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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Thursday, February 22, 2018

Gold Bulls, Brace Yourselves – Fed Interest Rate Hikes Are Coming! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Are they? As usual, the FOMC minutes provoked diverse interpretations, both dovish and hawkish. Let’s analyze them, separating the wheat from the chaff. What do the recent minutes really mean for the gold market?

Hawks Attack Bullion

We have long warned investors about the hawkish treat. For example, as early as in the October edition of the Market Overview, we wrote that the Fed under Powell could be more hawkish than under Yellen. In December, after Powell’s nomination, we elaborated on our stance, pointing out two important changes: (1) the distinct macroeconomic environment – think about faster economic growth and more expansionary fiscal policy – in which Powell would have to act; (2) the composition of the FOMC in 2018 will move slightly from the dovish to the hawkish side. As a result, we stated that “a more hawkish policy would be a headwind for gold prices.”

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Commodities

Wednesday, February 21, 2018

Gold Miners’ Rally? What Rally? Watch Out for More Fake Moves! / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Remember how mining stocks soared on Valentine’s Day and how we wrote that a rally is not necessarily bullish? Guess what – this rally has been more than erased. Miners not only closed below the February 14th opening price, but also below the February 13th and 12th closing prices. Mining stocks big rally turned out to be nothing more than just a regular 50% retracement during a decline – something that we saw many times in the past and that we described as likely. But, since the rally was rather inconsequential, then perhaps the decline is inconsequential as well?

Not likely.

It’s not likely because of the context. Gold is still relatively close to its recent high, but mining stocks are very close to their recent low. The latter are underperforming, and Valentine’s Day rally was just a verification of the breakdown in the HUI to gold ratio. Let’s take a look at the details, starting with the currency market (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).

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Commodities

Wednesday, February 21, 2018

Bitcoin or British Pound ‘Pretty Much Failed’ As Currency? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: GoldCore

– Bitcoin has ‘pretty much failed’ as a currency says Bank of England Carney
– Bitcoin is neither a store of value nor a useful way to buy things – BOE’s Carney
– Project fear against crypto-currencies or an out of control investing bubble?
– Bitcoin will likely recover in value but is speculative and not for widows and orphans
– British pound has been a terrible store of value – unlike gold
– Pound collapsed 30% in 2016 and down 11.5% per annum versus gold in last 15 years
– Fiat currency experiment may fail and dollar set to lose reserve currency status

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Commodities

Tuesday, February 20, 2018

Why Now Is the Perfect Time to Be in Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: GoldSilver

We buy gold for many reasons—as monetary insurance, a crisis hedge, and even for simple diversification. And another one of those reasons is coming to the fore right now: as a hedge against overvalued stock and crypto markets.

We’ve been saying for some time that sooner or later these two markets had to correct—and that gold would serve as a buffer against those inevitabilities. It’s a short and simple message, but one that is crucial for investors to address: Are you sufficiently hedged against overvalued equity and cryptocurrency markets?

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Commodities

Tuesday, February 20, 2018

Governments Are LYING about Their Gold Activities while Mining Companies Cower / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: MoneyMetals

Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcome in Chris Powell, Secretary-Treasurer at the Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee, also known as GATA. Chris is a long time journalist and a hard money advocate and through his tireless efforts at GATA he is working to expose the manipulation of the gold and silver markets. Through GATA's work over the years some important revelations have come to light, which quite honestly should concern everyone.

It's great to have him back with us. Chris, good to have you on again and how are you?

Chris Powell: Oh, very good, Mike. Glad to be here.

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Commodities

Tuesday, February 20, 2018

New Low in Gold Stocks is a Strong Buy Signal / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Gold has been on the cusp of a major breakout but someone forgot to tell the gold stocks. Gold is right back at resistance levels yet the various gold stock indices are off their September 2017 highs by 11% to 16%. The relative weakness in the gold stocks (and Silver) is a signal that Gold is unlikely to breakout now. In fact, if Gold were to correct here the gold stocks could threaten support and perhaps make new lows. While that sounds quite bearish, history shows that a break to new lows in gold stocks would be a massive buy signal.

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Commodities

Tuesday, February 20, 2018

No Silver Lining Here / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Kelsey_Williams

As bad as the prognosticators can be with their predictions for the price of gold, the situation for silver is even worse.

Some very recent headlines trumpeted the following proclamations:

“Silver prices to surge…”

“Silver…Why Prices Will Soar”

“Why You Must Own Silver…”

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Commodities

Monday, February 19, 2018

Gold GLD ETF May Not Yet Be Ready To Break Out / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Avi_Gilburt

For those that follow me regularly, you will know that I have been tracking a set-up for the VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF (NYSEARCA:GDX), which I analyze as a proxy for the metals mining market. I believe that GDX can outperform the general equity market once we confirm a long-term break out has begun, and I still think we can see it in occur in 2018. This week, I will provide an update to GDX, but want to also discuss the SPDR Gold Trust ETF (NYSEARCA:GLD), which is an ETF that attempts to mirror the movements of gold. While I have gone on record as to why I do not think GLD is a wise long-term investment hold, I will still use it to track the market movements.

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Commodities

Monday, February 19, 2018

How To Trade Gold Stocks with Momentum / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

As a technical trader, I like it when multiple charts, indicators, and asset classes agree with each other for trade setups. This short article is to show you some of the things I look at which provide a buy signal for gold stocks.

One of the key trading tips I learned years ago, is that average a sharp price reversal and surge in price, we as traders can buy into the first pullback with a high probability of a continuation in price.

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Commodities

Monday, February 19, 2018

Is a New Gold Bull Market on the Horizon? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

A read of the gold charts is indicating that a breakout and new bull market are simply a matter of time, says technical analyst Clive Maund. Gold continues to prepare to break out of its giant Head-and-Shoulders bottom pattern. As we can see on its 8-year chart below, this base pattern has been developing for getting on for five years now, so it has major implications. Upside volume has been building for a long time, driving volume indicators higher, a sign that a breakout and new bull market are simply a matter of time, and not much at that now.

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Commodities

Monday, February 19, 2018

Inflationary Pressures Building / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Donald_W_Dony

Inflationary pressures have been on the rise since 2016. The U.S. Inflation Rate currently sits at 2.20 percent up from 1 percent in early 2016.

Increasing economic growth both globally and domestically have aided the rise of inflationary pressures.

The rise or fall in commodity prices are a good reliable gauge on inflation.

But the biggest driver of natural resource prices appears to be the U.S. dollar.

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Commodities

Sunday, February 18, 2018

5 Reasons Why Commodities Are the Investment Place to be in 2018 / Commodities / Investing 2018

By: Richard_Mills

The stock market pullback of the last couple of weeks has shown that markets are jittery, and will likely be volatile for awhile as investors keep a vigil on rising bond yields (inflation) and potential interest rate hikes. In these uncertain times, one sector that appears to be holding its own, and then some, is commodities. Let’s examine why this is the case, and why commodities are going to be THE place to put your money in 2018.

The correction

The stock market correction (let’s not call it a crash) that suddenly saw everyone’s trading apps turn red on Monday Feb. 5 shocked investors. The S&P 500 was off 4.1% at 2,648 - the worst fall in 6.5 years. The rot spread to Asian stock markets the next day, with Japan’s Topix index falling 6.3%, South Korea’s Kospi losing 2.6%, and Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 down by 3.7%.

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Commodities

Sunday, February 18, 2018

Gold: Another Month, Another Test Of Key Resistance – But This Time With A Difference / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: John_Rubino

Gold spiked in January, and looked to be headed even higher. But there were some problems. First, futures speculators – as tracked by the Commitment of Traders (COT) report – had gone overwhelmingly long, and since they tend to be wrong at emotional extremes, this was a red flag. Second, gold was approaching the $1360 level that had, since 2014, been the place where upward momentum went to die. For the relevant charts, see Gold Jumps To Crucial Technical Level. Important Action Coming Up.

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Commodities

Saturday, February 17, 2018

Crude Oil Prices: A Case of Dueling Narratives? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: WMA

There are indications Crude Oil prices are going lower. There are also indications that it’s going higher. Which narrative do you believe?

Oil Bears point to what they believe is over-supply caused by soaring US production, mostly from shale fields. With production increasing over +20% in less than two years, and drill rigs on the rise, the US now produces about as much Oil as the industry leaders, Saudi Arabia and Russia. According to the Oil Bears, the Saudi-Russia pact to restrain global production and export levels will break down in 2018, thereby leading to more supply than demand, causing lower prices. Moreover, the Bears are confident that alternative energy supply (e.g., solar/battery and uranium) will eventually win out as it is a cheaper and cleaner power source, and that Electric Vehicles are increasingly favored by consumers.

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Commodities

Friday, February 16, 2018

GDX Gold ETF Weathers Stock Market Selloff / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: Zeal_LLC

The gold miners’ stocks weathered the recent stock-market plunge really well.  As evident in their leading GDX ETF, they were already beaten down before stock markets started falling.  The resulting explosion of fear bled into GDX, forcing it even lower.  Nevertheless, no major technical damage was done.  GDX remained well within its consolidation trend channel and is still within striking distance of a major $25 breakout.

Gold stocks’ behavior during stock-market selloffs can seem capricious.  This small contrarian sector generally amplifies the price action in gold, which drives its collective profitability.  Gold tends to surge in the wake of major stock-market selloffs, which erode investors’ confidence in stocks’ near-term outlook.  That greatly boosts gold investment demand as investors soon rush to wisely diversify their stock-heavy portfolios.

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Commodities

Friday, February 16, 2018

Gold Up 3.8% In Week – If Closes Above $1,360/oz Will Be Biggest Weekly Gain In Nearly 2 Years / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: GoldCore

Gold rose as the dollar fell to near a three-year low against a basket of currencies on Friday, heading for its biggest weekly loss in nine months, as a slew of bearish factors including firming inflation and a fall in retail sales and industrial production hit the dollar.

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Commodities

Friday, February 16, 2018

Allow The Precious Metals Market To Prove Itself / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Avi_Gilburt

We have been here several times before over the last year. The market has bottomed, provided us with a strong rally, but has failed to confirm the major break out for which we have been looking.

As I noted over the weekend, the 144-minute silver chart has been quite prescient in identifying turns in this market. And, it has still not yet failed us. But, the question is what type of turn are we seeing right now?

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Commodities

Thursday, February 15, 2018

Strange Link between Inflation and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

It was a strange day. Inflation surged yesterday. But gold dropped initially, only to quickly reverse the fall and fly into the air. What happened? And – importantly – will gold soar on the inflation fuel?

Inflation Rears Its Ugly Head (or Tries to, at Least)

The recent payrolls report showed that wages had jumped 2.9 percent in January on an annual basis. It was the best result since 2009, which awakened fears of inflation. That’s why investors awaited yesterday’s data on consumer prices. On Tuesday, we warned our readers: “(…) tomorrow, we will see the newest CPI report, which may affect the markets, given that inflation worries were one of the key reasons behind the recent stock market volatility.”

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Commodities

Thursday, February 15, 2018

For Gold, It's Goldilocks Inflation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Rudi Fronk and Jim Anthony, cofounders of Seabridge Gold, delve into the question of whether inflation is good for gold.

Is inflation good for gold? It depends. If inflation provokes a hawkish Fed to raise rates faster than inflation, not so much. But if the Fed is worried about the stock and bond markets and therefore won't raise rates fast enough to keep pace with inflation, that's good for gold. And that's where we seem to be now.

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Commodities

Wednesday, February 14, 2018

This Chart Says Gold Is Beginning a Long-Term Uptrend / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: GoldSilver

There aren’t many investment scenarios you can point to with any degree of certainty and say, “This asset is going to rise.” Saying so is usually fraught with risk, even if in hindsight it turns out to have been an accurate call.

But there are certainly times when you can see that the odds are heavily stacked in your favor. And we have one of those potential scenarios right now in gold.

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