Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. 2019 From A Fourth Turning Perspective - James_Quinn
2.Beware the Young Stocks Bear Market! - Zeal_LLC
3.Safe Havens are Surging. What this Means for Stocks 2019 - Troy_Bombardia
4.Most Popular Financial Markets Analysis of 2018 - Trump and BrExit Chaos Dominate - Nadeem_Walayat
5.January 2019 Financial Markets Analysis and Forecasts - Nadeem_Walayat
6.Silver Price Trend Analysis 2019 - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Why 90% of Traders Lose - Nadeem_Walayat
8.What to do With Your Money in a Stocks Bear Market - Stephen_McBride
9.Stock Market What to Expect in the First 3~5 Months of 2019 - Chris_Vermeulen
10.China, Global Economy has Tipped over: The Surging Dollar and the Rallying Yen - FXCOT
Last 7 days
A Message to the Gold Bulls: Relying on the CoT Gives You A False Sense of Security - 20th Mar 19
The Secret to Funding a Green New Deal - 20th Mar 19
Vietnam, Part I: Colonialism and National Liberation - 20th Mar 19
Will the Fed Cut its Interest Rate Forecast, Pushing Gold Higher? - 20th Mar 19
Dow Jones Stock Market Topping Pattern - 20th Mar 19
Gold Stocks Outperform Gold but Not Stocks - 20th Mar 19
Here’s What You’re Not Hearing About the US - China Trade War - 20th Mar 19
US Overdosing on Debt - 19th Mar 19
Looking at the Economic Winter Season Ahead - 19th Mar 19
Will the Stock Market Crash Like 1937? - 19th Mar 19
Stock Market VIX Volaility Analysis - 19th Mar 19
FREE Access to Stock and Finanacial Markets Trading Analysis Worth $1229! - 19th Mar 19
US Stock Markets Price Anomaly Setup Continues - 19th Mar 19
Gold Price Confirmation of the Warning - 18th Mar 19
Split Stock Market Warning - 18th Mar 19
Stock Market Trend Analysis 2019 - Video - 18th Mar 19
Best Precious Metals Investment and Trades for 2019 - 18th Mar 19
Hurdles for Gold Stocks - 18th Mar 19
Pento: Coming QE & Low Rates Will Be ‘Rocket Fuel for Gold’ - 18th Mar 19
"This is for Tommy Robinson" Shouts Knife Wielding White Supremacist Terrorist in London - 18th Mar 19
This Is How You Create the Biggest Credit Bubble in History - 17th Mar 19
Crude Oil Bulls - For Whom the Bell Tolls - 17th Mar 19
Gold Mining Stocks Fundamentals - 17th Mar 19
Why Buy a Land Rover - Range Rover vs Huge Tree Branch Falling on its Roof - 17th Mar 19
UKIP Urged to Change Name to BNP 2.0 So BrExit Party Can Fight a 2nd EU Referendum - 17th Mar 19
Tommy Robinson Looks Set to Become New UKIP Leader - 16th Mar 19
Gold Final Warning: Here Are the Stunning Implications of Plunging Gold Price - 16th Mar 19
Towards the End of a Stocks Bull Market, Short term Timing Becomes Difficult - 16th Mar 19
UKIP Brexit Facebook Groups Reveling in the New Zealand Terror Attacks Blaming Muslim Victims - 16th Mar 19
Gold – US Dollar vs US Dollar Index - 16th Mar 19
Islamophobic Hate Preachers Tommy Robinson and Katie Hopkins have Killed UKIP and Brexit - 16th Mar 19
Countdown to The Precious Metals Gold and Silver Breakout Rally - 15th Mar 19
Shale Oil Splutters: Brent on Track for $70 Target $100 in 2020 - 15th Mar 19
Setting up a Business Just Got Easier - 15th Mar 19
Stock Market Elliott Wave Analysis Trend Forercast - Video - 15th Mar 19
Gold Warning - Here Are the Stunning Implications of Plunging Gold Price - Part 1 - 15th Mar 19
UK Weather SHOCK - Trees Dropping Branches onto Cars in Stormy Winds - Sheffield - 15th Mar 19
Best Time to Trade Forex - 15th Mar 19
Why the Green New Deal Will Send Uranium Price Through the Roof - 14th Mar 19
S&P 500's New Medium-Term High, but Will Stock Market Uptrend Continue? - 14th Mar 19
US Conservatism - 14th Mar 19
Gold in the Age of High-speed Electronic Trading - 14th Mar 19
Britain's Demographic Time Bomb Has Gone Off! - 14th Mar 19
Why Walmart Will Crush Amazon - 14th Mar 19
2019 Economic Predictions - 14th Mar 19
Tax Avoidance Bills Sent to Thousands of Workers - 14th Mar 19

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Stock Market Trend Forecast March to September 2019

Market Nature and The Elliott wave Theory

InvestorEducation / Elliott Wave Theory Apr 11, 2018 - 10:33 AM GMT

By: ElliottWave-Forecast

InvestorEducation

The human nature by definition is the general psychological characteristics, feelings, and behavioral traits of humankind. As such, everyone shares this nature. Similarly, the market also has a market nature and since it is created by humans, we can try to understand what the market nature is. Today’s market is the result of either manual trades by individual traders or automated computer’s algorithm which itself is also created by humans. The computer follows the same technique in each time frame and repeats the same condition over and over again.


Ralph Nelson Elliott, a professional accountant, discovered the underlying social principles and developed the analytical tools in the 1930s. He proposed that market prices unfold in specific patterns, which practitioners today call “Elliott waves“, or simply “waves”. Elliott published his theory of market behavior in the book The Wave Principle in 1938, summarized it in a series of articles in Financial World magazine in 1939, and covered it most comprehensively in his final major work, Nature’s Laws: The Secret of the Universe in 1946. Elliott stated that “because man is subject to a rhythmical procedure, calculations having to do with his activities can be projected far into the future with a justification and certainty heretofore unattainable.” We can relate the last paragraph to the Human Nature and as a result, the Market Nature is the Market created by Humans.

We believe the Market follows their own Natural code which we call sequences. Mr. Elliott calls it the Pattern or the Fractal nature of the Market. The Market advances in 2 sequences, the Impulse which comes in sequences of 5-9-13 or the corrective sequences which come in 3-7-11. What we have developed at Elliotwave-Forecast (EWF) is a new understanding of The Elliott wave Theory which states that trend can advance in 5 waves or 3 waves and that at the end, every 5 waves becomes a 3 waves.

After doing more than 7000 charts every month, it is clear that the Market follows a rhythmical movement and repeats itself time after time. As humans, we do have a Biorhythm which by definition is a person’s biological cycles that affect his or her ability in various domains such as mental, physical and emotional activity. These cycles begin at birth and oscillate in a steady (sine wave) fashion throughout life, and by modeling them mathematically, it is suggested that a person’s level of ability in each of these domains can be predicted from day to day. This theory is built on the idea that the biofeedback chemical and hormonal secretion functions within the body could show a sinusoidal behavior over time. The relation here is the word cycles.

We at EWF believe that the Market follows cycles like Human’s Biorhythm and also creates repetition like the Human Nature, so it is easy to see and understand that The Market has its own Nature. The Nature is a relationship between the Sequences, the cycles in prices and time and also the repetition of the patterns which need to be related in time and prices. This relationship between sequence and cycle occur in multiple time frames, thus we can have an instrument ending a sequence in one time frame, but this sequence is part of a higher sequence. After ending a sequence, the instrument can correct then it can keep trading at the same side, or the instrument can also reverse the direction after ending the sequence if the higher time frame is against the lower time frame.

The Elliott wave Theory helps us a lot to understand The Market Nature, but without a proper understanding of The Market Nature, there is no way the Elliott wave Theory can be applied. Elliott wave is very subjective and one of the reasons is because it was developed in the 1930 and has not gone into any revision. Traders keep following the same rules and we improve and add to the rules at www.Elliottwave-forecast.com so that it works better with today’s Market Nature.

Market Nature: The Five Waves Pattern (Motive and Corrective)

A Classic Elliott wave Theory’s pattern which runs a sequence of 5 waves and 3 waves back. In this sequence, the Market ends 5 waves in the smaller time frame, but follow the direction of the 5 waves to develop either 9 swings or 3 waves from the beginning of the lesser degree 5 waves.


$FTSE did a 5 waves move from the lows at 3.2009 in the Daily Time frame. It has a higher Bullish sequence in the Weekly charts which makes the 5 waves move valid and result in more upside after a Flat correction in wave “b”. This is the case of 5 waves rally in the initial leg from 3.2009 low to wave “a”. After the initial 5 waves rally, we have a 3 waves pullback in wave “b” as a FLAT, followed by another 5 waves rally in wave “c” ending at 4.2015 high. The entire rally from 3.2009 to 4.2015 becomes a 3 waves, so an Impulse since 3.2009 low to wave “a” end up becoming a corrective zigzag structure when it ends at 4.2015 high.

Corrective Market Nature: 7 Swing WXY Elliott Wave Structure

In the Classic 7 swing WXY structure, the Market does 3 waves move, then it corrects in 3 waves followed with another 3 waves move to the same direction of the previous 3 waves. In total, it has a 7 swing structure or WXY in the Elliott Wave Theory.


In this case. HG#F did what we call a 7 swing structure lower which is corrective by Nature. The trend since 12.2017 peak until 3.2018 low is bearish, but this bearish trend is only in the lower time frame (1 hour and 15 minute time frame) The higher time frame is impulsive and has a Bullish sequences, so we recommend buying at the Blue Box.

Understanding how the Market Nature provides an edge to traders. We can pick the right side in different time frames and relate them to create a reliable or higher probability forecast. Nobody can forecast the Market 100% correct, but understanding the Nature will help you tremendously in becoming a better trader and remove some of the subjective nature of The Elliott wave Theory.

By Ayoub Ben Rejeb

https://elliottwave-forecast.com

ElliottWave-Forecast has built its reputation on accurate technical analysis and a winning attitude. By successfully incorporating the Elliott Wave Theory with Market Correlation, Cycles, Proprietary Pivot System, we provide precise forecasts with up-to-date analysis for 52 instruments including Forex majors & crosses, Commodities and a number of Equity Indices from around the World. Our clients also have immediate access to our proprietary Actionable Trade Setups, Market Overview, 1 Hour, 4 Hour, Daily & Weekly Wave Counts. Weekend Webinar, Live Screen Sharing Sessions, Daily Technical Videos, Elliott Wave Setup .

Copyright © 2018 ElliottWave-Forecast - All Rights Reserved Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.


© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

6 Critical Money Making Rules