Category: Stock Market 2017
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Monday, September 25, 2017
Hidden Gems Shows A Foreboding Stock Market Future / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
A quick look at any of the US majors will show most investors that the markets have recently been pushing upward towards new all-time highs. These traditional market instruments can be misleading at times when relating the actual underlying technical and fundamental price activities. Today, we are going to explore some research using our custom index instruments that we use to gauge and relate more of the underlying market price action.
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Monday, September 25, 2017
Stock Market Mixed Expectations, Will Stocks Continue Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Briefly:
Intraday trade: Our Friday's neutral intraday outlook has proved accurate. The S&P 500 index continued to fluctuate along the level of 2,500, as it remained close to new record high. The market may extend its short-term consolidation again. The support level is relatively close, at the September 12 daily gap up of 2,488.95-2,490.37. Therefore, we still prefer to be out of the market, avoiding low risk/reward ratio trades.
Our intraday outlook remains neutral, and our short-term outlook is bearish, as we expect downward correction. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish:
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Monday, September 25, 2017
After The Apocalypse This Weekend, Buy The Stock Market Dip / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The S&P500 gapped up on Monday to the resistance region we noted last week between 2507-2510SPX. And, after testing it many, many times, it still has not been able to overcome that resistance the entire week.
Not much has stopped this market’s upward trajectory over the last year and a half. In fact, even the pullbacks have been much more shallow than standard pullbacks.
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Monday, September 25, 2017
Stock Market Forming a Reluctant Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: The uptrend has pushed a little higher, near-term.
SPX Intermediate trend: We may be in a position to get “something” started on the downside.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, September 24, 2017
Two Key Indicators Show the S&P 500 Becoming the New ‘Cash’ / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Pension plan administrators do it. Their actuaries and consultants do it. Professional endowment and foundation investors do it. Financial advisors do it. Private investors may or may not do it, but they probably should.
Do what?
All of these folks already are or should be asking themselves the following question: What’s a reasonable expectation for the long-term return on a broad-market equity investment?
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Saturday, September 23, 2017
A Triangle Consolidation in the SPX / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
I5t appears that a Triangle has formed at the Micro level in the SPX. That explains the week-long sideways consolidation that we’ve seen…and the reason why we haven’t seen the trendline get broken, as well. We may see a pop on Monday morning, so see you there!
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Saturday, September 23, 2017
Stock Market's "Proper Value" Is Nonsense -- Here's Why / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
See why there is no reliable standard of value for the stock market
Should investors rely on traditional ways of evaluating the stock market's "proper value"? You might be surprised at what these four charts show.
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Thursday, September 21, 2017
Follow the Money - Why the Stock Market's Up and Why it Won't Last / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Rudi Fronk and Jim Anthony, founders of Seabridge Gold, discuss why the stock market's been up and why it likely won't last. During the last week, the major market indices rallied again. There was no news to account for it. But there was a reason.
The U.S. Treasury has been up against its debt ceiling since March 15 when the ceiling was re-imposed. Since then, there has been no net new issuance from the Treasury. The Treasury has run down its cash balances and borrowed internally from its own resources, which are not subject to the ceiling. This period has been very helpful to the financial markets. With the federal government not selling any net new supply of securities—just rolling the maturing stuff over—the markets have been flush with cash that would otherwise have been absorbed by the government.
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Thursday, September 21, 2017
Short-Term Uncertainty, As Stocks Fluctuate Along Record Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Briefly:
Intraday trade: Our yesterday's neutral intraday outlook has proved accurate. The S&P 500 index gained 0.1%, as it extended its consolidation along 2,500 mark. The market may continue to fluctuate today. On the other hand, support level is relatively close, at last week's Tuesday's daily gap up of 2,488.95-2,490.37. Therefore, we still prefer to be out of the market, avoiding low risk/reward ratio trades.
Our intraday outlook remains neutral, and our short-term outlook is bearish, as we expect downward correction. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Wednesday, September 20, 2017
Stock Market Bubble Last Two Times This Happened Was in 2000 and 2007 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The stock market bubble is now so massive that even Goldman Sachs is getting worried.
Let’s be clear here: Wall Street does best and makes the most money when stocks are roaring higher. So in order for a major Wall Street firm like Goldman to start openly worrying about whether or not the markets are going to crash, there has to be truly MASSIVE trouble brewing.
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Wednesday, September 20, 2017
Stocks Hit Aggressive Sell Signals / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
NDX is on an aggressive sell signal. It becomes confirmed beneath the 50-day Moving Average at 5903.02.
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Wednesday, September 20, 2017
Stock Market Waiting Game... / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
SPX futures are flat this morning. At this point it appears to be a waiting game between the market and the Fed. There appears to be at least one more probe higher (Ending diagonal). A throw-over above the upper Diagonal trendline is probable. Should that be the case, a decline beneath the Brexit trendline (red) may be an aggressive sell signal while a decline beneath the lower Diagonal trendline near 2495.00 may be a confirmed sell signal.
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Tuesday, September 19, 2017
Stock Market Bubble Fortunes / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
A few days ago, former Reagan Budget Director and -apparently- permabear (aka perennial bear) David Stockman did an interview (see below) with Stuart Varney at Fox -a permabull?!-, who started off with ‘the stock rally goes on’ despite a London terror attack and the North Korea missile situation. His first statement to Stockman was something in the vein of “if I had listened to you at any time after the past 2-3 years, I’d have lost a fortune..” Stockman shot back with (paraphrased): “if you’d have listened to me in 2000, 2004, you’d have dodged a bullet”, and at some point later “get out of bonds, get out of stocks, it’s a dangerous casino.” Familiar territory for most of you.
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Monday, September 18, 2017
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: Either You Learn From The Events Of The Past Week, Or You Are Hopeless / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Back in mid-July, we called for the market to top within 3 weeks between 2487-2500. And, 3 weeks later, the market topped at 2490SPX within one day of the topping date we expected. And, since we struck that high, the market has followed through in an almost textbook fashion for the entire month of August, as we caught just about every twist and turn during the month.
Coming into the last week of August, we were expecting the market to drop down to support within the 2425-2430SPX region, and then rally back towards the 2465-2475 region, before it set up to drop back down to the 2400SPX region. As we now know, dropped hard and bottomed early that week at 2428SPX, and then rallied back to 2480SPX. When the market topped out at 2480 on September 1st, our expectation was that we would see a drop down to the 2400SPX region next.
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Monday, September 18, 2017
SPX 2500 … At Last! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: The uptrend has pushed a little higher, near-term.
SPX Intermediate trend: By rising past 2491 the start of the (inevitable) intermediate correction has been delayed. .
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Friday, September 15, 2017
Extreme Weather & Energy Markets: What's Next? - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Given the recent hurricanes and intense volatility across commodity markets, anticipating fluctuations in crude and natural gas has rarely been this challenging. In this new interview, Steve Craig, the editor of our Energy Pro Service, explains how he uses the Elliott Wave Principle to make sense of it all.
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Friday, September 15, 2017
Stock Market Investors: Taking the Road "Less Traveled" Has Its Perks / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Using the same market indicators everyone else uses can lead you to make the same mistakes everyone else makes. Here's a chart that proves the point -- you won't see this one elsewhere.
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Thursday, September 14, 2017
S&P 500 At New Record High, Will It Break Above 2,500? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Briefly:
Intraday trade: Our yesterday's neutral intraday outlook has proved accurate. The S&P 500 index fluctuated within a relatively narrow trading range following Tuesday's advance. The market may retrace some of its recent rally today, as the S&P 500 index trades close to potential resistance level of 2,500. On the other hand, support level is relatively close, at Tuesday's daily gap up of 2,488.95-2,490.37. Therefore, we prefer to be out of the market once again, avoiding low risk/reward ratio trades.
Wednesday, September 13, 2017
Stock Market Breakout Imminent? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The only resistance left in the S&P 500 is the psychological resistance of the round number 2500,
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Wednesday, September 13, 2017
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