Most Popular
1. It’s a New Macro, the Gold Market Knows It, But Dead Men Walking Do Not (yet)- Gary_Tanashian
2.Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
3. Bitcoin S&P Pattern - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
4.U.S. financial market’s “Weimar phase” impact to your fiat and digital assets - Raymond_Matison
5. How to Profit from the Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - Part1 - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast 2024 - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.The Bond Trade and Interest Rates - Nadeem_Walayat
9.It’s Easy to Scream Stocks Bubble! - Stephen_McBride
10.Fed’s Next Intertest Rate Move might not align with popular consensus - Richard_Mills
Last 7 days
Time to take the RED Pill - 28th May 24
US Economy Slowing Slipping into Recession, But Not There Yet - 28th May 24
Gold vs. Silver – Very Important Medium-term Signal - 28th May 24
Is Gold Price Heading to $2,275 - 2,280? - 28th May 24
Stocks Bull Market Smoking Gun - 25th May 24
Congress Moves against Totalitarian Central Bank Digital Currency Schemes - 25th May 24
Government Tinkering With Prices Is Like Hiding All of the Street Signs - 25th May 24
Gold Mid Tier Mining Stocks Fundamentals - 25th May 24
Why US Interest Rates are a Nothing Burger - 24th May 24
Big Banks Are Pressuring The Fed To Losen Protection For Depositors - 24th May 24
Another Bank Failure: How to Tell if Your Bank is At Risk - 24th May 24
AI Stocks Portfolio and Tesla - 23rd May 24
All That Glitters Isn't Gold: Silver Has Outperformed Gold During This Gold Bull Run - 23rd May 24
Gold and Silver Expose Stock Market’s Phony Gains - 23rd May 24
S&P 500 Cyclical Relative Performance: Stocks Nearing Fully Valued - 23rd May 24
Nvidia NVDA Stock Earnings Rumble After Hours - 22nd May 24
Stock Market Trend Forecasts for 2024 and 2025 - 21st May 24
Silver Price Forecast: Trumpeting the Jubilee | Sovereign Debt Defaults - 21st May 24
Bitcoin Bull Market Bubble MANIA Rug Pulls 2024! - 19th May 24
Important Economic And Geopolitical Questions And Their Answers! - 19th May 24
Pakistan UN Ambassador Grows Some Balls Accuses Israel of Being Like Nazi Germany - 19th May 24
Could We See $27,000 Gold? - 19th May 24
Gold Mining Stocks Fundamentals - 19th May 24
The Gold and Silver Ship Will Set Sail! - 19th May 24
Micro Strategy Bubble Mania - 10th May 24
Biden's Bureau of Labor Statistics is Cooking Jobs Reports - 10th May 24
Bitcoin Price Swings Analysis - 9th May 24
Could Chinese Gold Be the Straw That Breaks the Dollar's Back? - 9th May 24
The Federal Reserve Is Broke! - 9th May 24
The Elliott Wave Crash Course - 9th May 24
Psychologically Prepared for Bitcoin Bull Market Bubble MANIA Rug Pull Corrections 2024 - 8th May 24
Why You Should Pay Attention to This Time-Tested Stock Market Indicator Now - 8th May 24
Copper: The India Factor - 8th May 24
Gold 2008 and 2022 All Over Again? Stocks, USDX - 8th May 24
Holocaust Survivor States Israel is Like Nazi Germany, The Fourth Reich - 8th May 24
Fourth Reich Invades Rafah Concentration Camp To Kill Palestinian Children - 8th May 24

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Elliott Wave Analysis: Where the RUBBER Commodity Meets the Road

Commodities / Elliott Wave Theory Feb 09, 2017 - 04:59 PM GMT

By: EWI

Commodities

See why rubber prices bounced from an 11-year low to a 4-year high

There are nearly 50 commodity markets traded all over the world at any given time. That's one for every state in the United States.

So, how is an investor or trader supposed to know which of these markets to follow and which ones to dismiss?

Well, for our long-time Commodity Junctures editor Jeffrey Kennedy, the answer is simple: Don't wait for an Elliott wave pattern to develop on a market's price chart. But rather, choose price charts that already present discernible Elliott wave patterns.


Jeffery will be the first to admit -- sometimes, they show up in the most unlikely of places.

Back in November of 2016, Jeffrey (at a Commodity Junctures subscriber's behest) found an opportunity on the price charts of a market he never included before in his 20-plus years as EWI's senior commodity analyst --rubber.

That opportunity took the shape of one of the most exciting Elliott wave patterns: the ending diagonal. It's a five-wave pattern labeled 1-5 that can only form in the final position of a wave sequence -- i.e., wave 5 of an impulse, or wave C of a correction.

Most importantly, when this pattern ends, it's followed by a swift and powerful reversal that retraces the entire length of the diagonal. Here's its idealized diagram, in bull and bear markets:

In his November 2016 Monthly Commodity Junctures video episode on rubber, Jeffrey made the case for a post-diagonal thrust UP for the long-suffering rubber market:

"We'll be discussing a market that I've actually never spoken about before. I was surprised to find very high quality wave patterns on the charts. This is how we can label the weekly price chart of rubber.

"An ending diagonal in the wave c position. Subsequent price action has been quite impulsive to the upside. Now, as you know, whenever an ending diagonal terminates, it tends to resolve quite swiftly and quite sharply back to beyond the origin of the pattern, and that comes into play about 285.5.

"As we move into 2017, I suspect that we will have retraced that entire move to the downside that essentially took two-and-a-half years to form."

From there, rubber prices made a serious commitment to the upside, soaring to a four-year high on January 26.

Now, according to mainstream analysis, rubber's shocking rebound off 11-year lows is the result of weeks' long floods in Thailand, the world's top rubber producer.

You, however, now know the real story: Rubber's rally began long before the sky's opened up in Southern Thailand. It kicked off in late November, as the result of a complete Elliott wave ending diagonal pattern.

When it comes to choosing the right commodity market at the right time, the independent perspective of Elliott wave analysis goes a long way.


Free eBook:
Commodity Traders Classroom

Get 32 pages of actionable trading lessons, hand-selected by EWI Chief Commodity Analyst Jeffrey Kennedy, designed to make you a better trader.

Get free, instant access

This article was syndicated by Elliott Wave International and was originally published under the headline Elliott Wave Analysis: Where the RUBBER Meets the Road. EWI is the world's largest market forecasting firm. Its staff of full-time analysts led by Chartered Market Technician Robert Prechter provides 24-hour-a-day market analysis to institutional and private investors around the world.


© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in