Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. Crude Oil and Water: How Climate Change is Threatening our Two Most Precious Commodities - Richard_Mills
2.The Potential $54 Trillion Cost Of The Fed's Planned Interest Rate Increases - Dan_Amerman
3.Best Cash ISA Savings for Rising UK Interest Rates and High Inflation - March 2018 - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Fed Interest Hikes, US Dollar, and Gold - Zeal_LLC
5.What Happens Next after February’s Stock Market Selloff - Troy_Bombardia
6.The 'Beast from the East' UK Extreme Snow Weather - Sheffield Day 2 - N_Walayat
7.Currencies Will Be ‘Flushed Down the Toilet’ Triggering a ‘Mad Rush into Gold’ - MoneyMetals
8.Significant Decline In Stocks On The Cards! -Enda_Glynn
9.Land Rover Discovery Sport Extreme Driving "Beast from the East" Snow Weather Test - N_Walayat
10.SILVER Large Specualtors Net Short Position 15 Year Anniversary - Clive_Maund
Last 7 days
Stock Market Bulls Last Stand? - 18th Mar 18
Putin Flip-Flops Like A Drunken Whore On Bitcoin Cryptocurrency Legalization - 18th Mar 18
How to Legally Manipulate Interest Rates - 18th Mar 18
Return of Stock Market Volatility Amidst Political Chaos and Uncertain Economy - 18th Mar 18
Bitcoin Price Trend Forecast, Paypal FUD Fake Cryptocurrency Warning - 17th Mar 18
Strong Earnings Growth is Bullish for Stocks - 17th Mar 18
The War on the Post Office - 17th Mar 18
GDX Gold Mining Stocks Fundamentals - 16th Mar 18
Nationalism, Not the Russians, got Trump Elected - 16th Mar 18
Has Bitcoin Bought It? - 16th Mar 18
Crude Oil Price – Who Wants the Triangle? - 16th Mar 18
PayPal Cease Trading Crypto Currency Bitcoin Warning Email Sophisticated Fake Scam? - 16th Mar 18
EUR/USD – Something Old, Something New and… Something Blue - 16th Mar 18
DasCoin: A 5-Minute Guide to How It Works - 15th Mar 18
Stock Market Downward Pressure Mounting - 15th Mar 18
The Stock Market Trend is Your Friend ’til the Very End - 15th Mar 18
6 Easy Ways to Get What Women Want, for Less! - 15th Mar 18
This Isn’t Your Grandfather’s (1960s) Inflation Scare - 15th Mar 18
Eye Opening Stock Market Index, Volatility, Charts and Predictions - 15th Mar 18
Gold Cup At Cheltenham – Gold Is For Winners, Not For Gamblers - 15th Mar 18
Upcoming Turnaround in Gold - 14th Mar 18
Will the Stock Market Make Another Correction this Year? - 14th Mar 18
4 Ways To Writing An Interesting Education Research Paper - 14th Mar 18
China Toward Sustainable Economic Growth - 14th Mar 18
Stock Market Direction Is No Longer Important - 14th Mar 18
Trade Tariffs Defeat Globalists and Return Prosperity - 14th Mar 18
Stock Market Crash is Underway and Cannot be Stopped! - 14th Mar 18
Are Energy Sector Stocks Bottoming? - 14th Mar 18
Nasdaq Stocks Soars to New Record High After Strong Job Reports - 14th Mar 18
Bitcoin BTCUSD Elliott Wave View Calling for Rally toward $15,000 - 13th Mar 18
Hungary’s Gold Repatriation Adds To Growing Protest Against US Dollar Hegemony - 13th Mar 18
Record Low Volatility in Precious Metals and What it Means - 13th Mar 18
Tips for Writing and Assembling the Classification Essay - 13th Mar 18
Gerald Celente "If Rates go up too High, the Economy goes Down, End of Story" - 13th Mar 18
Stock Market Selloff Showed Gold Can Reduce Portfolio Risk  - 13th Mar 18
Silver Does it Again! Severe Consequences - 12th Mar 18
Has the Stock Market Rally Run Out of Steam? - 12th Mar 18
S&P 500 at 2,800 Again, Stock Market Breakout or Fakeout? - 12th Mar 18
The No.1 Energy Stock To Buy Right Now - 12th Mar 18
What Happens Next When Stock Market Investor Sentiment is Neutral - 12th Mar 18
Economic Pressures To Driving Gold and Silver Prices Higher Long-Term - 12th Mar 18
Labour Sheffield City Councils Secret Plan to Fell 50% of Street Trees Exposed! - 12th Mar 18
Stock Market Uptrend Resuming? - 11th Mar 18
Bond Market Interest Rate Yields Are Rising Again… Stocks Are on Thin Ice - 11th Mar 18
Death of Europe's Greenest City, Police State Sheffield Labour Council to Fell 50% of Street Trees - 11th Mar 18
Do All Bull Stocks Markets Need to Have a Bearish Divergence? - 11th Mar 18
An Inflation Indicator to Watch, Part 3 - 11th Mar 18
Online Stock Trading Tips - Tips about Online Trading & Day Trading - 11th Mar 18
NDX makes a new high. What does that mean? - 10th Mar 18
Blue Chip Companies on Track for $800 billion Buyback Record in 2018 - 10th Mar 18
Cheap Gold Stocks Basing - 10th Mar 18
An Introduction to Online Forex Trading - 10th Mar 18

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Urgent Stock Market Message

Forex Trading Alert: USD/CAD at Fresh Highs

Currencies / Forex Trading Mar 09, 2017 - 01:21 PM GMT



Forex Trading Alert originally published on March 8, 2016, 9:32 AM

Earlier today, the U.S. dollar extended gains against its Canadian counterpart as declining crude oil prices pushed the Canadian currency lower. As a result, USD/CAD reached the next resistance zone. Will it stop currency bulls in the coming days?

In our opinion, the following forex trading positions are justified – summary:

EUR/USD: short (a stop-loss order at 1.0735; the initial downside target at 1.0388)
GBP/USD: none, in other words, taking profits off the table is justified from the risk/reward perspective.
USD/JPY: long (a stop-loss order at 111; the initial upside target at 115.43)
USD/CAD: none, in other words, taking profits off the table is justified from the risk/reward perspective.
USD/CHF: long (a stop-loss order at 0.9891; the initial upside target at 1.0180)
AUD/USD: none


Looking at the daily chart, we see that EUR/USD moved a bit lower, extending yesterday’s losses. Additionally, the Stochastic Oscillator generated the sell signal, which suggests that further deterioration is just around the corner. If this is the case, and the exchange rate declines from here, the first downside target will be the previously-broken upper border of the blue declining trend channel (currently around 1.0497) and the recent lows. If they are broken, we’ll likely see a drop to around 1.0460, where the 76.4% and 78.6% Fibonacci retracements are.

Very short-term outlook:  bearish
Short-term outlook: mixed with bearish bias
MT outlook: mixed
LT outlook: mixed

Trading position (short-term; our opinion): Short positions with a stop-loss order at 1.0735 and the initial downside target at 1.0388 are justified from the risk/reward perspective.


Quoting our Monday’s alert:

(…) Although the pair rebounded slightly on Friday, the size of the move was tiny compared to the earlier decline, which suggests that we may see a test of the recent low or even a drop to the next downside target – the 70.7% Fibonacci retracement at 1.2194. If it is broken, the way to the next support area (created by the 76.4% and 78.6% Fibonacci retracements around 1.2138-1.2157) will be open. At this point, it is worth noting that in this area is also the lower border of the red declining trend channel (marked on the weekly chart), which increases the probability of reversal.

On the daily chart, we see that currency bears pushed GBP/USD lower (as we had expected) and the pair slipped to our next downside targets. Taking all the above into account, we think that this area could trigger a rebound. Therefore, closing short positions (they were opened when GBP/USD was trading around 1.2383) and taking profits off the table is currently justified from the risk/reward perspective.

Very short-term outlook: mixed
Short-term outlook: mixed
MT outlook: mixed
LT outlook: mixed

Trading position (short-term; our opinion): No positions are justified from the risk/reward perspective now. 


Yesterday, we wrote the following:

(…) although USD/CAD moved a bit lower on Friday, currency bears didn’t manage to push the pair lower, which resulted in a consolidation around the January 20 high. Taking this fact into account and the current situation in the medium-term chart, we think that currency bulls will push USD/CAD to around 1.3454, where the next resistance zone (created by the 76.4% and 78.6% Fibonacci retracements) is.

From today’s point of view, we see that the situation developed in line with the above scenario and USD/CAD reached our next upside targets. Taking into account the yellow resistance zone, the 161.8% and 73.2% Fibonacci extensions and the current position of the daily indicators (they are very close to generating sell signals), it seems that the exchange rate could correct the recent upward move in the very near future. Therefore, closing long positions (they were opened when USD/CAD was trading around 1.3190) and taking profits off the table is currently justified from the risk/reward perspective.

Very short-term outlook: mixed
Short-term outlook: mixed
MT outlook: mixed
LT outlook: mixed

Trading position (short-term; our opinion): No positions are justified from the risk/reward perspective now. 

Thank you.

Nadia Simmons
Forex & Oil Trading Strategist
Przemyslaw Radomski
Founder, Editor-in-chief

Sunshine Profits: Gold & Silver, Forex, Bitcoin, Crude Oil & Stocks
Stay updated: sign up for our free mailing list today

* * * * *


All essays, research and information found above represent analyses and opinions of Nadia Simmons and Sunshine Profits' associates only. As such, it may prove wrong and be a subject to change without notice. Opinions and analyses were based on data available to authors of respective essays at the time of writing. Although the information provided above is based on careful research and sources that are believed to be accurate, Nadia Simmons and his associates do not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the data or information reported. The opinions published above are neither an offer nor a recommendation to purchase or sell any securities. Nadia Simmons is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading Nadia Simmons’ reports you fully agree that he will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make regarding any information provided in these reports. Investing, trading and speculation in any financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Nadia Simmons, Sunshine Profits' employees and affiliates as well as members of their families may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in any of the reports or essays, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.

© 2005-2018 - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.

Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

6 Critical Money Making Rules