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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Election Oracle

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

ElectionOracle

Saturday, November 07, 2020

Trump Concedes Election Defeat After MSM Call Pennsylvania for Joe Biden Winner of US Election 2020 / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2020

By: N_Walayat

President Trump has graciously conceded election defeat after the mainstream establishment media called the US election for Vice President Biden earlier today after declaring Pennsylvania's 20 electoral college votes for Biden.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


ElectionOracle

Friday, November 06, 2020

Betting Markets Declare Biden Wins US Presidential Election 2020, Helped by CNN Propaganda / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2020

By: N_Walayat

US election night proved to be a nail biting event, one of Biden taking an early lead that within hours evaporated where by Midnight US time it looked as though Trump could pull off another election miracle like 2016 with a lot of glum faces on the Democrats propaganda network channel CNN, whose presenters spent subsequent hours trying to ignore the stream of bad news by repeating the mantra that there are a lot of Democrat votes to come in later (mail in ballots) after election night is over as if they were party to inside information?

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ElectionOracle

Thursday, November 05, 2020

Betting Markets Call it for Biden Election Win, the Next President of the United States! / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2020

By: Nadeem_Walayat

US election night proved to be a nail biting event, one of Biden taking an early lead that within hours evaporated where by Midnight US time it looked as though Trump could pull off another election miracle like 2016 with a lot of glum faces on the Democrats propaganda network channel CNN, whose presenters spent subsequent hours trying to ignore the stream of bad news by repeating the mantra that there are a lot of Democrat votes to come in later (mail in ballots) after election night is over as if they were party to inside information?

Read full article... Read full article...

 


ElectionOracle

Tuesday, November 03, 2020

US Election CHAOS! Trump to Contest Result, Refuse to Concede Defeat if Biden Wins! / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2020

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Are you ready for the Trump Show Election Chaos Season Finale?

Voting day has finally arrived and the final polls have Biden way ahead of Trump ahead of today's vote. Though of course the opinion polls are not very accurate, tend to be skewed against conservatives due to liberal polling bias, so the actual result is very unlikely to be what the pollsters and pundits expect, as was the case in 2016. Whereas my election matrix analysis forecast which did accurately forecast Trump winning in 2016, does conclude in Biden winning in 2020 on about 49.1% against 46.4% for Trump, and securing more than 300 electoral college votes.

However, in the face of defeat it does not look like Trump is going to go quietly into the night, and it all has to do with the counting of millions of mail in ballots, in which respect Biden has a 3-1 advantage over Trump as many more Democrats heeded coronavirus warnings and chose to vote early by mail rather than stand in long voting lines at the polling stations. Which means on election night the advantage will be in Trumps favour as many mail in ballots will only be counted on the 4th and 5th of November, so whatever lead Trump has on election night will be whittled away in Biden's favour.

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ElectionOracle

Monday, November 02, 2020

Man Who Correctly Predicted Trump 2016 Win Calls 2020 US Election Result / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2020

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Can Trump still win in 2020 despite being 10 points behind Biden in the polls? Let's find out from someone who did accurately predict both that the UK would vote to LEAVE the EU and that Trump would win the US Presidential election in 2016 despite what the pollsters, pundits, bookies and markets were stating at the time, as illustrated by my articles and videos at the time. And similarly I also accurately forecast the outcome of the 2012 and 2008 US Presidential elections.

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ElectionOracle

Sunday, November 01, 2020

Can Trump Win? US Presidential Election Matrix Forecast Final Update / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2020

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Will the November 3rd election earthquake trigger a stock market Tsunami or just a few inconsequential waves lapping on the market shore?  Here we stand just a few days away from the US presidential election with the liberal MSM in a state of electoral fever as their preferred candidate is way ahead on the polls looking set to win, just as their favoured candidate Hillary Clinton in 2016 was way head of the polls so unlike 2016 there is an edge to the frenzy of their activity given the awareness that the polls tend to be wrong, skewed against conservative voters and opinions. However, 2020 is even more chaotic than 2016, as this year there is the backdrop of the chinese virus raging across the US and especially in many US swing states that is contributing towards new cases of infection soaring to new plandemic highs with deaths already having broken above 230,000! Near double all of the US lives lost in all of the wars since 194 that acts as a continuing noose around the US economy, though that has so far not been enough to full fill that which the perma stock market doom merchants have been proclaiming for a more than a decade, an end to the stocks bull market.

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ElectionOracle

Sunday, November 01, 2020

Trump vs Biden -- What Does the Stock Market Say About the Election - Webinar / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2020

By: EWI

Dear Reader,

The U.S. presidential election is just days away.

What does the stock market say about who is likely to win? Which party would be better for the stock market and the economy? And how can you anticipate trends in politics, the economy and broader society going forward, regardless of who wins?

Read full article... Read full article...

 


ElectionOracle

Saturday, October 31, 2020

Why Trump Can Still Win 2020 Election - Establishment Mainstream Media Wrong Again? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2020

By: N_Walayat

Biden is 10 points ahead of Trump in the polls and the mainstream establishment media is once more slapping themselves on the back with have seen off the agent of chaos that was Trump for the past four years, with many so called analysts declaring with a 90%+ probability that Trump cannot win. However, we've literally been here before, here's a reminder of what happened last time Trump was 10 points behind with the mainstream establishment media writing him off.

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ElectionOracle

Friday, October 30, 2020

Can Trump Still Win? US Presidential Election Forecast Matrix 2020 / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2020

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The stock market continues to mark time ahead of the US Presidential election result with much uncertainty surrounding what happens after November 3rd which is the focus of my current analysis and concluding trend forecast due to be posted first to Patrons within the next day or so.

Where the US presidential election is concerned then the last update of my Election Matrix as of 23rd of October continued to suggest...

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ElectionOracle

Thursday, October 29, 2020

US Presidential Election Forecast Matrix, Stock Market Uncertainty / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2020

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The stock market continues to mark time ahead of the US Presidential election result with much uncertainty surrounding what happens after November 3rd which is the focus of my current analysis and concluding trend forecast due to be posted first to Patrons within the next day or so.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


ElectionOracle

Saturday, October 17, 2020

US 2020 Election: Are American's ready for Trump 2nd Term Twilight Zone Presidency? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2020

By: N_Walayat

In the rum up to the 2016 US presidential election the pollsters, pundits, markets and bookies all concluded that Hillary Clinton would win the election, which is precisely the case today in the run upto the 2020 election where everyone thinks Biden is going to win. Though at 2016 time I concluded that Trump would win as illustrated by several videos at the time.

The best description of the past 4 years is one of a dimension as vast as space and as timeless as infinity. It is the middle ground between light and shadow, between science and superstition, and it lies between the pit of man's fears and the summit of his knowledge. This is the dimension of imagination. It is an area which we call the Trump Twilight Zone.

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ElectionOracle

Thursday, October 15, 2020

Beware of Trump’s October (November?) Election Surprise / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2020

By: Dan_Steinbock

In the 2020 election, Americans’ national priorities, discontent with the Trump administration and its economic and pandemic failures would seem to work for the Democrats.  But beware of the October (or even November) surprise.

Recently, President Trump tested positive for COVID-19, which initiated contact tracing in the infected White House – after nine months of failed pandemic leadership, violations of basic public-health procedures, premature exits from the lockdowns and earlier-than-anticipated secondary waves.

The consequences have been severe. The number of Americans that have perished in the pandemic (close to 220,000) is already nearly four times higher than the total of US deaths in the Vietnam War.

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ElectionOracle

Saturday, October 10, 2020

This Is What The Stock Market Is Saying About Trump’s Re-Election / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2020

By: Avi_Gilburt

While reading of the title of this article may cause you to make certain assumptions about what you are about to read, I can assure you that this is not a politically motivated article. In fact, politics has absolutely nothing to do with the analysis and conclusions presented herein.

I want to start with the assumption that we have spoken about so often, and that it is social mood which directs our actions in life, including our willingness to buy stocks. As Robert Prechter noted in a study he published in 2012 on this topic, “[s]ocionomic theory proposes that unconscious social mood regulates social actions.”

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ElectionOracle

Tuesday, October 06, 2020

Why I am Voting for Donald J. Hitler / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2020

By: Robert_Singer

First they came for the socialists, and I did not speak out – because I was not a socialist. Then they came for the trade unionists, and I did not speak out – because I was not a trade unionist. Then they came for me, and I didn’t need to speak out, I voted for Adolph J. Trump

I have been trying to explain the millions of Americans—Republicans Christians, Jews, Blacks, Hispanic and college-educated white voters— who watched Trump stand in the middle of 5th Avenue and shoot freedom, equality and justice in the head, and are still voting for him in November.

They don’t care that he lost more money than any other American, bankrupted his businesses six times, is an adulterer, a liar, and that he grabs women by the p*ssy.

It’s not an enigma wrapped in a riddle. Roe vs Wade, Moving the Embassy to Jerusalem, the Wall, the Economy, Iran or Climate Change, none of them solve the mystery.

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ElectionOracle

Saturday, October 03, 2020

Debate Debacle: What Biden and Trump SHOULD Have Been Asked / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2020

By: MoneyMetals

Tuesday night’s presidential debate between Donald Trump and Joe Biden won’t go down as a great moment in the annals of American democracy. That much both camps, as well as independent observers of the chaotic spectacle, can agree upon.

The post-debate debate over whose interruptions or insults were most egregious totally overlooked the glaring failure of moderator Chris Wallace to ask any substantive questions about the country's unprecedented financial predicament.

Record budget deficits? Unsustainable debt growth? Open-ended Federal Reserve currency creation?

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ElectionOracle

Friday, October 02, 2020

Trump Tests Positive for CoronaVirus, Is Biden Infected? Pence vs Harris Presidency? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2020

By: Nadeem_Walayat

President Trumps incompetent handling of the chinese coronavirus pandemic has resulted in over 210,000 american deaths, that looks set to reach 250,000 by voting day and who now himself has tested positive for Covdi-19.

Given his antics of lack of social distancing and mask wearing and holding huge enclosed space election rallies the only surprising thing is that he made it this far without getting infected.

Can Trump survive Covid-19? After all it came close to killing Britain's equally moronic 50 year old Prime Minister Boris Johnson earlier in the year.

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ElectionOracle

Tuesday, September 29, 2020

How Trump co-opted the religious right and stacked the courts with conservatives / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2020

By: Richard_Mills

“We’re not giving lifetime appointments to this President, on the way out the door, to change the Supreme Court, for the next 25 or 30 years.” 

That was Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell in 2016, defending his controversial decision to block President Obama’s appointee to the Supreme Court, Merrick Garland. 

The veteran Republican lawmaker enraged Democrats by refusing to hold a Senate confirmation hearing on Garland’s appropriateness for the position. Under the US Constitution, the Senate Judiciary Committee conducts hearings examining the background of the nominee and questioning him/ her about their views on a variety of cases and their judicial philosophy.

Yet when faced with a vacancy on the court after the recent death of liberal Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg, McConnell vowed to replace her in a Senate vote, before the Nov. 3 election. Like in 2016, a Supreme Court judge had died just before the President’s four-year term had ended (actually six weeks prior this year, vs 8 months in 2016). 

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ElectionOracle

Tuesday, August 18, 2020

Mail-in ballots in order to Fraudulently steal US Presidental Election 2020? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2020

By: James_Quinn

WHAT DIFFERENCE DOES IT MAKE?

During questioning by Senator Ron Johnson in 2013 about the false narrative of a Prophet Muhammed video spurring a spontaneous demonstration, presented by National Security Advisor Susan Rice and Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, regarding the Benghazi attack that killed Ambassador Christopher Stevens and three other Americans, Clinton angrily responded with her now famous quote.

“With all due respect, the fact is, we had four dead Americans. Was it because of a protest or because of guys out for a walk one night who decide to kill some Americans, what difference at this point does it make?” – Hillary Clinton

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ElectionOracle

Tuesday, July 21, 2020

US Election 2020: ‘A Major Bear Market of Political Decency’ / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2020

By: John_Mauldin

I know many of you are wondering what happens if Joe Biden wins the 2020 presidential election? What happens if Donald Trump wins?

So, I called my friend Doug Kass to basically “wargame” the next 12 to 24 months. He’s a veteran trader and investor, one George Soros tried to hire on several occasions. So, when he has something to say, I listen closely.

Doug and I went back and forth on a few issues, but the bottom line is the same: We are in for a very rough ride.

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ElectionOracle

Sunday, February 16, 2020

Ignore the Polls, the Markets Have Already Told You Who Wins in 2020 / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2020

By: Graham_Summers

Ignore the naysayers, the Trump administration has successful engineered an economic boom.

I was recently on Cheddar discussing the markets when the anchor raised the fact that the Trump administration failed to achieve its economic goals.

This is false.

First and foremost, the economic data put out in the U.S. has become EXTREMELY politically biased.

The reason for this is simple, many of the people who compile this information are Democrats who hate the President (the bulk of Government employees live and work in Northern Virginia/ D.C. which went 92% for Hillary Clinton in 2016).

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