Best of the Week
Most Popular
1.Oil Wars 2016 - US vs Russia vs Saudi Arabia vs Iran - Nadeem_Walayat
2.Crude Oil Price Crash Triggering Global Instability, Trend Forecast 2016 - Nadeem_Walayat
3.Stock Market Crash - Last Week was The 2nd and Final Warning... - Clive_Maund
4.Stock Market Crash Apocalypse or Bull Market Severe Correction? - Nadeem_Walayat
5.TShipping Said to Have Ceased… Is the Worldwide Economy Grinding to a Halt? - Jeff_Berwick
6.Crude Oil Price Crash Catastrophe, Independant Scotland Literally Begging to Rejoin the UK - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Summers: Global Economy Can't Withstand Four 2016 Fed Hikes - Bloomberg
8.Gold And Silver: New World Order: Public Be Damned, Preferably Dead - Michael_Noonan
9.Rigged U.S. Ttreasury Bond Market Double Barreled Hidden Q.E. To Infinity - Jim_Willie_CB
10.Major Stocks Bear Market Awakening - Zeal_LLC
Last 5 days
It's Stock Market Panic Time! - 9th Feb 16
Gold Stocks Picks for Patient Pickers - 9th Feb 16
Oil Price Collapse U.S. Recession Odds 2016 - 9th Feb 16
Preparing for Crisis - It's About Risk Mitigation and Capital Preservation - 9th Feb 16
Top Silver Mining CEO: Don't Laugh, We Could See Silver $100+ - 8th Feb 16
Gold, Investment Leadership Changes Permanent? - 8th Feb 16
Stock Market Panic Decline Begins... - 8th Feb 16
How to Save Money By Growing Your Own Homegrown Tomatoes Indoors From Seeds - 8th Feb 16
US Economy Slides One Step Further Towards A Recession - 8th Feb 16
Gold Bear Market Bottom : Mr. Bear has left the PM Sector for Greener Pastures - 8th Feb 16
Stock Market At Important Support - 8th Feb 16
David Cameron Humiliated in Poland Over Refusal to Stop Taking UK Benefits, BrExit or Super State? - 8th Feb 16
Why Crude Oil Prices Could Continue FALLING From Here - 7th Feb 16
Stock Market S&P, NAS Best, Most Reliable Answers Come From The Market And You - 7th Feb 16
Stocks Bear Market Continues - 7th Feb 16
Silver COT Paving Way for Sustained Upside Breakout Sharp Rally - 7th Feb 16
US Dollar Double Top, Gold Prospects Brightening Rapidly - 7th Feb 16
Gold And Silver - Is A Bottom In? Nothing Confirmed - 7th Feb 16
Gold Stocks Something has Changed - 6th Feb 16
UK Interest Rates, Economy GDP Forecasts 2016 and 2017 - 6th Feb 16
Gold Price, Mining Stocks Rocket Higher - 5th Feb 16
Crude Oil Price Bottoms and Blues - 5th Feb 16
Gold and Silver: Ripe for a Recovery! China May well Change the Game - 5th Feb 16
How Pension Plans are Responding to Financial Repression - 5th Feb 16
Senior Gold Producer Goldcorp Takes Large Stake in Nevada's Gold Standard Ventures - 5th Feb 16
Tips for Smart Oil and Natural Gas Investing 2016 - 5th Feb 16
Another Corporate Giant Is Leaving the U.S. – What This Means for You - 4th Feb 16
TPP is Economic Warfare, Trade Can Make Everyone Worse Off / Governments are Stupid - 4th Feb 16
Gold and Stock Markets Inflection Points Galore - 4th Feb 16
Putin Cries Dyadya (Uncle), Is Saudi Arabia Listening? - 4th Feb 16
Gold Price Golden Bottom? Video - 4th Feb 16
Look North for Value-Priced Growth in Healthcare Biotech Stocks - 4th Feb 16 - TLSReport
BrExit EU Referendum - Britain's FINAL Chance for Freedom From Emerging European Superstate - 4th Feb 16
HUI Now Confirming Gold Price Move Higher - 4th Feb 16
Crude Oil Price Forecast 2016 As Good As It Gets - 4th Feb 16
Gold and Silver More 'Flight To Safety' Active February - 3rd Feb 16
Raytheon Company: A Defensive Stock for a Defensive Market - 3rd Feb 16
Is Silver Really a Weak Link - 3rd Feb 16
Gold to Beat Stocks 2016? - 3rd Feb 16
David Chamberlain Cameron, Britain's Last Chance for Freedom From Emerging European Super State - 3rd Feb 16
EU UK Draft or Daft Agreement By Donald Tusk to Members of the European Council in Full - 2nd Feb 16
Europe: Why It's Going to Get a Lot Worse Before It Gets Better - 2nd Feb 16
The Next Generational Bust Is Coming, Stock Market 70% Collapse - 2nd Feb 16
The Coming Stock Market Decline May be a Monster - 2nd Feb 16
S&P 500 Has Likely Entered a New Bear Phase - 2nd Feb 16
How and Why To Move Your Assets Offshore Before the Financial Collapse - 2nd Feb 16

Free Instant Analysis

Free Instant Technical Analysis


Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Global Financial Crisis 2016

Gold Possibility to Regain Its Medium-term Glitter

Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012 Nov 30, 2012 - 01:10 PM GMT

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Commodities

10 days ago, in our gold and silver stocks essay, we wrote that volatility in the mining stocks sector was mostly emotionally-driven. Since then some of that volatility seems to have transpired to the metals market. Gold dived $25 on Wednesday, immediately triggering rumors of misplaced trades or technical errors. The CME Group denied this had been the case and theories of a large player selling gold off in the morning sprung up like mushrooms.


Regardless of what was the case of the drop, one is clear: these are volatile times and the end of November has proved to be no exception. The month ends almost at the same price level where it began, with substantial action along the way. From this picture comes one conclusion which might be reassuring for gold bugs: the beginning of November turned out to be a local bottom.

The (short-term!) slide in October and the mixed developments in November come as no substantial pain to those of you who had decided to implement some of the ideas we had outlined in our essay on gold and silver portfolio structure. With November almost behind us, precious metals investors turn to December with hope of gold regaining its glitter just as the shops are being decorated for Christmas. One thing that could ruin gold investors’ good mood is a repeat of what we saw during last December when gold declined approximately $200. Actually, gold trades very close to price levels that it traded at before the December 2011 decline begun.

To find out what might be in store for gold, let’s turn to currency charts (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).

We begin with a look at the long-term Euro Index chart. We do this because the overall situation in the currency markets is much clearer from this perspective. There is a flag pattern seen here following a sharp rally which is also a post-breakout consolidation.

As soon as the euro rallies a bit more, an even bigger rally will likely be seen. While a move to 131 would be significant, we would prefer to see the index surpass the 132 level (September high) before declaring that a significant additional rally is very likely. The flag pattern, a form of consolidation, implies that higher index values are more likely than not.

Turning now to the medium-term USD Index chart, a consolidation has been ongoing for over a month, and the index now appears ready to move lower. The decline and consolidation here are a reflection of the upswing and consolidation seen recently in the Euro Index.

All in all, the currency markets are likely to have positive impact on gold in the medium term.

Let’s move on to the yellow metal itself – this time we decided to provide you with the look at gold from the Japanese yen perspective.

The most interesting thing visible on the above gold chart is that when gold declined recently, it allowed the price in yen to verify a move above its declining resistance line. This breakout was verified, and the RSI is no longer heavily overbought. The situation here is bullish.

Is a major bottom in? The recent signal from the SP Gold Stock Extreme Indicator #2 confirms this theory.

There was a strong buy signal seen earlier this month suggesting that the bottom is in. The rebound was seen and the outlook remains bullish as this indicator suggests at least a 2-week rally in gold, silver and mining stocks. Consequently, the bullish implications are still in place.

Summing up, the long-term Euro Index chart and the medium-term USD Index chart suggest that lower values might be more probable than not for the dollar in the medium term. Along with a bullish picture from the gold in Japanese yen chart, the implications here are medium-term bullish for precious metals.

In order to make sure that you won’t miss any of our free essays, we strongly suggest that you sign up for our gold & silver investment mailing list. Sign up today and you’ll also receive 7 days of access to our premium updates, market alerts, premium charts and tools. You’ll also receive 12 best practice e-mails as a starting bonus.

Thank you for reading. Have a great and profitable week!

Przemyslaw Radomski, CFA

Founder, Editor-in-chief

Gold & Silver Investment & Trading Website - SunshineProfits.com

* * * * *

About Sunshine Profits

Sunshine Profits enables anyone to forecast market changes with a level of accuracy that was once only available to closed-door institutions. It provides free trial access to its best investment tools (including lists of best gold stocks and best silver stocks), proprietary gold & silver indicators, buy & sell signals, weekly newsletter, and more. Seeing is believing.

Disclaimer

All essays, research and information found above represent analyses and opinions of Przemyslaw Radomski, CFA and Sunshine Profits' associates only. As such, it may prove wrong and be a subject to change without notice. Opinions and analyses were based on data available to authors of respective essays at the time of writing. Although the information provided above is based on careful research and sources that are believed to be accurate, Przemyslaw Radomski, CFA and his associates do not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the data or information reported. The opinions published above are neither an offer nor a recommendation to purchase or sell any securities. Mr. Radomski is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading Przemyslaw Radomski's, CFA reports you fully agree that he will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make regarding any information provided in these reports. Investing, trading and speculation in any financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Przemyslaw Radomski, CFA, Sunshine Profits' employees and affiliates as well as members of their families may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in any of the reports or essays, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.

Przemyslaw Radomski Archive

© 2005-2016 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

Biggest Debt Bomb in History