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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Saturday, January 24, 2009

Forecasting the Four Year Double Dip U.S. Recession / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDUBYA - No, our title does not refer to our 43rd president. Rather, it refers to the shape of an economic scenario that is beginning to look to us as the most probable going forward. The current economic environment is indeed bleak and there are precious few signs of a recovery. But we believe that if the massive fiscal stimulus package being worked up in Congress is financed largely by the banking system and the Federal Reserve, there is a good chance the economy will begin to grow by the fourth quarter of this year and continue to do so throughout 2010. And if we are correct on this, we also believe there is a good chance that the consumer price index will be advancing at a fast enough pace by the second half of 2010 to induce the Federal Reserve to become more aggressive in draining credit from the financial system.

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Economics

Saturday, January 24, 2009

Financial Apocalypse and Economic Armageddon 2009 / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: T_Anthony_Michael

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe FOUR HORSEMEN of 2009 - Herald the Death Knell of “Free Market” Capitalism

The global money matrix, worldwide financial architecture and planetary economic landscape most closely resemble the proverbial House of Cards in the form of a Pyramid-Ponzi scheme superstructure built on quicksand. Therefore, any sober and sane inhabitant of planet Earth would only want to be rid of it all. And that's exactly what the FOUR HORSEMEN of 2009, 2010, and beyond, aim to do. Trample it all under, so that we may finally be rid of it all.

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Economics

Friday, January 23, 2009

Deflation Misconceptions and Inflationary Parabolic Money Supply Growth / Economics / Inflation

By: Zeal_LLC

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLate 2008's stock panic has certainly had a complex and multifaceted impact on popular psychology. Mindsets and outlooks that were scoffed at as recently as 6 months ago have suddenly become fashionable. One of the more intriguing is the meteoric rise to prominence of the deflation thesis.

The growing legions of deflationists see an unstoppable depression-like deflationary spiral approaching like a freight train. They cite some convincing data. The stock markets have been cut in half in just a year. In the past 6 months, some key commodities prices fell farther and faster than they did in the entire Great Depression. House prices are down by double digits across the nation, with no bottom in sight. And credit is a lot harder to come by today than in any other time in modern memory.

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Economics

Friday, January 23, 2009

Economic Depression 2009 Will Not Prevent Inflation / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Andy_Sutton

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis Article“Three Bears and a missing Goldilocks” - 2006 and 2007 were framed by financial pundits as a time when we could truly have the Goldilocks economy. Growth wouldn't be too fast or too slow, but just right. The Fed had both hands on the wheel and was goosing things just enough to keep the ship headed in the right direction. Of course all the while the same pundits chose to ignore raging inflation at the consumer level as energy and food prices headed for the stratosphere. The fall of energy prices has been spectacular, however, the drop in food prices has been virtually nonexistent. As in the story of Goldilocks, there were some bears who weren't too happy about Goldilocks and her plans for their porridge.

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Economics

Friday, January 23, 2009

Great Britain- The “Rust Belt” of Global Finance / Economics / Credit Crisis 2009

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: Think about Michigan or about Ohio's Mahoning Valley in the 1980s. Both were famous for industries that were world leaders in their time. Yet, once those industries decayed, large parts of both areas became wastelands of home foreclosures, crime and alcoholism.

The decline of the global financial services industry from its unsustainable 2006 peak may produce a similar effect in a once economically thriving country – Britain.

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Economics

Friday, January 23, 2009

Unemployment: How Do We Measure A Shortage Of Work? / Economics / US Economy

By: Ronald_R_Cooke

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA Modest Proposal - According to the U. S. Department of Labor (DOL), employers cut 524,000 jobs in December, 2008. The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate increased to 7.2%. That’s bad news for a struggling economy. Unemployed people have fewer spending options. They tend to buy only what they absolutely need. Food tops the list. Rent or mortgage payments come next. Then utility bills, emergency medical expenses, and money for transportation – most likely in the form of car or truck payments and fuel. Purchases of clothing, a new car, electronics, toys, and so on can be deferred. Savings erode all too quickly. Personal confidence ebbs. Family life is strained.

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Economics

Friday, January 23, 2009

German Economic Intervention Has No Limits / Economics / Euro-Zone

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAcross the board, the 2009 economic news is bad for Germany. Unshipped goods and containers are piling up at the Hamburg port as Germany Faces Worst Post-War Economic Downturn .

Germany is facing its biggest economic decline since the Second World War with Chancellor Angela Merkel's government saying Wednesday it expects Europe's largest economy to contract by 2.25 per cent this year.

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Economics

Friday, January 23, 2009

The Great Fall of China / Economics / China Economy

By: Q1_Publishing

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEarlier today, China announced its economy grew at a 6.8% in Q4. This is not very good news at all. China's GDP growth is inching perilously close to 6% economic growth. Which is viewed as the minimum to keep the lights on. It's a critical level the world is watching closely.

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Economics

Thursday, January 22, 2009

Why the Money Supply is Collapsing / Economics / Money Supply

By: Joseph_Toronto

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleInflation and deflation are almost always monetary phenomena as are booms and busts, recessions and depressions. The current economic environment has surprised nearly everyone with the sharpness of the decline, it's suddenness and it's sheer ferocity. To better understand what is happening in the economy and how it began, I believe it is helpful to understand the nature of modern money and banking, and the central bank's role.

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Economics

Wednesday, January 21, 2009

British Pound Panic Selling, Counting Down to Bankrupt Britain / Economics / UK Economy

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe British Pound continued to plunge to new lows in response to the latest step taken by Gordon Brown in effectively bankrupting Britain to win the next election, which is to under-write the toxic bad debts with an another tax payer down payment of £200 billion. This is on top of the £800 billion already committed towards the bailout of the banking sector that began in September 2007 with the initial £2 billion emergency loan to Northern Rock Bank. As you can see we have come a long way from £2 billion in September 2007 to today's £1 trillion, a truly huge number that amounts to £34,000 per UK tax payer, how much will it cost Britain to service such a liability? This is still but the early stages of Britain's road to bankruptcy and currency collapse as my earlier analysis pointed out in November 2008 - Bankrupt Britain Trending Towards Hyper-Inflation?

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Economics

Wednesday, January 21, 2009

Why the Credit Crisis Bailouts Will Send Inflation Soaring / Economics / Inflation

By: Nick_Barisheff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe US financial crisis has now spread across the globe. Years of easy credit created massive asset bubbles in the housing and financial services sectors. As bond fund manager Bill Gross points out, there was “too much exuberant leverage, not enough regulation; too strong a belief in asset-based prosperity, too little common sense that prices could go down as well as up; excessive “me first” greed, too little concern for the burden of future generations.”

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Economics

Wednesday, January 21, 2009

Economic Failure and Corporate Earnings Collapse / Economics / Corporate Earnings

By: Oxbury_Research

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"A massive paradigm shift away from everything we have known for all our lives to something we have read about in history books, with numerous twists; history never repeats itself but many times rhymes. As we have watched the credit crisis unfold over the last 2 years most peoples' lives have been largely unaffected as residual momentum and habits built up over decades haves crested and reversed, but now the slippery slope downward is set to accelerate VISCIOSLY." -Ty Andros

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Economics

Wednesday, January 21, 2009

Obama's $825 Billion Stimulus Against $20 Trillion Asset Price Deflation / Economics / Economic Stimulus

By: John_Browne

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSmaller Stimulus Leaves Room for Restructuring - As all recovery hopes are now pinned on the efficacy of Washington's next stimulus package, President Obama has opened the bidding at $825 billion. Most Republicans see this number as too big, and many Democrats see it as too small. If the question is one purely of impact, then under these circumstances, the Democrats are probably correct.

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Economics

Wednesday, January 21, 2009

Economic & Financial Markets Outlook 2009, Part1: Nightmare on Main Street / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Ty_Andros

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI remember growing up in Nebraska as a time of ups and downs that any child encounters growing up. Even though I was born in 1955, I was too young to be drafted into the Viet Nam war and my college years were very carefree as my parents were sending me through school to gather the tools that set the table to prosper and grow as I matured and aged. I was aware of the issues, but for the most part saw them on TV or in the news as an observer and student, safely tucked away in school and amongst friends. I am very grateful for what God has provided me to maneuver through the challenges of life.

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Economics

Wednesday, January 21, 2009

The Collapse Of Capitalism and the Gold Safety Net / Economics / Fiat Currency

By: Darryl_R_Schoon

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFor Ponzi schemes to succeed, they must expand faster than the request for redemptions. If they do not, they will collapse. This is what happened to Bernard L Madoff Investment Services, the largest Ponzi scheme in history. The same is about to happen to capitalism.

Although capitalism is not a Ponzi scheme, credit-based economies, sic capitalism, and Ponzi schemes share the same fatal flaw. Both must constantly expand or they are in danger of collapse. Today, because capitalist economies are no longer expanding, but contracting, their continued contraction will lead to collapse.

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Economics

Wednesday, January 21, 2009

President Obama Faces Toughest Financial Challenges in U.S. History / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: When President-elect Barack Obama gets sworn into office as the nation's 44th chief executive this afternoon (Tuesday), he inherits a country that hasn't been this badly off financially since the Great Depression.

And President Obama can anticipate considerable sleep loss, for the recession-plagued U.S. economy and the accompanying financial crisis aren't even the only challenges his administration faces.

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Economics

Tuesday, January 20, 2009

End of Secular Consumer Bull Market Signals Ghost Shopping Malls / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: James_Quinn

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGhost Malls Coming to Your Town - The illustration of Old West ghost towns is something that every American can relate to. During the great gold rush of the mid 1800's in California, Nevada, and Wyoming towns sprung up out of nowhere to support the gold mining efforts of those looking to strike it rich. General stores, bars, hotels, brothels, and jails appeared out of nowhere based on demand from delusional prospectors hoping to hit the jackpot. Thousands of malls emerged throughout suburban America in the last twenty years as delusional shoppers thought they could spend their way to prosperity and achievement. Both delusions will end in the same manner.

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Economics

Tuesday, January 20, 2009

Is it Deflation yet, or is Hyperinflation on the way? / Economics / Inflation

By: Joseph_Toronto

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLet's take a short detour to make sure we understand what inflation and deflation are. Milton Friedman, the father of the monetarist school of economics said that inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon. This is usually explained to the layman as “too much money chasing too few goods.”

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Economics

Monday, January 19, 2009

California Is Bankrupt! / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn San Diego, Mayor Jerry Sanders is seeking cuts in services, fee hikes, and water rationing. Please consider A call to share the pain in San Diego

Mayor sees cut in services, fee hikes, water rationing

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Economics

Monday, January 19, 2009

Consumer Spending, Last Bastion of U.S. Economy In Full Retreat / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Oxbury_Research

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn previous economic slowdowns, it was always consumer spending that kept the American economy afloat. Millions of Americans continued shopping at malls, buying cars, ordering gadgets through the mail and TV and otherwise putting their wallets and purses on the line. It was always the brave American consumer rushing unto the breach to beat off the demons of economic gloom and uncertainty.

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