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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Currencies

Tuesday, March 31, 2009

U.S. Dollar Rally Due to Weak Equities Falters / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: ForexPros

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe USD is holding gains in late New York as traders continue to digest weekend developments; focus is on the upcoming G-20 meeting which is expected to produce solid plans for addressing the developing global economic crisis but smart money is not anticipating anything concrete at this point. More interest is on how the ECB may move interest rates with a strong expectations of at least a 25 BP rate cut heavily factored in. In my view, any hint that the ECB will stand pat or make less than a 25 BP cut will likely fuel a short-covering rally although a case can be made for a “buy the rumor/sell the fact” rally anyway.

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Currencies

Monday, March 30, 2009

U.S. Dollar Rallies on Flight to Quality as Fundamentals Continue to Weaken / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: ForexPros

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe USD firmed up overnight as follow-on selling found stops in the majors. Overnight news that Spain will offer its first bailout during the current financial crisis pushed EURO into stops under the 1.3200 area and below keeping the rate under pressure throughout the evening. Bids ahead of 1.3150 offered initial support but traders note more stops under the 1.3150 area are building. High prints in Asia at 1.3287 were offered by a US bank traders say. Adding weight are lower equities; markets reacting to news that the US government will not support the current plans by GM and Chrysler and may be looking for a bankruptcy. Traders note that investor confidence will likely take a hit on the news and expect further declines in equities during the day.

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Currencies

Monday, March 30, 2009

U.S. Dollar Index Stabilizes in April and Sell off in May / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Donald_W_Dony

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThough the longer-term picture for the U.S. Dollar Index appears bleak, with a downside target of $0.80 to $0.81 by June, models suggest the short-term outlook indicates some upward pressure building in April. Resistance is set at $0.8670 during this expected advance. Monty Carlo simulation supports the models outlook with a 95% probability that the currency will trade outside of the $0.70 to $0.83 band over the next 100 days.

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Currencies

Sunday, March 29, 2009

China Zhou Xiaochuan: We Need An International Currency / Currencies / Global Financial System

By: Ronald_R_Cooke

China wants to divorce the dollar. Good move. The dollar is on the brink of considerable depreciation. Premier Wen Jiabao is concerned looming inflationary pressures will sharply decrease the value of American debt held in Chinese banks. In order to encourage create greater monetary stability, Zhou Xiaochuan wants to create an international currency unit that can be used in trade as well as a standard against which other currencies can be pegged.

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Currencies

Sunday, March 29, 2009

An International Reserve Super Currency? Bretton Woods the Third / Currencies / Global Financial System

By: Oxbury_Research

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMarch 24 (Bloomberg) -- China 's call for a new international reserve currency may signal its concern at the dollar's weakness and ambitions for a leadership role at next week's Group of 20 summit, economists said. Central bank Governor Zhou Xiaochuan yesterday urged the International Monetary Fund to create a “super-sovereign reserve currency.” The dollar weakened after the Federal Reserve said it would buy Treasuries and the U.S. government outlined plans to buy illiquid bank assets.

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Currencies

Thursday, March 26, 2009

U.S. Dollar Expected to Extend Losses Ahead of Negative GDP Data / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: ForexPros

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA violent day was had by all today as the USD whipsawed in big ranges before ending the day mixed. Comments by Treasury Secretary Geithner combined with better-than-expected US data combined to confuse traders in both directions but USD bears appear to prevail into the end of the New York session. Speaking on the possibility raised by the Chinese of a one-world economic currency were deflected by Geithner into a possibility of increasing SDR money through the IMF were misinterpreted on face-value throwing the USD into a big slide against the majors extending lows back under important intraday S/R; the Greenback recovering against some pairs but not others as the day wore on.

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Currencies

Tuesday, March 24, 2009

U.S. Dollar Short-term Strength Evaporates / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: ForexPros

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAfter a brief foray into positive territory the USD is back under threat heading toward the low end of the recent ranges in late New York. Traders note that today’s action has been mostly stop driven by small accounts attempting to run with momentum but getting caught both ways. Aggressive buyers of USD from the overnight session were rewarded by new lows in the majors into the London fix but large accounts were using the dip to add to working longs and the majors reversed back toward the mid-to-high end of their ranges today; USD/CAD making lows in the process.

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Currencies

Tuesday, March 24, 2009

U.S. Dollar Imminent Collapse.. Again? - Update 5 / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe fall in the U.S. Dollar in the wake of the "Quantitative Easing" headlines has brought the Dollar collapse proponents back out of hibernation. However the actual dollar trend has shown little if any deviation from the road map of 20th Jan 09 as illustrated by the below original price chart which therefore at this point in time does not warrant an indepth update.

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Currencies

Monday, March 23, 2009

Currency Market Mayhem Amdist Stocks Bear Market Short Squeeze Rally / Currencies / US Dollar

By: David_Petch

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCurrency mayhem this week caused a rally in most commodities as the US dollar broke trend line support and headed lower in a sharp decline. Analysis today will clue into the expected trend of the US dollar over the coming weeks ahead.

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Currencies

Monday, March 23, 2009

U.S. Dollar Short-term Bounce Before Next Leg Lower / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: ForexPros

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe USD opens New York mixed this morning, higher against Yen and lower against other pairs. Overnight equities were firmer lending some support to EURO and stocks are called higher to open New York suggesting better tolerance for risk after a quiet weekend. Overnight comments from ECB president Trichet were seen as positive for the EURO also but traders note the action so far has been largely technical two-way trade. High prints at 1.3737 again drew sellers with lows at 1.3611 attracting buyers on the dips. Russian names seen on the offer traders say suggesting a possible re-balancing of the Ruble basket.

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Currencies

Sunday, March 22, 2009

How China Could Use Currency as a Weapon / Currencies / China Currency Yuan

By: Money_and_Markets

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBryan Rich writes: China's currency policy is pretty far down the list of priorities for the U.S. Treasury staff. But it could be the turning point in this economic crisis — and for the worse.

Pressures on China to join the free market global economy on an equal playing field have intensified over the years. That's because during the last few decades, the artificially weak yuan had given China a distinct and unfair trade advantage, which helped propel its economy to become the third largest in the world.

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Currencies

Thursday, March 19, 2009

U.S. Fed Buying Treasuries Triggering Massive Exodus Out of U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: ForexPros

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIs everybody happy? The US Fed today announced that they will be buying US Debt in huge amounts starting today and the result was a massive exodus out of the USD. Equities responded positively although more will need to be seen if investors view the progress as net-positive for equities near-term.

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Currencies

Wednesday, March 18, 2009

Economic Reflation Investing – Which Currencies Benefit? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Axel_Merk

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleReflation refers to policy makers' attempts to “reflate” the economy, to prop up what many would consider a broken system. Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Ben Bernanke made it very clear in his March 15 interview on 60 Minutes that he will attempt to stem the tide of market forces:

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Currencies

Wednesday, March 18, 2009

U.S. Dollar to Weaken on FOMC Announcement / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: ForexPros

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe USD continued to consolidate today reaching highs against the majors in early New York but failing to advance into key bullish levels. The majors recovered after the London fix rising off lows and in some pairs flirting with highs into the close. Today’s PPI and Housing Data was benign helping to underpin the possibility that inflation is not a problem and housing is beginning to recover but more data will be needed according to most analysts.

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Currencies

Tuesday, March 17, 2009

British Pound Short Squeeze Possible Towards £/$1.50 Target / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: ForexPros

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe USD ended the New York session lower but off early weakness as two-way technical trade dominated after US news this morning. A weaker NY Man. Index was offset by flat housing data today helping to keep a bid tone to equities lifting the major indices to key resistance during the day; USD traders sold the Greenback as risk-aversion mitigated a bit allowing the majors to hold moderate gains into the end of day.

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Currencies

Monday, March 16, 2009

U.S. Dollar Weakens as Flight to Safety Lightens / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: ForexPros

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe USD is mixed to open New York today after starting mildly better in Asia overnight; traders note initial disappointment from the G-20 meeting which announced nothing new and appeared to be simply a re-hash of the current economic situation created a brief push higher for the Greenback. After testing previous resistance levels across the board the USD began a slide through European trade and is weak at the start of New York with the exception of USD/JPY. The rate is still holding the 98.00 handle after testing the 98.50 area of reported supply with stops noted above but offers continue to hold the rate back into an inside-range day so far.

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Currencies

Thursday, March 12, 2009

U.S. Dollar Topping, Aggressive Traders Should Sell the Dollar / Currencies / Futures Trading

By: ForexPros

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleVolatility was the rule again today but USD action was not as pronounced as yesterday’s whipsaw and the USD ended mixed against the majors to finish New York today. Most of the majors ended after testing important S/R areas and finishing the other side suggesting that the USD is continuing to top around current levels. Ending near the highs after a pullback during the day was GBP and EURO.

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Currencies

Wednesday, March 11, 2009

Forex Markets High Short-term Volatility / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: ForexPros

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt was a wild ride in the major pairs today as the USD fell sharply ahead of the New York open only to reverse hard and make highs in some pairs ahead of the close; traders note that participants were caught “wrong footed” after the New York open and stops from late longs in some pairs liquidated trades done expecting a higher close in the majors.

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Currencies

Tuesday, March 10, 2009

U.S. Dollar Overwhelming Bullish Sentiment Signs of a Top / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: ForexPros

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe USD is holding gains into the end of New York trading today after solid two-way action overnight put the Greenback on the offensive into this morning. Rising to new weekly highs against GBP and yearly highs against CAD; other major pairs remain range-bound and inside-range. Traders note that cross-spreaders for GBP pairs kept Sterling on the defense all day putting in a low print at 1.3741 before stabilizing back on the 1.3800 handle for most of the day. Investor confidence remains weak to start the week as equities remained under pressure and traders note some flight to quality buying of USD was seen but remind that the Greenback is over-bought in the near-term.

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Currencies

Monday, March 09, 2009

British Pound Plunged Through Support Levels Towards Fresh Dollar Lows / Currencies / US Dollar

By: ForexPros

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe USD is higher this morning after a slow start on the defense in Asia, the majors making the best levels of the day ahead of European trade. The Greenback is making fresh highs against the majors in early New York as technical trade and cross spreaders pressure to the upside. Overnight equities markets were lower adding to the upside as well.

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