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Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Sunday, November 23, 2014

Manipulated Stock Market Short Squeezes to Another All Time High - The China Syndrome / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The stock market spent virtually the whole week giving the impression of levitating in thin air that increasingly convinced many with each passing day that the market would resolve to the downside. Instead the market surprised virtually all by doing what market trends tend to do most often which is to resolve in the direction of the primary trend, which for a bull market is UP.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, November 22, 2014

Stock Market Medium Term Top? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Tony_Caldaro

Another good week for the market as new all time highs keep this uptrend rising. The market started the week at SPX 2040, rose to 2056 by Tuesday, pulled back to 2040 by Thursday, then rallied to 2071 on Friday. For the week the SPX/DOW were +1.10%, the NDX/NAZ were +0.55%, and the DJ World gained 0.90%. On the economic front it was a positive week. On the uptick: NY/Philly FED, the PPI, NAHB, building permits, existing home sales, leading indicators and the WLEI. On the downtick: industrial production, capacity utilization, housing starts, plus weekly jobless claims rose. Next week, a holiday shortened one, we get Q3 GDP, the Chicago PMI and reports on Housing.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, November 22, 2014

China Cuts Interest Rates, Black Candles, Stock Market Top Longer Term? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Jack_Steiman

Futures were quiet early on in the evening last night. Out-of-the-blue the futures suddenly began a sharp, straight-up move. The culprit was more central bank stuff we're all used to by now. China decided to suddenly, and without warning, to cut interest rates by 40 bps. Europe saw their futures explode, and naturally, since we follow Germany overnight, we began to blast up. The futures rising steadily right in to the close. We gapped up and ran a bit higher. At the top today, we had daily RSI's on the key-index charts in the upper 70's. This is pretty much unsustainable. Add in all the froth prior to this explosion higher, and it seemed likely that the market would fade as the day moved along. That's exactly what happened. In this type of environment there is nothing more dangerous than chasing strength. Taking some exposure off isn't a bad idea at all.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, November 21, 2014

Stock Market Investor Sentiment in The Balance / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Clif_Droke

As several market technicians have pointed out recently, price oscillators and sentiment indicators for the U.S. stock market point to an excessively "overbought" condition, both technically and psychologically. To take just one instance of how overstretched the market has become, take a look at the following chart which shows the SPX in relation to its 200-day moving average. The 200-day MA is widely followed by small investors and big money managers alike.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, November 21, 2014

Stock Market Probable Pop-n-drop Brewing / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

The Premarket has the SPX at the hourly Cycle Top resistance at 2071.62 this morning. If today’s Pivot is effective, we should see the SPX decline soon after the open. The Wave relationships suggest that SPX may top out at 2075.00, should Cycle Top resistance give way for a brief time.

Last night’s analysis of the VIX remains current. I just hadn’t enough information on the SPX to make the analysis until this morning.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, November 21, 2014

Australia Stock Market and AUD Dollar Analysis (ASX200 and AUDUSD) / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Austin_Galt

The Australian stock index, the ASX200, bounced nicely off its October lows while the last couple of weeks has given up some of those gains. So is this the start of a downtrend or just a correction before price heads up to new rally highs? I favour the latter.

Let's investigate beginning with the weekly chart.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, November 20, 2014

Stock Market Indexes Are at a Possible Turning Point / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX is challenging the upper trendline of a probable Minute Wave [ii]. If correct, it may turn back down after the noon hour today.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, November 20, 2014

Ebola Threat Remains a Risk - New Deaths in Nebraska and New York / Stock-Markets / Ebola

By: GoldCore

The Ebola crisis has faded from headlines but remains a risk after the death of another Ebola patient in Nebraska and the death of a suspected victim in New York yesterday. This brings the number of confirmed deaths to two in the U.S. and possibly three if the New York victim is confirmed as having had Ebola.

The toll in the Ebola epidemic has risen to 5,420 deaths out of 15,145 cases in eight countries, the World Health Organization (WHO) said today. Transmission of the deadly virus still "intense and widespread" in Sierra Leone.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, November 20, 2014

Stock Market and the Jaws of Life or Death? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Rambus_Chartology

There seems to be a lot of confusion out there as to whether the stock markets are bullish or bearish. Is the Dow Jones in a topping pattern as so many analysis are suggesting? I’ve seen some charts that are calling the big trading range , on the Dow Jones going all the way back to the 2000 bull market top, THE JAWS OF DEATH. Man it doesn’t get anymore dire than that. As usual I have a different take on the JAWS OF DEATH, which I would like to share with you tonight .

Before we look at the first chart for the Dow Jones I need you to clear your mind of everything related to the stock markets in any shape or form. That means no Elliot Wave counts, Time Cycles, Gann Lines , volume studies, no indicators of any kind. Clear your mind of every article you’ve ever read on the stock markets, bullish or bearish. And last of all, NO CHARTOLOGY. I want you to look at just the pure price action without any bias whatsoever. From that point we can then start to see what is really happening to the Dow Jones and related markets .

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, November 20, 2014

Stock Market Fed Minutes Quiet..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Jack_Steiman

The market was anticipating something negative in those Fed minutes since a few of the Feds, who, by the way, are on their way out in 2015, were asking for rates to be raised sooner than later. Over the past month, or so, we've seen a few of them try to put pressure on Fed Yellen by stating their beliefs on what they think she should do, but she hasn't blinked. They stated their intentions in the minutes, but, once again, we didn't get any indication from Yellen that she's going to raise rates sooner than later, especially since in those minutes she talked about the slow improvement in housing, which is a key-economic indicator for her. She wasn't happy on that front, thus, on that alone we should expect her to keep rates low for a very, very long time.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, November 19, 2014

Stock Market Waiting for the Trendline Break / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX has made a 5-wave impulse from the top and may be correcting up to 2048.00 as I write. The Orthodox Broadening Top trendline is at that level or a bit higher. An aggressive sell signal may be generated as SPX crosses beneath the trading channel trendline at 2040.00.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, November 18, 2014

Government Bailed Out Banks and the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: EWI

The following article was adapted with permission from the November 2014 issue of The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, a publication from Elliott Wave International, the world's largest market forecasting firm. Follow this link for the complete article.

Here's a key principle concerning the role of government in bull and bear markets, as outlined in The Elliott Wave Theorist in 1991:

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, November 18, 2014

Stock Valuations Outrunning Profits Growth - And the Band Played On / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Jesse

"We are still amazed by the chart [below], but it summarises the problem for those seeking to short stocks with fundamental weaknesses. In the last three years, the MSCI World Index has risen by 38% (11% per annum) whilst reported profits have risen by just 3% (that’s just 1% per annum!). As the events of last month attest, central bank actions–not profits–are driving equities forward." - Andrew Lapthorne, Societe General

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, November 18, 2014

Lindsay's Stock Market Right Shoulder / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Ed_Carlson

With the October rally exceeding the September high we find ourselves once again searching for the right shoulder high which will mark the end of the bull market.

The rally from the end of the Sideways Movement on 11/25/11 terminated at the July high earlier this year when, after 964 calendar days, the Dow had come to the end of the longest of Lindsay's standard time spans and dropped 770 points. We know from the preserved, written work of George Lindsay that a right shoulder always follows a long basic advance. While a right shoulder is usually lower than the high of the basic advance, Lindsay left open the possibility that a higher right shoulder is possible and history shows that it is not without precedent.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, November 18, 2014

An Epiphany From Hell - Buy Gold and Silver / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: Richard_Daughty

Proving that I never have an original thought, I recently received an epiphany from Alan Greenspan, evil erstwhile chairman of the Federal Reserve who is directly responsible for the fatal mess we are in. He was recently casually “explaining” how it was absolutely necessary for him to destroy the United States by creating so much excess cash and credit that it created horrendously huge bubbles in stocks, bubbles in bonds, bubbles in business and personal debt, bubbles in size of governments and their growing legions of dependents, and an expensive housing/real estate market, all adding up to an incomprehensibly gigantic Huge Freaking Boatload (HFB) of debt, all made possible by the evil Federal Reserve, and all priced to yield at negative real (inflation-adjusted) rates!

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