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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Stock Market 2017

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Wednesday, July 26, 2017

Mr. Trump: You May Not Want To Take Credit For The Stock Market Just Yet / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Avi_Gilburt

Stock market is still bullish

If you have followed my analysis through the years, you would know that I have correctly been steadfastly bullish the stock market for quite some time. In fact, I was one of the very few who expected the market to rocket higher even after Donald Trump won the election last year.

And, now, we are approaching the S&P 500 target in the 2500SPX region we expected to strike in 2017. However, just because the market has rallied strongly after the election as we expected, it does not mean we expect it to continue into the next election season. And, let me explain why that is so important.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, July 25, 2017

Can A Weak US Dollar Really Push The Dow Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Submissions

By Mike Golembesky : After hitting the 161.8 extension up off of the April 18 lows on July 14, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has moved sideways and has traded in a very tight range of less than 1% since that July 14 top. Furthermore, the pattern both up and down off of that July 14 high has been very sloppy, not giving us very much information to work with on the smaller time frames.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, July 25, 2017

Stock Market 37-Week Cycle / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Ed_Carlson

While the Advance/Decline line (among other indicators) keeps us bullish in the long-term, short-term, the environment is not so sanguine for equities. Both the Hybrid Lindsay model and a 37 week cycle point to a high last week. We can’t help but wonder if this is the top forecast by Lindsay’s 15 year interval (see Market Update 7.10.17).

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, July 25, 2017

Stock Market and Gold Stocks Trend Forecast Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Brad_Gudgeon

When I made the charts below over the weekend, I had thought I made a mistake regarding the final top in the SPX being 7/20 and changed it to 7/24 based on the astro/cycle reading.  As it turns out, it looks as though 7/20 was that top (irregular) and we are not making that rare double irregular top I used to see in the 1980’s.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 24, 2017

3 Stocks Sectors That Will Win in The Fed’s Great Balance-Sheet Unwind / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: John_Mauldin

BY STEPHEN MCBRIDE : In its June meeting, the Fed pledged to begin the unwind of its $4.47 trillion balance sheet in September.

Each month, about $50 billion in Treasury bonds on the Fed’s ledger reach maturity. Then the Fed buys new bonds to replace them.

The first step in the “great unwind” will be to let a portion of these maturing bonds roll off the balance sheet.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 24, 2017

5 Reasons to Fear the Stock Market Fall / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Michael_Pento

This powerful and protracted bull market has made Cassandras look foolish for a long time. Those who went on record predicting that massive central bank manipulation of markets would not engender viable economic growth have been proven correct. However, these same individuals failed to fully anticipate the willingness of momentum-trading algorithms to take asset prices very far above the underlying level of economic growth.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 24, 2017

S&P 500 Pushing the Envelope - Stock Market Crash 2017 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Submissions

Rajveer Rawlin writes: Looking at the weekly close on the S and p 500 since 1950 its average close stands at 522 while the standard deviation stands at 606. One of the few markets in the world where the standard deviation exceeds the mean. This is also true with other US Indices like the Dow and the Nasdaq but is not the case with Emerging markets. This has been the case with US markets since 1998 when the FED intervened in the market to bail out the failing LTCM. Subsequent Fed intervention has caused the risk in the market to go up and not come down.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 24, 2017

Are US Stocks in a Bubble / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: The_Gold_Report

Rudi Fronk and Jim Anthony, the cofounders of Seabridge Gold, examine the role of risk when trying to differentiate between a bull market and a bubble.

As we have noted, there is a very important difference between a bull market and a bubble. Valuations are certainly one means of distinguishing them. In retrospect, we can recognize previous historic bubbles such as 1929 and 2000. When basic ratios such as Price-to-Sales and Tobins' Q have reached the levels that marked these bubbles, as they have, we can make a reasonable inference that another bubble has formed.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 24, 2017

Stock Market Still on Track / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend:  Uptrend continues with a serious loss of upside momentum in weekly indicators.

SPX Intermediate trend:  An ending diagonal appears to be in its last stage of completion (5).

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, July 22, 2017

Market Reality Is Going to Bite Back Soon / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Enda_Glynn

My Bias: short in wave (3) red.
Wave Structure: downward impulse wave
Long term wave count: lower in wave (3) red
Important risk events: EUR: Flash Manufacturing PMI, Flash Services PMI.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, July 21, 2017

XIV Hits All Time Highs As The VIX Sets Records That May Never Be Broken / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Submissions

By Mike Golembesky : In last week’s article, I had noted that as long as the XIV was able to hold the 83.93 level, I expected to see it hit the 87.76 – 91.53 zone into this week with the potential to see a move into the mid 90’s prior to making a large degree top.

On Tuesday of this week, the XIV closed at the upper end of this 91.53 zone and then on continued to extend higher into Wednesday, and as of Thursday’s close is now trading at the 93.83 level having so far been contained by the 238.2 Fibonacci extension level of the move up off of the 7/6 low.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, July 20, 2017

Stock Market Decline May Have Begun. Be Careful About Taking Short Positions / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

While the decline doesn’t look like much yet, some of you brave souls who agree with my Cycles and Elliott Wave analysis may wish to begin adding partial short positions.

With that recommendation I warn that there are no confirmations from either the VIX or the Hi-Lo Index. It appears that both of those indicators will be laggards at this juncture. In addition, there may be some blow-back from the algos’ automatic buy programs in an attempt to keep the markets elevated. The first support is the Cycle Top at 2463.58. Positions may be added as we see supports being broken.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, July 19, 2017

Nasdaq: Not Parabolic Yet / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Gary_Savage

At the bubble top in 2000 the Nasdaq was 156% above its 200 week moving average. Currently the Nasdaq is 29% above its 200 week moving average. Clearly not parabolic yet.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, July 19, 2017

Stock Market Forecast: OPEX Week July 2017 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Brad_Gudgeon

I have SPX falling to 2444/45 Wednesday and GDX down to near 21.90/.93.  By Friday SPX should be tagging 2479 and GDX to near 22.99/23.00. Past cycles and VOL cycle suggest an up open tomorrow that will be sold.  By 11:00 EDT we should see a sell-off to 2444/45 SPX.  Wisdom dictates late day buying (3:00) of XIV on the secondary low.  I like VXX or UVXY on the open Wednesday.  A 6% gain in UVXY is possible tomorrow into late in the day on the secondary low.
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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, July 19, 2017

DOW Drops 200 Points in Lock Step with Wave Count! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Enda_Glynn

My Bias: LONG
Wave Structure: rally in wave [C]
Long term wave count: wave [C] is underway, upside to above 136.00
Important risk events: JPY: Monetary Policy Statement. USD: Housing Starts, Building Permits, Crude Oil Inventories.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, July 19, 2017

We Will Face The Greatest Stock Market Turning Point In October- Beware! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Harry_Dent

Normally the worst season for the stock market is between July and November, especially August through mid-October, with September the worst month for losses (on average, of course).

The first wave of the 1929 to 1932 crash ran from early September into mid-November, claiming a loss of 47% in just two and a half months.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, July 18, 2017

Nasdaq: Third Times a Charm? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Gary_Savage

 This is the Nasdaq's third attempt to break out of the bull market channel. Once it holds we should shift into a higher gear as the bubble phase progresses.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, July 18, 2017

Calling for Stock Market Top Within The Next Three Weeks / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Avi_Gilburt

Last week, I noted to members: "As long as last week’s low is not broken, the market still has a set up in place to rally up towards the 2500SPX region."

And, as we saw, the market has rallied up towards our long-term target region. The high we struck on Friday is now only 24 points from the bottom of our long-term target box, which we set several years ago.

Since bottoming back in February of 2016, the S&P500 has rallied 38%. That is one of the best runs in the market’s history. But, were you prepared for it?

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, July 18, 2017

Why & How to Hedge the Growing Risks of Holding Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: MoneyMetals

Welcome to this week’s Market Wrap Podcast, I’m Mike Gleason.

Coming up we’ll hear from Axel Merk, President and Chief Investment Officer of Merk Investments and manager of the Merk Funds. Axel breaks down investor complacency, the risk of putting too much money into risk assets and gives advice on the proper weighting of precious metals in your own portfolio. Don’t miss a sensational interview with Axel Merk, coming up after this week’s market update.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 17, 2017

Will Stock Market New All-Time High Uptrend Accelerate? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Paul_Rejczak

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

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