Best of the Week
Most Popular
1.The Greatest Stock Market Crash Of Your Life Is Just Ahead… – Warns Harry Dent - GoldCore
2.Budget 2016: Borrowing, Lifetime ISA, House Prices, Economy, Syria, Brexit and Stocks - Nadeem_Walayat
3.Gold Price Intermediate Top - Clive_Maund
4.Brussels Terror Attacks, Death of the European Union, BrExit Wake up Call - Nadeem_Walayat
5.Stock Market Maybe This Time is Different? - Tony_Caldaro
6.UK House Asking Prices Break Above £300k! Housing Market Paralysis - Nadeem_Walayat
7.A Big Reason Why Silver Price Is Set To Soar - Hubert_Moolman
8.The Financial Crisis Has Just Begun; Is The American Dream Is Over? - Chris_Vermeulen
9.Gold Stocks Spring Rally - Zeal_LLC
10.GLX, GLDX, Baby Gold Bull Market Stillborn? - Rambus_Chartology
Last 7 days
Silver: The “Five Year Plan” and the Great Leap Forward - 28th Apr 16
Michael Hudson: The Wall Street Economy Has Taken Over The Economy and Is Draining It! - 28th Apr 16
AUD/USD - Trend Reversal or Just a Bigger Pullback? - 28th Apr 16
A Gold Revaluation Could Transform Your Financial Status - Overnight - 28th Apr 16
Monetary Policies Misunderstood - 28th Apr 16
Gold Bullion vs Gold Miners - 28th Apr 16
OECD Suggests BrExit Would Cut Net Migration by 1.2 Million by 2030 - 28th Apr 16
MP Naz Shah Punished for Tweets Made During Israel's Genocide of Gaza Palestinian People - 28th Apr 16
Global Recession in 2016 and Beyond - The Obvious Evidence - 27th Apr 16
Why Gold Bugs Need to Stop Listening to The Fear Mongers and Start Thinking for a Change - 27th Apr 16
BlackRock’s Fink: Fed to Raise Interest Rates by Quarter Point ‘at Best’ - 27th Apr 16
Gold More Productive Than Cash?! - 27th Apr 16
Donald Trump Will Fire Janet Yellen and Be Trapped - 27th Apr 16
Money Saving Gardening by Propagating Roses From Cuttings - Propagating Rose Plants Over 2.5 Years - 27th Apr 16
Facebook Censors Pro Trump and Negative Hillary News - 27th Apr 16
This is the Era of the Democrats and Your Taxes are Going Up - 27th Apr 16
Long Awaited Gold Price Breakout - 26th Apr 16
Crude Oil Price Double Top or Further Rally? - 26th Apr 16
Madness in the Crimex Gold and Silver Trading Pits - 26th Apr 16
Britain's Prospects: GBP and BREXIT - MAP Wave Analysis - 26th Apr 16
CRB, Gold, Oil, Cotton, Coffee - 7 Must See Commodities Charts - 26th Apr 16
Gold Price Target is $3,000 and Silver is $75 per Ounce - 25th Apr 16
Parameters for a Stock Market Sell Signal-in-the-making - 25th Apr 16
Stock Market Dangerous Divergence - 25th Apr 16
Gold Miners Nub is the Sweat of the Sun - 24th Apr 16
US Dollar Price Forecast - 24th Apr 16
Stock Market Upside Objective Reached - 24th Apr 16
Why Leftist Greeks have more reasons than Liberals to favour Entrepreneurship and Support Entrepreneurs - 24th Apr 16
The Dow Jones is a Catalyst for Misplaced Stock Market Optimism - 24th Apr 16
Why Russia Harasses U.S. Aircraft and Ships - 24th Apr 16
Stocks Bull or Bear Market Rally? - 23rd Apr 16
A Bright Future for Solar Power in the Middle East - 23rd Apr 16
Silver Commitments of Traders – Halloween is Arriving Early This Year - 23rd Apr 16
Good News, Bad News, Both Favor Gold And Silver - 23rd Apr 16
Mish's Sure Fire Proposal to End Japanese Deflation - 23rd Apr 16
Mish Shedlock: “EXCUSE ME MR. PRESIDENT, IS THAT A JOKE?” - 23rd Apr 16

Free Instant Analysis

Free Instant Technical Analysis


Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Catching a Falling Financial Knife

Gold and Silver Supply - Will the Real Ratio Please Step Forward?

Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012 Nov 16, 2012 - 08:05 AM GMT

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Commodities

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThose attracted to the precious metals markets are often curious about the various ratios existing between gold and silver, as well as what these ratios might reveal about the relative fair values of these key investment metals. 


Various Gold and Silver Ratios

The following bullet points provide some facts you can use in your silver/gold ratio analysis.

Above ground:

  • Investment grade: The ratio of investment grade gold existing in bullion form is as much as five times that available for silver.
  • Everything else: All the gold ever mined has been estimated at 160,000- 170,000 tons of gold or roughly 5 billion Troy Ounces. A reasonable estimate for the total amount of silver mined is 56 billion Troy Ounces.  This makes the “ever mined” ratio roughly 11.2 to 1.

Below ground:

  • Potential: The below ground ratio of silver to gold has been estimated at 17 to 1.
  • Actually Mined: Typically, 10 ounces of silver are actually mined for every 1 ounce of gold mined. On an annual basis, roughly 900 million ounces of silver are mined overall compared with just 90 million ounces of gold.

The Paper Markets:

  • The ratio of the price of silver to gold as recently determined by the paper futures market is roughly 53 ounces of silver to one ounce of gold. 
  • As of today, spot silver is trading at $32.65 per ounce, while spot gold is priced at $1724.00 per ounce, making the price ratio a remarkably high 52.80. 

Other Factors to Take Into Account:

  • Sequestration: Both precious metals are highly sequestered and accumulated by individuals for strong psychological reasons, and so they are typically held by strong hands.
  • Industrial Demand: Silver is typically consumed by its industrial applications, such as in medicines, photography and solar cells. Gold is used much more sparingly by industry and is more likely to be used in readily recyclable applications like jewelry.
  • Coin Investment Demand: According to the U.S. Mint, roughly 50 times as much silver is being bought compared to gold for coin investment purposes.

The Ratio on The Street

Given the various ratios mentioned in the previous section, which are typically much lower than those observed in the paper markets, one must be left wondering just how such a high silver to gold price ratio can be sustained over time in the commodity markets and on The Street. 

Although peak silver may never come in our lifetimes, this supply and demand situation indicates that silver’s price is very likely to rise relative to gold over the longer term, thereby reducing the silver/gold ratio substantially.

More Reasons Why Silver Should Rise Relative to Gold

Need some more reasons that the price of silver will soon be playing catch up to gold’s price?

Although gold may be easier to hide or carry than silver due to it being more valuable per ounce, and both silver and gold can be purchased in investment grade forms, consider the following benefits of owning silver:

  • You get more physical silver for the fiat money you spend.
  • Silver investors stand to gain more as the silver/gold ratio falls.
  • Silver is more suitable for people with smaller amounts to invest.
  • The average person buying silver has a store of value and a backup hard currency in smaller denominations that are more easily spent for necessities.

Of course, you can always easily trade your silver for gold, and vice versa, while other commodities are not nearly as easy to barter with.

For more articles like this, and to stay updated on the most important economic, financial, political and market events related to silver and precious metals, visit www.silver-coin-investor.com

By Dr. Jeff Lewis

    Dr. Jeffrey Lewis, in addition to running a busy medical practice, is the editor of Silver-Coin-Investor.com and Hard-Money-Newsletter-Review.com

    Copyright © 2012 Dr. Jeff Lewis- All Rights Reserved Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.


© 2005-2016 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

Catching a Falling Financial Knife