was to protect them from the “brightness and glory.” In truth, though, the Wizard had lost his mojo and become a run-of-the-mill charlatan. There was no brightness and glory, just an ordinary city built out of stone and glass.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, April 04, 2012

Stock Market Rally Beginning of the End / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Toby_Connor

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs convincing as this rally has been I am confident this is an ending phase and not the start a new secular bull market. Actually the bear market began last year in May but was temporarily aborted by massive Central Bank printing. Let me explain.

The last four year cycle that started in 2002 and bottomed in 2009 was the longest four year cycle in history. It was stretched to these extreme lengths by Bernanke's desperate strategy of debasing the currency to avoid the bear market that should have begun in 2006. Instead the stock market cycle stretched all the way into the spring of 2009.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, April 04, 2012

Has the Fed Boosted the Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleYou bet. And aggregate demand for goods and services, too. If the Fed had not expanded its balance sheet in the past few years, the weakest U.S. economic recovery in the post-WWII era would have been even weaker and U.S. stock prices would have suffered. Chart 1 shows the year-over-year percent changes in monetary financial institution (MFI) credit. Private MFI credit is made up of the sum of loans and securities of commercial banks, savings & loan associations and credit unions. Total MFI credit is private MFI credit plus assets on the books of the Federal Reserve, i.e., Fed credit.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, April 04, 2012

Stock Market Rollover Likely Starting / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Donald_W_Dony

Equity markets have sustained a steady upward trend over the past four months, many with only a brief pullback in early March. However, with buying pressure in decline since early February, the markets now appear set to retrace some of that advance as the April low approaches.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, April 03, 2012

Investing in a Low Interest Rate Market / Stock-Markets / Investing 2012

By: Investment_U

Jason Jenkins writes: For the last year, the effective federal funds interest rate has been 0.25%. The federal funds rate is considered one of the most important interest rates in the U.S. markets.

The federal funds rate is used to control the supply of available funds and hence, inflation and other interest rates. Raising the rate makes it more expensive to borrow. That lowers the supply of available money, which increases the short-term interest rates and helps keep inflation in check. Lowering the rate has the opposite effect, bringing short-term interest rates down.

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