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Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Thursday, May 05, 2016

Central Planners Versus Contrarian Logic / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Doug_Wakefield

"For every action, there is an equal and opposite reaction" - Newton's Third Law, The Physics Classroom

Since the Great Recession, anyone following financial history and markets knows that this period of intervention and debt has surpassed everything seen in history prior to the events of 2007-2009. For every pull back in "risk on" assets, there have been actions to make sure equity markets went higher or back to previous highs, the lead example worldwide being US equity markets.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, May 05, 2016

Stocks Extended Their Short-Term Downtrend But Will They Continue Lower? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.

Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, May 05, 2016

The Next 2008 Style Financial Crisis Event Is Lurching Towards Us / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016

By: Graham_Summers

As we noted yesterday, the ECB cannot and will not be able to generate GDP growth or inflation.

The EU is simply too leveraged. You cannot have an entire region sporting a Debt to GDP of over 90%… with banks leveraged at 26 to 1 using sovereign debt as collateral on their derivatives trades, and “fix it” using NIRP or QE.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, May 05, 2016

Stock Market Holding On By A Thread... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

The Nasdaq has long ago broken down below all key, exponential moving averages. Bad action there, but this has been an S&P 500 bull market for the most part the last year plus. The Nasdaq has been performing poorly due to those higher beta, higher P/E stocks the big money wants nothing to do with. Priceline Inc. (PCLN) was down 100+ today on their earnings report. No mercy anywhere if you have higher P/E stocks. The big boys and girls want lower beta. They want lower P/E and they want lower risk.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, May 04, 2016

Dow Stocks Bull Not Ready to Crash Yet / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Sol_Palha

Have patience. All things are difficult before they become easy. Saadi

Okay, okay, we have heard it before; this market should crash, everything is fake, etc.  We are as we have spoken many times over the past two years in a new paradigm. Reality is being recreated; this entire economic recovery is a hoax but despite this, the markets have soared higher.  What gives? If you manipulate the data, you can control the outcome, and that’s what has been done throughout this so-called economic recovery phase.  Hence, there is no point in looking at the markets through old lenses, because the playing field has changed.  The only thing you can focus on now is price and market psychology.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, May 04, 2016

Stocks may "cut loose" after supports are passed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX took all morning to successfully decline through the 4.5-year trendline and retest it. There are two probable paths it may take from here. First, it may complete an impulse at the 50-day Moving Average at 2037.73 and retest the trendline again. Or it may break the 50-day support and 2-hour cycle Bottom at 2026.17 while continuing its decline, as the Wave structure in the chart implies.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, May 03, 2016

Stock Market Technical Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Christopher_Quigley

Technical Summary:
Short Term Trend:                            Neutral With A Bearish Configuration Possibly Developing.
Medium Term Trend:                      Bullish.
Long Term Trend:                            Neutral:Both The 100 DMA and the 200 DMA Are Flat.
Slow Stochastics:                             Overbought: Market Risk Is High.
Fast Stochastics:                              Neutral But Trending To Oversold.
VIX:                                                   Very Low: Market  Risk Is High.
McClennan Oscillator:                    Low But Trending Down. Not Ideal For Shorting The Market.
A/D Line:                                           Bullish.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, May 03, 2016

Stock Market Bad News Bought Again...It's All About Rates....Nothing Else... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

After seven straight down days on the Nasdaq, the market was ready for a bit of a bounce. The Nasdaq has been underperforming, mostly due to Apple Inc. (AAPL), which has been sinking like a stone since they had their earnings report and Carl Ichan sold all of his shares. Many other Nasdaq stocks have participated in the bad earnings world as well, which has clearly contributed to the down turn in the Nasdaq versus the rest of the stock market. The S&P 500 is holding up far better than the Nasdaq as the big money continues to rotate into safety and away from froth, and higher P/E and beta stocks. Risk is not what they're after at this moment in time. Safety is the name of their game.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, May 03, 2016

Stock Market Retracement May be Complete / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The retracement rally hit 61.8% of ita recent decline and appears complete. This is a good aggressive short entry here, as well.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, May 02, 2016

Stock Market Bounce Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX appears to be completing its bounce today. Today is a Pi date, so the bounce may be over by the end of the day. Once through the 4.5 year trendline, there may be a panic event in stocks. A panic event may take place in as little as 4.3 days (30.1 hours) That may target May 9 as the next Master Cycle low. This is our preliminary target until we see how the decline develops.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, May 02, 2016

Stock Market Uncertainty Following Two-Month Long Rally - Will It Continue? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.

Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

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Stock-Markets

Monday, May 02, 2016

Stock Market Correction Underway "Upside Objective Reached" / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend: The beginning of a lengthy correction is most likely underway!

SPX Intermediate trend: Rally top.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, April 30, 2016

Consensus Forming: China Heading Back Into Financial Crisis / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016

By: John_Rubino

China’s historic post-2009 debt binge flew largely under the radar — fooling most observers into thinking the global economy was recovering rather than just re-leveraging.

Now Beijing is back at it, borrowing over $1 trillion in this year’s first quarter, buying up commodities and creating the illusion of global growth. But this time the scam hasn’t gone unnoticed. Reporters, editors and money managers seem, at last, to be catching on. Some representative headlines:

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, April 30, 2016

How Much Longer Until Stock Market Bubble Bursts? / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble

By: Graham_Summers

It’s been a rough week for stocks.

Traders gunned for 2,100 on the S&P 500 time and again. All of those efforts failed to hold. And this was despite the Fed failing to raise rates again.

The market is now rolling over and likely to test the downward trendline established by a series of lower highs in 2015. Currently this level is around 2,030 or so.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, April 30, 2016

Stock Market Downtrend Should be Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market started the week at SPX 2092. On Monday the market pulled back to SPX 2072, rallied to 2097 on Tuesday, pulled back to 2082 ahead of the FOMC statement, then rallied to 2100 after it was released. On Thursday the market pulled back to SPX 2086, rallied to 2099, declined to 2052 on Friday and ended the week at 2065. For the week the SPX/DOW lost 1.25%, and the NDX/NAZ lost 2.80%. Economic reports for the week were generally positive. On the downtick: new home sales, consumer confidence/sentiment, the Chicago PMI and Q1 GDP was lower. On the uptick: durable goods, Case-Shiller, pending home sales, the PCE, personal income/spending, and the WLEI. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by the monthly Payrolls report and the ISMs.

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