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Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Friday, August 29, 2014

Rethinking Japan’s “Lost Decades” / Economics / Japan Economy

By: MISES

Peter St. Onge writes: One of the great economic myths of our time is Japan’s “lost decades.” As Japan doubles-down on inflationary stimulus, it’s worth reviewing the facts.

The truth is that the Japanese and US economies have performed in lock-step since 2000, and their performances have matched each other going as far back as 1980.

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Economics

Friday, August 29, 2014

The Eurozone is a Growing Problem for U.S. Economy / Economics / US Economy

By: Sy_Harding

· The 18-nation euro-zone is the largest economy in the world, eclipsing that of the U.S.

· The euro-zone is the largest trading partner of the U.S. (the largest importer of U.S. goods, the largest exporter of goods to the U.S.).

· The euro-zone is in an economic crisis.

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Economics

Thursday, August 28, 2014

U.S. Economic Contraction - Blaming That Cold Weather Culprit / Economics / US Economy

By: MISES

Devin Leary-Hanebrink writes: In February, the Federal Reserve made a cursory observation that the unusually severe winter was partly to blame for the stagnant pace of the US economy. The news media, ranging from liberal to conservative, all highlighted the Fed’s report and provided their respective “spin” on how the weather damages the economy. But soon enough, focus turned back to the brutally cold temperatures and not winter’s economic impact.

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Economics

Thursday, August 28, 2014

A Lesson in Economic Analysis from the Minimum Wage Debate / Economics / Wages

By: MISES

Kenneth A. Zahringer writes: In the ebb and flow of interventionist politics, there are some issues that surface periodically regardless of how many times and how completely they are proven to be harmful to the very people they are purported to help. Currently the tide is once again carrying the minimum wage to the forefront of collective attention. Supporters of this and similar measures often use straw-man arguments, like the one in the picture below.

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Economics

Thursday, August 28, 2014

Employers Aren’t Just Whining: The “Skills Gap” Is Real / Economics / Employment

By: John_Mauldin

Paul Krugman and other notables dismiss the notion of a skills gap, though employers continue to claim they’re having trouble finding workers with the skills they need. And if you look at the evidence one way, Krugman et al. are right. But this week an interesting post on the Harvard Business Review Blog Network by guest columnist James Bessen suggests that employers may not just be whining, they may really have a problem filling some kinds of jobs.

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Economics

Wednesday, August 27, 2014

A Look at the Coming 30-year Inflation Cycle / Economics / Inflation

By: Clif_Droke

The upcoming bottom of the 60-year cycle will drastically alter the U.S. economic landscape. The ending of the long-term disinflationary/deflationary undercurrent will soon give way to a new long-term cycle of re-inflation/inflation, bringing with it both challenges and opportunities.

As we begin a new 60-year cycle, the main challenge for the Federal Reserve will be to resist the temptation to stimulate the economy during periods of sub-par growth. The saying, "Old generals fight the old wars" applies here as the Fed has always had difficulty in discerning the dominant economic undercurrent.

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Economics

Wednesday, August 27, 2014

Europe’s Depressing Economy Dog Days of Summer / Economics / Euro-Zone

By: Steve_H_Hanke

             As we entered the dog days of summer, a flurry of negative economic news surfaced. The news from Continental Europe was worse than anticipated, catching most observers by surprise. Those who were caught off guard failed to keep their eyes focused on money and credit. In addition, they neglected to gauge geopolitical events and the state of economic confidence.

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Economics

Tuesday, August 26, 2014

A Nation of Shopkeepers - Supply-Side (Voodoo) Economics? / Economics / Economic Theory

By: John_Mauldin

“To found a great empire for the sole purpose of raising up a people of customers may at first sight appear a project fit only for a nation of shopkeepers. It is, however, a project altogether unfit for a nation of shopkeepers; but extremely fit for a nation whose government is influenced by shopkeepers.”
– Adam Smith, The Wealth of Nations

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Economics

Tuesday, August 26, 2014

65,000 U.S. Marines Hold up a Mirror to the Economy / Economics / US Economy

By: Don_Miller

I was 18 years old when I left boot camp for Camp Lejeune, North Carolina, where the Marine Corps stationed 65,000 troops. When my unit got our first weekend pass and could actually leave the base in civilian clothes, something I hadn’t worn in several months, I put on a brand new pair of Levis, no belt, penny loafers, white socks, and a collared, buttoned shirt. I had no hair to comb—the Marine Corps saw to that.

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Economics

Monday, August 25, 2014

Go Forth Multiply And Replenish The Earth / Economics / Demographics

By: Andrew_McKillop

And Inherit The Debt of your Parents
A supposedly alarming national population simulation commissioned by South Korea's National Assembly and published this week says that by 2750 (perhaps that was a typo for 2075) the country's population would be extinct. The report said that South Korea's extreme low fertility rate (about 1.25 children per female in her reproductive life) is outpacing the decline of neighboring Japan's population but the report admitted that Hong Kong, Taiwan, Macau and Singapore have even lower fertility rates. Several EU28 countries, including former “big family” Italy and Spain have fertility rates close to Japan's 1.40 children per female, far below the 2.2 to 2.3 needed to simply maintain the present population.  

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Economics

Monday, August 25, 2014

Why Isn’t Fed Monetary Pumping Helping the U.S. Economy? / Economics / US Economy

By: Frank_Shostak

Despite all the massive monetary pumping over the past six years and the lowering of interest rates to almost zero most commentators have expressed disappointment with the pace of economic growth. For instance, the yearly rate of growth of the European Monetary Unit (EMU) real GDP fell to 0.7 percent in Q2 from 0.9 percent in the previous quarter. In Q1 2007 the yearly rate of growth stood at 3.7 percent. In Japan the yearly rate of growth of real GDP fell to 0 percent in Q2 from 2.7 percent in Q1 and 5.8 percent in Q3 2010.

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Economics

Saturday, August 23, 2014

Inflation vs the Deflationary Straw Man / Economics / Inflation

By: Gary_Tanashian

No matter the debates over inflation vs. deflation, increasing employment vs. sound monetary policy or systemic health vs. fragility (and whatever else is flying around in Jackson Hole this week), the CPI marches onward and upward.  That is the system and it is predicated on creating enough money out of thin air while inflation signals are (somehow) held at bay.

The Straw Man* in this argument lives in the idea that inflation is not always destructive, that inflation can be used for good and honed, massaged and targeted just right to achieve positive ends to defeat the curse of deflation that is surely just around the next corner.  Currently, the Straw Man is supported by the reality of the moment, which includes long-term Treasury yields remaining in their long-term secular down trend.

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Economics

Friday, August 22, 2014

The Mega Debt and Sustainable Capitalism / Economics / Credit Crisis Bailouts

By: Submissions

Tom Naysburn writes: Accepted thought acknowledges the financial crisis of 2008 was a near apocalyptic event which needed the citizens of the Anglo American dominated financial world to bailout the banking system to the conservative tune of $10 trillion in the US, and at least £1 trillion by UK taxpayers.  For perspective, the entire cumulative national government debt in the UK stood at £350bn at the turn of the century.

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Economics

Friday, August 22, 2014

Deflation's Final Curtain Call - Part II / Economics / Deflation

By: Clif_Droke

As the 60-year cycle enters its final few weeks of descent, a few conclusions can be made. We can also make some projections as to what the foreseeable future might hold based on the upcoming bottom of this important economic cycle.

Since the 60-year cycle is the primary cycle governing inflation and deflation, it makes sense that its impact will be most strongly felt in the prices of inflation-sensitive commodities. Its force is also evident in wages, interest rates, and other factors which influence the general course of the economy. One of the biggest areas affected by the cycle is in earnings and income growth.

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Economics

Friday, August 22, 2014

A World Economy Made of BRICS? / Economics / Emerging Markets

By: Submissions

Rodney Johnson writes: Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa (BRICS) recently announced the formation of a Contingent Reserve Arrangement (CRA), which will provide loans to member countries if their foreign exchange reserves run dangerously low.

This fund is supposed to show the world that the BRICS can survive without the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and its main patron, the U.S., and that countries are taking concrete steps to shake their reliance on the U.S. dollar.

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