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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Currencies

Monday, July 09, 2007

Will Japan Destroy the yen to save the US Dollar? / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Peter_Schiff

As the Japanese government continues holding short-term interest rates near zero while printing yen like it is going out of style, getting out of the yen has now replaced pachinko as the national pastime for rank and file Japanese. With housewives and cab drivers debating the best techniques to exchange their yen savings for higher yielding non-yen assets, the Japanese monetary authorities are facing the prospect of the complete destruction of their own currency, subjecting their citizens to the horrors of hyperinflation.

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Currencies

Wednesday, July 04, 2007

US Dollar Dependence on the Fourth of July / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Adrian_Ash

"...Has the United States confused the cause and effect of monetary vs. military dominance? To mark Independence Day 2007, let's count the cost..."

ON THIS Fourth of July – and with the Dollar trading at a 26-year low against the British Pound – it's worth remembering that both Thomas Jefferson and George Washington implored the United States to avoid foreign entanglements.

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Currencies

Tuesday, July 03, 2007

Global Exodus from the US Dollar is in Motion / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Gary_Dorsch

Trading in the arcane world of foreign exchange is often akin to judging a reverse beauty contest. The trick to profitable trading is to pick the least ugly currency. Nearly all fiat or paper currencies are ugly, because the 18 of the world's top-20 central banks are inflating the money supply at double digit rates. At the moment, the world's two ugliest currencies are the Japanese yen and the US dollar.

The Bank of Japan pegs its overnight loan rate at just 0.50%, in a brazen effort to devalue the yen, to boost exports abroad, and prevent an abrupt unwinding of the mushrooming “yen carry” trade. Meanwhile the Federal Reserve is inflating its M3 money supply at a 13.7% annualized clip, according to private economists, which if correct, would be the fastest rate of expansion in more than 30-years.

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Currencies

Thursday, June 21, 2007

Escape from the US Dollar! The Crack-up Boom Series - Part III / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Ty_Andros

The Crack-up Boom series is exploring the unfolding “Indirect Exchange” (as detailed by Ludvig von Mises), that dollar holders will be using now to exit their holdings and eventually will be followed by all holders of fiat currency holdings, no matter which country is perpetrating the “fraud” of confiscation of wealth through the printing and credit creation process that all such monetary schemes evolve into. The “Crack-up Boom” will drive an inflationary global expansion to inconceivable heights over the coming years. Asset prices will skyrocket as people do what they always do when threatened; they will modify their behavior and do the things necessary for “SELF PRESERVATION” of their families, countries, economies and their wealth. Let's take a look at von Mises' description of the CRACK-UP BOOM once again:

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Currencies

Saturday, June 16, 2007

US Push for China Currency Revalution - Be Careful What You Wish For / Currencies / China Currency Yuan

By: John_Mauldin

In this issue:
Be Careful What You Wish For
Is It Time for the Yuan to Rise?
A Tough Choice for China
Inflation is in the Eye of the Beholder
Summer Time and the Living is Easy

Be careful for what you wish, because you may get it, and sometimes as H. L. Mencken wrote, you get it good and hard. The collective brain deficit trust, otherwise known as the US Congress, wish for the Chinese to revalue their currency upwards. Today we look at why they may indeed get their wish and why it is not going to produce their desired results. We look at a possible connection between China and the recent and odd volatility in interest rates, connect the dots on inflation and the US economy.

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Currencies

Thursday, June 07, 2007

US Dollar, Gold , Interest Rates and Crude Oil - Four Sheets / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Jim_Willie_CB

An old expression is often used. Most people remain unaware of its origin. “Joe is three sheets to the wind!” means Joe is stinking drunk, smashed, plastered, intoxicated, inebriated, and who know? he might soon go meet Ralph out back (i.e. vomit). Several years ago, a learned man of letters explained to me the meaning of the phrase, which came from the world of sailing. If a sailor loses control of his sailboat, which could be from heavy imbibing of alcohol (or fishing or reading or man's favorite dance sport), the three main sails are let loose to the wind, flailing thrashing and whirling around, not pulling the boat.

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Currencies

Thursday, June 07, 2007

The Aussie Dollar Revisited / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Mario_Innecco

Three months ago we wrote about the fact that the Aussie dollar had broken through a key technical level in an article entitled Is the Aussie Dollar Ready to Take a Big Hop? . Today as we write the currency from down under is making a seventeen-year high at $0.8476. The 1990 high was at $0.8405 and the next big target will be the 1989 high at $0.8905.

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Currencies

Saturday, June 02, 2007

Technical Speculator - US Dollar Nearing the $0.80 barrier, Now What? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Donald_W_Dony

In this months issue, the topics are:

  • Currencies: Nearing the $0.80 barrier. Now what?
  • Commodities: Slowly moving up in June
  • Economy: Expanding on schedule
  • Global equities: Possible short-term pullback
  • Equities: Small dip within main up trend
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Currencies

Saturday, June 02, 2007

The End of US Dollar Hegemony, Part I / Currencies / US Dollar

By: TheDailyReckoning

By: Congressman Ron Paul & The Daily Reckoning

*** The curse of living in interesting times…all paper money ends up as decoration…

*** Trophies from a monetary safari…the market is an unpredictable, headstrong beast…

*** Our dear readers prove to be smarter than us yet again…Ron Paul on FOX News…and more!

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Currencies

Tuesday, May 29, 2007

FX Strategies : Canadian Dollar to Still Prevail over Aussie / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Today's decision from China to raise the stamp tax on securities trading to 0.3% from 0.1% is a more direct attempt to cool its runaway stock market than last week's hike in reserve requirements and interest rates. The news was announced in early afternoon NY trade, causing a retreat in US stocks and the higher yielding pairs of EURJPY, GBPJPY, NZDJPY, NZDUSD and USDJPY. The explanation is that such increased transaction costs on equities would raise the likelihood of the much awaited "China correction", thereby triggering a repeat of the domino effect in global equities seen in late February-early March.

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Currencies

Tuesday, May 29, 2007

Pound VS Dollar Currency Analysis / Currencies / British Pound

By: Submissions

What happened ? We have had an interest rate rise and we have seen an increasing backing for another rise sometime soon.

I am surprised that this has not been bullish for the pound

We have also seen some really benign inflation data coming out in America which would be dollar-negative, so why hasn't there been more pressure on dollar

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Currencies

Tuesday, May 29, 2007

Head of the Trend: On Politics and Currencies / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Jes_Black

Following the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001 there was a spike in interest of opposing views generated by the Left and Right where even Hardball with Chris Mathews got parodied on Saturday Night Live because of its surge in popularity.

But polls soon showed a significant drop in interest for mainstream media outlets as independent news sites captured that attention. As the public became educated they then shared their found information with others as the Blogging revolution was born.

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Currencies

Thursday, May 24, 2007

Don't Cry for the US Dollar, the Bounce in the Dollar will be Shortlived / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Jim_Willie_CB

The Bretton Woods II principal propaganda plank has been buried, with no fanfare, no eulogy on a moronic indefensible myth chapter. Asia no longer supplies credit to the United States debt monster. That mantle has been accepted by a combination of the Persian Gulf oil producers and the counterfeit press, each showing strain. The transition is truly deadly. Increasingly feisty, if not hostile, sheiks in the hotbed of the Middle East have become the last remaining pillar of USDollar support.

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Currencies

Tuesday, May 22, 2007

Significant Changes for the Chinese Yuan and Japanese Yen are in the Winds / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Christopher_Laird

With Paulson going to China again, it is time to look at what changes may come for the China manufacturing boom and financial/stock boom if China revalues the Yuan/RMB. Last week, China made some small moves to reign in liquidity, raising interest rates, increasing reserve requirements, and allowing the Yuan/RMB to trade is a wider band. 

These moves are seen as a bit of dressing – in anticipation of Paulson's visit. Clearly, a major topic of that meeting will be to address increasing pressures for US trade sanctions with China. China, on the other hand, has serious problems with their bubbles – notably the stock bubbles – and has already been trying to modestly tighten liquidity for its markets.

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Currencies

Tuesday, May 22, 2007

The US Dollar Isn't Dead Yet! / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Clif_Droke

To hear the talk from the mainstream press you'd think the dollar's demise was imminent. Everyday is becoming a repetition of a theme that we've actually been hearing off and on since 2004, namely, the collapse of the U.S. dollar. But as we've chronicled here many times in the past, whenever the bearish factor gets a little too loud on the dollar's weakness, a period of stability and/or strength begins. That's exactly the point along the cycle the dollar is in now.

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Currencies

Tuesday, May 22, 2007

The Decoy of the Falling US Dollar Revisited / Currencies / US Interest Rates

By: Professor_Emeritus

I have received the following letter from a reader of my column:

Mr. Fekete:

I have been reading your work for a number of years and always look forward to your thoughts, particularly when they run counter to conventional wisdom. In your latest piece you suggest that the falling dollar (or rising yen) actually strengthens the yen carry trade. My chartwork argues otherwise, and your logic escapes me. I would welcome clarification of one particular paragraph of yours, especially on the last sentence that, I believe, is central to your analysis. You wrote:

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Currencies

Thursday, May 17, 2007

Strong US Dollar is in US Interest / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Axel_Merk

It seems that in order to qualify for the job, U.S. Treasury Secretaries must be able to recite ‘A strong dollar is in the interest of the United States' anytime and anywhere. Robert Rubin, Treasury Secretary during the second half of the 1990s, was highly credible when he said it.

However, when Secretary John Snow uttered the same words, the ritual had been diluted to providing the appropriate sound bite to the media. Hank Paulson, successor to Snow and current Treasury Secretary, is a straight talker, but knows that his job comes with what amounts to a marketing responsibility. In the meantime, investors are at a loss what the U.S. policy towards a dollar truly is; there seems to be a disconnect between what ought to be in U.S. interest, and what current policies promote.

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Currencies

Wednesday, May 16, 2007

Euro Currency Toast and The Race to Debase, Part II / Currencies / Euro

By: Adrian_Ash

"...The €500 note is more bling than a gold-plated Uzi. No wonder it's become so popular with gangsters in Moscow ..."

FOREIGN AFFAIRS magazine just called for the "end of national currency". Maybe it matters.

After all, " Foreign Affairs is the most important and influential journal of international relations in the world," as Cryptogon.com points out.

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Currencies

Friday, May 11, 2007

US Dollar Bear Market 5 / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Zeal_LLC

Adam Hamilton writes : With the headline US stock indexes doing so well this year, they are understandably absorbing trader attention and news coverage like a black hole. It is always exciting to see major new round numbers achieved and new highs carved. But other markets outside of this limelight are not frozen in stasis.

In particular the US dollar, seemingly totally forgotten in the dark shadow the stock markets are casting, has been exceedingly interesting. While you wouldn't know it from the mainstream financial media thanks to very little commentary on it, the US dollar's secular bear market is very much alive and well. In fact today it is on the verge of testing major major new lows.

If the dollar indeed continues on its stealthy downward trajectory and hits these new lows, the implications will probably be profound. Especially for American investors and speculators, the dollar is the linchpin of everything financial. When foreign investors see new dollar lows, will the massive inflows of capital they pump into our financial markets waver? What would this mean for US stocks, bonds, and interest rates?

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Currencies

Thursday, May 10, 2007

Update of the US Dollar Index Forecast / Currencies / US Dollar

By: David_Petch

I thought it would be good to post the USD action of late and why it is affecting other markets. I will not be posting any other technical analysis reports for sometime. Instead they will be research-related topics over the course of the next 4-6 months. An article I plan on releasing 3-4 weeks from now is titled “Busy Bee Bugaboo and Another Unsuspecting Agent of Doom”

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