Analysis Topic: Housing Market Price trends
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, August 13, 2009
U.S. Housing Market Recovery Will Be Slow as Foreclosures Continue to Weigh on Housing Prices / Housing-Market / US Housing
Bob Blandeburgo writes: Prices for single-family and condominium homes in the second quarter fell by a record 15.6% and 19.8% year-over-year in the United States, mainly due to foreclosures.
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Thursday, August 13, 2009
U.S. Housing Bear Market Cash for Clunkers Solution / Housing-Market / US Housing
Caroline Baum sent me the following Bloomberg clips.
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Monday, August 10, 2009
Shattered U.S. Housing Market Dreams and the Painful Process of Household Deleveraging / Housing-Market / US Housing
Inquiring minds are reading a Comstock Special Report on Deleveraging the U.S. Economy.
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Monday, August 10, 2009
UK Housing Market Mortgage Products Crash / Housing-Market / Mortgages
Borrowers need to find three times more for a deposit, compared with two years ago when the credit crunch began.
The average LTV has fallen from 91% in August 2007, to 74% today. As a result the average deposit required on a £150,000 mortgage has increased from £13,500 to £39,000.
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Wednesday, August 05, 2009
Has the UK Housing Market Bottomed? / Housing-Market / UK Housing
Well, there's a surprise. It turns out that Northern Rock was a risky lender after all.
The bank that brought the credit crunch vividly to life for the British public when it blew up in August 2007, has often insisted that its actual loans weren't that bad. It was the business model and the reliance on the wholesale markets that pulled it down, as a result of the "totally unforeseeable" credit crunch.
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Tuesday, August 04, 2009
Pressure to Remain on Commercial Real Estate for a Decade / Housing-Market / US Housing
Retail, office, and industrial real estate are all suffering to various degrees.
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Sunday, August 02, 2009
U.S. Housing Market Florida Condo Bust / Housing-Market / US Housing
In case you did not realize just how bad the condo bust is in Florida, this story will clue you in: Florida highrise has 32 stories, but just 1 tenant.
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Saturday, August 01, 2009
U.S. Housing Market Forecast, One Dead Cat Bounce and Two Sucker Rallies to Go? / Housing-Market / US Housing
The big excitement this month was the tiny up-tick in the May S&P Case-Shiller Index. "Seasonally adjusted" the number was still down on April, but then it's not clear what's "seasonal" about a house-price crash. Right now the bulk of the market is driven by foreclosure sales and there is no evidence that is "seasonal".
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Saturday, August 01, 2009
U.S. Housing Market Winds Shifting, Investor Flexibility Breeds Opportunity / Housing-Market / US Housing
If there’s one thing you learn fast in this business, its flexibility. If you stay rigid, unwavering, and unyielding in the face of a mounting pile of contrary technical and fundamental evidence, you’re not being disciplined. You’re being inflexible. And you’re going to go broke pretty darn quick!
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Thursday, July 30, 2009
How Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Helped Create the U.S. Housing Market Bubble / Housing-Market / US Housing
Shah Gilani writes: Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM), originally designated as a "government-sponsored enterprise" (GSE), was born in 1938 as a child of U.S. President Franklin Delano Roosevelt's Great-Depression-fighting "New Deal," and was designed to stimulate mortgage lending.
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Thursday, July 30, 2009
U.S. Housing Market Bottom or Heading for Another Collapse? / Housing-Market / US Housing
Jason Simpkins writes: A rash of positive housing data has given some analysts hope that the housing market has bottomed and an economic recovery is underway. But the soaring unemployment and rising mortgage rates could lead to a double-dip plunge for the housing market.
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Thursday, July 30, 2009
U.S. Housing Market Mortgage Debt Walk Away Hypocrites Comments / Housing-Market / US Housing
Yesterday's post Emails from Housing Hypocrites about Ethics generated an unusually high number of responses. Let's take a look at some of them.
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Wednesday, July 29, 2009
Has the U.S. Housing Market Hit Bottom? / Housing-Market / US Housing
Now that a number of recent housing reports are generating some incredibly positive headlines and the global economy appears to be slowly digging its way out of an enormous hole that was created last fall when the world nearly came to an end, the burning question on the minds of millions of people is ... Has the housing market hit bottom?
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Wednesday, July 29, 2009
Emails from Housing Hypocrites about Ethics of Walking Away from Debt / Housing-Market / US Housing
In Preemptive Defaults I discussed how consumers "trapped in a whirlpool of debt, interest payments, and fees spiraling out of control, finally see the light of preemptive defaults and elect to walk away".
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Friday, July 24, 2009
U.S. Housing Market Crash Real Story as Home Vacancies Hit 19 Million / Housing-Market / US Housing
Bloomberg is reporting U.S. Home Vacancies Hit 18.7 Million on Bank Seizures.
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Thursday, July 23, 2009
A Warning from Spain About the House Price Crash / Housing-Market / Spain
David Stevenson writes: Almost every day, it seems, someone else wants to tell us the housing market's picking up.
On Tuesday, even the taxman had a go. Apparently the number of British homes sold (for more than £40,000) was up 15% in June compared with May.
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Wednesday, July 22, 2009
Bernanke Terrified by Commercial Real Estate Market Crash / Housing-Market / US Housing
When a member of the Fed admits a problem, especially chairman Bernanke, you can rest assured the problem is far worse than what they admit.
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Wednesday, July 22, 2009
Commercial Real Estate Trend Accelerates To Downside / Housing-Market / US Housing
The commercial real estate bust is now in full swing as Moody's Commercial Real Estate Scorecard Accelerates To Downside.
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Tuesday, July 21, 2009
Mortgage Lenders Desert Long Term Fixed Rate Mortgages / Housing-Market / Mortgages
This week sees Manchester BS withdrawing its 30 year fixed rate mortgage, meaning that borrowers can no longer fix their mortgage repayments for more than 15 years.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, July 17, 2009
The Seven Immutable Laws of Bubbles: Example, Housing Markets in USA, UK & Dubai / Housing-Market / Liquidity Bubble
The cycle of bubble and bust in housing is drawing to a close. For many the ferocity of the bust and the collateral damage that followed was a shock, but bubbles and busts are not new; chances are there will be more.
I got interested in bubbles in early 2008 trying to figure out why my model of real estate prices that had worked perfectly for ten years was saying that prices in Dubai which is where I was at the time, "should" have been 30% less than where they were.
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