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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Saturday, April 29, 2017

Gold Hostage to Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold has had a wild ride since Trump's surprise election win in early November.  This metal first plunged then surged, ultimately making little headway. It wasn't until mid-April that gold regained its pre-election levels. This overall lackluster gold action was confounding given all the mounting uncertainties.  But it once again highlights that gold investment demand is often hostage to the US stock markets' fortunes.

Before the election, gold surged every time Trump appeared to advance in the polls. Trump had a well-earned reputation as a loose cannon, implying far greater unpredictability. Increasing prospects of a Trump victory drove gold to $1305 the Friday before the election. But that weekend the FBI cleared Clinton again on her classified-e-mail front. So gold sold off sharply on rising odds Clinton would indeed win.

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Commodities

Saturday, April 29, 2017

Warren Buffett Hates Gold… But Here’s Five Reasons You Need To Own It / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: HAA

Stephen McBride : In a 1998 speech at Harvard, legendary investor Warren Buffett shared his thoughts on gold:

“[Gold] gets dug out of the ground in Africa, or someplace. Then we melt it down, dig another hole, bury it again, and pay people to stand around guarding it. It has no utility.

Buffett is correct—gold doesn’t produce earnings or pay dividends. There are, however, some good reasons gold should be an essential part of every investor’s portfolio.

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Commodities

Friday, April 28, 2017

Fed's Third Inetrest Rate Hike and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

This time, the U.S. central bank did not make us wait too long for the next hike. Just three months after the hike in December, the Fed moved interest rates up again. Although the pace of the current tightening cycle is extremely gradual, the U.S. central bank is consistently moving away from the zero interest rate policy. The chart below shows the current level of the effective federal funds rate after all three hikes.

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Commodities

Friday, April 28, 2017

Looking for Epic Signs? Enter Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: P_Radomski_CFA

In yesterday's alert we wrote that the reversal in the precious metals market should once again not be taken at its face value and that one should not overreact based on it as the size of the potential rally was limited. Well, it turned out that "limited rally" was an euphemism for a decline. Gold, silver and mining stocks declined once again despite the previous day's reversal and gold stocks confirmed the breakdown below the key support line. The implications are strongly bearish. However, there's something ever more bearish and much more profound.

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Commodities

Friday, April 28, 2017

BOOM! Bitcoin Price Blasts To New All Time High! / Commodities / Bitcoin

By: Jeff_Berwick

Having followed bitcoin since it was $3 in 2011 we have had many, many “all time high” celebrations.

Breaking $10 was a small celebration. Breaking $100 had us cheering and buying a round of drinks at the bar. And, when it broke $1,000, TDV subscribers were heard around the world buying sports cars and yachts.

But with bitcoin breaking above $1,325.00 to hit an all time high of $1,331.31 on CoinDesk’s Bitcoin Price Index (BPI), this is a memorable one.

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Commodities

Friday, April 28, 2017

Misunderstanding GDXJ: Why It’s Actually Great News For Junior Miners / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks 2017

By: John_Rubino

Something extraordinarily good for junior precious metals miners just happened. But for some reason it’s being misinterpreted as a bad thing. Here’s the general story:

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Commodities

Thursday, April 27, 2017

This is the Bottom in The Gold Miners - GDX and GDXJ / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks 2017

By: Submissions

Zach writes: This is the bottom in gold mining ETFs GDX and GDXJ. How can I say that so confidently, I hear you ask?

The charts are talking to us...Here goes...

1. We are seeing bottoming tails on the Daily chart of both GDX and GDXJ, which indicates a bottom - in conjunction with other factors.

2. We are into 75% fib levels, which are very reliable levels of support in the case of the gold miners.

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Commodities

Thursday, April 27, 2017

Gold and Silver in a Dangerous World / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Submissions

Peter Ginelli writes: Since the inauguration of President Trump, it appears that nearly every morning we wake up to a new major political crisis at home and around the globe. From Syria to North Korea, Russia, Iran, ISIS and beyond, the world has become an increasingly dangerous place to live or invest in.

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Commodities

Thursday, April 27, 2017

An Even More Bullish Wave Count for GOLD! - Daily-Elliott-wave-analysis / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Enda_Glynn

USDJPY

My Bias: LONG
Wave Structure: rally in wave [C]
Long term wave count: wave [C] is underway, upside to above 136.00
Important risk events: JPY: BOJ Outlook Report, BOJ Policy Rate, BOJ Press Conference. Household Spending y/y. USD: Unemployment Claims, Core Durable Goods Orders m/m, Pending Home Sales m/m. 

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Commodities

Wednesday, April 26, 2017

This Event Could Lead To A Collapse Of The Euro… And Send Gold Skyrocketing / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: HAA

Stephen McBride : The first round of the French presidential election takes place this Sunday, April 23… and the future of the European Union depends on the outcome.

Establishment candidate Emanuel Macron leads in the polls, but Marine Le Pen, leader of the far-right Front National is trailing him by only 1%. However, the real story of the past month has been the rise of far-left candidate Jean-Luc Mélenchon.

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Commodities

Wednesday, April 26, 2017

G20: SURPASSING THE 2nd GLOBAL STEEL CRISIS / Commodities / Steel Sector

By: Dan_Steinbock

In the 2016 G20 Summit, advanced economies accused China for steel overcapacity. Before the Hamburg Summit, similar charges have surfaced. Yet, the postwar era has witnessed two steel overcapacity crises. The current debate cannot afford to ignore the past lessons. As the global steel sector is coping with an overcapacity crisis, multinational industry giants are struggling with consolidation and adjustment.
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Commodities

Tuesday, April 25, 2017

Frank Holmes : Gold Could Hit $1,500 in 2017 Amid Imbalances & Weak Supply / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: MoneyMetals

Welcome to this week’s Market Wrap Podcast, I’m Mike Gleason.

Coming up Frank Holmes, CEO of U.S. Global Investors joins me to share his thoughts on Trump’s first 100 days, the resetting that’s going on the global political front and gives what he sees as a very realistic price target for gold before the end of the year. Be sure to stick around for a fantastic interview with Frank Holmes, coming up after this week’s market update.

Precious metals markets are putting in a mixed performance this week as gold prices hold above their breakout level from the prior week. Spot gold currently comes in at $1,287 an ounce, essentially unchanged on the week.

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Commodities

Tuesday, April 25, 2017

Even “Father of Logic” Thought That Gold Makes the Best Money in the World / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: HAA

Shannara Johnson : In the wee hours of March 27, plucky thieves stole one of the world’s largest gold coins, a 221-pound colossus named the “Big Maple Leaf” from the Bode Museum in Berlin, Germany.

The coin, which takes two to three strong men to carry, had a face value of $1 million, but at current market prices is worth around $4.5 million.

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Commodities

Tuesday, April 25, 2017

3 Reasons Why “Spring Forward, Fall Back” Also Applies To Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: HAA

Stephen McBride : Year to date, the price of gold is up 12%. This is not unusual: the yellow metal also had a strong start into 2016, rising 18% over the same period.

So is there a seasonal pattern to the gold price? To answer that question, we dissected gold’s performance dating back to 1975 and identified some trends investors can use to their advantage.

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Commodities

Tuesday, April 25, 2017

Gold Price Is 1% Shy of Ripping Higher / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: The_Gold_Report

Precious metals are on the verge of a legendary move, says Lior Gantz, editor of Wealth Research Group, and details the indicators he watches for.

With the first round of the French elections over and a potential beginning of the end for the Eurozone might be within sight, this is only one of the macro-political events that are causing gold prices to be within 1% of shuttering its 10-year resistance level.

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Commodities

Saturday, April 22, 2017

Gold Market Fractal Event / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Michael_J_Kosares

“In the absence of a credible monetary standard, we expect no escape from the treadmill of rising debt, both US and globally, that outpaces economic growth. Income inequality, wage stagnation, overvaluation of financial assets, and speculation instead of productive investment are likely to be prolonged under the current monetary regime. Whether or not policy makers take a proactive approach to address monetary reform, the fact remains that gold is massively underpriced in all paper currencies. It would be preferable if the necessary adjustments could occur without a repeat of a 2008-like financial crisis. We give this possibility a chance, albeit slim. In any event, we expect a significant repricing of gold higher during the current administration, either by design or because of market events. Whenever a repricing happens, we expect broad grassroots support for that outcome.” – John Hathaway, Tocqueville Funds
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Commodities

Saturday, April 22, 2017

Gold IRAs: How to Lessen or Avoid That Pesky Capital Gains Tax / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: HAA

Since we just finished tax season, many first-time gold investors might wonder what to do about their precious metals holdings. How are they taxed, and are there any legal ways to lessen those taxes?

Precious metals like gold, silver, and platinum are considered capital assets, so you will have to pay capital gains taxes when you sell them for a profit.

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Commodities

Saturday, April 22, 2017

Gold Price Upleg Momentum Building / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold’s young upleg just enjoyed a major upside breakout, bolstering strong technicals and heralding a coming Golden Cross buy signal.  Investors have started aggressively buying gold again after record-high stock markets distracted them.  This gold upleg’s upside momentum is really building, portending accelerating gains in coming months.  Yet sentiment remains poor, with traders still quite bearish on gold.

Virtually no one is excited about gold these days.  Mainstream investors continue to ignore it like usual, while contrarians largely expect a lackluster sideways grind at best.  This apathy is the natural result of gold’s recent consolidation between late February and mid-April.  With 6+ weeks seeing no net progress, there was little to spark any enthusiasm.  Thus gold gradually faded from speculators’ and investors’ radars.

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Commodities

Saturday, April 22, 2017

Why Now Gold and Silver Precious Metals? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Richard_Mills

John Exter was an American economist and a member of the Board of Governors of the United States Federal Reserve System.

Exter is known for creating Exter's Pyramid - useful for visualizing the organization of asset classes in terms of risk and size.

When the credit system is expanding most money flows to the top of the pyramid - the increasingly speculative and illiquid investments. When the credit system comes under pressure and debt cannot be repaid, the items at the top of the pyramid get sold and money flows towards the bottom.

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Commodities

Friday, April 21, 2017

Silver, Platinum and Palladium as Investments – Research Shows Diversification Benefit / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: GoldCore

– Silver, platinum and palladium see increased role as investment vehicles
– Increase in academic output on the white precious metals is in line with this
– Silver and particularly gold are safe haven assets
– Silver was a safe haven at times during which gold failed to be
– Platinum and palladium less so but have diversification benefits
– Silver manipulation is possible and indications of, if not legal proof
– Benefits platinum and palladium could provide as money not been fully addressed
– Main focus in investment drivers is price – not on drivers of physical demand
– Platinum, palladium and silver have different relationships with other assets and divergent abilities in hedging risk
– White precious metal investors should employ a buy-and-hold strategy
– Silver markets have become more efficient since 1977
– White precious metals are increasing in investment importance
– Research shows hedging role and diversification benefits of precious metals

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