Best of the Week
Most Popular
1.Oil Wars 2016 - US vs Russia vs Saudi Arabia vs Iran - Nadeem_Walayat
2.Crude Oil Price Crash Triggering Global Instability, Trend Forecast 2016 - Nadeem_Walayat
3.Stock Market Crash - Last Week was The 2nd and Final Warning... - Clive_Maund
4.Stock Market Crash Apocalypse or Bull Market Severe Correction? - Nadeem_Walayat
5.TShipping Said to Have Ceased… Is the Worldwide Economy Grinding to a Halt? - Jeff_Berwick
6.Crude Oil Price Crash Catastrophe, Independant Scotland Literally Begging to Rejoin the UK - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Summers: Global Economy Can't Withstand Four 2016 Fed Hikes - Bloomberg
8.Gold And Silver: New World Order: Public Be Damned, Preferably Dead - Michael_Noonan
9.Rigged U.S. Ttreasury Bond Market Double Barreled Hidden Q.E. To Infinity - Jim_Willie_CB
10.Major Stocks Bear Market Awakening - Zeal_LLC
Last 5 days
Gold Stocks Something has Changed - 6th Feb 16
UK Interest Rates, Economy GDP Forecasts 2016 and 2017 - 6th Feb 16
Gold Price, Mining Stocks Rocket Higher - 5th Feb 16
Crude Oil Price Bottoms and Blues - 5th Feb 16
Gold and Silver: Ripe for a Recovery! China May well Change the Game - 5th Feb 16
How Pension Plans are Responding to Financial Repression - 5th Feb 16
Senior Gold Producer Goldcorp Takes Large Stake in Nevada's Gold Standard Ventures - 5th Feb 16
Tips for Smart Oil and Natural Gas Investing 2016 - 5th Feb 16
Another Corporate Giant Is Leaving the U.S. – What This Means for You - 4th Feb 16
TPP is Economic Warfare, Trade Can Make Everyone Worse Off / Governments are Stupid - 4th Feb 16
Gold and Stock Markets Inflection Points Galore - 4th Feb 16
Putin Cries Dyadya (Uncle), Is Saudi Arabia Listening? - 4th Feb 16
Gold Price Golden Bottom? Video - 4th Feb 16
Look North for Value-Priced Growth in Healthcare Biotech Stocks - 4th Feb 16 - TLSReport
BrExit EU Referendum - Britain's FINAL Chance for Freedom From Emerging European Superstate - 4th Feb 16
HUI Now Confirming Gold Price Move Higher - 4th Feb 16
Crude Oil Price Forecast 2016 As Good As It Gets - 4th Feb 16
Gold and Silver More 'Flight To Safety' Active February - 3rd Feb 16
Raytheon Company: A Defensive Stock for a Defensive Market - 3rd Feb 16
Is Silver Really a Weak Link - 3rd Feb 16
Gold to Beat Stocks 2016? - 3rd Feb 16
David Chamberlain Cameron, Britain's Last Chance for Freedom From Emerging European Super State - 3rd Feb 16
EU UK Draft or Daft Agreement By Donald Tusk to Members of the European Council in Full - 2nd Feb 16
Europe: Why It's Going to Get a Lot Worse Before It Gets Better - 2nd Feb 16
The Next Generational Bust Is Coming, Stock Market 70% Collapse - 2nd Feb 16
The Coming Stock Market Decline May be a Monster - 2nd Feb 16
S&P 500 Has Likely Entered a New Bear Phase - 2nd Feb 16
How and Why To Move Your Assets Offshore Before the Financial Collapse - 2nd Feb 16
Central Bank Created Silver Price Rally - 1st Feb 16
The Fed Is Not Hiking Rates: Risk Assets To Perform - 1st Feb 16
US Dollar and US Treasury Bonds Big Picture - 1st Feb 16
BOJ Negative Interest Rates Central Banking Crime Syndicate's War on Cash for Triggering Panic Consumption - 1st Feb 16
Elites Set to Wipe Out Stock Market Shorts Before Next Downwave... - 1st Feb 16
Stock Market A-B-C Correction Unfolding - 1st Feb 16
Nice week for Gold : It’s All about Sentiment - 31st Jan 16
Silver Price Breaks Higher on Rising Anxiety - 31st Jan 16
Stocks Bear Market Rally Underway - 30th Jan 16
Gold And Silver Current Prices Do Not Matter - 30th Jan 16
Gold Price Potential Upside 2016 - 30th Jan 16
Stock Market Bears Pulverised by BOJ Knock Out Punch, Non Technical Take Video - 30th Jan 16
Lacy Hunt: Inflation and 10-Year US Treasury Yields Headed Lower - 30th Jan 16
The Curious Case of Copper... - 30th Jan 16

Free Instant Analysis

Free Instant Technical Analysis


Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Global Financial Crisis 2016

Institutional Investors Continue Gold and Silver Buying Spree

Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012 Apr 05, 2012 - 05:56 AM GMT

By: Anthony_David

Commodities

The global silver market was pretty shaken up in 2011 when silver bullion prices dropped from a high $49 to $32 and then again from $43 to $28. Investors around the world have been reacting differently to the price upheavals which triggered the most paranoia in October 2011. However, about 50% of investors have turned the fall into an opportunity and are aggressively buying the lower-priced silver. Considering the uncertain financial future, the decision to hold silver bullion instead of fiat currency certainly appears to be a wise one.


Silver prices are expected to remain volatile in 2012 as well. Analysts expect the market to mirror last year’s performance with sharp rises and falls and in fact, Barclays Capital has predicted that silver will be the most unpredictable of the precious metals. Although price predictions vary from $32/oz to $52/oz, the consensus seems to be in the mid-$30s. Analysts have also pointed out that traditional supply and demand rules are unlikely to drive prices. Instead, the only factors that would affect the silver market are market sentiment and investor behaviour.

For example, China’s mega-sized demand for silver is well-known, but given that the country’s trade deficit has been at its highest in more than two decades, fears of a slowdown are high. A weak Chinese economy means a lower silver demand.

Egon von Greyerz, founder and managing partner at Matterhorn Asset Management, said that silver was not for the faint hearted this year. His advice to investors, “My view is people should hold more gold than silver, but from a profit potential point of view, silver looks very much like it’s going to have a bigger move.” He said that while silver corrected more easily than gold, the correction seen in February is rather mild. He believes that when silver turns, it will run positive very quickly.

Speaking about gold, he said that there is a major demand for physical gold that is growing rapidly. He is confident that institutional money will enter the gold market aggressively and transform the market. During an interview last week, he said, “We are seeing the low this week or we could be under pressure for another week. But thereafter, in April, if I look at the technical picture, gold looks fantastic. The next move will be a major move in both gold and silver.”

He said that the paper market is artificially manipulated and is not relevant to the physical gold market in the long-term. However, physical gold is what people should invest in now and protect themselves from the volatile 2012 markets. He added “The institutional investors are going to go heavily into gold and that will totally change the market. As we know there isn’t enough physical gold around to satisfy an increase in demand, so that can only be satisfied by a higher price.”

Also speaking about gold, Caesar Bryan of Gabelli & Company said, “Well, there’s been a bit of a transfer from the paper players, those involved on the COMEX and in the futures market who have been liquidating. On the other hand, the physical buyers, including central banks, are stepping in to accumulate gold.” He added, “The central banks have been accumulating a great deal of physical gold at these lower levels. So there’s a bit of a tug of war going on between the futures market and the physical market.”

Among other opinions, Anne-Laure Tremblay, precious-metals strategist with BNP Paribas said, “Beyond the short term, we remain positive on gold’s outlook as the fundamentals are still solid.” The bank stated, “An improving macroeconomic outlook and high risk appetite should see silver outperform gold for most of H2’12 and 2013 although silver, like gold, remains vulnerable to waves of liquidation. As a result, the gold/silver ratio should decline to the low 40s by H2’13.”

BNP Paribas had forecast gold and silver prices in February and they stand by those predictions in March as well. The bank expects gold to sell at $1,850/oz in 2012 and $2,225/oz in 2013. Silver is expected to sell at $37.50 in 2012 and at $51 in 2013.

By Anthony David

http://www.criticalstrategicmetals.com

The mission of the Critical Strategic Metals Web Site

is to serve as a monthly compass for those who take a fundamental view of investment regarding the Molybdenum, Manganese and Magnesium metals markets, are concerned with the emerging critical under-supply of these strategic metals to Western nations and wish to profitability chart their course. Each month we will research and provide, in as short and concise a manner as possible, the most applicable information available on resources that will have the biggest impact on our day to day lives. Click here to sign-up for our FREE monthly report.

© 2012 Copyright  Anthony David- All Rights Reserved Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.


© 2005-2016 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

Biggest Debt Bomb in History