Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, September 06, 2016
We’re Reaching Point Zero of Debt Creation / Interest-Rates / US Debt
By: Harry_Dent
Forty-five years and counting.We’ve been on a debt spree since the early 1970s when we went off the gold standard, covering every possible angle. Trade deficits, government deficits, unfunded entitlements, private debt – you name it! Our total debt has grown 2.5-times GDP since 1971.
How could economists not see this as a problem? How is this the least bit sustainable?
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Tuesday, September 06, 2016
Ireland “Especially Exposed” To “International Shocks” – Central Bank / Interest-Rates / Financial Crisis 2016
By: GoldCore
Ireland remains especially exposed to another financial shock because of the extremely high levels of public and private debt, the open nature of the economy, and Brexit, Irish Central Bank Governor Philip Lane has warned in a pre-budget letter to Minister for Finance, Michael Noonan.
Read full article... Read full article...“Ireland is especially exposed due to the legacy of high public and private debt levels, the sensitivity of small, highly-open economies to international shocks and Brexit-related vulnerabilities,” Ireland’s Central Bank Governor said.
Sunday, September 04, 2016
Negative Interest Rates and the War on Cash (1) / Interest-Rates / War on Cash
By: Raul_I_Meijer
It’s been a while, but Nicole Foss is back at the Automatic Earth -which makes me very happy-, and for good measure, she starts out with a very long article. So long in fact that we have decided to turn it into a 4-part series, if only just to show you that we do care about your health and well-being, as well as your families and social lives. The other 3 parts will follow in the next few days, and at the end we will publish the entire piece in one post.
Friday, September 02, 2016
30 Year US Treasury Bonds Analysis / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Austin_Galt
We are looking for a final top to the massive bond bull market that began in 1981. While it is possible the final top is in place, I am leaning to one final marginal high before everything goes belly up.Let’s review the quarterly and weekly charts of the 30 Year US Treasury Bond price.
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Wednesday, August 31, 2016
Green Bond Market Will Continue To Grow / Interest-Rates / Renewable Energy
By: Chris_Vermeulen
If a bond has a negative yield, then the bondholders will lose their money on their investment. In the long run, their expectations are lower and consequently they lose the incentive to invest — which may have far-reaching repercussions.
Green Bonds Are Changing Investor Expectation’s
The rapid growth of the green bond market has sparked interest from many audiences.
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Wednesday, August 31, 2016
Debt Bubble in Ireland and Globally / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2016
By: GoldCore
Mark O’Byrne, Research Director of GoldCore, was interviewed by Max Keiser about the arrival of negative interest rates in Ireland and Germany, the risk of bail-ins, the return of a rental and property bubble in Dublin, the Irish and global debt bubble and why wealthy individuals and institutions are diversifying into gold.
Wednesday, August 31, 2016
Awareness of Fed Credibility Problems Going Mainstream / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank
By: MoneyMetals
The nation’s pre-eminent central planners just held their annual gathering at an exclusive resort just outside Jackson Hole, Wyoming and discussed how to interfere even more deeply in markets. In a speech entitled “The Federal Reserve’s Monetary Policy Toolkit: Past, Present and Future,” Fed chair Janet Yellen outlined why zero interest rate policy (ZIRP), purchases of toxic mortgage securities, and monetization of Treasury debt just aren’t adequate. Officials must add negative interest rates (NIRP) and purchases of even more sketchy assets to their “toolkit.”
Yellen has spent more than a year floating the idea of negative rates, so it is no surprise she is hustling the ludicrous policy once again. In fact, very little of what she said Friday is new. It was the usual mess of contradictions.
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Wednesday, August 31, 2016
Why the Convoluted Message From Yellen? / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates
By: Gary_Tanashian
Why the tough talk out of one side of her mouth and ‘other policy tools’ language out of the other (ref. Yellen Lays Out Tools… )? Oh, I don’t know. Maybe it has something to do with this…
The stock market has merrily followed money supply aggregates upward since 2009. When money supply decelerates the market corrects. When money supply ramps upward the market ramps upward. Money supply has been rolling over since 2014, which was not coincidentally when the first tremors began for the stock market in its recently completed top (that wasn’t). From SlopeCharts…
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Tuesday, August 30, 2016
King of Debt vs. Queen of Deficits / Interest-Rates / US Debt
By: Michael_Pento
The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimates the total deficit for fiscal 2016 will be $590 billion. This is $152 billion (34%) greater than the shortfall posted in fiscal year 2015. And by 2026 the deficit would be considerably larger as a share of the nation’s output (GDP) than its average over the past 50 years.
In addition to this, debt held by the public would rise significantly from its already high level, reaching 86% of GDP by 2026.
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Monday, August 29, 2016
President Obama To Leave $20 Trillion Debt Crisis For Clinton Or Trump / Interest-Rates / US Debt
By: GoldCore
President Obama is set to leave a massive near $20 trillion debt crisis for his successor – be that Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump.
The U.S. national debt reached $19.5 trillion last week and has been increasing by roughly $1 trillion a year during his Presidency and during the so called “recovery” as the U.S. government continues to spend money like a drunken sailor.
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Thursday, August 25, 2016
Bond Guru Gary Shilling - The Bond Market Rally of a Lifetime / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: John_Mauldin
In 1981, as inflation and Treasury yields were screaming to new heights, my good friend Gary Shilling announced, “We’re entering the bond rally of a lifetime.” He was right. That bond rally is already 35 years old, and I think it will continue.
Gary also thinks the rally is still underway. He backs up that claim with a compelling case for Treasurys and for the “long bond” (the 30 year).
Gary recalls his famous public debate on stocks versus bonds with Professor Jeremy Siegel of Wharton, in 2006. This was just before the Great Recession kicked in and sent Treasury prices sky-high. Siegel remarked to the audience, “I don’t know why anyone in their right mind would tie up their money for 30 years for a 4.75% yield” (the then-yield on the 30-year Treasury).
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Monday, August 22, 2016
Bank of Ireland to Charge for Placing Cash on Deposit / Interest-Rates / Negative Interest Rates
By: GoldCore
Deposits at Bank of Ireland are soon to face charges in the form of negative interest rates after it emerged on Friday that the bank is set to become the first Irish bank to charge customers for placing their cash on deposit with the bank.
This radical move was expected as the European Central Bank began charging large corporates and financial institutions 0.4% in March for depositing cash with them overnight.
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Monday, August 22, 2016
China Announces its’ new loan in International Reserve Asset (SDRs) / Interest-Rates / China Currency Yuan
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) has received approval from the World Bank allowing its’ issuance of bonds which are denominated in Special Drawing Rights (SDRs). The World Bank is the first entity to approve of it and consequently marks the launch of the SDR bond market of the worlds’ second-largest economy.
Thursday, August 18, 2016
4 Reasons Not to Buy Bonds Now / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market
By: John_Mauldin
BY JARED DILLIAN : I try to be a long-term thinker and filter out all the short-term noise. That’s hard nowadays, because there is so much short-term noise!
Any one of these four things would be big news, especially in the dog days of summer. But all four? It’s crazy out there.
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Thursday, August 18, 2016
Low / Negative Interst Rate’s Legacy / Interest-Rates / Negative Interest Rates
By: Raymond_Matison
In all of global human history, interest rates have never been this low. Indeed, Europe has trillions of Euro bonds yielding a negative interest rate, meaning that an investor pays for the privilege of having lent to a borrower with its attendant credit exposure, and agrees beforehand to get less in return than he originally “invested”. America’s fixed income yields have been declining for over thirty years, and now are also at record lows – hovering close enough to zero such that some expect negative rates to come to our domestic market in the not too distant future.
Thursday, August 18, 2016
The 45th Anniversary of The Most Destructive Event In Modern Monetary History / Interest-Rates / Financial Markets 2016
By: Jeff_Berwick
The US government, bankrupt yet again after another disastrous war of aggression, had its back pushed to the wall in 1971.
Up until that point, foreign central banks could redeem US dollars directly with the US Treasury in exchange for gold. And, recognizing that the US was essentially bankrupt, foreign central banks, especially France, began to demand gold instead of the dollar.
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Sunday, August 07, 2016
Banker Bunker Mentality, Big US Banks On The Brink / Interest-Rates / Financial Crisis 2016
By: Jim_Willie_CB
The big US banks are dead, as in giant hollow reeds. Such has been the Jackass refrain for eight straight years. They are insolvent monsters and destroyers of wealth and capital. They are massive criminal enterprises. Events prove the case well. The Too Big to Fail policy has instead assured the wreckage and destruction of the USEconomy. Save the big banks, but ruin the capital base. The USGovt under the management of the banker cartel since the 9/11 event, which they orchestrated in a bold move, has systematically brought down the macro business sector, permitted the USDollar platforms to decay completely, and rigged the financial markets in every conceivable arena. The central bankers are running scared. The Jackass wishes they would all depart in exile, locate on a lovely Polynesian island, and eat each other, with the winners wearing their bones and teeth.
Thursday, August 04, 2016
What Student Debt Problem; Simple Solution ends the problem / Interest-Rates / Student Finances
By: Sol_Palha
A problem clearly stated is a problem half-solved. Dorothea Brande
The real issue is that there are college students that don’ want to work and want to go to the best colleges money can buy, and the parents are encouraging this. What happened to the day you went to the college you could afford, and you worked to pay for all of it or, at least, helped your parents. The problem lies with the parents and the kids; the parents are encouraging this asinine behaviour. Today’s generation believe that they are entitled to the best of the best without having to work for it. College Graduates that are drowning in debt, but still refuse to give up on luxuries is a perfect example of this principle in action. Instead of tightening their belts, they continue to add to the debt and then cry wolf when everything starts to fall apart.
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Thursday, August 04, 2016
Don’t Be So Sure That States Can’t Go Bankrupt / Interest-Rates / US Debt
By: John_Mauldin
Our judicial system has a time-tested option for those who can’t pay their debts: bankruptcy. Individuals and businesses use it all the time.
The debtor submits itself to a court, which tries to reach the fairest possible settlement with creditors. It’s messy, but it usually works for the best.
Federal bankruptcy code permits cities, school districts, and other local governments to file bankruptcy.
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Thursday, August 04, 2016
UK interest Rate PANIC CUT! As Banks Prepare to Steal Customer Deposits / Interest-Rates / UK Interest Rates
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Today is the day when UK interest rates will be cut from 0.5% to probably 0.25%, there lowest levels for over 320 year history of the Bank of England. Which follows over 7 years of rates being held at 0.5% the duration of which has seen virtually ALL economists reveal their true level of ineptitude as they have collectively consistently forecast that UK Interest rates were always just about to head higher, that the start of a series of rate hikes was just months away, which not only never materialised but is now hit with the reality of a RATE CUT! And probably announce an additional QE of at least £50 billion to monetize UK government debt and generate artificial profits for the Bank of England's banking sector brethren.