Best of the Week
Most Popular
1.Putin’s World: Why Russia’s Showdown with the West Will Worsen - John_Mauldin
2. Stocks Bull Market Grinds Bears into Dust, Is Santa Rally Sustainable? - Nadeem_Walayat
3. Gold and Silver 2015 Trend Forecasts, Prices to Go BOOM - Austin_Galt
4.Gold Price Golden Bottom? - Toby_Connor
5.Gold Price and Miners Soar on Huge Volume - P_Radomski_CFA
6.Stock Market and the Jaws of Life or Death? - Rambus_Chartology
7.Gold Price 2015 - EWI
8.Manipulated Stock Market Short Squeezes to Another All Time High - The China Syndrome - Nadeem_Walayat
9.Gold, Silver, Crude and S&P Ending Wedge Patterns - DeviantInvestor
10.Is the Gold And Silver Golden Rule Broken? - Michael_Noonan
Last 5 days
VIX is Reversing, Other Stock Market Indicators are Faltering - 28th Nov 14
Will The Swiss People Resist The Massive Anti-Gold Propaganda? - 28th Nov 14
Dramatic Increase in Gold Flows into China - 28th Nov 14
Britain's Immigration Catastrophe Continues, David Cameron's Impotent Speech on Stopping In Work Benefits - 28th Nov 14
Netherlands, Germany Have Euro Disaster Plan - Possible Return to Guilder and Mark - 28th Nov 14
Russia’s Gold Monetary Solution - 28th Nov 14
British Government Publishes UK, Scotland DevoMax Smith Report Suicide Note - 28th Nov 14
The Price Of Oil Exposes The True State Of The Economy - 27th Nov 14
Brazilian Bovespa Stock Market Technical Analysis - 27th Nov 14
Gold Price Would Soar on Possible Swiss Yes Vote - 27th Nov 14
Crude Oil Asset Bubble Trouble - 27th Nov 14
Thanksgiving and Puritan Geopolitics in the Americas - 27th Nov 14
The Dow Jones Stocks Index - Beautiful Tree in the Desert - 27th Nov 14
The Digital World, The Opiate of The People - 27th Nov 14
Harry Dent's Simple Strategy for Surviving Withdrawals from Markets on Crack - 27th Nov 14
Socialist France Just Cannot Compete Against Google Freedom - 27th Nov 14
A Short Tale About the Grand Manipulation of Crude Oil Prices - 26th Nov 14
China Secret Gold Buying ... How Could It Happen? - 26th Nov 14
Gold Price Spikes to $1,467.50/oz on Computer Glitch? - 26th Nov 14
Gold - So Bad It's Good: Surviving 2014 - 26th Nov 14
TrueShopping.co.uk Real Customer Experience Review - Online Shopping Lessons - 26th Nov 14
Is There A New Global Consensus About Cheating Investors To Reboot Employment? - 26th Nov 14
EUR/USD – Currency Bulls Don’t Give Up - 26th Nov 14
Swiss Gold Referendum A Golden Opportunity for Switzerland - 25th Nov 14
Silver: What COT Analysis Tells Us - 25th Nov 14
Stock Market Big, Bold and Ugly - 25th Nov 14
U.S. Dollar Near Top? Gold and Silver Trading, Platinum Breakout Invalidation - 25th Nov 14
Buy Fear - Easily Pick Up Profits on Stock Market Dips - 25th Nov 14
The Islamic State Reshapes the Middle East - 25th Nov 14
Gold Price Forecast 2015 - 25th Nov 14
The Swiss Referendum On Gold: What’s Missing From The Debate - 25th Nov 14
Clash of Generations - Why Millennials Still Live at Home; Not Jobs, Student Debt, or Housing - 25th Nov 14
Stock Market Reminiscent of Pompeii - 25th Nov 14
Once Upon A Time There Were Philosopher Kings - 24th Nov 14
The 2014 Crude Oil Price Crash Explained - 24th Nov 14
China Stock Investing - Follow the Money! - 24th Nov 14
122 Tonnes of Gold Secretly Repatriated to Netherlands - 24th Nov 14
What Causes the U.S. Dollar to Move? - 24th Nov 14
Stock Market Indexes New Highs - Will Uptrend Extend Even Further? - 24th Nov 14
All Hail the King U.S. Dollar - Trend Forecast - 24th Nov 14
Where Is China Economy On The Map Exactly? - 24th Nov 14
Most of The World Economies Panic - Is The US Next? - 24th Nov 14
Stock Market Exhaustion Gap? - 24th Nov 14
Gold Golden Gains Come After The Pain - 24th Nov 14
Crude Oil and Stock Market Setting The Stage For The Next Recession - 23rd Nov 14
This Publicly-Owned Bank Is Outperforming Wall Street - 23rd Nov 14
Who’s Ready For $30 Crude Oil Price? - 23rd Nov 14
Strategic, Methodological and Developmental Importance of Knowledge Consumption - 23rd Nov 14
Manipulated Stock Market Short Squeezes to Another All Time High - The China Syndrome - 23rd Nov 14
Gold Price 2015 - 22nd Nov 14
Stock Market Medium Term Top? - 22nd Nov 14
Is the Gold And Silver Golden Rule Broken? - 22nd Nov 14
Malaysia's Subsidy and Budget Deficit Conundrum - 22nd Nov 14
Investors Hated Gold at Precisely the Wrong Time: What About Now? - 22nd Nov 14
Gold and GLD ETF Selloff - 22nd Nov 14

Free Instant Analysis

Free Instant Technical Analysis


Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Gold Report 2015

Silver Rally Due - Seasonally Forecasts Strong Trend Mid December To End of April

Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013 Dec 11, 2012 - 07:45 AM GMT

By: GoldCore

Commodities

Today’s AM fix was USD 1,709.75, EUR 1,318.23 and GBP 1,063.41 per ounce.
Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,708.50, EUR 1,324.11 and GBP 1,065.42 per ounce.

Silver is trading at $33.15/oz, €25.62/oz and £20.58/oz. Platinum is trading at $1,632.00/oz, palladium at $697.90/oz and rhodium at $1,070/oz.


Gold climbed $7.50 or 0.44% in New York yesterday and closed at $1,711.60/oz. Silver hit a high of $33.415 and finished with a gain of 0.39% at $33.19/oz.

Gold and silver are slightly lower against all fiat currencies today – although the under pressure yen was flat against gold – on what is being attributed to profit taking. There is a belief among many market participants that the Fed will announce further stimulus measures, which will boost the precious metals appeal as an inflation hedge.

The FOMC meeting begins today and the press conference and policy statement is on Wednesday. Most economists are looking for an announcement of $45 billion in monthly bond purchases and the continuation of ultra loose monetary policies that should benefit gold and silver.

Gold ETF holding’s fell from record highs to 76.177 million ounces on December 9th after a run of consecutive record highs every week since the middle of November despite counter intuitive trading and the lull in prices.

Some of the recent weak performance in the precious metals may be due to some large institutions and hedge funds engaged in yearend book balancing and that includes taking profits to cover losses in other areas.

Gold and silver are up 9.3% and 19% respectively so far this year – thereby outperforming many asset classes again in 2012.

In time, 2012 may be seen as a year of correction and consolidation for the precious metals after the sharp gains and record nominal highs seen in 2011.

As Dimitri Speck’s excellent ‘Silver Seasonal 30 Year Chart’ shows silver over the long term has a clear seasonally strong period from mid December through to the end of April.

Silver Seasonality Chart

Indeed, Bloomberg’s ‘Seasonality Chart’ for silver shows that in the shorter term there are also seasonal factors to consider. In the last 5 and 10 years, the best month to own silver has been February with gains of 9.5% over the 5 year period and 6.4% over the 10 year period.

The months with the next best performance are November, January and April (see 5 and 10 year average returns in chart). Over the long term March is a good month to own silver and this can be seen in the 3.2% 10 year average return.

This shows that the optimal time periods to own silver are from the end of June through to May.

June is a wicked month to own silver with hefty losses of 5.5% and 5.3% over the 5 year and 10 year period. August is a weak month and September mediocre.

While silver has clear seasonality, one should not use it as a trading bible - it is merely a guide.

This is clearly seen in the fact that while February is silver’s best month, silver fell 5% in February 2003 which could have wiped out someone trading silver with leverage.

Silver’s seasonality is clear and can help us to decide on when to buy or add to allocations and indeed when to sell or reduce allocations.

Silver in USD (5 Year) - 100, 200 and 250 Daily Moving Average

The positive seasonals and silver being close to its long term daily moving averages after the massive period of consolidation of the last 21 months means that the short term cyclical and technical prospects for silver look very positive.

Silver Prices/Fixes/Rates/Vols

For the latest news and commentary on financial markets and gold please follow us on Twitter.

GOLDNOMICS - CASH OR GOLD BULLION?




'GoldNomics' can be viewed by clicking on the image above or on our YouTube channel:
www.youtube.com/goldcorelimited

This update can be found on the GoldCore blog here.

Yours sincerely,
Mark O'Byrne
Exective Director

IRL
63
FITZWILLIAM SQUARE
DUBLIN 2

E info@goldcore.com

UK
NO. 1 CORNHILL
LONDON 2
EC3V 3ND

IRL +353 (0)1 632 5010
UK +44 (0)203 086 9200
US +1 (302)635 1160

W www.goldcore.com

WINNERS MoneyMate and Investor Magazine Financial Analysts 2006

Disclaimer: The information in this document has been obtained from sources, which we believe to be reliable. We cannot guarantee its accuracy or completeness. It does not constitute a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any investment. Any person acting on the information contained in this document does so at their own risk. Recommendations in this document may not be suitable for all investors. Individual circumstances should be considered before a decision to invest is taken. Investors should note the following: Past experience is not necessarily a guide to future performance. The value of investments may fall or rise against investors' interests. Income levels from investments may fluctuate. Changes in exchange rates may have an adverse effect on the value of, or income from, investments denominated in foreign currencies. GoldCore Limited, trading as GoldCore is a Multi-Agency Intermediary regulated by the Irish Financial Regulator.

GoldCore is committed to complying with the requirements of the Data Protection Act. This means that in the provision of our services, appropriate personal information is processed and kept securely. It also means that we will never sell your details to a third party. The information you provide will remain confidential and may be used for the provision of related services. Such information may be disclosed in confidence to agents or service providers, regulatory bodies and group companies. You have the right to ask for a copy of certain information held by us in our records in return for payment of a small fee. You also have the right to require us to correct any inaccuracies in your information. The details you are being asked to supply may be used to provide you with information about other products and services either from GoldCore or other group companies or to provide services which any member of the group has arranged for you with a third party. If you do not wish to receive such contact, please write to the Marketing Manager GoldCore, 63 Fitzwilliam Square, Dublin 2 marking the envelope 'data protection'

GoldCore Archive

© 2005-2014 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

Free Report - Financial Markets 2014