Best of the Week
Most Popular
1.U.S. Inner City Turmoil and Other Crises: Ron Pauls Predictions for 2015 - Dr_Ron_Paul
2. What’s In Store For Gold Price in 2015? - Ben Kramer-Miller
3.Crude Oil Price Ten Year Forecast to 2025: Importers Set to Receive a $600 Billion Refund - Andrew_Butter
4.Je ne suis pas Charlie - I am not Charlie - Nadeem_Walayat
5.The New Normal for Oil? - Marin_Katusa
6.Will Collapse in Oil Price Cause a Stock Market Crash? - OilPrice.com
7.UK CPI Inflation Smoke and Mirrors Deflation Warning, Inflation Mega-trend is Exponential - Nadeem_Walayat
8.Winter Storms Snow and Wind Tree Damage Dangers, DIY Pruning - Nadeem_Walayat
9.Oil Price Crash and SNP Independent Scotland Economic Collapse Bankruptcy - Nadeem_Walayat
10.U.S. Housing Market Bubble 2.0 Meet the Pin - James_Quinn
Last 5 days
Bitcoin Price Tense Days Ahead - 27th Jan 15
The Most Overlooked “Buy” Signal in the Stock Market - 27th Jan 15
Gold's Time Has Come - 27th Jan 15
France America And Religious Terror War - 27th Jan 15
The New Drivers of Europe's Geopolitics - 27th Jan 15
Gold And Silver - Around The FX World In Charts - 27th Jan 15
It’s Not The Greeks Who Failed, It’s The EU - 27th Jan 15
Gold and Silver Stocks Investing Basics - 27th Jan 15
Stock Market Test of Strength - 26th Jan 15
Is the Gold Price Rally Over? - 26th Jan 15
ECB QE Action - Canary’s Alive & Well - 26th Jan 15
Possible Stock Market Pop-n-drop in Store For SPX - 26th Jan 15
Risk of New Debt Crisis After Syriza Victory In Greece - 26th Jan 15
How Eurozone QE Works: A Guide to Draghi's News - 26th Jan 15
Comprehensive Silver Price Chart Analysis - 26th Jan 15
Stock Market More Retracement Expected - 26th Jan 15
Decoding the Gold COTs: Myth vs Reality - 26th Jan 15
Greece Votes for Syriza Hyperinflation - Threatening Euro-zone Collapse or Perpetual Free Lunch - 26th Jan 15
Draghi's "No-growth" QE Money for Stocks, Zilch for the Economy - 25th Jan 15
Unjust and Undeclared Wars - 25th Jan 15
The European Central Bank Commits Monetary Suicide - 25th Jan 15
Stock Market ECB EQE week - 25th Jan 15
Gold And Silver Timing Is Most Important Element - 25th Jan 15
The Best Way to Invest in the Next Alibaba Internet Stock IPO - 25th Jan 15
The Outpatient Surgery Business Rains Cash into Healthcare Stocks - 25th Jan 15
Stock Traders Flock to Gold GLD ETF - 24th Jan 15
10 Reasons Why You Need an Offshore Bank Account - 24th Jan 15
Goldman Sachs Blankfein - Regulation is Like Background Noise - 24th Jan 15
Gold in Euros Surges As ECB To Print Trillion Euros and Greek Election This Sunday - 24th Jan 15
Gold Bear Market Rally or New Bull ? - 24th Jan 15
Euro-zone 'QE already Working' Says IMF Lagarde - 23rd Jan 15
ECB and EU LTRO and QE for Dummies: Or, Make These Trades - 23rd Jan 15
Debt and Deflation: Three Financial Forecasts - There's More Than Falling Prices - 23rd Jan 15
Market Should Not Doubt' Mario Draghi ECB QE - 23rd Jan 15
Francs, Bonds, Barrels, and Bail-Ins - 23rd Jan 15
Are Plunging Petrodollar Revenues Behind the Fed’s Projected Rate Hikes? - 22nd Jan 15
Stocks Bear Market Lessons from History - 22nd Jan 15
Russia's Plans for Arctic Supremacy - 22nd Jan 15
166 Trillion Reasons Why Bank Stocks Are So Cheap - 22nd Jan 15
Will Gold Price Break Out Once Again? - 22nd Jan 15
The Cult of Central Banking - 21st Jan 15
Five Stock Market Questions Wall Street Hopes You’ll Never Ask - 21st Jan 15
China's Yuan Enters the Currency "Big Leagues" to Take on the Dollar - 21st Jan 15
Investor implications of QE by the ECB - 21st Jan 15
Deflation Bonanza! And the Fool's Mission to Stop It - 21st Jan 15
Messin' With My Financial Brain - 21st Jan 15
Are Stock Market Buyouts Checking Out? - 20th Jan 15
Legal “Steroids” Are Making This Tech Stock a “Buy” - 20th Jan 15
Are Stock Market Storm Clouds Massing? - 20th Jan 15
The Swiss Release the Kraken! - 20th Jan 15
The European Union, Nationalism and the Crisis of Europe - 20th Jan 15
Swiss Say No to QE - 20th Jan 15
Gold Demand Explodes as Volatility and Fear Stalk Market - 20th Jan 15
The Truth About This Stock Market "Meltdown" Indicator - 20th Jan 15
Markets 2015 More Of The Same? - 20th Jan 15
Is Market Sentiment Shifting to Gold? - 20th Jan 15
U.S. Dollar’s Major Breakout and Gold’s Simultaneous Rally - 19th Jan 15
Silver Price Breaks Out on Swiss France Euro Decoupling - 19th Jan 15
Gold Bullish Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern - 19th Jan 15
Bundesbank Announces Repatriation of 120 Tonnes of Gold from Paris and New York Federal Reserve - 19th Jan 15

Free Instant Analysis

Free Instant Technical Analysis


Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

State of US Markets 2015 Report

Gold Capped atg $1,580, Hit by Another Concentrated Burst Of Selling On High Volume

Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012 May 30, 2012 - 03:15 PM GMT

By: GoldCore

Commodities

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGold’s London AM fix this morning was USD 1,548.75, EUR 1,244.98, and GBP 995.41 per ounce. Yesterday's AM fix was USD 1,573.75, EUR 1,254.48, and GBP 1,003.67 per ounce.

Silver is trading at $27.75/oz, €22.39/oz and £17.87/oz. Platinum is trading at $1,416.25/oz, palladium at $597.75/oz and rhodium at $1,275/oz.


Gold fell 0.89% or $14.00 in active trading yesterday and closed at $1,558.80/oz. Gold fell marginally in Asia but remains in a tight range. In European trading gold is hovering near the $1,550/oz level.


Determined selling at the $1,580/oz level capped gold yesterday prior to a bout of sharp selling. This saw gold quickly fall $20 from $1,575/oz to $1,555/oz on heavy volume. Tuesday’s COMEX gold futures volume was well over 450,000 lots – which is close to the record for 2012 and volume more than doubled its 30 day average.

Gold 5 Day Chart – (Bloomberg)

Counter intuitively, gold turned sharply lower due to another bout of concentrated selling despite a distinct lack of market moving news – indeed market news was quite gold bullish. There were mere rumours that Egan Jones had downgraded Spain. The downgrade rumour , which was subsequently confirmed, saw the euro fall only marginally - from 1.253 to 1.248 and little movement in equities.

Gold is weaker again today despite heightened risk aversion on fears that the euro crisis is escalating. Concerns about Italy have resurfaced after their 10 year bond yield rose above the important 6% level this morning.

Gold has recently tracked the euro as many investors opted for the dollar over safe haven gold bullion in the near term. This was graphically seen during the Lehman and AIG crisis when gold also fell in the short term prior to quickly basing and making a speedy recovery soon after.

We would expect a similar pattern to take place again and the counter intuitive short term gold price movement of late will likely soon give way to a reassertion of the gold’s primary secular bull market trend.

Cross Currency Table – (Bloomberg)

Ongoing concerns about the euro, the downgrading of Spain and the risk of contagion is of course bullish for gold but gold can often be correlated with risk assets such as equities (and risk currencies such as the euro) in the short term.

Gold has risen from below €500 to over €1,200 in last 5 years so correlation with the euro is clearly short term.

Gold is inversely correlated with the dollar and all fiat currencies over the long term and best for investors and store of value buyers to fade out the short term noise of gold's corrections and short term correlation with risk assets.

Greece's elections on June 17th may be a short term positive for the euro if pro bailout parties win, however this is way too far away to call and the scale of the debt crisis in Europe suggests that national currencies may return or that the euro will be devalued or a combination thereof.

Some market watchers are waiting for central banks to give a clear signal as to whether they are going to inject trillions of more euros, pounds and dollars into struggling economies.

The near certain further debasement of currencies in the coming months will benefit gold.

Gold 1 Year Chart – (Bloomberg)

India’s recent gold purchasing power has been hurt by the country’s weak currency and it is expected that buying will remain slow until their rainy season ends in September.

However demand from China and the rest of Asia remains robust. "While Indian demand has been lower than normal, overall we continue to see decent buying interest from the rest of Asia," says Standard Bank, “especially South East Asia.”

Speculators and some investors are waiting on the sidelines for more clues regarding price direction but smart money such as George Soros, David Einhorn, Kyle Bass, Marc Faber, pension funds, institutions such as PIMCO and central banks continue to diversify into gold.

The smart money understands the diversification benefits of gold and knows that investments, pensions and protecting and preserving wealth is about owning quality assets and currencies over the long term.

For the latest news and commentary on financial markets and gold please follow us on Twitter.

GOLDNOMICS - CASH OR GOLD BULLION?



'GoldNomics' can be viewed by clicking on the image above or on our YouTube channel:
www.youtube.com/goldcorelimited

This update can be found on the GoldCore blog here.

Yours sincerely,
Mark O'Byrne
Exective Director

IRL
63
FITZWILLIAM SQUARE
DUBLIN 2

E info@goldcore.com

UK
NO. 1 CORNHILL
LONDON 2
EC3V 3ND

IRL +353 (0)1 632 5010
UK +44 (0)203 086 9200
US +1 (302)635 1160

W www.goldcore.com

WINNERS MoneyMate and Investor Magazine Financial Analysts 2006

Disclaimer: The information in this document has been obtained from sources, which we believe to be reliable. We cannot guarantee its accuracy or completeness. It does not constitute a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any investment. Any person acting on the information contained in this document does so at their own risk. Recommendations in this document may not be suitable for all investors. Individual circumstances should be considered before a decision to invest is taken. Investors should note the following: Past experience is not necessarily a guide to future performance. The value of investments may fall or rise against investors' interests. Income levels from investments may fluctuate. Changes in exchange rates may have an adverse effect on the value of, or income from, investments denominated in foreign currencies. GoldCore Limited, trading as GoldCore is a Multi-Agency Intermediary regulated by the Irish Financial Regulator.

GoldCore is committed to complying with the requirements of the Data Protection Act. This means that in the provision of our services, appropriate personal information is processed and kept securely. It also means that we will never sell your details to a third party. The information you provide will remain confidential and may be used for the provision of related services. Such information may be disclosed in confidence to agents or service providers, regulatory bodies and group companies. You have the right to ask for a copy of certain information held by us in our records in return for payment of a small fee. You also have the right to require us to correct any inaccuracies in your information. The details you are being asked to supply may be used to provide you with information about other products and services either from GoldCore or other group companies or to provide services which any member of the group has arranged for you with a third party. If you do not wish to receive such contact, please write to the Marketing Manager GoldCore, 63 Fitzwilliam Square, Dublin 2 marking the envelope 'data protection'

GoldCore Archive

© 2005-2014 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

Free Report - Financial Markets 2014