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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Monday, July 27, 2015

Crude Oil Price Under $48! / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

Trading position (short-term; our opinion): Short positions with a stop-loss order at $65.23 are justified from the risk/reward perspective.

On Friday, crude oil extended losses after bearish Baker Hughes report. As a result, light crude lost 1.82% and hit a fresh multi-month low. Where will the commodity head next in the coming days?

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Commodities

Monday, July 27, 2015

How to Know When the Gold Bear Market is Over / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Money_Morning

D.R. Barton, Jr writes: Gold’s hard-and-fast tumble below $1,100 an ounce last week means some investors may be tuning out the yellow metal or suffering from gold “burnout.”

But ignoring it is a huge mistake. It has been and always will be one of the best stores of value, and it's a crucial hedge against economic upheaval. It's a must-have holding.

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Commodities

Monday, July 27, 2015

Gold Bear Market Phase III / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Submissions

Plunger writes: Over 2 years ago I presented my first analysis of this precious metals bear market. After extensive study of the characteristics of past bear markets, I forecast a brutal bear market that would undergo three psychological stages. The third stage would be a wrenching decline that would ultimately reach levels so shocking that it would cause the destruction of the gold investment class. My analysis, which was dubbed Plunger's Flush, was met not just with skepticism but outright derision. I believe I know how Galileo felt.

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Commodities

Monday, July 27, 2015

Silver Bull Hammer Buy Signal / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Clive_Maund

During gold's takedown over a week ago, silver rather surprisingly escaped relatively unscathed, a resilience that we can put down to this market already being very depressed, with its COTs showing little speculative interest even before the latest drop.

On its 6-month chart we can see that, like gold, silver put in a fine bull hammer on Friday on good volume, and this, along with evidence elsewhere across the sector, suggests that a short-term rally is in the offing, even if the outlook remains bleak over the longer-term. Silver is a trading buy here with a stop beneath Friday's intraday low.

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Commodities

Monday, July 27, 2015

Gold Cracks Support and Plunges to New Lows - How Low Will Price Go? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Clive_Maund

Gold cracked support and plunged to new lows since the last update, which came as no surprise to us. So what now? We are seeing signs that a recovery rally is about to begin, but it probably won't get all that far before a new downleg gets underway that sees gold make new lows again.

It's not just gold prices that are suffering - the entire commodity complex is in ragged retreat, with steep falls also in copper and oil. Why is this? The reason is that the gathering forces of deflation are starting to wreak havoc, and they are not going to be stopped by more QE - even if they print another $10 trillion to throw at the problem. The reason is that the debt mountain dwarfs whatever QE can be generated, and the deflation will continue until this debt is purged. Governments are like greedy short-sighted children - they are not interested in doing what is right and behaving with restraint and propriety, if they were they would have taken control of the debt crisis long ago.

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Commodities

Sunday, July 26, 2015

Commodity Markets Breakdown Of 2015 Is Now A Fact / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: GoldSilverWorlds

We wrote on July 5th that markets are increasingly looking scary. Now, only 3 weeks later, the situation seems to be escalating.

Let’s get it straight: this is a serious deflationary bust in the making. The most worrisome fact is Dr. Copper’s technical breakdown, as seen on the first chart.

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Commodities

Sunday, July 26, 2015

Gold Price at a Five-Year Low: Here’s What to Do / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Money_Morning

Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: Gold prices crashed Monday as panicked sellers drove the yellow metal to its lowest level since 2002 before recovering to a five-year low. More significantly, they broke the $1,130/oz “floor” which had previously been regarded as a solid support level – a key indicator to me that the downdraft wasn’t over.

So I wasn’t surprised to see gold prices finish yesterday’s U.S. trading session modestly lower – but that doesn’t mean I was any less excited, either.

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Commodities

Saturday, July 25, 2015

Central Banks and Our Dysfunctional Gold Markets / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: MISES

Marcia Christoff-Kurapovna writes: Many investors still view gold as a safe-haven investment, but there remains much confusion regarding the extent to which the gold market is vulnerable to manipulation through short-term rigged market trades, and long-arm central bank interventions. First, it remains unclear whether or not much of the gold that is being sold as shares and in certificates actually exists. Second, paper gold can theoretically be printed into infinity just like regular currency — although private-sector paper-gold sellers have considerably less leeway in this regard than central banks. Third, new electronic gold pricing — replacing, as of this past February, the traditional five-bank phone-call of the London Gold Fix in place since 1919 — has not necessarily proved a more trustworthy model. Fourth, there looms the specter of the central bank, particularly in the form of volume trading discounts that commodity exchanges offer them.

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Commodities

Saturday, July 25, 2015

Gold And Silver - The US Dollar Does Not Exist, Part II / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Michael_Noonan

Truth does not exist in the world of politics.

It is reasons such as these, below, that drives the importance of owning and holding physical silver and gold. The fundamental reasons everyone already knows exists but do not apply are important, but the power of the elites to rule over all [at least Western] governments, write the laws, deceive everyone, and now with the evidence of how much influence the bankers can exert over the manipulation of PM prices, is why you need to protect yourself from the evil nature of their control.

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Commodities

Friday, July 24, 2015

Does Jewelry or Central Bank Demand Drive the Gold Price? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

We have already shown that neither mining production, nor technological demand drives gold prices, since gold – thanks to its uniquely high stock-to-flows – resembles an asset rather than commodity. Before we look at the drivers of gold investment demand, we have to analyze the role of jewelry demand and central bank buying in the gold price formation. These two categories are often considered as important drivers for the gold price, but are they really?

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Commodities

Friday, July 24, 2015

Absurd Gold Stock Levels / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold stocks suffered a full-blown panic this past week!  This exceedingly-rare magnitude of selloff was triggered by extreme futures shorting intentionally executed to force a flash crash in gold.  After gold’s major multi-year support failed in this Machiavellian onslaught, gold stocks plummeted.  The levels of fear were so epic that this entire sector was slammed much deeper into fundamentally-absurd price territory.

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Commodities

Friday, July 24, 2015

Gold Mining Stocks Nearing Rebound / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Recently we've been writing about the downside potential in precious metals and the danger for precious metals bulls. The gold miners and Silver have led the rout while Gold finally cracked support ($1140-$1150/oz) last week. That led to a severe selloff across the complex. As we pen this on Thursday evening it appears Friday could be a nasty day if Gold breaks below $1080/oz. Nevertheless, the odds now favor a rebound in the weeks ahead and especially in the gold miners.

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Commodities

Friday, July 24, 2015

Gold Stock Carnage Continues Unabated / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Dan_Norcini

There is still no sign of any serious buying occurring in the gold mining sector. The HUI continues to plummet lower and has fallen to levels last seen in October and November of 2002! This is simply astonishing for its ferocity.

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Commodities

Friday, July 24, 2015

Commodities Distressed Investing / Commodities / Investing 2015

By: John_Mauldin

When most people think of distressed investing, they think of buying CCC-rated bonds at 20 or 30 cents on the dollar, then maybe sitting in bankruptcy court to divvy up the capital structure, making healthy risk-adjusted returns in the end. You just need to hire a few lawyers.

Distressed investors are a different breed of cat. It’s one of those countercyclical businesses, like repo men, who do well when everyone else is getting hammered.

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Commodities

Friday, July 24, 2015

OPEC Shorts Are Driving Down the Crude Oil Price / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Money_Morning

Dr. Kent Moors writes: The conflict between OPEC and U.S. shale/tight oil producers has entered a new phase. And the result has been an accelerated decline in oil prices.

Last November (on Thanksgiving no less), Saudi Arabia led an OPEC decision to hold production stable, followed by a later significant increase in volume. For the first time, the cartel had opted to protect market share rather than price.

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