Best of the Week
Most Popular
1.Gold Price Trend Forecast, Where are the Gold Traders? - Bob_Loukas
2.Stocks Bear Market of 2017 Begins? Shorting the Dow At its Peak! - Nadeem_Walayat
3.Betting on President Trump Leaving Office Early, Presidency End Date - Betfair Market - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Why Stock Market Analysts Will be Wrong About 2017 - Clif_Droke
5.Is This The Best Way For Investors To Play The Electric Car Boom - OilPrice_Com
6.Silver Price 2017 Trend Forecast Update - Video - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Gold Price Set For Very Bullish 2017, Trend Forecast - Austin_Galt
8.10 Things I learned From Meetings With Trump’s Transition Team - - John_Mauldin
9.How Investors Can Profit From Trumps Military Ambitions - OilPrice_Com
10.Channel 4 War on 'Fake News', Forgets Own Alt Reality Propaganda Broadcasting - Nadeem_Walayat
Last 7 days
Stock Market SPX New All-time Highs Continue - 25th Feb 17
POWERFUL GOLD & SILVER COILED SPRINGS: Important Charts You Have To See - 25th Feb 17
Underperformance in Gold Stocks Argues for Interim Peak - 25th Feb 17
Watch What Happens When Silver Price Hits $26...  - 25th Feb 17
Gold Futures Buying Yet to Start - 25th Feb 17
When the Stock Market Flying Pig Tops - 24th Feb 17
Gold, Second Fed Hike and Interest Rates - 24th Feb 17
Bitcoin Price Hits Record High! - 24th Feb 17
Another Stock Market Bubble? Bring it On! - 24th Feb 17
What Investors Need To Know About U.S. Money Market Funds? - 24th Feb 17
When Was America’s Peak Wealth? - 24th Feb 17
The Oscars – Worth Their Weight in Gold? - 24th Feb 17
The Best Reasons to Buy Gold in the Age of Trump - 22nd Feb 17
Silver, The Return of Stagflation - 22nd Feb 17
Why EU BrExit Single Market Access Hard line is European Union Committing Suicide - 22nd Feb 17
Gold: Short End US Rates Matter More Than Long End Real Yields - 22nd Feb 17
CONTINENTAL RESOURCES: Example Of What Is Horribly Wrong With The U.S. Shale Oil Industry - 22nd Feb 17
Here’s Proof Rising Rates Are Good for Gold - 21st Feb 17
Gold and Silver Weekly Update - 21st Feb 17
US Dollar and Gold Battle of the Cycles - 21st Feb 17
NSA and CIA is the Enemy of the People - 21st Feb 17
Big Moves in the World Stock Markets - Big Bases - 21st Feb 17
Stock Market Uptrend Continues - 21st Feb 17
Brent Crude Oil Price Technical Update: Low Volatility Leads to High Volatility - 20th Feb 17
Trump’s Tax System Could Spark The Wave Of Self-Employment - 20th Feb 17
Here’s How to Stay Ahead of Machines and AI - 20th Feb 17
Warning Signs Of Instability In Russia - 20th Feb 17
Warning: This Energy Investment Could Wreak Havoc On Your Portfolio - 20th Feb 17
The Mother of All Financial Bubbles will be Unimaginably Destructive when it Bursts - 19th Feb 17
Gold’s Fundamentals Strengthen - 18th Feb 17
The Flynn Fiascom, the Trump Revolution Ends in a Whimper - 18th Feb 17
Not Nearly Enough Economic Growth To Keep Growing - 18th Feb 17
SPX Stocks Bull Market Continues to make New Highs - 18th Feb 17
China Disaster to Trigger Gold Run, Trump to Appoint 5 of 7 Fed Governors - 18th Feb 17

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

State of Global Markets 2017 - Report

Gold Capped atg $1,580, Hit by Another Concentrated Burst Of Selling On High Volume

Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012 May 30, 2012 - 03:15 PM GMT

By: GoldCore

Commodities

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGold’s London AM fix this morning was USD 1,548.75, EUR 1,244.98, and GBP 995.41 per ounce. Yesterday's AM fix was USD 1,573.75, EUR 1,254.48, and GBP 1,003.67 per ounce.

Silver is trading at $27.75/oz, €22.39/oz and £17.87/oz. Platinum is trading at $1,416.25/oz, palladium at $597.75/oz and rhodium at $1,275/oz.


Gold fell 0.89% or $14.00 in active trading yesterday and closed at $1,558.80/oz. Gold fell marginally in Asia but remains in a tight range. In European trading gold is hovering near the $1,550/oz level.


Determined selling at the $1,580/oz level capped gold yesterday prior to a bout of sharp selling. This saw gold quickly fall $20 from $1,575/oz to $1,555/oz on heavy volume. Tuesday’s COMEX gold futures volume was well over 450,000 lots – which is close to the record for 2012 and volume more than doubled its 30 day average.

Gold 5 Day Chart – (Bloomberg)

Counter intuitively, gold turned sharply lower due to another bout of concentrated selling despite a distinct lack of market moving news – indeed market news was quite gold bullish. There were mere rumours that Egan Jones had downgraded Spain. The downgrade rumour , which was subsequently confirmed, saw the euro fall only marginally - from 1.253 to 1.248 and little movement in equities.

Gold is weaker again today despite heightened risk aversion on fears that the euro crisis is escalating. Concerns about Italy have resurfaced after their 10 year bond yield rose above the important 6% level this morning.

Gold has recently tracked the euro as many investors opted for the dollar over safe haven gold bullion in the near term. This was graphically seen during the Lehman and AIG crisis when gold also fell in the short term prior to quickly basing and making a speedy recovery soon after.

We would expect a similar pattern to take place again and the counter intuitive short term gold price movement of late will likely soon give way to a reassertion of the gold’s primary secular bull market trend.

Cross Currency Table – (Bloomberg)

Ongoing concerns about the euro, the downgrading of Spain and the risk of contagion is of course bullish for gold but gold can often be correlated with risk assets such as equities (and risk currencies such as the euro) in the short term.

Gold has risen from below €500 to over €1,200 in last 5 years so correlation with the euro is clearly short term.

Gold is inversely correlated with the dollar and all fiat currencies over the long term and best for investors and store of value buyers to fade out the short term noise of gold's corrections and short term correlation with risk assets.

Greece's elections on June 17th may be a short term positive for the euro if pro bailout parties win, however this is way too far away to call and the scale of the debt crisis in Europe suggests that national currencies may return or that the euro will be devalued or a combination thereof.

Some market watchers are waiting for central banks to give a clear signal as to whether they are going to inject trillions of more euros, pounds and dollars into struggling economies.

The near certain further debasement of currencies in the coming months will benefit gold.

Gold 1 Year Chart – (Bloomberg)

India’s recent gold purchasing power has been hurt by the country’s weak currency and it is expected that buying will remain slow until their rainy season ends in September.

However demand from China and the rest of Asia remains robust. "While Indian demand has been lower than normal, overall we continue to see decent buying interest from the rest of Asia," says Standard Bank, “especially South East Asia.”

Speculators and some investors are waiting on the sidelines for more clues regarding price direction but smart money such as George Soros, David Einhorn, Kyle Bass, Marc Faber, pension funds, institutions such as PIMCO and central banks continue to diversify into gold.

The smart money understands the diversification benefits of gold and knows that investments, pensions and protecting and preserving wealth is about owning quality assets and currencies over the long term.

For the latest news and commentary on financial markets and gold please follow us on Twitter.

GOLDNOMICS - CASH OR GOLD BULLION?



'GoldNomics' can be viewed by clicking on the image above or on our YouTube channel:
www.youtube.com/goldcorelimited

This update can be found on the GoldCore blog here.

Yours sincerely,
Mark O'Byrne
Exective Director

IRL
63
FITZWILLIAM SQUARE
DUBLIN 2

E info@goldcore.com

UK
NO. 1 CORNHILL
LONDON 2
EC3V 3ND

IRL +353 (0)1 632 5010
UK +44 (0)203 086 9200
US +1 (302)635 1160

W www.goldcore.com

WINNERS MoneyMate and Investor Magazine Financial Analysts 2006

Disclaimer: The information in this document has been obtained from sources, which we believe to be reliable. We cannot guarantee its accuracy or completeness. It does not constitute a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any investment. Any person acting on the information contained in this document does so at their own risk. Recommendations in this document may not be suitable for all investors. Individual circumstances should be considered before a decision to invest is taken. Investors should note the following: Past experience is not necessarily a guide to future performance. The value of investments may fall or rise against investors' interests. Income levels from investments may fluctuate. Changes in exchange rates may have an adverse effect on the value of, or income from, investments denominated in foreign currencies. GoldCore Limited, trading as GoldCore is a Multi-Agency Intermediary regulated by the Irish Financial Regulator.

GoldCore is committed to complying with the requirements of the Data Protection Act. This means that in the provision of our services, appropriate personal information is processed and kept securely. It also means that we will never sell your details to a third party. The information you provide will remain confidential and may be used for the provision of related services. Such information may be disclosed in confidence to agents or service providers, regulatory bodies and group companies. You have the right to ask for a copy of certain information held by us in our records in return for payment of a small fee. You also have the right to require us to correct any inaccuracies in your information. The details you are being asked to supply may be used to provide you with information about other products and services either from GoldCore or other group companies or to provide services which any member of the group has arranged for you with a third party. If you do not wish to receive such contact, please write to the Marketing Manager GoldCore, 63 Fitzwilliam Square, Dublin 2 marking the envelope 'data protection'

GoldCore Archive

© 2005-2016 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

Catching a Falling Financial Knife