Analysis Topic: Election Oracle
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, December 06, 2016
BrExit Tsunami Claims Emperor Renzi's Scalp, Counting Down to End of the EU, Next? / ElectionOracle / European Union
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The Italian people raged against the machine by ejecting Prime Minister Matteo Renzi from office, a person NO Italian ever elected into office! The former Mayor of Florence who Machiavelli style literally back stabbed his way into the Prime Ministership, which was effectively a coup d'etat! So it's no wonder that Renzi wanted to tamper with Italian constitution so that he could concentrate further powers into his end, eyeing his vision of proclaiming himself the New Emperor of Rome!
Saturday, December 03, 2016
First UK BrExit then Trump, Next BrExit Tsunami Wave to Hit Italy HARD Sunday! / ElectionOracle / Italy
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The people of Britain voting for freedom from an emerging european super state on 23rd of June 2016 has ignited a fire in the people across the western world who had been increasingly been turned off by pass the parcel politics of the last 40 years, one of lying politicians that had long since detached themselves from the reality of the lives of ordinary people, where over time they came to believe their own lies, and so are primed to be repeatedly shocked by the impossible. BrExit was supposed to be impossible, Trump becoming President was supposed to be impossible and we don't need to look far to see that both were shock events that the establishment, politicians, pollsters, mainstream media, markets, and bookies never saw coming.
Thursday, November 17, 2016
Donald Truimp the King of Debt Takes the Reins / ElectionOracle / US Debt
By: Peter_Schiff
The election of Ronald Reagan in 1980 provides the best recent precedent for the unexpected triumph of Donald Trump (in my opinion, the other post-war Republican takeovers of the White House -- Ike in '52, Nixon '68, and W. in '00 - did not constitute a real break from the status quo.) As many people expect great changes from Trump, it is worthwhile to look at what the Reagan Revolution actually wrought.
Wednesday, November 16, 2016
How Trump's Election Victory Will Galvanize Kindred Spirits in Europe / ElectionOracle / European Union
By: STRATFOR
Donald Trump's victory in the U.S. presidential election was cause for celebration among Europe's largest anti-establishment political forces. Party leaders from France's National Front, Italy's Five Star Movement and the Netherlands' Party of Freedom offered congratulations to the president-elect, thrilled by his demonstration that the political and media establishment can be thwarted. Like Trump, they hope to ride the wave of anti-establishment fervor building on both sides of the Atlantic to power in 2017, when some of the European Union's biggest economies will hold national elections.
Wednesday, November 16, 2016
Why Nate Silver / Fivethirtyeight is one of the Most Reliable Election Forecasts Indicator? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Nate Silver or more correctly his fivethirtyfive.com site got the US Presidential election of 2016 very badly wrong, for instance they had Hillary on a probability of at least 88% a few weeks out from the election day and about an hour before the polls closed had Hillary on a winning 71% against Trump trailing on just 29%.
Monday, November 14, 2016
Delirium of Trump Mania Win's Mr BrExit US Presidential Election 2016 / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
So Donald Trump, Mr BrExit WON the US Presidential Election of 2016 despite the fact that right up until the polls closed the pollsters, the mainstream media journalists and paid pundits, the so called analysts, financial markets and even betting markets ALL had concluded that Hillary Clinton was going to win. How did he do it and why did nearly every analyst get it so badly wrong?
We'll find out why in my latest and last video analysis on the US Presidential election of 2016. One where the pollster number crunches were all looking in the wrong direction for as I repeatedly pointed out that the US polls would turn out to be just as wrong as they were for the UK's EU Referendum, this election was never about the numbers as I explain why -
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, November 12, 2016
Donald Trump’s March to the Presidency / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Walter_Brasch
The near-impossible has happened, and Donald Trump is three months from being President Trump. From local elections to the presidency, this general election may have been the most vicious since Thomas Jefferson challenged John Adams in 1800. Both major candidates turned to attack ads to enhance their own campaigns.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, November 12, 2016
The Revolution of the Deplorables / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Barry_M_Ferguson
“I look to a day when people will not be judged by the color of their skin, but by the content of their character.” - Dr. Martin Luther King
Amen.
Unfortunately, we live in an age of profound ignorance and stupidity. Students of color attending UCal-Berkeley decided they needed a ‘safe place’ on campus so they have prevented students not of their same color from passing into their selected zone. They shouted, ‘Go around!’. Isn’t that the same message Rosa Parks heard on buses until she decided to raise her own rebel flag and take a seat. It seems that those who claim to abhor racism are the racists. Bigots come in every color.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, November 12, 2016
Delirium - The Real Reason Why Donald Trump Won the US Presidential Election / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
All those who failed to see Trumps election coming are now busy pumping out reams and reams of worthless drivel. They don't have a clue, they don't get it and never will, because the answer is not in text on printed and web pages. It's not even in spoken words, none of that! THIS IS the real reason why Donald Trump won! DELERIUM, waves and waves of delirium washed over the electorate to galvanise them into losing touch with reality and entering Donald Trumps altered reality. Don't believe me ? Then watch this video -
Friday, November 11, 2016
Trump, Brexit - Democrazy / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: David_Galland
Dear Parader,
I began writing this week’s musings on a small notepad while sitting in the Homeowners Association Meeting here in La Estancia de Cafayate.
For the record, I have a near phobic dislike of sitting in meetings that ranks right up there with filling in government forms.
To my way of thinking, business that could be handled efficiently by a couple of well-intentioned and reasonably intelligent individuals in 15 minutes takes a larger group several hours to reach either the same conclusion or something less efficacious.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 11, 2016
Hillary, Obama and Media -- the Victims of Their Own Illusion and Propaganda and Making Trump the President / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Dr_R_M_Mathew
The credit for the ‘stunning’ or ‘unbelievable’ victory of Donald Trump goes to Hillary Clinton, Barak Obama and their bribed or obedient Medias and above all their Quixotic Propaganda. Hillary propaganda can be considered as the most strategically idiotic and blunder-some political exercise leading to her own self-defeat and the uneasy victory of Donald Trump. They made Donald Trump the real hero and savior of the American Dream and Interest.
Thursday, November 10, 2016
President-elect Trump: The beginning of an Era? Or the End of one? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Michael_T_Bucci
Everyone was so certain. The pollsters and poll watchers almost uniformly predicted a Trump defeat – among them the celebrated Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight who gave Trump only a thirty-eight percent chance of winning heading into Election Day.
Of the eleven national polls to be released in the final week of the race, only two – a Los Angeles Times/USC survey and one from IBD/TIPP – showed Trump with the lead (TheHill, Nov. 9). These polls proved the most accurate for two consecutive presidential cycles.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 10, 2016
How Terminator Donald Trump Won the US Presidency and What He Will Do in Office / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
How Terminator Donald Trump Won the US Presidency and What He Will Do in Office
Shock and horror on the faces of Democrats and many republican establishment politicians is real and so is that which the Donald Trump Terminator Presidency represents for them. For Donald really is the TERMINATOR, this guy does NOT know how to stop, How to back down, he is NOT a politician. Those who think he will calm down and it will be business as usual are deluding themselves.
Wednesday, November 09, 2016
BrExit Swing States Win Donald Trump the Presidential Election 2016 As Forecast / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
BREXIT! The pollsters, mainstream press pundits, analysts, markets and bookies ALL Got the US Presidential Election badly WRONG. This is the second time this year that they ALL got a major election badly wrong. Not even coming close to forecasting this election from the New York Times to Nate Silver downwards, thousands writing reams and reams of garbage presenting the view that Donald Trump cannot possibly win, right up to the close of the polls.
Wednesday, November 09, 2016
Betting Markets Confirm Donald Trump Has Won / Wins U.S. Presidential Election 2016 / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The betting markets that following the close of the polls leapt to discount a Hillary Clinton win who by 1am (UK) Polls+1hr, had Trump trading on an impossible to win 12 with Hillary Clinton on 1.09 as illustrated below, that had the mainstream media pundits, pollsters and other analysts on the likes of CNN slapping themselves on the back for having correctly called the election as the results appeared to be turning out as they expected would, well.....
Wednesday, November 09, 2016
US Presidential Election Betting Markets Odds Now Forecast Trump Could WIN - BrExit Factor! / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Observing extreme volatility on Election night as we countdown to the critical too close to call Florida result! For instance the betting markets an hour before the US polls closed had Trump trading at 6.6 - That's at about 11pm UK Time.
Tuesday, November 08, 2016
Hillary Clinton Wins US Election 2016 According to Pollsters, Bookies and Stock Market, BrExit? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
As we count down the close of the polls virtually every opinion pollster analyst, book makers and the financial markets are strongly discounting a Hillary Clinton election win. So is America ripe for its very own BrExit moment? When the polls turn out to be WRONG as they were for Brexit.
Tuesday, November 08, 2016
US Election 2016 - Small-town America Will Decide the Fate of Everyone / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: John_Mauldin
One congressional district in a state that nobody pays attention to could find itself at the center of American politics. That district’s single electoral vote could spell the difference between a razor-thin win and a tie. Seriously.
Maine is one of just two states that apportion electoral votes by congressional district and not by the total state count. The state has four total votes. Two go to the statewide winner, and one each goes to the winners in the two congressional districts.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 08, 2016
Neither Election Candidate Has the Character to Govern the US / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: John_Mauldin
BY GEORGE FRIEDMAN : This year’s campaign has got to be one of the strangest of all time. We have two major candidates running for president. One says strange things. One does strange things.
Donald Trump has been accused of collaborating with the Russian president and his intelligence service. He is on tape claiming that he can have sex with anyone he wants.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 08, 2016
Trump's Top 5 Target States: Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, New Hampshire and Nevada in Rigged Election / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
There's about 5 hours to go until the polls start to close in the craziest, zaniest Presidential election in living memory, that which pitted reality TV star 'billionaire' Donald Trump against career Washington insider Hillary Clinton. With Hillary being the clear favourite to win, so here are what I deem to be Trumps Top 5 target swing states based on the last 72 hours of Trump campaigning, those states he has been targeting in an attempt to flip to red and win the US Presidential election.