Best of the Week
Most Popular
1.Putin’s World: Why Russia’s Showdown with the West Will Worsen - John_Mauldin
2. Stocks Bull Market Grinds Bears into Dust, Is Santa Rally Sustainable? - Nadeem_Walayat
3. Gold and Silver 2015 Trend Forecasts, Prices to Go BOOM - Austin_Galt
4.Gold Price Golden Bottom? - Toby_Connor
5.Gold Price and Miners Soar on Huge Volume - P_Radomski_CFA
6.Stock Market and the Jaws of Life or Death? - Rambus_Chartology
7.Gold Price 2015 - EWI
8.Manipulated Stock Market Short Squeezes to Another All Time High - The China Syndrome - Nadeem_Walayat
9.Gold, Silver, Crude and S&P Ending Wedge Patterns - DeviantInvestor
10.Is the Gold And Silver Golden Rule Broken? - Michael_Noonan
Last 5 days
Why It's Way Too Early to Count Out Putin - and Russia - 22nd Dec 14
Stock Market At Minor Top - 22nd Dec 14
UK Christmas Sales 2014 High Street Start Dates List - 22nd Dec 14
Ruble Takedown Exposes Cracks in Putin’s Defense - 20th Dec 14
Oil Drilling Our Way Into Oblivion - 20th Dec 14
Stocks Bull Market Resumes - 20th Dec 14
Gold And Silver Nothing Is Ever As It Seems And No Respite For PMs - 20th Dec 14
What Are Technical Indicators Saying About the Stock Market? - 20th Dec 14
Here’s How You Can Still Make 27% With Apple Even if You Buy Now - 20th Dec 14
Gold Stocks to Shine in 2015 - 19th Dec 14
Why Alibaba Stock Shares Are a Screaming Buy - 19th Dec 14
China, Dollar, Japan, Europe Burning Questions for 2015 - 19th Dec 14
U.S. Economy is in a Sweet Spot! - 19th Dec 14
US Dollar and the Gold Fairy Tale - 19th Dec 14
Show Me The Money (Flow)! Tracking Money-Flow Through Value Shifts In Stock Markets - 19th Dec 14
The Commodities Market Is Not Dying, It’s Just Hibernating - 19th Dec 14
The Price Of Gold And The Art Of War - 18th Dec 14
Euro Succumbs to ECB QE Expectations and FOMC - 18th Dec 14
John Williams: A Downhill Run for the U.S. Dollar in 2015 - 18th Dec 14
Outrage at Taliban Islamic Fundamentalists Massacre of 132 Pakistani School Children in the Name of God - 18th Dec 14
How Inflation Changes Retirement Benefit Choices - 17th Dec 14
The Real Reason It's Tough to Beat the Stock Market - 17th Dec 14
Russian Currency Crisis and Debt Defaults Could Create Contagion in West - 17th Dec 14
How to Profit From Russia's Stock Market Crash - 17th Dec 14
Russia Crisis - If You Put Your Money in the Bank Will You Get it Back? - 17th Dec 14
Crude Oil Price Crash, U.S. Employment and Economic Growth - 17th Dec 14
Opposing Forces At Play In Gold and Silver Precious Metals Complex - 17th Dec 14
Wall Street Will Always Find An Excuse For Not Raising U.S. Interest Rates - 17th Dec 14

Free Instant Analysis

Free Instant Technical Analysis


Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Dramatic Stock Market Selloff

Gold and Silver Supply - Will the Real Ratio Please Step Forward?

Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012 Nov 16, 2012 - 08:05 AM GMT

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Commodities

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThose attracted to the precious metals markets are often curious about the various ratios existing between gold and silver, as well as what these ratios might reveal about the relative fair values of these key investment metals. 


Various Gold and Silver Ratios

The following bullet points provide some facts you can use in your silver/gold ratio analysis.

Above ground:

  • Investment grade: The ratio of investment grade gold existing in bullion form is as much as five times that available for silver.
  • Everything else: All the gold ever mined has been estimated at 160,000- 170,000 tons of gold or roughly 5 billion Troy Ounces. A reasonable estimate for the total amount of silver mined is 56 billion Troy Ounces.  This makes the “ever mined” ratio roughly 11.2 to 1.

Below ground:

  • Potential: The below ground ratio of silver to gold has been estimated at 17 to 1.
  • Actually Mined: Typically, 10 ounces of silver are actually mined for every 1 ounce of gold mined. On an annual basis, roughly 900 million ounces of silver are mined overall compared with just 90 million ounces of gold.

The Paper Markets:

  • The ratio of the price of silver to gold as recently determined by the paper futures market is roughly 53 ounces of silver to one ounce of gold. 
  • As of today, spot silver is trading at $32.65 per ounce, while spot gold is priced at $1724.00 per ounce, making the price ratio a remarkably high 52.80. 

Other Factors to Take Into Account:

  • Sequestration: Both precious metals are highly sequestered and accumulated by individuals for strong psychological reasons, and so they are typically held by strong hands.
  • Industrial Demand: Silver is typically consumed by its industrial applications, such as in medicines, photography and solar cells. Gold is used much more sparingly by industry and is more likely to be used in readily recyclable applications like jewelry.
  • Coin Investment Demand: According to the U.S. Mint, roughly 50 times as much silver is being bought compared to gold for coin investment purposes.

The Ratio on The Street

Given the various ratios mentioned in the previous section, which are typically much lower than those observed in the paper markets, one must be left wondering just how such a high silver to gold price ratio can be sustained over time in the commodity markets and on The Street. 

Although peak silver may never come in our lifetimes, this supply and demand situation indicates that silver’s price is very likely to rise relative to gold over the longer term, thereby reducing the silver/gold ratio substantially.

More Reasons Why Silver Should Rise Relative to Gold

Need some more reasons that the price of silver will soon be playing catch up to gold’s price?

Although gold may be easier to hide or carry than silver due to it being more valuable per ounce, and both silver and gold can be purchased in investment grade forms, consider the following benefits of owning silver:

  • You get more physical silver for the fiat money you spend.
  • Silver investors stand to gain more as the silver/gold ratio falls.
  • Silver is more suitable for people with smaller amounts to invest.
  • The average person buying silver has a store of value and a backup hard currency in smaller denominations that are more easily spent for necessities.

Of course, you can always easily trade your silver for gold, and vice versa, while other commodities are not nearly as easy to barter with.

For more articles like this, and to stay updated on the most important economic, financial, political and market events related to silver and precious metals, visit www.silver-coin-investor.com

By Dr. Jeff Lewis

    Dr. Jeffrey Lewis, in addition to running a busy medical practice, is the editor of Silver-Coin-Investor.com and Hard-Money-Newsletter-Review.com

    Copyright © 2012 Dr. Jeff Lewis- All Rights Reserved Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.


© 2005-2014 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

Free Report - Financial Markets 2014